The World This Week

The World This Week
Tenth Pacific Island Leaders Meeting and President Biden’s Address

GP Team
28 July 2024
Photo Source: Prime Minister's Office in Japan

The World This Week #272, Vol. 6 No. 26, 28 July 2024
 

Femy Francis and Dhriti Mukherjee 


Japan and the Pacific: Tenth Pacific Island Leaders Meeting (PALM 10)
Femy Francis

What happened?
On 16 July, Japan held the 10th Pacific Island Leaders Meeting in Tokyo. The meeting was attended by representatives of 18 Pacific Island Forum members. Japanese Prime Minster Fumio Kishida also participated in the meeting where he said: “I'd like to make ties between Japan and the Pacific Island nations stronger and demonstrate to the rest of the world that we are moving in the same direction.” The summit ended with a joint declaration issued by the member countries on peace and security in the region, strengthening economic ties, and Climate Change and Disaster management measures. The declaration also asserted that they oppose: “any unilateral attempts to change the status quo by the threat or use of force or coercion,” hinting at China’s aggressive posture in the region. 

On 18 July, the summit's final day, member countries issued a Leaders' Declaration and a Joint Action Plan. The action plan proposed seven areas of cooperation: political leadership and regionalism, people-centered development, peace and security, resources and economic development, climate change and disasters, ocean and environment, technology, and connectivity.  The leaders also committed to the PALM partnership towards 2050. On climate change, the countries' leaders unanimously shared their concerns regarding the crisis. Kishida iterated that Japan would continue to promote cooperation with the Pacific Island countries on health and education exchanges. Japan also called to establish a: “Free and Open Indo-Pacific (FOIP),” with countries who share common values and principles. 

What is the background?
First, a brief background to the PALM. The beginning of the Pacific Island Leader Meeting goes back to the Japan-South Pacific Forum (SPF) held in Tokyo in 1997. The second summit was held in 2000, where Japan established: “The Pacific Common Frontier Institute.” Pacific Asia relations were based on three pillars of sustainable development, dealing with regional and global issues and establishing partnerships between Japan and the Pacific Island countries. Since then, Japan has been hosting this summit every three years. 

Second, Japan's interest in the Pacific. Tokyo is a major provider of Official Development Assistance (ODA) aimed at developing tools to strengthen maritime surveillance among the Pacific countries. Japan’s primary relations with the Pacific Island countries have been built on fisheries relations. Japan's security cooperation with the Pacific Island countries focused on development aid and furthering maritime surveillance. During this summit, Tokyo announced its plans to supply one fisheries research vessel free of cost to each Pacific Island country. This initiative is to dispel concerns regarding Fukushima-treated water release. 

Third, the China factor in the Pacific. In recent years, China has extended its sphere of influence to the Pacific, especially through infrastructure projects. They have heavily invested in building sports stadiums, advanced healthcare facilities, roads, and bridges. The growing pivot towards China can be seen when, in 2019, Solomon Island severed its ties with Taiwan and reinstated its ties with Beijing. In July, China announced an additional USD 20 million investment for the Solomon airport project. China also donated USD 31 million to Vanuatu’s presidential palace. Nauru also switched its ties with Taiwan and signed a diplomatic pact with China in 2024. 

What does it mean? 
First, Japan’s influence in the Pacific. The summit aims to bolster Japan’s relations with the Pacific Island countries. Japan’s presence also represents its other Western allies like the US who are increasingly worried about the Chinese presence. 

Second, deterring Chinese influence in the Pacific. The declaration hinted at the Chinese presence in the region and how the PALM countries are against any unilateral moves to change the status quo. New Zealand's "Maritime Security Strategy 2024," pointed out that it is against “Certain countries are increasingly exercising hard power to test the limits of the rules-based international system, at the expense of rules that serve smaller countries like New Zealand.” The above statements expressed concerns over increased Chinese influence in the Pacific. Therefore, countering China in the Pacific is in Japan’s and its ally's interest. 

Third, the Pacific Island countries and big powers. The meeting also shows how the Pacific Island countries are leveraging external stakeholders in the region by engaging with all. The smaller Pacific Island countries have been welcoming to Chinese investment in the region. Their presence and the issuance of the joint declaration in PALM 10 showcase that they are balancing external actors and would leverage the players for its benefit. 


Biden’s Oval Office address on standing down from the Presidential race: Four key takeaways
Dhriti Mukherjee

What happened?
On 24 July, US President Joe Biden delivered an Oval Office address, where he detailed his reasons for dropping out of the presidential campaign while touching on other topics of national importance and relevance. He emphasised that while he revered the office, the time had come to “pass the torch to a new generation” of fresh and younger voices. Biden also endorsed US Vice President Kamala Harris, describing her as “tough” and “capable.”   
Following are four key takeaways from his ten-minute address.

1. A defence of democracy 
Biden stated that while it was the “honour” of his life to serve as the president of the US, he had to make the decision to drop out in the “defence of democracy, which is at stake.” He pointed out how the task of “perfecting” the union of America was not about him, but about the people of the country and their futures. However, he lamented that the US is at an “inflection point,” meaning that today’s decisions will determine the fate of the US and the “world for decades to come.” Even though his accomplishments as president “merited a second term,” he could not let his “personal ambition” become an obstacle in “preserving” democracy. 

2. A reminder of the American dream 
During his speech, Biden drew inferences from past presidents including George Washington, who proved that presidents are not kings, Abraham Lincoln, who called for the rejection of malice, and Franklin Roosevelt, who inspired the dismissal of fear. Biden spoke on the American dream by taking his example and pointing out that the US is the only “special” place where someone from “modest beginnings” could become president. This is because in the US, “kings and dictators do not rule, the people do.” 

