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Conflict Weekly
A ceasefire in DRC and a report on the repatriation from Syria's detention camps
IPRI Team
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Conflict Weekly #151, 24 November 2022, Vol.3, No.34 An initiative by NIAS-IPRI and KAS-India Office
Apoorva Sudhakar and Farhan Hussain
Democratic Republic of the Congo: Despite ceasefire, peace in the east likely to remain distant
In the news
On 23 November, Angola’s foreign minister announced that regional leaders had agreed to a ceasefire in eastern Democratic Republic of the Congo, for cessation of hostilities from 25 November. The ceasefire was signed by DRC, Rwanda, Angola, Burundi and former Kenyan President Uhuru Kenyatta. The ceasefire calls on the M23 to withdraw from all the areas it controls and disarm and surrender to the Armed Forces of the Democratic Republic of the Congo (FARDC).
On 21 November, Kenyan President William Ruto met Felix Tshisekedi, President of DRC, in Kinshasa where Ruto had emphasized the East African Community’s (EAC) commitment “to do whatever it takes” to support Tshisekedi, the Congolese government, and its people in ensuring peace in the DRC. Ruto said: “It’s in our interest, collectively and individually, that we have a peaceful region.” The same day, Uganda assured that Kampala would send 1000 troops to DRC under the EAC’s regional force. Meanwhile, mediation talks between the DRC government and rebels in the country's east, scheduled for the day, were postponed.
On 19 November, the Rwanda Defence Force (RDF) killed a soldier suspected to be from the FARDC; the RDF claimed the soldier had crossed into Rwandan territory and opened fire at local forces. However, DRC maintained that no FARDC soldier was missing.
On 18 November, news agencies, referring to an EAC statement, reported that mediator and former Kenyan President Uhuru Kenyatta and Rwandan President Paul Kagame had agreed on the necessity of a ceasefire and withdrawal of the M23 from the towns they captured. Reuters quoted the deputy spokesperson of the DRC president: “It is encouraging to see Paul Kagame recognize that he can influence the M23.”
Issues at large
First, the latest violence between DRC forces and M23. Since late October, violence between the M23 and Congolese forces has escalated with the latter trying to recapture rebel-held territories in North Kivu province in the east. A UNICEF report indicates that 234,500 have fled the conflict areas and daily activities in rebel-controlled Rutshuru town have come to a standstill, except for “a few actors.”
Second, rebel groups in DRC’s east. The M23 (acronymized from March 23), formed from a mutiny within the FARDC in 2012 by former militiamen who were integrated into the army, demands the rights and representation of Congolese Tutsis. However, in 2013, the M23 rebellion was suppressed by the FARDC and UN missions. Apart from the M23, an estimated 120 militia groups who have their roots in the two Congo wars in 1994 and 1996 and those that emerged later with support from neighbouring countries, operate in the east.
Third, accusations and counter-accusations. The DRC government claims it has evidence that Rwanda supports the rebels. The government also expelled Kigali's ambassador to Kinshasa. The constant accusations instilled an anti-Rwanda sentiment among the Congolese who have been holding protests against Rwanda. Meanwhile, Rwanda has denied the allegations and has, instead, accused DRC of supporting groups operating against the government in Kigali.
Fourth, failure of previous attempts to reduce tensions. The latest development comes after talks failed in July 2022. The M23 resurfaced after a ten-year hiatus in November 2021 when it started attacking FARDC positions in North Kivu. By March 2022, the group had captured areas along DRC’s border with Uganda and Rwanda and moved further towards the provincial capital, Goma. At the time, DRC-Rwanda relations soured and in July, both countries agreed to de-escalate tensions. However, the M23 reiterated: “We are Congolese, not Rwandan. If there's a ceasefire, it can only be between us and the Congolese government."
In perspective
First, the M23 demands that the DRC government negotiates with and considers them as Congolese citizens and not link them with Rwanda. However, the government has not met this demand so far; the lack of negotiations, therefore, is likely to fortify the violence in the east. Simultaneously, the constant blame game between Kinshasa and Kigali over M23 activities could worsen the relationship between the two countries, which has been precarious since the 1990s.
Second, the involvement of the EAC commenced after DRC joined the regional trade bloc in April. With DRC’s inclusion, the EAC territory spans from the Indian Ocean to the Atlantic, and DRC offers a vast market, not just in terms of consumers but also for its resources and minerals. However, the tensions and frequent recalling of diplomats between DRC and Rwanda hinder the smooth functioning and potential growth within the EAC as the DRC connects with other EAC members such as Rwanda, Uganda, Burundi, and Tanzania.
Third, with the UN peacekeepers facing an increased backlash within DRC, the involvement of regional troops is a new option for the government and the people. The military may be able to quell the M23 as they did in 2013, however, they can neither address the insecurity stemming from other groups nor will they be able to establish peace in the region pursuing kinetic options alone.
Conflict Weekly Exclusive
Report Review
Human Rights Watch report on repatriation of women and children from Syria’s detention camps: Three takeaways
On 21 November, Human Rights Watch released the report “My Son is Just Another Kid: Experiences of Children Repatriated from Camps for ISIS Suspects and Their Families in Northeast Syria.” The report details the repatriation of foreign nationals from Syrian detention camps between February and September 2022 through interviewees, comprising caregivers, social workers, and teachers, and provides information on approximately 100 foreign children detained for being related to ISIS suspects. These children now reside in France, Germany, Sweden, the United Kingdom, the Netherlands, Kazakhstan, and Uzbekistan.
