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CWA # 289, 13 May 2020

Conflict Weekly 17
The return of Hong Kong Protests, a new Ceasefire in Myanmar, China-Australia Tensions on COVID & Trade, and the Al Qaeda-Islamic State clashes in Africa

  IPRI Team

IPRI Conflict Weekly, 13 May 2020, Vol.1, No. 17

 Harini Madhusudan, Aparupa Bhattacherjee, Aarathi Srinivasan & Harini Sha


Hong Kong: Protests revive amid the introduction of Anthem Bill 
In the news
Three incidents took place in Hong Kong this week in relation to the resurgence of pro-democracy protests. On the night of 10 May, the Hong Kong police arrested over 250 people in Mong Kok, a day after the anti-government protests took place in 10 shopping malls. The echoes from the past protests revived as the anti-government protesters were heard chanting the Glory to the Hong Kong anthem while setting fire to the trash bins to block the streets.
 
On 12 May, Carrie Lam, made the anthem bill a priority for the government. The pro-democracy lawmakers warned that the Hong Kong government is repeating the mistakes from last year. 

On 8 May, the Hong Kong Legislative council session descended into chaos as the pro-democracy and pro-Beijing legislative members were seen competing to take the empty seat of the chairperson. The opposing lawmakers threw placards and scrambled over each other to take control of the house committee. 
 
Issues at large 
The return of the protesters is the first issue. Since 26 April 2020, with a fall in the number of coronavirus cases and the easing of a few restrictions in Hong Kong, the protesters have gathered with a new vigour chanting slogans at the Cityplaza. 

The anti-government protests have evolved through the 11 months, with "five demands, not one less," as a goal. The months' long protests have helped elect pro-democracy candidates in the legislative elections. In the months during the pandemic, the protesters' cooperated with the situation, but not forgotten the cause.' Even in this time, the protesters resisted attempts by the mainland to set up medical facilities in Hong Kong. 

The response of the Hong Kong government forms the second issue. It has formed a task force to check the resurgence of the protest groups, and in spite of it, the malls and shopping centres are quickly becoming the places of choice for the protesters now. China's State Office for Hong Kong and the Macao affairs office on 5 May had warned against 'stirring up of trouble again,' and called the protesters as "political virus." This statement from the mainland government came after Hong Kong's economy was reported to have declined by 8.9 per cent in the first quarter and is showing clear signs of recession. 
 
In perspective 
The return of protests comes at a time when China has just begun the social and economic recovery processes. Though Hong Kong never had a complete lockdown, strict restrictions on mass gathering were in place, and now both sides seem stronger and prepared to face each other head-on. It can be seen in the authority that the police have shown in making arrests in the early weeks of protests. 
 
Both Hong Kong and mainland China want to put a stop to the protests to revive their economies. The protesters who understand this, seem to deliberately target the commercial spaces in Hong Kong. A strong statement by China is an indication to the protesters that Beijing is likely to consider the option of stepping in and taking charge of the situation in Hong Kong before it escalates this time.  

Myanmar military declares temporary ceasefire excluding the Rakhine province
In the news
On 9 May, Myanmar's military, Tatmadaw, issued a statement announcing their call for a ceasefire from 10 May till 31 August. As stated by the Commander-in-Chief, the ceasefire will enable the people and the army to participate effectively to contain the COVID-19 pandemic. Tatmadaw has excluded the Rakhine and parts of the Chin provinces, where the Arakan Army (AA) operates. 

On 11 May, the Brotherhood Alliance - a coalition of three-membered ethnic armed organisations (EAO), of which AA is part of, has requested Tatmadaw to not exclude these provinces from the unilateral ceasefire. 
 
Issues at large
First, Tatmadaw's decision to exclude the region where the AA operates hints at their intention to continue the fight in the Rakhine. Perhaps Tatmadaw has declared the AA as a terrorist group compared to others that are being viewed as armed insurgent groups.

Second, the exclusion of a region makes the call for a ceasefire a façade and will fail. Earlier attempts like this failed; National Ceasefire Agreement and the 21st Century Panglong conferences excluded the members of the Brotherhood Alliance. They did not succeed. 

Third, the ceasefire is declared by the military and not by the government highlights the firm grip of the military. The government should have made the announcement, long before when it started implementing the precautionary measures against the spread of the pandemic. The statement from Tatmadaw reiterates where the power centre is.
  
In perspective
The conflict-torn Rakhine region needs a respite from the fight in order to prepare for the pandemic. The region lacks economic and medical facilities required to prevent the COVID-19 contagion and given the large-scale ongoing displacement, it is difficult to implement any precautionary steps to avoid the spread of the diseases. 

Leaving Rakhin out of the ceasefire means, escalation of the conflict in this region. The AA's will garner popular support in the Rakhine province and also among the other ethnic minorities. 

Politically, the above will impact the NLD in the provinces. In the 2015 elections, it won only nine seats; Arakan National party won 22. The sympathy for the AA, the continuation of violence, lack of political representation, and poor development in the region will cause the NLD to fail in the Rakhine state. 

China-Australia trade tensions escalate over import barriers on agricultural goods
In the news
The bilateral relation between Australia and China has reached a new low over two incidents of import suspension and tariffs. On 12 May, China suspended imports of red meat from four Australian abattoirs over labelling and health certificate requirements. The import suspension follows another move by China wherein it threatened to slap a dumping margin of up to 73.6 per cent and a subsidy margin of up to 6.9 per cent on barley imports from Australia. 