However, given the inflection point, Americans have to decide between “moving forward or backward, between hope and hate, between unity and division.” Biden questioned whether the US, which is a “great nation” because of its “good people,” still upholds values of honesty, decency, respect, freedom, justice, and democracy. He claimed that when he came to office four years ago, the “soul of America” and the nature of its people were “at stake,” and that is the case currently as well. 

Describing America as an “idea stronger than any army, bigger than any ocean, more powerful than any dictator,” he asserted that all Americans are “created equal.” Though Americans have never “fully lived up” to the “sacred” idea, in which all citizens have inalienable rights to life, liberty, and pursuit of happiness, they have never “walked away from it either.” The US has always remained a nation of opportunities, dreamers, and of ordinary people doing “extraordinary things.”

3. A glance into his accomplishments 
Biden illustrated how the country has come “so far” since his inauguration. He prided himself on being the first US president in this century who could say that the US is not at war, and on the fact that the “conventional wisdom” that China would grow to surpass the US is not the case anymore. Despite the “worst pandemic in the century,” the worst economic situation and attack on democracy since the Great Depression and the Civil War respectively, the US emerged “stronger, more prosperous, and more secure.” From an economic perspective, the country has the “strongest economy” globally, with a record of 16 million new jobs, higher wages, lower inflation, the lowest racial wealth gap in the last 20 years, and a return of manufacturing. 

From a healthcare perspective, “most people” in the US have access to healthcare, and the cost of prescription drugs for senior citizens was lowered. Biden also signed “one of the most significant laws” which helped millions of veterans and their families that were exposed to toxic materials. From a security perspective, violent crime rate is at a 50-year low while border crossings are lower than when the previous administration left office. Additionally, significant laws on gun safety and climate change were signed, while commitments on appointing the first Black woman to the Supreme Court and having an administration that “looks like America” were fulfilled. 

4. A sizeable to-do list
Despite there being only a few months left for him in office, Biden spoke about a lengthy list of objectives he seeks to accomplish in the next six months. Economically, he will help growth by continuing to lower costs for “hard-working families,” while politically, he will defend freedoms and civil rights, while calling out “hate and extremism,” which have no place in the US. Focus will also be placed on eliminating gun violence and working to combat climate change. 

Biden assured he would keep fighting for his “cancer moonshot” to bring an end to cancer. With regard to security, he asserted that his administration would keep “rallying a coalition of proud nations” and strengthen NATO to stop the war in Ukraine. Further, he will work towards bringing “peace and security to the Middle East,” ending the war and bringing hostages home.


TWTW Regional Roundups
News from around the world

Rohini Reenum, Akriti Sharma, Padmashree Anandhan, Anu Maria Joseph, Femy Francis, Dhriti Mukherjee, Nuha Amina, Samrudhi Pathak, Sachin Aravind, Sayeka Ghosh, Ayan Datta, Vetriselvi Baskaran and Neha Tresa George

CHINA THIS WEEK
China: President Xi Jinping chairs Standing Committee on Disaster Relief Work
On 25 July, Chinese President Xi Jinping chaired a meeting with the standing committee of the Chinese Communist Party (CPC) political bureau to discuss and arrange for flood control and relief. July to August is the peak season for heavy rainfall, posing a threat to the communities living along the river and coastlines. It is reckoned that all seven major river basins will experience flooding. The Chinese Meteorological Centre has issued a red alert over Typhoon Gaemi, which is expected to reach the inland region. The meeting called for minimising casualties and called for a prompt relocation of those in danger. They also discussed that disaster relief funds should be promptly allocated and that appropriate measures should be taken to ensure that medical services are provided. An estimated number of 628,600 people in Fujian province were affected by the Typhoon. 

China: Russia conducts unprecedented joint air patrol near Alaska
On 24 July, Russia and China conducted their first joint bomber patrol over the North Pacific Ocean and Bering Sea, near Alaska’s coast. The operation involved Russian TU-95MS strategic missile carriers and Chinese Xian H-6 strategic bombers. Although both nations asserted that the patrol was “not aimed at any third party,” it drew attention from US officials. North American Aerospace Defence Command (NORAD) intercepted the bombers but noted that they remained in international airspace and posed no threat. However, Alaska Senator Lisa Murkowski described it as an “unprecedented provocation by our adversaries.” Meanwhile, the Press Secretary of Russian President, Dmitry Peskov countered that Russian-Chinese cooperation in the Arctic would contribute to “stability and predictability” in the region. This event underscores the growing military alignment between Moscow and Beijing, particularly since Russia’s invasion of Ukraine in 2022.

China: Foreign Minister visits Laos for ASEAN meeting
On 25 July, an editorial in Global Times reported on Chinese Foreign Minister Wang Yi’s arrival in Vientiane for the ASEAN meeting. The meeting highlighted a delicate balance between regional cooperation and tensions in the South China Sea region. ASEAN members recognize the complexity of the issue and prioritise development and prosperity, according to Global Times. The theme of the meeting was: “ASEAN: Enhancing Connectivity and Resilience.” It aimed to address various challenges, including economic difficulties, climate change, and security issues. Key topics included infrastructure development, economic growth, and negotiations on the China-ASEAN Free Trade Agreement version 3.0.

China: Russia reaffirm their strategic partnership in the Asia-Pacific
On 25 July, during a meeting in Vientiane, Chinese Foreign Minister Wang Yi and his Russian counterpart Sergey Lavrov emphasised the strength of their nations’ relationship and their commitment to regional cooperation. Wang highlighted the “mature, stable, resilient and independent” nature of China-Russia ties, stressing their readiness to support each other’s core interests despite international challenges. Both ministers expressed their dedication to maintaining ASEAN’s central role in regional architecture and opposed external interference. Lavrov commended China's recent diplomatic success in facilitating Palestinian unity talks and pledged Russia's support for Middle East peace efforts.