The following thakeways could be identified:
1. Apathy of the Western countries towards their nationals. The report highlights how many of these countries are critical and strongly against repatriating their citizens, who willingly joined a globally recognized terrorist organization. For instance, France, Germany, and the Netherlands started repatriating their nationals only after legal pressure. As of November 2022, the Netherlands had repatriated 18 women and 44 children, which included 12 women and 28 children repatriated on 31 October 2022 after a court order. Similarly, France was forced to start repatriating more of its nationals after the European Court of Human Rights urged it to do so. Likewise, Germany had initially declined to repatriate several women with their children, citing security concerns. However, several German courts ruled that repatriating children without their mothers would violate German laws protecting family unity; only then did Germany oblige to repatriate more of their women. The report also highlights countries such as the UK and Canada have carried out the least number of repatriations; as of October 2022, the UK had repatriated one woman and her child, while Canada, as of November 2022, had repatriated three women and four children. Meanwhile, Russia and Central Asian countries have together repatriated about 1000 children, almost twice that of all Western countries combined.
2. Successful integration of repatriated children. Most of these children have been successfully integrated or reintegrated into their respective countries of origin. When asked about how the repatriated children were adjusting in their native countries, 70 per cent of the respondents (which included parents, family members, social workers, teachers, foster parents, lawyers, psychologists and legal guardians) said, “Very Well”, 19 per cent said, “Quite Well”, and only four per cent said “Having Difficulties.” On schooling, 38 per cent of the respondents said the children were doing very well, while 35 per cent said they were doing quite well and seven per cent said the children were having difficulties. On emotional and psychological well-being, 52 per cent said the children were doing very good, while 30 per cent said quite good and only six per cent said the children were having difficulties. These data reveal that the majority of the repatriated children had no issues in settling into their new living conditions.
3. Hindrances to the transition process. Even though most children settled into their new environments, the governments of several countries hindered the transition process. The separation of children from their mothers upon repatriation and arrival in their native countries is perhaps the most detrimental action the governments subjected the repatriated children to. The report emphasised the gravity of this situation point out that children who were separated from their mothers upon repatriation wanted to go back to the detention camps in Syria if that was the only way to be with their mothers. The authorities need to take the impact of separation into consideration even as they detain the mothers and come up with novel way to address this emerging issue.
Also, from around the World
Rashmi Ramesh, Joel Jacob, Abigail Fernandez, Apoorva Sudhakar, Abigail Miriam Fernandez, Avishka Ashok, Anu Maria Joseph, Madhura Mahesh, Padmashree Anandhan, Sai Pranav, Madhura Mahesh, Sethuraman N and Bhoomika Sesharaj
East and Southeast Asia
China: Climate Change envoy calls on developed countries to contribute to “loss and damage” fund
On 20 November, China’s special envoy for climate change Xie Zhenhua addressed a conference at the 27th session of the Conference of the Parties (COP27) to the United Nations Framework Convention on Climate Change. He called on the developed countries to contribute to the Paris Agreement’s “loss and damage” fund. Xie emphasised that the developed countries were obligated to contribute to the fund once it was established to help developing countries in their battle against climate change. China also advocated for the most vulnerable countries to receive the financial support first due to the size of the fund.
China: Six staff members from Apple Daily plead guilty to foreign collusion
On 22 November, six senior staff members from Hong Kong’s now defunct pro-democracy tabloid, Apple Daily, pleaded guilty to charges of collusion with foreign forces. The maximum sentence these six people including four former senior editors and two ex-executives, could get is life in prison. Their arrests were considered to be a landmark case as the city’s national security law imposed by Beijing in 2020 was used for the first time against news organisations and their staff. They were charged with, “conspiracy to collude with foreign forces to endanger national security,” and using Apple Daily to spread content that solicited foreign sanctions against China. The six former staffers convicted were chief executive Cheung Kim-hung, associate publisher Chan Pui-man, chief editor Law Wai-kwong, executive editor Lam Man-chung and senior writers Fung Wai-kong and Yeung Ching-kee.
China: Authorities announce first COVID-19 death in almost six months
On 20 November, China announced its first new death from COVID-19 since 26 May 2022. The death of an 87-year-old Beijing man was the first death reported by the National Health Commission on 19 November, almost six months after a death was reported in Shanghai. On 19 November, National Health Commission announced that 24,215 new cases were detected in over 24 hours, most of which were asymptomatic. The overall vaccination coverage after receiving at least one dose is around 92 per cent. The figure is still significantly lower among the elderly, especially those aged 80 and over where only 65 per cent have been vaccinated. The commission did not provide information on the vaccination status of the youngest deceased.
Solomon Island: An earthquake of 7.3 magnitude in richter scale causes Tsunami alarms
On 22 November, Solomon Island was hit by an earthquake of magnitude 7.3. According to the US Geological Survey, the epicentre was found to be 19 kilometres southwest of Malango. The earthquake triggered a tsunami warning near the coast 300 kilometres within the epicentre. New Zealand’s National Emergency Management Authority said that there was no tsunami warning issued for the country and that it would be cautious of any signs of a tsunami.
Japan: SM-3 ballistic missile interceptors test in Hawaii
On 21 November, Japan conducted its first SM-3 ballistic missile test in Hawaii after North Korea’s string of rocket launches towards its eastern and western coast since September. Japan’s Maritime Self-Defence Force (JMSDF) stated that it fired SM-3 Block IIA and SM-3 Block IB from Maya and Haguro destroyers, respectively, successfully hitting the targets. The missile launched with the support of the US Navy and the US Missile Defence Agency to confirm the functioning of the ballistic missile defence (BMD). The missile launch was estimated to cost USD 780 million.
Korean Peninsula: North Korea fires an ICBM that landed near Hokkaido
On 18 November, South Korea’s Joint Chief of Staff (JCS) reported that an Intercontinental ballistic missile (ICBM) was suspected of being fired from Pyongyang. The missile launch followed North Korea’s Foreign Minister Choe Son Hui’s warning of a fiercer response if the US increases its regional influence US President Joe Biden, South Korea’s President Yoon Suk-yeol and Japan’s Prime Minister Fumio Kishida had met on the sidelines of the ASEAN summit in Cambodia; short-range ballistic missile was fired on the same day. The missile landed 200 kilometres from the west coast of Hokkaido, Japan’s northern island, in its exclusive economic zone.