The Australian Prime Minister Scott Morrison has asked Beijing to address this issue based on whether it is an anti-dumping issue from the Chinese perspective. China is expected to reveal its anti-dumping investigation findings on Australian barley exports by 19 May. 
 
Issues at large
The tariffs and import suspension from China have come at a time when Australia has been pushing for a global inquiry into the origin of the COVID-19 pandemic. The retaliation by China can be understood under three issues. First, the levy of the tariff has worsened the relationship between China and Australia to the extent that besides crippling the agriculture industry, it has led to bitter tiff in their political relation amid the pandemic. The diplomatic relation has already deteriorated since China has become more aggressive in stopping the inquiry on the virus.
 
Second, China's retaliation to boycott wine and beef is interpreted by the Australian officials as an attempt to economically coerce and affect the movement of goods and people at a time when the country is facing the impacts of slow economic growth. 
 
Third, the barley export to China has reduced by half in the previous year following China's anti-dumping policy. An increase in the import tariff to 80 per cent can now completely halt agricultural trade between the two countries altogether, affecting the farmers severely.
 
In perspective
The pandemic has brought trade to a standstill, but Australia may still maintain a positive trade balance with China because of the latter's dependency on coal and iron ore. The pandemic is expected to drain the economy, and hence bilateral trade will become an integral part to revive the global economy.
 
At the same time, a prolonged tiff can affect the primary produce and consumer goods market in Australia. It will also have a huge impact on the development of the Asia Pacific region. It is also important for Australia to strengthen its position in the international forum in order to navigate between the US and China so as to maintain friendship and trade partnership, respectively.
 
Africa: the Sahel becomes the new hotspot for al Qaeda-Islamic State clashes
In the news
On 11 May, the BBC report highlighted that West Africa's Sahel is becoming the latest battleground between al Qaeda and the Islamic State group. This was based on an announcement by the IS that the group has been engaged in fierce fighting with al Qaeda in Mali and Burkina Faso. The report in al Naba has blamed the al Qaeda's Sahel affiliate, Jamaat Nusrat al-Islam wal-Muslimin (JNIM) for mobilising troops and starting the fight in the region. 
 
Issues at large
First, there has been a strong presence of both the IS and al Qaeda in the Sahel region. In the western part of North Africa that includes countries like Niger, Mali, Chad, Burkina Faso, and Mauritania, both have been fighting. The region has remained home to several Islamic terrorist groups who have killed thousands of people and displaced 50,000 villagers in the tri-border region at Lake Chad. 

Second, these groups have been fighting with each other. According to the BBC, in-fighting between these two groups has been the case in Yemen, Somali, and Syria. The IS-affiliated group called Islamic State in Greater Sahara (ISGS) has been fighting the JNIM for being moderate in spreading ideologies in the Sahel region. 

Third, the supply of arms through illegal markets and the lack of governing bodies in the semi-arid Sahel region remains the primary cause for the presence and continuation of these groups in the Sahel. The central part of the Sahel has been the strategic point for the illegal arms movement which connects the borders of Chad, Cameroon, Niger, and Nigeria. The supply of arms by the UK, the US and Saudi Arabia to fight the civil wars in Yemen and Libya have found a route through Sahel's illegal arms market into the hands of IS and Al-Qaeda. Besides, the differing governing systems in each state have left the region underdevelopment and the people in abject poverty. In the absence and failure of the governing systems, the terrorist groups like Boko-Haram, al Qaeda, and the Islamic State are filling the space to grow. In addition, the existing terror groups in the region have vowed allegiance to either al Qaeda or the Islamic State, thereby leading to a deepening presence of these terrorist organisations. 
 
In perspective 
The poorer countries, weaker governments, large Muslim demography, and oil-rich countries have accelerated the spread of these terror groups and became vulnerable to the Islamic State. The Islamic State has been searching for an alternate ground away from the Middle East after it lost a considerable amount of territories and control in the region. This transition of the Islamic State and the clashes between two terror groups in West Africa will now lead to increased violence and intra-group conflicts in the region. 

The increasing terror activities in the region had also called for international attention in 2017 when the Sahel Alliance was launched by France, Germany, and the European Union jointly with the G5 Sahel countries to coordinate the action in the fight against terrorism. With an additional clash between Islamic State and the al Qaeda affiliates, it will be a challenge for the alliance to contain the spread of violence by JNIM which will now emerge as one of the deadliest branches of al Qaeda in the region.

Also during this week…

In Kabul, militants target a maternity clinic killing mothers and babies; in Nangarhar, a suicide bomber kills 25 in a funeral. "This is not peace, nor its beginnings," says, the Afghan NSA.
Amidst the COVID-19 fight, more than 15 got killed when three militants stormed a maternity clinic run by Doctors without Borders; the dead include mothers, newly born babies, and health workers. The brutal killings included a fully pregnant mother and her unborn baby. During the same day, a suicide bomber detonated himself at a funeral, killing 24 people. 

The Taliban has denied responsibility for targeting the babies and their mothers in the Kabul attack. However, the President of Afghanistan – Ashraf Ghani has asked his security forces to resume operations. The Afghan National Security Advisor tweeted: "If the Taliban cannot control the violence, or their sponsors have now subcontracted their terror to other entities —which was one of our primary concerns from the beginning— then (there) seems little point in continuing to engage Taliban in "peace talks." He also said: "This is not peace, nor its beginnings."

