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Conflict Weekly
Special Edition: 150th Issue of Conflict Weekly
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IPRI Team
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Conflict Weekly #150, 17 November 2022, Vol.3, No.33 An initiative by NIAS-IPRI and India Office of the KAS
Conflict Weekly Special Edition
In 2022, the world observed a continued decline in global stability. From great power politics to a humanitarian crisis, conflict and violence are globally on rise, pressing on what the UN has warned that peace is more under threat around the world than it has been since the second World War. The war in Ukraine and great power clashes over Taiwan and South China Sea, a humanitarian catastrophe in Afghanistan, Myanmar’s political instability, conflict in Yemen, Ethiopia’s Tigray conflict, Africa’s escalating Islamist insurgencies, escalating gang violence in Haiti and a climate emergency; the reasons behind the conflicts range from internal socio-political issues, territorial disputes, geopolitical competition, Islamist insurgencies to climate change.
The Global Conflict Tracker classifies conflicts as “worsening,” “unchanging,” and “improving.” However, there is currently not a single conflict described as “improving”. All the conflicts point either to a failed political system, quest for authority and power, social grievances and majoritarianism or opportunistic interests.
As Conflict Weekly reaches its 150th issue we present a roundup of conflicts from East Asia, Africa to Latin America and issues from science and technology, gender, to climate change.
Contents
I. OVERVIEW
The struggle to frame peace
Mallika Joseph
II. REGIONAL ROUNDUPS
China and East Asia
China’s Xinjiang issue: Global Focus and its impact on Uyghurs
Avishka Ashok
North Korean Missile Provocations and East Asia
Sandip Kumar Mishra
South and Southeast Asia
Myanmar: Resilience of the Opposition’s Armed Uprising
Bibhu Prasad Routray
Sri Lanka: Significance of Aragalaya as a unifying factor
Aparupa Bhattacherjee
Economic Crisis in Nepal: Five issues
Mahesh Bhatta
25 years of Indo-Naga ceasefire agreement: Protracted Talks, Elusive Peace
Sourina Bej
Violence in Swat: Resurgence of the TTP and failed peace negotiations
Vijay Anand Panigrahi
The Taliban and Women: History repeats itself
Abigail Miriam Fernandez
Central Asia and Africa
South Caucasia: Prospects for a Stable Peace
Athar Zafar
Conflicts in Africa: An overview and reasons behind persistence
Apoorva Sudhakar
The Wagner Group: Exploitation of conflicts and Africa’s increased dependency on Russia
Devjyoti Saha
End of Operation Barkhane: Implications for France and Sahel
Poulomi Mondal
Ethiopia-Tigray ceasefire: A complex roadmap for peace
Anu Maria Joseph
Between Ethiopia and Tigray: A War, Truce and Implications
S Shaji
Europe and the Americas
The War in Ukraine: Four implications for Latin America
Sruthi Sadhasivam
Haiti: Five issues fueling gang violence
Porkkodi Ganeshpandian
The Ukraine conflict: What it means for the Nordic
Padmashree Anandhan
III. ISSUES
Environment
Peace and Conflict in Human Wildlife Interactions
Sindhu Radhakrishna
Gender Mapping Gender: Putting Iran and Its ‘Burning’ Hijabs in Perspective
Debangana Chatterjee
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Sneha Surendran
Wildfires in Europe: Another year of devastation
Padmashree Anandhan
Return of the Heatwaves
Indrani Talukdar
Ukraine War and the International Order
Himani Pant
Germany-Russia Relations: What Next?
Ramya Balasubramanian
Russia and Europe: Understanding Moscow’s strategies
Lakshmi Parimala
Hybrid Warfare in Ukraine
Padmashree Anandhan
The War in Ukraine: Four Issues to watch in 2023
Harini Madhusudan, Rishika Yada, Sneha Surendran, Prerana P, Sreeja JS and Padmashree Anandhan
Russia: Anatomy of Wagner Revolt, and its Fallouts
Rishika Yadav | Research Assistant, National Institute of Advanced Studies, Indian Institute of Science Campus, Bangalore
Serbia: Mass shootings, protests and instability
Rishika Yadav and Nityashree RB | Research Assistant and Research Intern, National Institute of Advanced Studies, Indian Institute of Science Campus, Bangalore
Turkey’s Elections: Unravelling the Political Spectacle of 2023
Padmashree Anandhan | Research Associate National Institute of Advanced Studies, Bangalore
Belgorod drone attacks: Who, What and Why?