Indonesia: Earthquake of magnitude 5.6 struck West java killing 162 people
On 20 November, an earthquake hit the main island of Java killing 162 people and injuring hundreds. A magnitude of 5.6 was recorded in west Java. The area where the earthquake struck is densely populated and prone to landslides with poorly built houses, making the casualty rates high. The government stated that more than 13,000 people were displaced and 2200 homes were damaged. The tremor and the resultant waves were felt in Jakarta which is 100 kilometres away.
Philippines: Tensions over rocket debris with China in South China Sea
On 21 November, Chinese vessels blocked the Philippines naval boat twice before taking the debris from Thittu island, owned by the Philippines. The debris was described as metallic pieces that originated from a recent Chinese rocket launch. The Chinese spokesperson denied the confrontation news and said both countries had friendly negotiations over the debris taking. He said the Philippines government has handed over the debris to China and settled the issue without disclosing any further statements regarding the same.
South Asia
Pakistan: Transgender community demand equal rights at first ‘Moorat March’ in Karachi
On 20 November, members of the transgender community and activists gathered for the ‘Sindh Moorat March 2022’ at Karachi’s Frere Hall. The march is believed to be the first of its kind, campaigning for equal rights and raising awareness of discrimination against the transgender community. The Sindh Moorat March had 12 main demands including the criminalisation of transphobic hate speech and its implementation, the demand for a 0.2 per cent quota for transpersons for employment and education institutions and protections of the Transgender Persons Protection of Rights Act 2018 “in its original form” and pass the bill among other demands. Meanwhile, the Human Rights Commission of Pakistan’s Regional Coordinator who was present at the march said: “We are also fighting for this for them and they have reached this stage to demand their rights with a lot of struggle. They have even sacrificed their lives.”
Pakistan: Protests stage demonstration on the highway leading to Gwadar Port
On 20 November, demonstrators blocked a highway leading to the Gwadar port in protests against the government failing to fulfil their demands before the 20 November deadline. The demonstrators included fishermen, students and labourers led by Gwadar Haq Do Tehreek’s chief Maulana Hidayatur Rahman. They demanded the curbing of illegal fishing by trawlers in Balochistan’s maritime boundary, maximum concessions in border trade with Iran, and ending narcotics in the area. The protests have entered their 25th day after a series of sit-ins. The protests began on 27 October as demonstrators accused the governments of retracting their promises to cater to their demands.
Afghanistan: 46 per cent of the USD two billion request has been pledged by donors, says UNICEF
On 20 November, Tolo News reported that the United Nations International Children’s Emergency Fund (UNICEF) said that in its appeal for USD two billion for Afghanistan’s humanitarian operations in 2022, around 46 per cent has been pledged by donor countries for the fund. UNICEF in a report raised concerns over the humanitarian, climate and economic challenges in Afghanistan stating: “24.4 million people in need of humanitarian assistance. 13.1 million children in need of humanitarian assistance. 1.1 million severely acutely malnourished children under the age of five years expected to need SAM treatment.”
Nepal: Increased inflation and unemployment pushing Nepali youth to look for foreign jobs
On 21 November, the Kathmandu Post reported that a large number of people are leaving Nepal for foreign jobs and are “desperate” to flee the country due to financial restraints and growing inflation rates. It said that the fiscal year 2021-2022 saw nearly two thousand people leaving Nepal for foreign employment every day, with 76,000 labour permits being issued from August to September. The rising rates of unemployment and inflation have left the country in a stalemate, wherein the Nepal Rastra Bank reports a price rise of 8.4 per cent in September from 3.49 per cent in the previous year.
Bangladesh: Inmates convicted for the killing of a writer flee the city
On 21 November, Bangladesh’s Home Minister, Asaduzzaman Khan said that two men on death row in Dhaka for the killings of an author and his publisher escaped in transit to the hearing in the city. He mentioned that the men were “thought” to be supporters of the Ansarullah Bangla Team, and asked the officials to issue a red alert at the city’s borders. The prisoners were among those convicted for the murders of the Bangladeshi-American writer, Avijit Roy and his publisher, and were “escorted” by men on motorcycles who attacked the police officers bringing them to the court. The police said that an investigation to identify the men is underway.
Sri Lanka: CID arrests a broker regarding sex trafficking to Oman
On 19 November, a 40-year-old man was arrested upon his return from Dubai as the main suspect in trafficking Sri Lankan women to Oman. Sri Lanka’s Criminal Investigations Department revealed that traffickers took the women on visit visas and auctioned them to the highest bidder for sex. It also revealed that an officer at the Safe House operated by the Sri Lankan Embassy in Oman was also sexually abusing Sri Lankan women. Sri Lanka’s Prime Minister, Dinesh Gunawardena, said that strict actions will be taken against anyone who is involved in this case. The suspect arrested was a middleman in a human trafficking ring and the leader is at large. The Sri Lankan embassy has rescued 90 women and arrested five people
Central Asia, Middle East, and Africa
Kyrgyzstan-Uzbekistan: Parliaments ratify border deal amid protests
On 18 November, the Uzbek Senate approved agreements with Kyrgyzstan on border demarcation and jointly managing the Kempir-Abad water reservoir. Kyrgyzstan’s parliament also ratified the border agreements amid protests over the deal. Previously, the two foreign ministers had signed an agreement in which Kyrgyzstan would officially cede the 4,485 hectares containing the Kempir-Abad reservoir, in exchange for over 19,000 hectares located elsewhere and the joint management of the reservoir. This deal has been met with criticism over the land swap as activists in Kyrgyzstan claimed that Uzbekistan could continue using the dam’s water, but the reservoir’s land should remain within their border. However, the government has assured the people that the reservoir would be jointly managed.