The US Special Envoy, who led the dialogue with the Taliban tweeted: "The unspeakable acts of violence in Afghanistan today against mothers, babies, and unborn children as well as the attack on a funeral procession are acts of pure evil."

Border scuffles between the troops of India and China it two sectors
During the last week, Indian and Chinese security forces engaged in a heated exchange of words and body blows in two sectors in Ladakh sector in the west, and in Sikkim more than 1000 km away from each other. The exchange took place in those sectors, where the two countries are yet to demarcate the border. The first one took place along the banks of a lake – the Pangong Tso in the Ladakh region in J&K, and the second one near a mountain pass – the Naku La, in the State of Sikkim. In Ladakh, it was reported later that the Chinese helicopters and Indian fighter aircrafts flew, though without any border violation, but underlying the tensions.

The lack of border demarcation has been a cause of such exchanges in recent years. However, the differences were resolved at the local level, with the officials from both sides engaging in an immediate dialogue.

Chinese Foreign Ministry spokesman Zhao Lijian said: "Our our position is clear and consistent. Our troops there are committed to uphold peace and stability." (The Indian Express) He also said, "China and India have been staying in close communication and cooperation on prevention and control to jointly meet challenges…This serves the common interests of our two countries and two peoples. We hope India will work with China to uphold peace and tranquillity in the border regions with concrete actions."
During the last few years, there has been an intense dialogue at the highest levels between the two countries, at the same, military confrontations at the borders. Both Modi and Xi met twice in Wuhan in 2018 and Mahabalipuram in 2019; earlier, in 2017, there was an intense military standoff in Doklam, not far from Naku La, where there was a scuffle early this week.


About Authors 

Harini Madhusudan and Aparupa Bhattacherjee are PhD Scholars at the National Institute of Advanced Studies. Harini Sha and Aarathi Srinivasan are Research Interns at NIAS. 

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GP Team

World Economic Forum, Wuhan Coronavirus, China-Myanmar MoUs, and a new government in Lebanon

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2019 Review
January 2020 | CWA # 209

Boa Wang

China in 2019: 70th Anniversary, Rise of Domestic Animation and the Commercialization of 5G 

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The Middle East in 2020
January 2020 | CWA # 208

Vivek Mishra

After Soleimani assassination: Options for the US 

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The Middle East in 2020
January 2020 | CWA # 207

Sukanya Bali

Iran, Iraq and the US: Who wants what?

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Myanmar in 2020
January 2020 | CWA # 206

Aparupa Bhattacherjee

Old problems to persist with no solutions in the near term

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The Himalayan Triangle
January 2020 | CWA # 205

Aashiyana Adhikari

Indian and Chinese investments in Nepal: Managing asymmetry

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Conflict Weekly #01
January 2020 | CWA # 204

IPRI Team

Taliban's ceasefire offer, Quetta Suicide attack, Supreme court verdict on J&K, the Brus Agreement in Tripura, Nile River Agreement, Tehran Protests, Syrians meet in Berlin, and the Honduran Caravans in Mexico

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The World this Week
January 2020 | CWA # 203

GP Team

Xi Jinping in Myanmar, US-China trade deal, Putin's new amendments in Russia, Taiwan Elections and the US efforts to fund 5G alternatives

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The World this Week
January 2020 | CWA # 202

GP Team

Iran's lowkey response to the killing of Gen Soleimani, Iraq's resolution against the US troops and Iran's request to India to mediate

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The World this Week
January 2020 | CWA # 201

GP Team

US-Iran Tensions in the Middle East, 6G in China, Fires in Australia, and a New Nuclear declaration in North Korea

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GP Column: Blue Economy
January 2020 | CWA # 200

Shailesh Nayak | Director, National Institute of Advanced Studies (NIAS)

Blue Economy and India: An Introduction

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The World This Year
December 2019 | CWA # 199

Lakshmi V Menon

The Middle East in 2019: Domestic Protests, Bilateral Conflicts and Regional Tensions

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The World This Year
December 2019 | CWA # 198

Abigail Miriam Fernandez

North Africa in 2019: A year of protests, with some positive results

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The World This Year
December 2019 | CWA # 197

Sukanya Bali

Hong Kong in 2019: China's New Achilles Heel

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The World This Year
December 2019 | CWA # 196

Harini Madhusudan

The US-China Trade Dispute in 2019: Towards a thaw in 2020?