China: Brokers Palestinian factions’ unification with “National reconciliation government”
On 23 July, BBC reported on the formation of an interim “National reconciliation government” concerning the seizure of the West Bank and Gaza through the signing of a declaration by Hamas and Fatah brokered by the Chinese. Officials and twelve Palestinian groups have promised to work in harmony after the talks held in Beijing. The international spokesperson of Hamas, Husam Badran said the declaration was a positive step in achieving Palestinian national unity. The report also added that there was no confirmation from the Fatah on the declaration. Meanwhile, the Israelis promptly dismissed the Beijing declaration. The Chinese Foreign Minister Wang Yi defined a three-step plan to address the war inclusive two-state solution and UN membership.

EAST ASIA THIS WEEK
Japan: Population falls by 0.7 per cent for the 15th year
On 24 July, government data revealed that the number of Japanese residents has fallen by 0.7 per cent or 861,237 as of 01 January. This marks the “steepest decline” for the 15th consecutive year. Though Tokyo’s population rose by 3,933 or 0.3 per cent, for the first time in 3 years, the 46 other prefectures experienced a continued decline.  While the total Japanese population is 121,561,801, the number of foreign residents has risen to 3,323,374 resulting in a rise of 11.0 per cent. 

North Korea: Belarus's Foreign Minister plans to visit the country
On 22 July, Belarusian Foreign Minister Maxim Ryzhenkov announced his plan to visit North Korea. This visit will mark a significant step in strengthening ties between the two nations with implications for a potential trilateral alliance including Russia. This diplomatic move comes amid increasing Western sanctions on all three countries. According to ABC News, experts suggest the visit will focus on establishing partnerships, building upon North Korea's recent defence pact with Russia and Belarus’ close ties to Moscow. The meeting follows Belarusian President Lukashenko’s suggestion of “three-way cooperation” during talks with Putin last September. With accusations of North Korea supplying arms to Russia for its Ukraine campaign, and Belarus allowing Russian military presence, this visit underscores the deepening relationships among these internationally isolated nations.

South Korea: President sends envoy to Czech Republic to discuss nuclear project
On 23 July, President Yoon Suk Yeol of South Korea dispatched special envoys to the Czech Republic, following the selection of a South Korean consortium as the preferred bidder for a major nuclear power plant project. Presidential Chief of Staff Sung Tae-Yoon and Industry Minister Ahn Duk-Geun will meet with Czech Prime Minister Petr Fiala and Industry Minister Jozef Sikela during their three-day visit. The presidential spokesperson Jeong Hye-jeon stated that the envoys will deliver President Yoon's gratitude and discuss “follow-up measures, including the establishment of a government-to-government hotline,” This USD 17.3 billion project, if finalised, would mark South Korea's first overseas nuclear power plant construction since 2009. 

New Zealand: Rising drug use, a study by the National Drug Intelligence Bureau
On 23 July, a study by the National Drug Intelligence Bureau stated that New Zealand is facing an alarming increase in drug consumption, particularly methamphetamine and cocaine. National Drug Intelligence Bureau Detective Inspector Tim Chao reported that Kiwis are using approximately 17.5 kilograms of meth and 03.3 kilograms of cocaine weekly. This surge in drug use is having a significant economic impact, with meth alone costing the country an estimated USD 19.4 million per week in social harm. Chao noted that regional towns are experiencing the highest per capita meth consumption, often correlating with areas of higher deprivation. The rise in drug use is attributed to increased global availability, with most illicit substances being imported. Cocaine use is also on the upswing, though the reasons are less clear. 

New Caledonia: The Pacific Islands Forum to send a delegation to New Caledonia
On 20 July 2024, Radio New Zealand reported that due to the existing political turmoil in the French territory, it was aiming to send top delegations to New Caledonia for investigations. The news was confirmed in Tokyo after the PALM 10 meeting. The Prime Minister of Cook Islands Mark Brown confirmed the request for a top Pacific delegation by the government of Caledonia. RNZ reported Brown’s opinion of French Support for the delegation and the Melanesian Spearhead Group (MSG) disapproval of France’s political handling of the ongoing situation. He further emphasised the rejection of the third referendum. The RNZ also covered New Caledonia’s Advisor Charles Wea's announcement at PALM 10 in Japan that the high-level delegation will consist of leaders from Fiji, Cook Islands, Tonga, and Solomon Islands.

SOUTH ASIA THIS WEEK
India: Foreign Minister attends ASEAN meetings
On 25 July, External Affairs Minister S Jaishankar attended multiple ASEAN meetings in Laos. He also met with Foreign Ministers of the UK, Japan, Australia, China, and Russia. On 25 July, he met with Foreign Minister of China Wang Yi and reviewed the resolution of the remaining issues along the LAC to enhance and stabilise bilateral relations. He will be attending the QUAD Summit next.

Pakistan: Islamabad urges Germany to take immediate action against the miscreants of Consulate attack in Frankfurt
On 21 July, Pakistan urged Germany to take immediate action against the perpetrators of the “security breach” incident that took place in the Pakistani Consulate in Frankfurt. On 20 July, a “gang of extremists” or a group of Afghan nationals attacked the Pakistan Consulate and attempted to remove and burn the Pakistani flag. The video of the incident went viral, and one of the men was seen holding the Afghan flag. Reports also mentioned that they pelted stones on the consulate building. In this regard, Pakistan condemned the attack and German police for not having made any arrests so far. However, The News International reported that some arrests were made for further investigation. The Foreign Office (FO) of Pakistan summoned the German ambassador in Islamabad to “lodge a strong protest over the vandalism of Pakistan’s diplomatic mission” and urged Germany to fulfil its obligations under the Vienna Conventions on Consular Relations, 1963. Defence Minister Khawaja Asif slammed the Afghan nationals and asked the government to “rethink its hospitality towards Afghan citizens.” 