Azerbaijan-Armenia: Baku, Yerevan accuse each other of cross-border shelling; Nagorno-Karabakh’s de facto leadership open to mediated talks
On 21 November, Armenia’s Defense Ministry claimed that Azerbaijan’s armed forces fired shots in their positions located along the eastern part of the shared border. On the same day, Azerbaijan’s Defense Minister accused Armenia of shelling in the direction of Astaf village of Dashkesan District and Kokhanabi of Tovuz District, both located in the eastern part of the shared border. Meanwhile, the de facto leadership of ethnic Armenians in Nagorno-Karabakh stated that it was ready to negotiate with Azerbaijan under an international format with the participation of mediators. This statement came in response to Azerbaijani President Ilham Aliyev’s statement that Baku was ready to talk to Armenians living in Nagorno-Karabakh, considering the issue as an internal affair. In response, the official said: “What Aliyev suggests is nothing but an ultimate surrender for us in which an aboriginal group who have realized their 'guilt' will show repentance and beg Mother Azerbaijan to forgive them and allow them to live in the Azerbaijani land.”
Syria: Air strikes by Turkey and Israel
On 20 November, the Turkish defence ministry said that it launched air strikes in Syria’s northern regions controlled by Kurdish forces. The strikes targeted the Kurdistan’s Workers’ Party (PKK) and Syrian People’s Protection Units (YPG). Turkey accuses PKK for the recent bomb blast in Istanbul. The defence ministry justified the strikes claiming the right to self-defence under article 51 of the UN Charter. On 19 November, Israel launched air strikes on Syria, targeting military posts in central and coastal Syria. The Syrian Observatory for Human Rights said that the attacks aimed at the pro-Iranian groups in Homs and Hama provinces in Syria, and also targeted an air defence battery in Latakia province.
Iran: Armed forces attack Iraqi Kurdish region
On 21 November, Iran’s armed forces, the Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps (IRGC), attacked northern Iraq’s Kurdish regions, targeting positions held by Komala and Democratic Party of Iranian Kurdistan. Iraq considers these groups as “terrorist” organizations and hold them responsible for the anti-government protests in Iran, following Mahsa Amini’s death in custody. US Central Command (US CENTCOM) condemned the attacks and said that such actions “jeopardize the hard-fought security and stability of Iraq and the Middle East”.
Burkina Faso: French embassy requests protection after violent protests
On 21 November, the French embassy requested the Burkinabe government for increased protection after violent anti-French protests on 18 November. The protests, held in front of the French embassy and military base, demanded the exit of French soldiers. A French embassy letter said: "The events suffered in October and November are susceptible to be repeated in the coming days, if nothing is done." Burkina Faso's chief of staff of the national gendarmerie said that the security officers outside the embassy were not equipped to handle the protest and that they waited for several hours for orders from authorities for reinforcement.
Nigeria: At least 130 people kidnapped by gunmen
On 22 November, BBC reported that at least 130 people were kidnapped by gunmen in Nigeria's north-western state of Zamfara. The state's information commissioner said that the gunmen on motorcycles raided two regions and abducted women, children and the elderly. He added that the gunmen were using the victims as "human shields" after "heavy bombardments" targeting their hideouts. However, separate reports said that the people abducted were farm workers who were working during the harvest season.
Mali: French-supported NGOs ordered to cease activities
On 21 November, the military government ordered non-governmental organisations, supported or funded by France, to stop their activities with immediate effect. The development comes a week after France halted development aid to Mali. The Malian government said the French move “intended to deceive and manipulate” public opinion for “destabilizing and isolating Mali.” The government also said that the French assistance was “dehumanizing aid used as a means of blackmailing rulers and actively supporting terrorist groups operating on Malian soil.”
Europe and the Americas
France and UK: Migrant patrol deal to reduce illegal migration in the English Channel
On 14 November, French Interior Minister Gerald Darmanin and UK’s Interior Minister Sella Braverman signed an agreement to tackle illegal migration across the English Channel. The agreement says that the UK will pay France EUR 72.2 million to increase the number of security personnel at the northern beaches by 40 per cent or approximately 350 personnel. It also underlines the use of human and technological resources for better efficiency in monitoring, detecting and intercepting boats on the French coasts. Additionally, the deal provides for the collection and implementation of information gathered from the migrants to take down smuggling networks and deter crossings.
Finland: Ministry adopts resolution to renew counter-terrorism strategy
On 17 November, Finland’s Ministry of the Interior adopted a resolution on the National Counter-Terrorism Strategy for 2022–2025, reinforcing the existing cooperation model. According to the Finnish Security and Intelligence Service’s assessment, Finland position stands unchanged since 2017, at the “Second level, or ‘elevated’, on the four-tier scale.” The Strategy outlines Finland’s counter terrorism activities, where it aims at global cooperation and within the EU. It involves “prevention of the violent radicalisation,” committed to NATO’s frame work in counter terrorism, and extremism.
Russia-Ukraine: Missile strikes target Zaporizhzhia nuclear plant
On 19 November, TASS reported that Ukraine attacked the Zaporizhzhia Nuclear Power Plant for the first time since September. Twelve missile strikes, reported inside the powerplant, targeting the cooling system, spent nuclear fuel storage and checkpoint two. No casualties were reported. However, shelling resulting in nuclear contamination was forewarned. Director General of IAEA Rafael Mariano Grossi terming the strikes, "powerful explosions," confirmed that it did not provoke threat to the nuclear security.
Mexico: Over 16,000 migrants detained over the past four days
On 21 November, Mexico’s National Institute of Migration (INM) reported that nearly 16,096 migrants were detained in four days by Mexican authorities. Migrants from 46 countries were detained in 22 states from 17 November to 20 November amid an influx of migrants after a US Court ruling on the Title 24 policy. Most migrants were from Central and South America with 4,986 Venezuelans, 2,987 Guatemalans, 1,385 Nicaraguans, 1,311 Hondurans, and 1,285 Ecuadorians.
Columbia: First round of peace negotiations begins with ELN
On 21 November, the Colombian government held the first round of peace negotiations with the rebel group National Liberation Army (ELN) to bring an end to a six-decade war. The two parties met in Caracas, Venezuela where both expressed the need for peace for the growth of Columbia. The negotiations will continue in Cuba and Norway to end the decades-long conflict. The ELN and criminal gangs in Columbia are engaging in a 60-year conflict which has killed 450,00 people and left many more injured.