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The World This Year
December 2019 | CWA # 195

Parikshith Pradeep

The US in 2019: Trump rollsout a template for a global American retreat

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The World This Year
December 2019 | CWA # 194

Sourina Bej

Europe in 2019: Hard Brexit for the UK, Systemic Struggle for the EU

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The World This Year
December 2019 | CWA # 193

Rashmi Ramesh

Climate Change in 2019: Active Civil Society, Hesitant State

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The World this Week
December 2019 | CWA # 192

GP Team

Impeachment in the US, Brexit Vote in the UK, an Islamic Summit in Malaysia and a Death Sentence in Pakistan

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The World this Week
December 2019 | CWA # 191

GP Team

Sui Kyi at the ICJ, Boris Johnson as the new British PM, Greta Thunberg as TIME's person, and none to speak at the COP 25

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The World this Week
December 2019 | CWA # 190

GP Team

NATO at 70, Protests in Iran, COP 25 in Madrid

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The World this Week
November 2019 | CWA # 189

GP Team

Protests in Iran and Attacks in London

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The World this Week
November 2019 | CWA # 188

GP Team

Elections in Sri Lanka and Protests in Georgia, Chile & Czech

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The World this Week
November 2019 | CWA # 187

GP Team

The Crisis in Bolivia, the BRICS Summit in Brazil, and renewed violence in Israel & Hong Kong

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The World this Week
November 2019 | CWA # 186

GP Team

US-China Tariffs, Beijing's support for Carrie Lam, India's RCEP exit, Iran's nuclear enrichment, and Russia's new Arctic endeavours

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The NIAS Arctic Series
November 2019 | CWA # 185

Rashmi Ramesh

The Arctic Littorals: Iceland and Greenland

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The NIAS Arctic Series
November 2019 | CWA # 184

Harini Madhusudan

The Polar Silk Route: China's ambitious search in the Arctic

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The NIAS Arctic Series
November 2019 | CWA # 183

Parikshith Pradeep

The Scientific Imbalance: Is technology rightly being invested in the Arctic?

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The World this Week
November 2019 | CWA # 182

GP Team

Protests in Lebanon, ISIS post-Baghdadi, UK Elections, Afghan QCG meet in Moscow and human trafficking across Europe

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Middle East
November 2019 | CWA # 181

GP Team

Syria: Who wants what?

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China
November 2019 | CWA # 180

Harini Madhusudan

Violence in Hong Kong: Will the protests end?

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Europe
November 2019 | CWA # 179

Rashmi Ramesh

Is Catalonia Spain’s Hong Kong?

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United Kingdom
October 2019 | CWA # 178

Sourina Bej

As the Brexit deadline nears: Three Implications of Boris Johnson’s Election Call

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The NIAS Arctic Series
October 2019 | CWA # 177

D. Suba Chandran

Why an Arctic foray is essential for India

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The Arctic Series
October 2019 | CWA # 176

Parikshith Pradeep

Russia's Polar Military Edge

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Latin America on fire
October 2019 | CWA # 175

Nidhi Dalal

Protests rock Chile, Bolivia and Haiti

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The World this Week
October 2019 | CWA # 174

GP Team

The new Turkey-Russia axis in the Middle East, Trump Impeachment inquiry, Protests in Latin America and the Oil spill in Brazil

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The World this Week
October 2019 | CWA # 173

GP Team

Turkey's Syrian Offensive, Spain's Catalonia Crisis, a new Brexit Deal and an increasing divide in Hong Kong

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The World this Week
October 2019 | CWA # 172

GP Team

Turkey-Syria border tensions, Modi-Xi summit, Ecuador Protests and the Impeachment Inquiry against Trump

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Myanmar
October 2019 | CWA # 171

Aparupa Bhattacherjee

Will prosecuting Suu Kyi resolve the Rohingya problem?

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India and Bangladesh
October 2019 | CWA # 170

Sourina Bej

Sheikh Hasina in New Delhi: Multiple Deals, No Takeaways

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The UN Climate Action Summit 2019
October 2019 | CWA # 169

Lakshman Chakravarthy N & Rashmi Ramesh

Climate Change: Four Actors, No Action

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Review
October 2019 | CWA # 168

Sukanya Bali

Brexit: Preparing for the Worst Case

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The World this Week
October 2019 | CWA # 167

GP Team

70 years Celebrations in China, Tipping Point in Hong Kong, a Brexit Roadmap, Protests in Iraq, and Khashoggi's death anniversary

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The World this Week
September 2019 | CWA # 166

GP Team

Afghan Elections, UNGA Meetings, Climate Change Summit, Impeachment inquiry against Trump, US-Japan Trade agreement and the Brexit troubles in UK Parliament

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The World this Week
September 2019 | CWA # 165

GP Team

Elections in Israel, Violence in Afghanistan, Drone Attacks in Saudi Arabia, and the Climate Change Protests

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The World this Week
September 2019 | CWA # 164

GP Team

Netanyahu’s plan to annex West Bank, Suspension of the British Parliament, Trump’s Bolton troubles, Hong Kong's new Anthem, Conditions for Rohingya Return, Erdogan’s threat on Syrian Refugees, and the Forest Fires in Indonesia

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Science, Technology and International Relations
September 2019 | CWA # 162

Lakshman Chakravarthy N

5G: A Primer

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Climate Change
September 2019 | CWA # 161

Rashmi Ramesh

From Okjökull to OK: Death of a Glacier in Iceland

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United Kingdom
September 2019 | CWA # 160

Sukanya Bali

Challenges before Boris Johnson

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The World this Week
August 2019 | CWA # 159

GP Team

G7 Summit, Suspension of the British Parliament, Growing Warmth in Russia-Turkey relations, Italy's new Coalition and Google-Huawei differences

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The World this Week
August 2019 | CWA # 158

GP Team

Global uproar on Amazon fires, Trump's Greenland bid, EU differences over Brexit and backstop, Italy's new political crisis, the sale of US F-16s to Taiwan and a new PM in Sudan

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China
August 2019 | CWA # 157

Parikshith Pradeep

The Hong Kong Protests: Who wants what

read more
China
August 2019 | CWA # 156

Harini Madhusudan

The Hong Kong Protests: Re-defining mass mobilization

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Southeast Asia
August 2019 | CWA # 155

Aparupa Bhattacherjee

ASEAN Outlook on the Indo Pacific: Worth all the Hype?