Pakistan: Anthem to celebrate 97th PLA anniversary
On 21 July, The Express Tribune reported that to commemorate the 97th anniversary of China’s People’s Liberation Army (PLA), Pakistan has “unveiled” an anthem that celebrates the bond shared by the two countries. The lyrics “poetically” capture “the essence of their friendship.” It describes how the peaks of the Himalayas seem less significant than the “bond” they hold and its “depths appear shallow next to the strength of” their “friendship.”

Pakistan: Traders denied entry to Afghanistan
On 23 July, Dawn revealed that Pakistani traders and workers are being denied entry into Afghanistan “despite the reopening of the Chaman border crossing.” Pakistanis who possess “national identity documents” are also being denied entry. Earlier, there were “successful negotiations” between “leaders of a sit-in protest” at the border town. They had decided to allow nationals from both countries to travel across upon producing their “respective national identity cards.” The leaders had accepted that “their anti-state stance had defamed Pakistan,” and that they had used it “solely for political gain.” Former Interior Minister, Malik Inayat Kasi had announced the resumption of “movement across the border” and made it clear that all border matters “will solely” be negotiated “with the Laghari Union” and “not with individual Khans or Maliks.” However, Afghan officials have conveyed “displeasure” at their exclusion from the consultation process.

Pakistan: US seeks USD 101 million to assist Islamabad
On 23 July, the US Assistant Secretary of State Donald Lu stated that the US administration sought USD 101 million for Pakistan to “strengthen democracy, fight terrorism, and stabilise the country’s economy,” A budget request was presented for South and Central Asian Affairs to the House of Representatives Foreign Affairs Committee. It seeks a total of USD 1.01 billion in foreign assistance for the South and Central Asian region, to help it “compete with the People’s Republic of China (PRC), counter Russian and Chinese disinformation, and prevent terrorist groups from threatening the US security.” Additional resources would be given to South Asia, for which the president requested USD 585.7 million for the region, a 4.84 per cent increase from the last budget. 

Pakistan: Remains the fourth worst passport in the fourth consecutive year
On 25 July, Dawn reported that the Henley Passport Index released its ranking of the world’s 199 passports, in which passports are ranked based on the number of destinations their holders can access without getting a visa beforehand. Pakistan remained in the bottom five for the fourth consecutive time and was ranked the fourth worst. Pakistan’s and Yemen’s passports allow their citizens to travel to 33 countries without a visa. The number is higher than only Iraq, Syria, and Afghanistan. Afghanistan turned out to be the weakest passport this year, with only 26 visa-free travel destinations, the lowest number recorded in the last 19 years. Another record was established by Singapore this year, which had the strongest passport with 195 visa-free travel destinations for its holders. The passport strength remains a concern for the Islamic Republic of Pakistan.

Pakistan: Meeting with Chinese finance minister, holds talks on economic cooperation
On 25 July, Pakistan’s economic team met Chinese Minister of Finance Lan Fo’an in Beijing, where they discussed issues related to Pakistan’s economy. The team encompassed the Federal Minister for Finance and Revenue, Senator Muhammad Aurangzeb, and the Minister for Power, Sardar Awais Ahmad Khan Leghari. The meeting focused on major financial cooperation and discussions regarding the Panda Bonds issuance, reprofiling of loans, and conversion of imported coal power plants on Thar coal. During the meeting, the Pakistani ministers presented a brief on the government’s effort to implement tax and energy reforms in the system. Both sides exchanged their ideas to foster the economic partnership, particularly focussed on the financial and banking sectors. Aurangzeb and Leghari also met the President of Chinese insurance company M/s Sinosure, Sheng Hetai, and held discussions on strengthening bilateral cooperation and expanding CPEC.

Pakistan: Foreign Office regards PM Modi’s remarks as “belligerent”
On 26 July, the Foreign Office (FO) refuted the “belligerent remarks” made by the Prime Minister of India, Narendra Modi. A day earlier, on 25 July, Modi said during an event in Ladakh that Pakistan has “not learned anything from its history.” He addressed Pakistan as a patron of "terrorism,” saying that the Indian forces would “give a befitting reply” to its “unholy plans.” In response, the FO issued a statement, declaring India’s “bravado and jingoism” was “totally counterproductive” in arriving at a resolution over the Kashmir dispute. The FO added that these “rhetorical statements cannot deflect international attention” from the disputed Jammu and Kashmir. It urged India to “reflect on its campaign” of carrying out “targeted assassinations, subversion and terrorism” in the land beyond the territory. It warned that Pakistan is determined to protect its sovereignty with a “robust response” to any “reckless” Indian “incursion.”
 
MIDDLE-EAST THIS WEEK 
Saudi Arabia: Mining Minister to visit Brazil and Chile to boost EV, diversify oil economy
On 21 July, Reuters reported that Saudi Arabia’s Minister for Industry and Mineral Resources, Bandar Alkhorayaf, would visit Brazil and Chile to meet representatives of mining companies and launch lithium production projects.  Through such ventures, Saudi Arabia aimed to diversify its oil-based economy, expand into the international mining sector, and become a hub of Electric Vehicle (EV) production. 