Haiti: Canada issues fresh sanctions targeting financiers of gang violence
On 20 November, Canada sanctioned Haiti’s former President Michel Martelly and former Prime Ministers Laurent Lamothe and Jean Henry Ceant. Canadian Prime Minister Justin Trudeau stated: "These latest sanctions target a former president of Haiti and two former prime ministers of Haiti suspected of protecting and enabling the illegal activities of armed criminal gangs." Lamothe called the sanctions “absurd” and added that he has been an advocate for foreign intervention to help counter the gangs.
Ecuador: 10 killed in Quito prison due to prison violence
On 19 November, 10 people were killed in the Quito prison as violence broke out after the transfer of two gang leaders. The two gang leaders ‘Bermudez’ from the Los Lobos gang and ‘Anchundia’ from the R7 gang, the alleged perpetrators of recent prison violence in Quito and Santo Domingo respectively, were moved to a high-security prison. The transfer is a part of the Ecuadorian government’s strategy to combat growing gang violence in prisons.
Cuba: Migrant boat capsized near Florida coast
On 20 November, US Coast Guard rescued nine migrants from a boat that capsized off Florida’s Little Torch Key. The boat which set off with 19 migrants from Cuba capsized due to strong winds and survivors reported that four people had drowned immediately. The US Coast Guard has recovered one body and has launched search parties for others.
About the authors
Rashmi Ramesh is a Doctoral Scholar at the School of Conflict and Security Studies, NIAS. Abigail Miriam Fernandez, Apoorva Sudhakar, Avishka Ashok and Padmashree Anandhan are Project Associates at the School of Conflict and Security Studies, NIAS. Anu Maria Joseph, Joel Jacob, and Sai Pranav are Research Assistants at NIAS. Madhura Mahesh, Bhoomika Sesharaj, Sethuraman N, and Farhan Hussain are Research Interns at NIAS.
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Protests in Pakistan Occupied Kashmir: What and Why?
Dhriti Mukherjee
9 May Violence: One Event, Different Actors, Multiple Outlooks
D Suba Chandran
The Fog of 9 May: One year after the anti-Establishment violence
Rohini Reenum
Pakistan and Wheat: From a Crisis to a Scandal
NIAS South Asia Team
South Asia This Week (21 Apr- 27 Apr 2024)
NIAS South Asia Team
South Asia This Week (14 Apr -20 Apr 2024)
Devi Chandana M
Seychelles-India Relations: Five Areas of Partnership
D Suba Chandran
Karachi: Seven Shades of Violence
Rohini Reenum
Recurrent floods in Pakistan: What and Why
Dhriti Mukherjee
Pakistan's Position on the War in Gaza
Dhriti Mukherjee
Pakistan's narrow tax base: Failures so far, challenges ahead
Sayeka Ghosh
26 April 1986: Chernobyl nuclear accident
Dhriti Mukherjee
Profile: Street Crimes in Karachi
Femy Francis
Germany and China: It’s the economy, stupid
Arya Prasad
Elections in South Korea: Six Takeaways
Alka Bala
25 Years of Euro: What lies ahead?
GP Team
75 Years of NATO
NIAS South Asia Team
South Asia This Week (25 Mar- 01 Apr 2024)
Devi Chandana M
Rise in China’s Marriages
Padmashree Anandhan
Ireland: Four reasons why Prime Minister Leo Varadkar resigned
GP Team
Elections in Senegal
NIAS Africa Team
Africa This Week (16-22 March)
T C A Raghavan
March 1739: Nadir Shah invades Delhi
Karthik Manoharan
17 March 1992: The end of Apartheid in South Africa
Rosemary Kurian
18 March 2014: Russia annexes Crimea
NIAS Africa Team
Africa This Week
IPRI Team
Continuing Kidnappings in Nigeria
Sivasubramanian K
09 March 1776: Adam Smith publishes “The Wealth of Nations”
NIAS South Asia Team
South Asia This Week (2-9 Mar 2024)
NIAS South Asia Team
South Asia This Week (26 Feb-02 Mar 2024)
NIAS Africa Team
Africa This Week (1 March-7 March)
NIAS Africa Team
Africa This Week (24 February-29 February)
Asanga Abeyagoonasekera
Sri Lanka: The rise of ultra-nationalism and elections
IPRI Team
The Battle for Avdiivka in Ukraine
NIAS South Asia Team
South Asia This Week (11-17 Feb 2024)
NIAS Africa Team
Africa This Week
IPRI Team
Israel's Military Campaign in Rafah
NIAS Latin America Team
Latin America This Week (3-10 Feb 2024)
NIAS South Asia Team
South Asia This Week (3-10 Feb 2024)
NIAS Africa Team
Africa This Week (3-10 Feb 2024)
IPRI Team
Protests in Senegal
Jerry Franklin A
Africa Cup of Nations (AFCON): Five Questions
Padmashree Anandhan, Femy Francis, Rohini Reenum, Akriti Sharma, Akhil Ajith, Shamini Velayutham and Anu Maria Joseph
Expert Interview: Russia in the International Order
Bibhu Prasad Routray
Myanmar: Ethnic Armed Organizations, China’s Mediation and Continuing Fighting
Narmatha S and Anu Maria Jospeh
Ethiopia-Somalia tensions over Somaliland | Explained
CEAP Team
Taiwan elections
GP Team
Taiwan Election 2024
Femy Francis
Taiwan Election 2024: The return of DPP
IPRI Team
The War in Ukraine and Gaza
CEAP Team
NIAS- CEAP- China Reader | Daily Briefs
Padmashree Anandhan
The War in Ukraine: Drones, missiles and counterattacks
Anu Maria Joseph
Ethiopia and Sudan: Governance in deadlock
Hoimi Mukherjee | Hoimi Mukherjee is an Assistant Professor at the Department of Political Science in Bankura Zilla Saradamani Mahila Mahavidyapith.
Chile in 2023: Crises of Constitutionality
Richa Chandola | Richa Chandola is an independent scholar.