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The World this Week
August 2019 | CWA # 154

GP Team

North Korea's New Threats, Gotabaya Rajapaksa as Presidential Candidate, Failure at the Pacific Islands Meet, UNSC on J&K, and Israel's ban on the US Congresswomen

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The World this Week
August 2019 | CWA # 153

GP Team

J&K Special Status, Afghan Violence, Beijing's Hong Kong Warning, North Korea's Cyber Theft, EU's New Satellite and Yuan Devaluation

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The World this Week
August 2019 | CWA # 152

GP Team

New US Tariffs on China, Japan-South Korea Trade Tension, Burqa Ban in the Netherlands, INF Treaty's End and North Korean Missile Tests

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The World this Week
July 2019 | CWA # 151

GP Team

New PM in UK, Iran-UK Tensions in the Gulf, Muller's Testimony, Trump-Imran Meeting, New Protests in Hong Kong and Russia-China Air Exercises

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Nepal and India
July 2019 | CWA # 150

Mahesh Bhatta

Monsoons first, Floods next and the Blame Games follow

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The World this Week
July 2019 | CWA # 149

GP Team

US ban on Myanmar Generals, Kulbhushan Yadav Verdict, Trump's Saudi Arms Deal, Sudan Power Sharing, US-Turkey tensions and Pakistan's reopening of its Airspace

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India's Northeast
July 2019 | CWA # 148

Titsala Sangtam

Counting Citizens: Manipur charts its own NRC

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G-20 Summit
July 2019 | CWA # 147

Vivek Mishra

Can Hedging be India’s Strategy?

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The World this Week
July 2019 | CWA # 146

GP Team

UAE pullout from Yemen, Doha dialogue on Afghanistan, Continuing protests in Hong Kong and S-400 Russian missiles in Turkey

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Iran, US and the Nuclear Deal
July 2019 | CWA # 145

Lakshmi V Menon

Amidst the US-Iran standoff, Saudi Arabia should be cautious

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G-20 Summit
July 2019 | CWA # 144

Seetha Lakshmi Dinesh Iyer

For Russia, it was big power projection

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G-20 Summit
July 2019 | CWA # 143

Harini Madhusudan

For China, it was trade and a temporary truce

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The World This Week
July 2019 | CWA # 142

GP Team

Trump in DMZ, Hong Kong Protests, Violence in Libya, Agreement in Sudan, Taliban's Dual Strategy and Hafiz Saeed Charged

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G-20 Summit
July 2019 | CWA # 141

Abigail Miriam Fernandez

For Japan, it was commerce and climate change

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G-20 Summit
July 2019 | CWA # 140

Sourina Bej

For the US, it was trade, tariff and talks

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The World This Week
June 2019 | CWA # 139

GP Team

G20 Summit, Pompeo's India Visit, Hong Kong Protests, US-Iran Tensions, ASEAN Summit & the Bahrain Summit on the Middle East

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Middle East
June 2019 | CWA # 138

Mahath Mangal

Iran, US and the Nuclear Deal: Will Russia remain neutral?

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Middle East
June 2019 | CWA # 137

Titsala Sangtam

Iran, US and the Nuclear deal: Europe in the middle?

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The World this Week
June 2019 | CWA # 136

GP Team

Rising US-Iran Tensions, Xi Jinping's North Korea Visit, Continuing Protests in Hong Kong, Untimely Death of Morsi and the Triple Suicide Attacks in Nigeria

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India & Sri Lanka
June 2019 | CWA # 135

Aparupa Bhattacherjee

Modi's Colombo Visit: Four issues to watch

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Global Politics
June 2019 | CWA # 134

Sourina Bej

From Moscow to Manila: Attack on Journalists, Public Protests and Culture of Impunity 

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China
June 2019 | CWA # 133

Harini Madhusudan

Thirty years after Tiananmen:  What remains in the popular memory and what doesn’t

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The World this Week
June 2019 | CWA # 132

GP Team

Attacks in Oman Gulf, Protests in Hong Kong, Military Crackdown in Sudan, Modi's Visit to Male and Colombo, Abe's Peace Mission in Iran and the SCO Summit

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The BRI Summit 2019
June 2019 | CWA # 131

Raakhavee Ramesh

Higher than the Himalayas: Pakistan and China

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The BRI Summit 2019
June 2019 | CWA # 130

Abigail Miriam Fernandez

Across the Himalayas: Nepal and China

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Global Politics
June 2019 | CWA # 129

Mahath Mangal

The Russian Resurgence: Is the US supremacy waning?

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Mass Surveillance and Individual Freedom
June 2019 | CWA # 127

Mahath Mangal

San Francisco wants to ban, Kashgar wants to expand

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Julian Assange
June 2019 | CWA # 126

Jerin George

Espionage or Investigative Journalism? 