Israel: Hamas and Fatah sign Beijing Declaration to form post-war unity government 
On 23 July, representatives of 14 Palestinian groups, including Hamas and Fatah, signed the “Beijing Declaration on Ending Division and Strengthening Palestinian National Unity.” The Declaration resulted from negotiations between the Palestinian groups between 21 and 23 July with Chinese mediation. Although China did not release the full text of the declaration, its Ministry of Foreign Affairs stated that the Palestinian groups agreed to form a unity government for the West Bank and Gaza after the war and reaffirmed their commitment to an independent Palestinian State. Diplomats from Egypt, Algeria, Saudi Arabia, Qatar, Jordan, Syria, Lebanon, Russia and Türkiye attended the signing ceremony.

Israel: Prime Minister Netanyahu addresses US Congress
On 24 July, according to Haaretz, Israel’s Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu addressed a joint session of the US Congress. Netanyahu envisioned a “demilitarised and deradicalised Gaza” under Israel’s “overriding security control,” demanding that Gaza should be administered by “Palestinians who do not seek to destroy Israel.” He called for an “Abraham Alliance” in the Middle East to counter Iran as a “natural extension” of the Abraham Accords. The Israeli leader praised former US President Donald Trump’s leadership and his decision to shift the US embassy to Jerusalem, reiterating that “our eternal capital will never be divided again. 

United Arab Emirates: Court sentences 57 Bangladeshi protesters to prison and deportation 
On 22 July, Al Jazeera reported that a UAE court sentenced 57 Bangladesh nationals to prison for protesting against the Bangladeshi government. While three protesters were awarded life sentences, 53 received ten years in prison. All the protesters would be deported following the completion of their sentences. Although the protesters were marching against Bangladesh’s quota system for government jobs, they were arrested on charges of unauthorised protests and jeopardising ties with foreign countries which were illegal in UAE.
 
AFRICA THIS WEEK
Ethiopia: Eritrea suspends the Ethiopian Airlines
On 25 July, Africanews reported that Eritrean authorities suspended Ethiopian Airlines flights from its airspace, which will be effective from 30 September. The Eritrean Civil Aviation Authority accused the airline of "consistent and persistent malicious trading practices along with systemic and organised passengers’ luggage theft, pilferage, damage, prolonged delays, and loss with no compensation in particular, coupled with unjustified and unwarranted price hikes and other irregularities witnessed." Ethiopian Airlines stated that they are "committed to resolving any issues amicably and promptly."

Sudan: UAE expresses support to end the civil war
On 22 July, the President of the UAE Mohammed bin Zayed expressed his country's support for ending the civil war in Sudan. The comments came during his telephone conversation with Sudanese Armed Forces (SAF) leader Abdel Fattah al-Burhan. He stated that the UAE is keen "to support all solutions and initiatives aimed at halting escalation and ending the crisis in Sudan." The relations between Sudan and the UAE have been tense over the allegation of the latter supporting the paramilitary Rapid Support Forces (RSF). 

EUROPE THIS WEEK 
Finland: Government introduces law to deport asylum seekers 
On 22 July, Finland introduced a controversial law that allows the country to return asylum seekers and refugees on its border with Russia. Finland has accused Russia of using migration to push a huge number of asylum seekers inside its territory. However, the law has been criticised by few human rights groups and faces push backs calling it illegal under the European Convention of Human Rights and Charter of Fundamental Rights of the European Union. However, the EU Migration Pact, would also enter into force from 2026, paving a way for EU member states to deport asylum seekers from the global south. 

EU and US plan to lend USD 50 billion to Ukraine 
On 22 July, Politico reported that the EU and the US are close to approving a loan of USD 50 billion to Ukraine to fight the war. However, the US Government might have to involve Congress given the risk of taxpayers’ money. Therefore, the US has asked the EU to ensure that Russian assets are kept frozen until the loan is repaid. In June 2024, the G7 countries had agreed to provide a loan of USD 50 billion to Ukraine. G7 plans the repayment of loan through seizing Russia’s immovable assets in the West. The EU wanted to translate this deal into an EU law but the countries could find a common ground on exact contributions.

AMERICAS THIS WEEK
Venezuela: Official presidential campaign season draws to an end
On 25 July, Venezuela’s government and opposition closed the official presidential campaign season with demonstrations which saw thousands of people gather on the streets of Caracas. Venezuela’s President, Nicolás Maduro, is seeking a third term and described himself as a man of peace while talking to the crowds and denouncing his opponents as promoters of violence. Separately, the representative of the Unitary Platform Coalition, Edmundo González Urrutia, and opposition leader Maria Corina Machado were able to gather much fewer supporters. Insufficient funding and state repression against Machado and other service providers affected the opposition’s campaign rally, including poor quality sound systems. The state television also completely ignored the opposition’s event, instead airing Maduro’s rally live. While Maduro faces low popularity among voters after they blamed him for the country’s 11-year long crisis, major opposition parties have rallied behind González after boycotting elections for years.

Brazil: President Lula unveils initiative to tackle global hunger
On 24 July, Brazil’s President, Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva, announced a global alliance against hunger and poverty as one of Brazil’s top priorities for its presidency of G20. Denouncing the continuing global hunger despite sufficient food production, Lula said hunger is “something that requires a political decision.” This initiative aims to devise a mechanism to mobilise funds and knowledge to facilitate the expansion of policies to combat inequality and poverty. A secretariat in Rome and Brasilia will manage the initiative till 2030, and half of the costs will be covered by Brazil. During a conversation with Lula, World Bank President Ajay Banga expressed his support for this initiative.

The US: Vice President Harris receives endorsement from Obamas
On 26 July, former US President Barack Obama stated on X that he told US Vice President Kamala Harris that she would “make a fantastic president.” He also added that he and his wife, former first lady Michelle Obama, have given Harris their “full support.” Both endorsed Harris, assuring that they would do “everything” they can at this “critical moment” for the US, to get her “through this election and into the Oval Office.” Michelle Obama stated that “this is going to be historic.” Despite more than a decade passing since Barack Obama was last elected, he continues to be one of the most popular voices in the Democratic Party.  