Peru in 2023: Political Tensions, Civil Unrest, and Governance Issues
Aprajita Kashyap | Aprajita Kashyap is a faculty of Latin American Studies, School of International Studies at the Jawaharlal Nehru University New Delhi.
Haiti in 2023: The Humanitarian Crisis
Shreya Pandey | Shreya Pandey is an Assistant Professor at the Department of Political Science, Xavier’s College, Ranchi. Her research interests include EU-India relations, and current trends in international relations.
Russian Invasion on Ukraine: An assessment of its impact upon unity, economy and enlargement of the EU
Binod Khanal | Binod Khanal is a Doctoral candidate at the Centre for European Studies, School of International Studies, JNU, New Delhi.
The Baltic: Energy, Russia, NATO and China
Rishika Yadav | Rishika Yadav is a Research Assistant at NIAS.
Finland in 2023: Challenges at Russia's border
Padmashree Anandhan | Padmashree Anandhan is a Research Associate at the School of Conflict and Security Studies, National Institute of Advanced Studies, Bangaluru.
Germany in 2023: Defence, Economy and Energy Triangle
Anu Maria Joseph | Anu Maria Joseph is a Research Assistant at NIAS.
Ethiopia and Sudan in 2023: Governance in deadlock
Nuha Aamina | Nuha Aamina is an undergraduate student at the Department of International Relations, Peace and Public Policy, St Joseph's University.
Thailand: Economic stability despite political instability
Alka Bala | Alka Bala is an undergraduate student at the Department of International Relations, Peace and Public Policy, St Joseph's University.
Myanmar in 2023: Extended Emergency, Political Instability and State-led violence
Sayani Rana | Sayani Rana is an undergraduate student at the Department of International Relations, Peace, and Public Policy, St Joseph's University, Bangalore.
Australia in 2023: Challenges of Economy, Employment and Immigration
Ashok Alex Luke | Ashok Alex Luke is an Assistant Professor at the Department of Political Science at CMS College, Kottayam.
China and South Asia in 2023: Advantage Beijing?
Annem Naga Bindhu Madhuri | Annem Naga Bindhu Madhuri is a postgraduate student at the Department of Defence and Strategic Studies at the University of Madras, Chennai.
China and East Asia
Femy Francis | Femy Francis is a Research Assistant at the National Institute of Advanced Studies.
China in 2023: Cracks in the Great Wall
Amit Gupta | Dr Amit Gupta is an international security and economics analyst based in the USA
The US: The Year of Living Dangerously?
Kuri Sravan Kumar | Kuri Sravan Kumar is a PhD scholar at the Department of East Asian Studies, University of Delhi.
North Korea in 2023: Military buildups and Close Connections with Russia
Yogeshwari S | Yogeswari S is a postgraduate student at the Department of Defence and Strategic Studies at the University of Madras, Chennai.
South Korea in 2023: Addressing Climate Change and the Global Supply Chains
Abhishek Ranjan | Abhishek Ranjan is a PhD student at the Korean Studies, Centre for East Asian Studies, Jawaharlal Nehru University, New Delhi.
East Asia in 2023: Big Power Politics and New Defence Strategies
IPRI Team
Special Edition: Conflicts in 2023
NIAS Africa Team
NIAS Africa Weekly #92&93 | COP 28 and Africa
Nithyashree RB
COP28 and Africa: Priorities and Initiatives
NIAS Africa Team
NIAS Africa Weekly #91 | Failed coup in Sierra Leone
Anu Maria Joseph
Sierra Leone: A failed coup
GP Team
Henry Kissinger: A profile
NIAS Africa Team
NIAS Africa Weekly #90 | Floods in East Africa
Jerry Franklin A
Floods in East Africa
NIAS Africa Team
NIAS Africa Weekly #89 | Africa’s debate on colonial reparations
Sneha Surendran
Africa’s debate on colonial reparations
NIAS Africa Team
NIAS Africa Weekly #87&88 | Elusive Ceasefires in Sudan
Anu Maria Joseph
Sudan’s ceasefires remain elusive: Four reasons why
GP Team
UK’s AI Summit
Femy Francis
Ten years of BRI: Xi and the Beijing Summit
Femy Francis
The return of the South China Sea
Femy Francis
BRICS Summit poised as the Champion of Global South
Femy Francis
Japan-Australia's Reciprocal Access Agreement
CR Team | Avishka Ashok
China: Palestine Authority President Mahmoud Abbas’ visit emphasizes hope for statehood
NIAS Africa Team
NIAS Africa Weekly #85&86 | Niger-France ties and Liberia elections
Nithyashree RB
Liberia elections: Explained
Jerry Franklin
France's increasing unpopularity in Niger
PR Team
The Snow Leopards of Pakistan
Padmashree Anandhan
Poland elections 2023: Reasons behind the shift
Padmashree Anandhan
Ukraine: The failure of the Black Sea Grain Initiative
Annem Naga Bindhu Madhuri
Issues for Europe
Yogeswari S | CSIS
Poland’s engagement
Prof Joyati Bhattacharya
G20 Summit: India the Global Host
Anu Maria Joseph
Africa in the Indian Ocean region: Explained
Dhriti Mukherjee
Pakistan grapples with soaring electricity bills and free riders
Shamini Velayutham
Pakistan: Recent spike in Polio cases
Dhriti Mukherjee
Pakistan’s power predicament: Soaring bills and public discontent
Ankit Singh
Pakistan’s Economy: Three questions
Sneha Surendran
From Cargo to Canvas: The vibrant world of Pakistani Truck Art
Anu Maria Joseph
Taiwan in Africa: The Last Ally and the Lost Allies
Feben Itty | CSIS
NATO’s Challenge
Genesy B | abcnews
Russia’s Endgame
Sreeja JS
Ukraine’s Strategies and Endgame
NIAS Africa Team
Africa Weekly #79 | Africa Climate Summit
Sneha Surendran
Africa Climate Summit: Rising new leadership in climate action
Nithyashree RB
Coup in Gabon: Three questions
NIAS Africa Team
Africa Weekly #78 | Coup in Gabon
Sneha Surendran
Wildfires in Europe: Another year of devastation
Rishika Yadav
Floods in Europe: Impacts, and issues
Padmashree Anandhan
Return of the Heatwaves
Jerry Franklin A
A profile on Ethiopia's Oromo ethnic group
Sneha Surendran
A profile on Ethiopia’s Somali ethnic group
Nithyashree RB
A profile on Ethiopia’s Afar ethnic group
Anu Maria Joseph
Ethiopia’s Amhara problem
Jerry Franklin A
ECOWAS and Niger remain at an impasse, causing a prolonged standoff
Lakshmi Parimala H
Mural, Movie and the Map: Akhand Bharat mural and Adipurush
Rishika Yadav
The High Seas Treaty
Indrani Talukdar
Ukraine War and the International Order
Jerry Franklin A
Coup in Niger: Manifold national, regional and international stances
Sneha Surendran
Senegal's political crisis: Four questions
NIAS Africa Team
Africa Weekly #73&74 | Coup in Niger and Senegal’s political crisis
Himani Pant
Germany-Russia Relations: What Next?