Indrani Talukdar
Russia's Position in the Arctic: New challenges
Rishika Yadav
Turkey’s Election: Issues, Actors and Outcomes
Padmashree Anandhan
Pentagon document leak: Russia-Ukraine Conflict From a Tactical Lens
Indrani Talukdar
Belarus’s endgame in Russia-Ukraine Conflict
Padmashree Anandhan
Russia: Drone attacks escalate the Ukraine war
Padmashree Anandhan
The UK: Conservative party put to test as worker strikes continue
Harini Madhusudan, Rishma Banerjee, Padmashree Anandhan, Ashwin Immanuel Dhanabalan, and Avishka Ashok
What next for Russia, Ukraine, Europe, South Asia & India, and China
Padmashree Anandhan and Rishma Banerjee
UNGA 77: Who said what from Europe?
Rashmi Ramesh
Ice Melt in Alps in Europe: Three impacts
Rishma Banerjee
Tracing Europe's droughts
Padmashree Anandhan
Major causes behind Europe’s continuing heatwaves
Emmanuel Selva Royan
100 days of the Ukraine war: US Responses in the war
Padmashree Anandhan
100 days of the Ukraine war: What next for Europe?
Ashwin Immanuel Dhanabalan
100 days of the Ukraine war: More loss than gain for Russia
Angelin Archana | Assistant Professor, Women’s Christian College, Chennai
China's response to the Ukraine crisis: Shaped by its relationship with Russia and EU under the US Shadow
Shreya Upadhyay | Assistant Professor, Christ (Deemed to be University), Bangalore
Transatlantic Ties in the Wake of Ukraine-Russia War
Uma Purushothaman | Assistant Professor, Central University of Kerala, Kerala
Ukraine and beyond: The US Strategies towards Russia
Debangana Chatterjee | Assistant Professor, JAIN (Deemed-to-be University), Bangalore
Lessons from Ukraine War: Effectiveness of Sanctions
Himani Pant | Research Fellow, ICWA, Delhi
Ukraine and beyond: What next for Russia and Europe?
Sourina Bej
Elections in Sweden
Padmashree Anandhan
Italy's far-right wins 2022 elections
Padmashree Anandhan
Putin’s address in the Valdai Discussion: Six takeaways
Padmashree Anandhan
Queen Elizabeth: End of an era
Padmashree Anandhan
Russia and Eastern Economic Forum 2022: A sturdy Far East
Padmashree Anandhan
Who will be the next UK prime minister: Liss Truss v. Rishi Sunak
Padmashree Anandhan
France: Uber files leak, and Macron’s trouble
Emmanuel Selva Royan
Italy: Three factors about its current political instability
Padmashree Anandhan
What does Macron's victory mean for France and the EU
Rishma Banerjee
The rise of Marine Le Pen
Sourina Bej
Four challenges ahead for President Macron
Ashwin Immanuel Dhanabalan
Lecture report: Ukraine, Russia and Europe
Joeana Cera Matthews
Into History: Northern Ireland and Bloody Sunday, 50 years later
Padmashree Anandhan
Munich Security Report: Six takeaways
Joeana Cera Matthews
Europe and Africa: An elusive search for an equal partnership
Ashwin Immanuel Dhanabalan
Femicides in Europe: The case of France
Padmashree Anandhan
Post Brexit: Three challenges in Northern Ireland
Ashwin Immanuel Dhanabalan
Lithuania and China: Vilnius has become Beijing’s Achilles heel. Four reasons why
Angelin Archana
Russia in 2021: Expanding boundaries
Joeana Cera Matthews
In Europe, abortion rights are "a privilege." Four reasons why
Padmashree Anandhan
Mapping COVID-19 protests in Europe: Who and Why
Vaishnavi Iyer
France, Algeria, and the politics over an apology
Joeana Cera Matthews
NATO-Russia relationship: Looking beyond the suspensions and expulsions
Padmashree Anandhan
Facebook's Metaverse: Why it matters to Europe
Joeana Cera Matthews
Poland, EU and PolExit. It is complicated, for three reasons
Harini Madhusudhan
Europe's Energy Crisis and Gazprom
Chetna Vinay Bhora
Europe's Energy Crisis: It could get worse. Five reasons why
Sourina Bej
France: Paris Terror Trial
Harini Madhusudan
Belarus: Weaponization of the Migrant Crisis
Joeana Cera Matthews
From Crimea to Navalny: Putin's calibrated Europe strategy
Joeana Cera Matthews
Nord Stream-2: Why is the region unhappy about the pipeline?
Sarthak Jain
Nord Stream 2 is Russia’s geopolitical victory
Keerthana Rajesh Nambiar
The EU Summit 2021: Five Takeaways
Chetna Vinay Bhora