The US: “Extreme heat is the new abnormal,” warns UN secretary general
On 25 July, UN Secretary-General Antonio Guterres stated that billions of people globally are experiencing a climate-change-induced “extreme heat episode,” and called on countries to take action to combat the “crippling heat” that has put vulnerable communities at risk. He blamed “fossil fuel-charged, human-induced climate change” for the heat that is “increasingly tearing through economies, widening inequalities, undermining the Sustainable Development Goals, and killing people.” Guterres warned that “extreme heat is the new abnormal,” and unless sufficient action is taken by world leaders, the situation is “going to get worse.” A day earlier, the Copernicus Climate Change Service (CS3) said that the global average air surface temperature rose to 17.15 degrees Celsius on 22 July. Further, as per CS3 data, every month since June 2023 has ranked as the planet’s warmest since records began in 1940. Also on 25 July, a report published by the International Labour Organisation (ILO) highlighted that more than 70 per cent of the global workforce is now at a high risk of extreme heat. This heat has been responsible for almost 23 million workplace injuries globally, and 19,000 annual deaths. 


About the Authors
Femy Francis, Dhriti Mukherjee and Vetriselvi Baskaran are Research Assistants at NIAS. Anu Maria Joseph and Padmashree Anandhan are Research Associates at NIAS. Rohini Reenum and Akriti Sharma are PhD scholars at NIAS. Ayan Datta is a postgraduate student at the University of Hyderabad. Neha Tresa George, Sayeka Ghosh, Nuha Amina, Sachin Aravind and Samrudhi Pathak are Research Interns at NIAS. 


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Nithin V

Bangladesh and Press Freedom: 
Four Takeaways on Digital security laws, Political polarisation, Journalist safety, and Media vulnerability 
June 2026 | CWA # 2143

Aishal Hab Yousuf 

Sri Lanka and Press Freedom: 
Five Takeaways on Political influence, Legal mechanisms to control, Ethnic sensitivities and History of State intimidation
June 2026 | CWA # 2142

Glynnis Winona B

Bhutan and Press Freedom:
Four takeaways on Regulatory control, Economic fragility, and Social constraints
June 2026 | CWA # 2141

Aishal Hab Yousuf

Maldives and Press Freedom:
Four takeaways on the influence of democracy, legislation, and state funding
June 2026 | CWA # 2140

Nithin V

Pakistan and Press Freedom:
Four takeaways Military influence, cyber laws, political instability, and youth-driven digital journalism
June 2026 | CWA # 2139

Siddhi Halyur

Afghanistan and Press Freedom:
Four takeaways on political control, religious restrictions and economic vulnerabilities 
June 2026 | CWA # 2138

Siddhi Halyur

Nepal and Press Freedom:
Three takeaways on Political constraints, Missing legal protection and Funding issues
June 2026 | CWA # 2136

Acsah H

The Blue Origin Rocket Explosion:
Does this leave Jeff Bezos grounded, Elon Musk unchallenged, and NASA’s lunar timeline in jeopardy?
June 2026 | CWA # 2131

Rohini Reenum

Israel-Lebanon Tensions:
New Deal amidst Israeli incursion and Hezbollah’s retaliation
June 2026 | CWA # 2130

Akshath Kaimal

The UK-Rwanda Asylum Deal: 
Why did the Permanent Court of Arbitration reject Rwanda’s claims? What was Rwanda’s complaint? Why did the UK cancel the deal?
June 2026 | CWA # 2129

Anu Maria Joseph

Conflicts in Africa This Week:
The Ebola fear in DR Congo and the Elections in Ethiopia amidst conflicts
May 2026 | CWA # 2126

Aparna A Nair

The Shenzhou-23 Mission:
China’s Space Missions, Technology, and Infrastructure
May 2026 | CWA # 2124

Glynnis Winona B

The Crisis in Cuba:
The US Sanctions, Energy Crisis, and Economic Instability
May 2026 | CWA # 2123

Akshath Kaimal

The Ebola and the DR Congo:
Multiple Outbreaks, Fragile Healthcare System, and Ineffective Global Responses
May 2026 | CWA # 2122

Radhika M Agarwal

The War in Ukraine:
Ballistic missiles, Nuclear drills with Belarus, and the Czech ammunition initiative
May 2026 | CWA # 2120

Brighty Ann Sarah

Conflicts in the Middle East
The US-Iran War Week Thirteen: Escalating Hostilities, Tenuous Ceasefire and Tense Negotiations
May 2026 | CWA # 2119

Anu Maria Joseph

Conflicts in Africa
The Ebola spread in DR Congo, The Faye-Sonko split in Senegal, and the Deepening US military involvement in Nigeria
May 2026 | CWA # 2115

Aparna A Nair

The Putin-Xi Summit
Trade, Technology, Security, and Pipeline
May 2026 | CWA # 2114

Glynnis Winona B

What makes the UAE a global player?
Explaining the Governance, Economy, People, and Strategic Influence of a Small Middle Eastern State
May 2026 | CWA # 2113

Aishal Hab Yousuf

Sri Lanka and the US-Iran War 
Rising oil imports, Austerity measures and State capacity
May 2026 | CWA # 2111

NIAS Global Politics Team

The Trump-Xi Summit
The Africa Forward Summit 2026 I North Korea's Constitutional Amendment 2026
May 2026 | CWA # 2110

Aishal Hab Yousuf

The Trump-Xi Summit:
Managing Strategic Competition through Trade, Technology, and Diplomacy
May 2026 | CWA # 2092