D. Suba Chandran
Que Sara Sara: Pakistan, Two Months After 09 May
Sneha Surendran
Pakistan’s e-Sport Industry: A Profile
Ramya Balasubramanian
Russia and Europe: Understanding Moscow’s strategies
Bibhu Prasad Routray
Return of Violence in Manipur
Nithyashree RB
The UN in Africa: MINUSMA has failed. So did Mali
Bibhu Prasad Routray
Myanmar continues to burn
Anu Maria Joseph
The Wagner Group in Africa: Fallouts of the failed revolt in Russia
NIAS Africa Team
Africa Weekly #69-71 | The Wagner Group in Africa
Lakshmi Parimala
Hybrid Warfare in Ukraine
Padmashree Anandhan
Rise and fall of the Wagner Revolt: Four Takeaways
Sneha Surendran
The Wagner Revolt: A profile of Yevgeny Prigozhin
Padmashree Anandhan
The War in Ukraine: Four Issues to watch in 2023
Rishika Yadav, Sneha Surendran, Sandra D Costa, Ryan Marcus, Prerana P and Nithyashree RB
Global Gender Gap Report 2023: Regional Takeaways
Harini Madhusudan, Rishika Yada, Sneha Surendran, Prerana P, Sreeja JS and Padmashree Anandhan
Russia: Anatomy of Wagner Revolt, and its Fallouts
Anu Maria Joseph
Resurging insurgency in Uganda and insecurity in East Africa
Jerry Franklin
Eritrea: Back to the IGAD after 16 years
Bibhu Prasad Routray
India: Violence continues in Manipur
Jerry Franklin
Tunisia: A Political Profile
Jerry Franklin
Cameroon’s Anglophone Crisis: Reasons for its continuation
Anu Maria Joseph
Ceasefires in Sudan: An uneasy trajectory
Rishika Yadav, Sreeja JS, Nithyashree RB, and Melvin George | Rishika Yadav is a Research Assistant in NIAS Europe Studies at NIAS. Nithyashree RB, Sreeja JS, and Melvin George are Research Interns in NIAS Europe Studies at NIAS.
The Battle for Bakhmut: Significance, Objectives, Course, and What Next
Nithyashree RB
Poland approves Russian Influence Law: Three Implications
Rishika Yadav | Research Assistant, National Institute of Advanced Studies, Indian Institute of Science Campus, Bangalore
Serbia: Mass shootings, protests and instability
Rishika Yadav and Nityashree RB | Research Assistant and Research Intern, National Institute of Advanced Studies, Indian Institute of Science Campus, Bangalore
Turkey’s Elections: Unravelling the Political Spectacle of 2023
Padmashree Anandhan | Research Associate National Institute of Advanced Studies, Bangalore
Belgorod drone attacks: Who, What and Why?
NIAS Africa Team
In Focus | Japan in Africa
Devjyoti Saha
Japan in Africa: Renewed Efforts to Revitalise Relations
Indrani Talukdar
Russia's Position in the Arctic: New challenges
Lakshmi Parimala H
Bhutan's Gross National Happiness
Amit Gupta
The Trump Phenomenon: Why it Won’t Go
Rishika Yadav
Turkey’s Election: Issues, Actors and Outcomes
IPRI Team
The Armenia-Azerbaijan Stalemate
NIAS Africa Team
Droughts in East Africa: A climate disaster
NIAS Africa Team
Sudan: Intensifying political rivalry and expanding violence
NIAS Africa Team
Expanding Russia-South Africa relations
Padmashree Anandhan
Pentagon document leak: Russia-Ukraine Conflict From a Tactical Lens
NIAS Africa Team
IN FOCUS | Tunisia: The question of undocumented migrants
Indrani Talukdar
Belarus’s endgame in Russia-Ukraine Conflict
Padmashree Anandhan
Russia: Drone attacks escalate the Ukraine war
Padmashree Anandhan
The UK: Conservative party put to test as worker strikes continue
Bhoomika Sesharaj
PR Explains: Pakistan’s power outage
Abigail Miriam Fernandez
Pakistan’s Blue Helmets: A long-standing contribution
D Suba Chandran
Karachi: The race and new alignments for the Mayor
NIAS Africa Team
IN FOCUS | Macron’s visit to Africa: Three Takeaways
NIAS Africa Team
IN FOCUS | Nigeria elections: Ruling party wins; What is ahead?