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Russia-Japan
June 2019 | CWA # 125

Titsala Sangtam

Beyond the Kuril Island Dispute: Tensions between Moscow and Tokyo

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The World this Week
June 2019 | CWA # 124

GP Team

EU Parliament elections, Chinese VP receives Nishan-e-Pakistan, Trump-Abe summit, Mueller's new statement on Trump & Israel’s new elections

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Global Politics
May 2019 | CWA # 123

Abigail Miriam Fernandez

The Huawei Controversy: Five things you need to know

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Middle East
May 2019 | CWA # 122

Mahath Mangal

Why the world needs to look at Yemen

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India External
May 2019 | CWA # 121

Sourina Bej

Modi's Foreign Policy 2.0: A Response to C Raja Mohan

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The BRI Summit 2019
May 2019 | CWA # 120

Abigail Miriam Fernandez

The Central Asia Connector

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The BRI Summit 2019
May 2019 | CWA # 119

Harini Madhusudan

An Under-represented East Asia

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The BRI Summit 2019
May 2019 | CWA # 118

Seetha Lakshmi Dinesh Iyer

Africa Embraces the Belt and Road

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The BRI Summit 2019
May 2019 | CWA # 117

Sourina Bej

It’s Europe vs EU on China

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Africa
May 2019 | CWA # 116

Abigail Miriam Fernandez

Sudan: Between Democracy and another military rule

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The World this Week
May 2019 | CWA # 115

GP Team

American Troops to Middle East, Resignation of Theresa May, Climate Change Protests, Threats to Peace in Columbia and Post Elections Violence in Indonesia

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The World this Week
May 2019 | CWA # 114

GP Team

Diplomatic Outreaches of the US and Iran , China’s Tariff Retaliations, Tensions in the Middle East and Anti-Muslim Violence in Sri Lanka

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The World this Week
May 2019 | CWA # 113

GP Team

Gaza Violence, China-US Trade Negotiations, North Korean Missile Tests, Iran’s Partial Withdrawal and Mueller Report

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The World this Week
May 2019 | CWA # 112

GP Team

Masood Azhar Ban, Venezuela Crisis, Huawei in UK & the Sri Lankan Bombers

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The World this Week
April 2019 | CWA # 111

GP Team

Elections in Spain, BRI Summit 2.0, Kim's Russia visit and Terror attacks in Sri Lanka

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The World this Week
April 2019 | CWA # 110

GP Team

Indonesian Elections, North Korea's New Weapon Test, Trump's Yemen Veto, Venezuela Crisis and Climate Change Protests

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The World this Week
April 2019 | CWA # 109

GP Team

Coup in Sudan, Protests in Algeria & Libya, and another Brexit Extension

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Christchurch Massacre
April 2019 | CWA # 108

Seetha Lakshmi Dinesh Iyer

Responses and Inspiring Lessons

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The World this Week
April 2019 | CWA # 107

GP Team

Brexit Deadlock, Crises in Sudan & Algeria and the Elections in Maldives

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The World this Week
April 2019 | CWA # 106

GP Team

US-China Trade Talks, Mueller Report, Gaza Anniversary and Thailand Elections

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Southast Asia
March 2019 | CWA # 105

Aparupa Bhattacherjee

Thailand: Between Elections and Instability

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Global Politics
March 2019 | CWA # 104

Ryan Mitra

Malaysia, China and the BRI: The Delicate Hedging

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China
March 2019 | CWA # 103

Sourina Bej

Two Sessions in 2019: Four Takeaways

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Middle East
March 2019 | CWA # 102

Lakshmi V Menon

The End of ISIS Caliphate?

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The World This Week
March 2019 | CWA # 101

GP Team

Brexit and the EU; BRI and Italy; Muller's Report; Trump, Golan Heights and Israel; and New Zealand's response to Christchurch

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The World this Week
March 2019 | CWA # 100

GP Team

The New Zealand Massacre, The JeM discussion in the UN, The Brexit rejection, US-Taliban peace talks and Climate protests

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Trump-Kim Summit & Regional Stakes
March 2019 | CWA # 99

Harini Madhusudan

For China, its a sigh of relief

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Trump-Kim Summit & Regional Stakes
March 2019 | CWA # 98

Aparupa Bhattacherjee

For Vietnam, its a big deal

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Trump-Kim Summit & Regional Stakes
March 2019 | CWA # 97

Seetha Lakshmi Dinesh Iyer

For Japan, No Deal is Good Deal

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Trump-Kim Summit & Regional Stakes
March 2019 | CWA # 96

Sourina Bej

For South Korea, a costly disappointment

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Trump-Kim Summit
March 2019 | CWA # 94

Harini Madhusudan

No deal is better, but isn't it bad?

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Myanmar
March 2019 | CWA # 92

Aparupa Bhattacherjee

The Other Conflict in Rakhine State

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The World This Week
March 2019 | CWA # 91

GP Team

India in OIC, India-Pakistan and Trump-Kim Summit

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The World This Week
February 2019 | CWA # 90

GP Team

Doha Dialogue with the Taliban, Saudi Arabia in Asia and the Crisis in Venezuela

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The World this Week
February 2019 | CWA # 89

GP Team

US Emergency, Nord Stream-2 and Indo-Pak tensions

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West Asia
February 2019 | CWA # 88

Seetha Lakshmi Dinesh Iyer

Yemen: Will Sa'nna fall?