NIAS Global Politics Team

The US-Iran War, Week Ten
CW Column on Middle East: Escalating Israeli Aggression in Lebanon I UAE's Covert Manoeuvres
May 2026 | CWA # 2091

Brighty Ann Sarah

Conflicts in the Middle East:
Escalating Israeli Aggression in Lebanon I UAEs Covert Manoeuvres
May 2026 | CWA # 2090

Brighty Ann Sarah

The US-Iran War, Week Ten:
Fraying Ceasefire, Renewed Negotiations and the Risk of a Stalemate
May 2026 | CWA # 2088

Nithin V

King Charles's US Visit:
Emphasis on strong bilateral relations, democratic values and security cooperation
May 2026 | CWA # 2086

Aishal Hab Yousuf

UAEs Exit from OPEC:
Implications for the Middle East and the Energy Market
May 2026 | CWA # 2083

Brighty Ann Sarah

The US-Iran War, Week Nine:
Deadlocked Negotiations, Competing Agendas and Domestic Pressure
May 2026 | CWA # 2082

Akshath Kaimal

Escalating Violence in Mali:
Between Ethnic Insurgencies, Jihadist Attacks, and Military Coups
April 2026 | CWA # 2079

Aishal Hab Yousuf

Japans New Defence Posture:
From Post-War Pacifism to Strategic Recalibration and Autonomy
April 2026 | CWA # 2074

Brighty Ann Sarah

Israel-Lebanon Ceasefire:
Asymmetric Terms, Fragile Truce and Israeli Occupation
April 2026 | CWA # 2073

Akshath Kaimal

The US-Iran War, Week Eight:
A Fragile Ceasefire, Attempts to Control Hormuz and the Stalled Talks in Islamabad
April 2026 | CWA # 2072

Anu Maria Joseph

Three Years of War in Sudan
Prolonged Stalemate, Humanitarian Cost, External Interventions and Regional Fallouts
April 2026 | CWA # 2069

Padmashree Anandhan

The War in Ukraine
Expanding Drone Warfare, Russia's Strategic Patience and Ukraine's Diplomatic Outreach
April 2026 | CWA # 2068

Femy Francis

China-Japan Tensions
Escalating Defence Posturing and Economic Decoupling
April 2026 | CWA # 2067

Anu Maria Joseph

Conflicts in Africa
Continuing Conflicts in Sudan, South Sudan and DR Congo, Security issues in Nigeria, and Political Instability in Madagascar
April 2026 | CWA # 2066

Akshath Kaimal

The Pakistan-Afghanistan Conflict
Recurrent Clashes, Defiant Taliban, Contesting Narratives and Emerging Chinas Role
April 2026 | CWA # 2065

Lakshmi Venugopal Menon

The Middle East (JanMar 2026):
The US-Iran War, Israel-Hamas Conflict and their interconnected fallouts
April 2026 | CWA # 2064

Anwesha Ghosh

Afghanistan (JanMar 2026):
Gender Repression, Leadership Rifts, Regional Realignments and Clashes with Pakistan
April 2026 | CWA # 2063

Ramya B

Russia (Jan-Mar 2026)
Assertive Military Posture, Attempts for an Economic Turnaround and Search for Partners
April 2026 | CWA # 2062

Himani Pant

Europe (Jan-Mar 2026)
Trade diversification & FTAs, Increased defence spending, Tightening irregular migration and Economic slowdown
April 2026 | CWA # 2061

S Shaji

Africa (Jan-Mar 2026)
Elections, Civil Wars, Militancy and Peace Initiatives
April 2026 | CWA # 2058

Nishchal N Pandey & Mahesh Raj Bhatta

Nepal (Jan-Mar 2026)
Political Upheaval, Generational Change and Economic Uncertainty
April 2026 | CWA # 2057

Bibhu Prasad Routray

Myanmar (Jan-Mar 2026)
An Illegitimate Regime's Consolidation Game
April 2026 | CWA # 2056

Ashik J Bonofer

Southeast Asia (Jan-Mar 2026)
Deteriorating situation in Myanmar, Philippines as the ASEAN Chair, New government in Thailand, and Economic & Environmental challenges
April 2026 | CWA # 2055

Haans J Freddy

East Asia (Jan-Mar 2026)
Chinas military operations near Taiwan, Japan-China tensions and South Koreas security challenges
April 2026 | CWA # 2054

Amrita Jash

Chinas External Landscape (Jan-Mar 2026):
Regional assertion, Pragmatic recalibration with the West and Avoiding military entanglement in the Middle East
April 2026 | CWA # 2052

Shreya Upadhyay

The United States(Jan-Mar2026)
Tariffs, Ukraine, Iran and Operationalization of Trumps World Order
March 2026 | CWA # 2042

Preetha Renganarayanan

Five Takeaways of the US Annual Threat Assessment (ATA) Report for 2026
March 2026 | CWA # 2039

Femy Francis

Trump-Xi Meeting
Why did Trump reschedule it? What does that mean?
March 2026 | CWA # 2035

Akshath Kaimal

Pakistan-Afghanistan Conflict
Broken ceasefire, Expanding military strikes and Worsening humanitarian situation
March 2026 | CWA # 2033

Mahesh Bhatta

Nepal after elections:
Five major challenges for the new government
March 2026 | CWA # 2024

Lekshmi MK

The UN and the Iran-US War
UNSC Resolution 2817 between Clear and Unified Message and Manifest Injustice
March 2026 | CWA # 2023

Femy Francis

Chinas Two Sessions 2026
New Five-Year Plan, Ethnic Unity Law, and an Enhanced Defence Budget
March 2026 | CWA # 2019