NIAS Africa Team
IN FOCUS | M23 atrocities in DRC and upcoming Nigeria elections
NIAS Africa Team
Africa in 2023: Elections and conflicts
IPRI Team
The continuing crisis in Israel
NIAS Africa Team
IN FOCUS | Chinese Foreign Minister's visit to Africa
IPRI Team
Protests in Spain, Sweden and Israel
Avishka Ashok
China: A complicated economic recovery
Padmashree Anandhan
Europe: An impending energy crisis and its economic fallouts
Ankit Singh
Defence: Towards a new cold war
Riya Itisha Ekka
Brazil: Managing Bolsonaro’s legacy
Apoorva Sudhakar
Africa: Despite the elections, democratic backslide will continue
Abigail Miriam Fernandez
Pakistan in 2023: Between elections, economic turmoil and climate crisis
Sethuraman Nadarajan
Sri Lanka in 2023: A troubling economy and an unstable polity
Avishka Ashok
Chinese Foreign Minister's visit to Africa
NIAS Africa Team
IN FOCUS | Bamako’s pardon of Ivorian soldiers
NIAS Africa Team
IN FOCUS | The relapse of ANC
Allen Joe Mathew, Sayani Rana, Joel Jacob
Newsmakers: From Putin to Rushdie
Sethuraman Nadarajan
Rest in Peace; Queen Elizabeth. Mikhail Gorbachev, Pelé...
Ankit Singh
Global economy in 2022: The year of cooling down
Bhoomika Sesharaj
Digital world: Elon Musk and the Twitter Chaos
Madhura Mahesh
The FTX Collapse: Depleting cryptocurrencies
Harini Madhusudan
The Space race: Scaling new technological feats
Avishka Ashok
G20: More challenges
Akriti Sharma
COP27: Hits and Misses
Padmashree Anandhan
The Ukraine War
Poulomi Mondal
French Exit from Mali: More questions than answers
Mohaimeen Khan
Yemen, Syria, and Sudan: Continuing humanitarian crises
Padmashree Anandhan
NATO and the Madrid Summit: Expanding defence frontiers
Padmashree Anandhan
Elections in France, Sweden, and Italy: The rise of the right
Janardhan G
North Korea: Missile Tests Galore
Avishka Ashok
The Taiwan Strait: Political and military assertions
Anu Maria Joseph
Ethiopia: Uncertainties despite ceasefire
Apoorva Sudhakar
Tunisia: The end of the Jasmine Revolution
Rashmi BR
Iraq: Deadlock and breakthrough
Kaviyadharshini A
Iran: Anti-government protests
Chrishari de Alwis Gunasekare
Sri Lanka: Political and Economic Crises
Aparupa Bhattacherjee
Myanmar: The coup and after
NIAS Africa Team
The US-Africa Leaders Summit
IPRI Team
Workers strike in the UK
NIAS Africa Team
IN FOCUS | End of Operation Barkhane
NIAS Africa Team
IN FOCUS | The ceasefire in Ethiopia
IPRI Team
Drone attacks in Russia
Vignesh Ram | Assistant Professor | Manipal Academy of Higher Education, Manipal
Malaysia’s recent Elections: More questions than answers
Vignesh Ram
Anwar Ibrahim: Malaysia's new Prime Minister
Harini Madhusudan, Rishma Banerjee, Padmashree Anandhan, Ashwin Immanuel Dhanabalan, and Avishka Ashok
What next for Russia, Ukraine, Europe, South Asia & India, and China
Padmashree Anandhan and Rishma Banerjee
UNGA 77: Who said what from Europe?
Rashmi BR and Akriti Sharma
COP27: Ten key takeaways
Rashmi Ramesh
Ice Melt in Alps in Europe: Three impacts
Rishma Banerjee
Tracing Europe's droughts
Padmashree Anandhan
Major causes behind Europe’s continuing heatwaves
Emmanuel Selva Royan
100 days of the Ukraine war: US Responses in the war
Padmashree Anandhan
100 days of the Ukraine war: What next for Europe?
Ashwin Immanuel Dhanabalan
100 days of the Ukraine war: More loss than gain for Russia
NIAS Africa Team
IN FOCUS | Challenges to peace in Eastern Congo
Avishka Ashok | Research Associate | National Institute of Advanced Studies
20th Party Congress of the Communist Party of China: Major takaways
Angelin Archana | Assistant Professor, Women’s Christian College, Chennai
China's response to the Ukraine crisis: Shaped by its relationship with Russia and EU under the US Shadow
Shreya Upadhyay | Assistant Professor, Christ (Deemed to be University), Bangalore
Transatlantic Ties in the Wake of Ukraine-Russia War
Uma Purushothaman | Assistant Professor, Central University of Kerala, Kerala
Ukraine and beyond: The US Strategies towards Russia
Debangana Chatterjee | Assistant Professor, JAIN (Deemed-to-be University), Bangalore
Lessons from Ukraine War: Effectiveness of Sanctions
Himani Pant | Research Fellow, ICWA, Delhi
Ukraine and beyond: What next for Russia and Europe?
Sethuraman Nadarajan
Israel-Lebanon Maritime Border Deal
Avishka Ashok
G20 Summit: Four takeaways from Bali
NIAS Africa Team
China-Africa relations: Looking back and looking ahead
NIAS Africa Team
IN FOCUS | Chad's political crisis
Sourina Bej
Elections in Sweden
Padmashree Anandhan
Italy's far-right wins 2022 elections
Padmashree Anandhan
Putin’s address in the Valdai Discussion: Six takeaways
Devjyoti Saha
Solomon Islands’ China card: Three reasons why
NIAS Africa Team
Floods in West Africa: Nigeria and beyond
NIAS Africa Team
IN FOCUS | Famine in Somalia
NIAS Africa Team
IN FOCUS | Kenya Elections 2022
IPRI Team
Protests in Iran
IPRI Team
Clashes between Armenia-Azerbaijan
Padmashree Anandhan
Queen Elizabeth: End of an era
Padmashree Anandhan
Russia and Eastern Economic Forum 2022: A sturdy Far East
NIAS Africa Team
IN FOCUS | The reinvention of Al Shabab
NIAS Africa Team
IN FOCUS | Lavrov's visit to Africa
NIAS Africa Team
IN FOCUS | Macron's visit to Africa
GP Team
Floods and Emergency in Pakistan
IPRI Team
Six months of War in Ukraine
GP Team