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China and Islam
February 2019 | CWA # 87

Harini Madhusudan

Sinicizing the Minorities

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The World this Week
February 2019 | CWA # 86

GP Team

US, South Korea and Thailand

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Middle East
February 2019 | CWA # 85

Lakshmi V Menon

The Qatar Blockade: Eighteen Months Later

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The World This Week
February 2019 | CWA # 84

GP Team

Yemen, Venezuela and US-China

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Terrorism
January 2019 | CWA # 82

Sourina Bej

Maghreb: What makes al Shahab Resilient?

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Global Politics
January 2019 | CWA # 81

Harini Madhusudan

US-China Trade War: No Clear Winners

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United States
January 2019 | CWA # 80

Abhishrut Singh

Trump’s Shutdown: Five Things to Know

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The World this Week
January 2019 | CWA # 79

GP Team

Between a Terror attack in Nairobi and a Political Disaster in UK

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United States
January 2019 | CWA # 78

Kriti

Afghanistan: Why Trump’s decision to withdraw will create more instability

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United States
January 2019 | CWA # 77

Komal Tiwary

Syria: Why Trump’s decision to withdraw is a right one but at a wrong time

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Global Politics
January 2019 | CWA # 76

Aparupa Bhattacherjee

Myanmar: Will 2019 be better for the Rohingya?

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The World this Week
January 2019 | CWA # 75

GP Team

Kim-Xi Meet, US Shutdown & US-China Trade Talks

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South Asia
January 2019 | CWA # 74

D. Suba Chandran

Bangladesh: The Burden of Electoral History

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Global Politics
January 2019 | CWA # 73

Seetha Lakshmi Dinesh Iyer

US and China: Between Confrontation and Competition

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The World this Week
January 2019 | CWA # 72

GP Team

Trump's Shutdown, Bangladesh Elections and China's Lunar Probe

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South Asia Monthly Brief (Nov 2018)
December 2018 | CWA # 71

Mahesh Bhatta | Centre for South Asian Studies, Kathmandu

Nepal

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South Asia Monthly Brief (Nov 2018)
December 2018 | CWA # 70

Nasima Khatoon | Research Associate, ISSSP, NIAS

The Maldives

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South Asia Monthly Brief (Nov 2018)
December 2018 | CWA # 69

Harini Madhusudan | Research Associate, ISSSP, NIAS

India

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South Asia Monthly Brief (Nov 2018)
December 2018 | CWA # 68

Sourina Bej | Research Associate, ISSSP, NIAS

Bangladesh

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South Asia Monthly Brief (Nov 2018)
December 2018 | CWA # 67

Seetha Lakshmi Dinesh Iyer | Research Associate, ISSSP, NIAS

Afghanistan

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East Asia
November 2018 | CWA # 66

Harini Madhusudan

China and Japan: Renewing relations at the right time

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United States
November 2018 | CWA # 65

Ryan Mitra

The INF Treaty: Towards a new Security Dilemma

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United States
November 2018 | CWA # 64

Sourina Bej

The INF Treaty: US withdraws to balance China?

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Middle East
October 2018 | CWA # 63

Harini Madhusudan

The Khashoggi Killing: Unanswered Questions

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Pakistan
October 2018 | CWA # 62

Divyabharathi E

The Economic Crisis and the Saudi Investments: What are the Fallouts?

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The Middle East
October 2018 | CWA # 61

Lakshmi V Menon

US and Israel: Trump's Deal of the Century

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South Asia
October 2018 | CWA # 60

Nasima Khatoon

The New Maldives: Advantage India?

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United States
September 2018 | CWA # 59

Harini Madhusudhan

To NAFTA or Not: Trump, Mexico and Canada

read more
Southeast Asia
September 2018 | CWA # 58

Aparupa Bhattacherjee

Malaysia’s China Moment: The Mahathir Gamble

read more
India External
September 2018 | CWA # 57

Sourina Bej

BIMSTEC: A Bay of Good Hope?

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India External
September 2018 | CWA # 56

Ryan Mitra

India between the US and Iran: The Art of Balancing Two States

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United Kingdom
September 2018 | CWA # 55

Hely Desai

Two Years of Brexit: The Reverse-Domino Effect

read more
GP Debate
September 2018 | CWA # 54

Young Scholars Debate

India, Imran Khan and Indo-Pak Relations

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United Kingdom
August 2018 | CWA # 53

Siddhatti Mehta

Does Brexit mean Brexit?

read more
China
August 2018 | CWA # 52

Oishee Majumdar

Factsheet: China’s Investments in Africa

read more
Europe-Russia
August 2018 | CWA # 51

Sourina Bej

Post Trump-Putin Summit: How significant is the Russia threat to Europe?

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Myanmar
August 2018 | CWA # 50

Aparupa Bhattacherjee

The 8888 Uprising: Thirty Years Later

read more
US-China
August 2018 | CWA # 49

Harini Madhusudhan

The Tariff War: 'Stick of Hegemony' vs Vital Interests

read more
Global Politics
July 2018 | CWA # 48

Druta Bhatt

FactSheet: Shangri La Dialogue 2018

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United States
July 2018 | CWA # 47

Rahul Arockiaraj

Immigrants as the “Other”: The Social and Economic Factors in the US

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United States
July 2018 | CWA # 46

Divyabharathi E

Is Trump-Putin Summit a setback for the US?

read more
India External
July 2018 | CWA # 45

Apoorva Sudhakar

India and Bangladesh: The Long Haul

read more
Global Politics
July 2018 | CWA # 44

Divyabharathi E

Quad as an alternative to the BRI: Three Main Challenges

read more
South Asia
July 2018 | CWA # 43

Oishee Majumdar

FactSheet: India-Bangladesh Relations

read more
United States
July 2018 | CWA # 42

D. Suba Chandran

Trump meets Putin; will it cost NATO?

read more
United States
July 2018 | CWA # 41

Sourina Bej

Trump and the NATO: One Block, Different Views

read more
United States
July 2018 | CWA # 40

Rahul Arockiaraj

Zero Tolerance on Illegal Immigration: Explaining Trump’s strategy and the American Spirit

read more
United States
June 2018 | CWA # 39

Gayan Gowramma KC

Now, the United States withdraws from the UNHRC

read more
Global Politics
June 2018 | CWA # 38

Druta Bhatt

Electoral Rise of the Right: From Trump to Brexit

read more
China
June 2018 | CWA # 37

Siddhatti Mehta

Will China be able to sustain its Dominance?

read more
South Asia
June 2018 | CWA # 36

Miti Shah

Is religion redefining nationalism?: The Case of Myanmar, India and Sri Lanka

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South Asia
June 2018 | CWA # 35

Aparupa Bhattacherjee

Myanmar: Why won't they do anything for the Rohingya?

read more
United States
June 2018 | CWA # 34

Harini Madhusudan

The Idea of an US Space Force: Strategic Calculations

read more
South Asia
June 2018 | CWA # 33

Apoorva Sudhakar

Afghan Peace: Reality or Illusion?

read more
United States
June 2018 | CWA # 32

Hely Desai

Looking beyond Trump: Is the US declining?

read more
Global Politics
June 2018 | CWA # 31

Manushi Kapadia

Is China using its soft power to become superpower?

read more
Middle East
June 2018 | CWA # 30

Lakshmi. V. Menon

Middle East: Has Russia chosen Israel over Iran?

read more
India External
June 2018 | CWA # 29

Divyabharathi E

India and Seychelles: Is the Assumption Deal a Game Changer in the Indian Ocean?

read more
Global Politics
June 2018 | CWA # 28

Miti Shah

G7: Why Trump wants Russia in?

read more
Global Politics
June 2018 | CWA # 27

Hely Desai

FactSheet: G7 Summit

read more
East Asia
June 2018 | CWA # 26

Siddhatti Mehta

The Panmunjom Declaration: “Tip of the Iceberg”

read more
Global Politics
June 2018 | CWA # 25

Druta Bhatt

Iran N-Deal and the Trans-Atlantic Divide

read more
Global Politics
June 2018 | CWA # 24

Manushi Kapadia

US and China: Towards a Trade War

read more
West Asia
June 2018 | CWA # 23

Miti Shah

Palestine: US triggers new tensions

read more
Global Politics
June 2018 | CWA # 22

Divyabharathi E

The "Indo-Pacific Command": What's in the name?

read more
Global Politics
June 2018 | CWA # 21

Harini Madhusudan

Trump’s Tariff Strategy: Targetting Adversaries and Allies

read more
East Asia
June 2018 | CWA # 20

Hely Desai

Trump-Kim Summit: Three Likely Outcomes

read more
West Asia
June 2018 | CWA # 19

Apoorva Sudhakar

The Lebanon Pawn: Will it change after elections?

read more
West Asia
June 2018 | CWA # 18

Lakshmi V Menon

Israel, the Game Changer?

read more
Global Politics
June 2018 | CWA # 17

Samreen Wani

Deciphering Turkey's External Push

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Global Politics
June 2018 | CWA # 16

Divyabharathi E

China and Russia: The New Alignments

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India External
May 2018 | CWA # 15

Ann Maria Shibu

Can India afford to lose Maldives to China?

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Global Politics
May 2018 | CWA # 14

Dhruv Ashok

Why Maldives is important to China?

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Global Politics
May 2018 | CWA # 13

Lakshmi V Menon

ISIS and the Yazidi victims: Why the World should stand up?

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Global Politics
May 2018 | CWA # 12

Harini Madhusudan

US- China Tariff Face-off : Five questions

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India External
May 2018 | CWA # 11

Jamyang Dolma

Why is Free Tibet important for India

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Global Politics
May 2018 | CWA # 10

Divyabharathi E

Arctic: The Strategic Significance

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Global Politics
May 2018 | CWA # 9

Lakshmi V Menon

Do we need the Quad?

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Global Politics
May 2018 | CWA # 8

Samreen Wani

Why Trump’s Iran exit is a big mistake?

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East Asia
May 2018 | CWA # 7

Jamyang Dolma

Inter Korean Summit: Will it work?

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India-Nepal
May 2018 | CWA # 6

Shalini E

What prevents India and Nepal from moving forward?

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India-Sri Lanka
May 2018 | CWA # 5

Dhruv Ashok

The Fishermen Issue between India and Sri Lanka

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Bangladesh
May 2018 | CWA # 4

Apoorva Sudhakar

Bangladesh's Economy: Decoding a Success Story

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Water Conflicts
May 2018 | CWA # 3

Ann Maria Shibu

Why India should not pull out of the Indus water treaty?

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India
May 2018 | CWA # 2

Samreen Wani

Andaman and Nicobar Islands: India’s underutilised asset?

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India External
May 2018 | CWA # 1

Divyabharathi E

Quad and India's Strategic Dilemma

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