Akshath Kaimal

Rising Violence in Nigeria
Limited State Capacity, Multiple Actors, and a Complex Security Environment
March 2026 | CWA # 2012

Padmashree Anandhan

The War in Ukraine
Long-range strikes, Defence adaptation and the EUs energy dependence
March 2026 | CWA # 2010

Mahesh Bhatta

Nepal Elections 2026
The Rise of the New and the Fall of the Old
March 2026 | CWA # 2009

Sreemaya Nair

Nepal Elections 2026
Rise of a new leadership and Reset in political landscape
March 2026 | CWA # 2004

Akshath Kaimal

The Forgotten South Sudan Conflict
Instability returns, with a fragile peace agreement, uptick in violence and limited international engagement
March 2026 | CWA # 2003

Yesasvi Koganti

PM Modis Visit to Israel
From bilateral ties to a special strategic partnership
March 2026 | CWA # 2001

Preetha Renganarayanan

Six major takeaways on the economy, border and internal security and Iran
February 2026 | CWA # 1998

Anu Maria Joseph

Instability in Sudan
Response to the genocide call and the threats of a regional spillover
February 2026 | CWA # 1986

Preetha Renganarayanan

Focus on Trade, Defense, Energy and Regional Connectivity
February 2026 | CWA # 1985

Abhimanyu Solanki

Basant in Pakistan
The return of Basant, and what it signifies
February 2026 | CWA # 1977

Anu Maria Joseph

Violence in Nigeria
US military deployment amidst worsening insurgency
February 2026 | CWA # 1976

Lekshmi MK

The War in Ukraine
The Geneva Talks and Growing Negotiation Asymmetry
December 2025 | CWA # 1971

Vani Vyshnavi Jupudi

Pakistan Budget 2025-26
Legislating stabilisation under IMF discipline and coalition constraints
December 2025 | CWA # 1970

Aparna A Nair

Pakistan & China
Ten Years of China-Pakistan Economic Corridor (CPEC)
November 2025 | CWA # 1968

Vani Vyshnavi Jupudi

Pakistan and the US
A New opening, or another cycle?
February 2026 | CWA # 1959

Yesasvi Koganti

UK and China
PM Keir Starmers visit and the Recalibration of Economic, Strategic, and Domestic ties
January 2026 | CWA # 1946

Preetha Renganarayanan

The Davos Summit 2026
Five Major Takeaways from The World Economic Forum
December 2025 | CWA # 1931

Padmashree Anandhan

NATO Summit 2025
December 2025 | CWA # 1924

Padmashree Anandhan

NATO Summit 2025
December 2025 | CWA # 1914

Preetha Renganarayanan

August 2025 | CWA # 1801

R Preetha

28 August 1963
Martin Luther King's "I Have a Dream" speech and the Civil Rights Movement in the US
August 2025 | CWA # 1790

GP Team

The World This Week#323-324
The Trump-Putin meeting & the US-China tariff extension
August 2025 | CWA # 1780

Abhiruchi Chowdhury

Trump tariffs:
Weaponization of access to the US economy
August 2025 | CWA # 1779

GP Team

The World This Week#322
US tariffs on India, Brazil and Canada & the EU-US trade deal
August 2025 | CWA # 1778

Lekshmi MK

28 July 1914
Austria-Hungary declares war on Serbia, starting the First World War
July 2025 | CWA # 1770

Abhiruchi Chowdhury

Pakistan-Afghanistan relations:
Why the focus on terrorism, refugees, and Uzbekistan as the third partner?
July 2025 | CWA # 1769

GP Team

The World This Week#321
Indian PM Modi's visit to the Maldives I Elections to the Upper House in Japan
July 2025 | CWA # 1762

Lekshmi MK

Ocean Darkening: 
What is the phenomenon? What are its effects? And who are more vulnerable?
July 2025 | CWA # 1749

R Preetha

Africa as the Hunger Epicenter
Of the 13 Global Hunger Hotspots, 8 are in Africa: Five reasons why
July 2025 | CWA # 1748

GP Team

The World This Week #318
PM Modi’s Visit to Trinidad and Tobago & Ghana, One big beautiful bill, and Quad Foreign Ministers Meeting
July 2025 | CWA # 1744

Chittrothu Vaihali

EU-Canada Summit 2025
What is security and defence partnership all about?
July 2025 | CWA # 1742

IPRI Team

Conflict Weekly # 287-88
The 12 Day War and the Congo-Rwanda Peace Deal
July 2025 | CWA # 1738

Fleur Elizabeth Philip

Thailand and Cambodia
What was the phone call between PM Shinawatra and President of Senate Hun Sen? What is the border dispute between the two? Why has this become an issue?
June 2025 | CWA # 1735

Padmashree Anandhan

NATO Summit 2025:
Trump making Europe great again
June 2025 | CWA # 1734

GP Team

The World This Week #317
NATO Summit 2025 and Russia-Mali bilateral agreements
June 2025 | CWA # 1733

Ananya Dinesh

China and the Pacific Islands 
What was the recent China-PIC joint statement about? What it says, and what it means?
June 2025 | CWA # 1728

M Kejia

G7 Summit 2025:
The Focus on the Middle East and Trade negotiations
June 2025 | CWA # 1726

GP Team

The World This Week #316
China-Central Asia Summit in Kazakhstan, and the G7 Summit in Canada
June 2025 | CWA # 1725

Brighty Ann Sarah, R Preetha, Santhiya M, Aparna A Nair & M Kejia

Operation Midnight Hammer: US bombs three nuclear sites in Iran
What were the three Iranian nuclear sites that were targeted? What are the B2 Bombers and Bunker Buster Bombs? What do these attacks mean? What Next?
June 2025 | CWA # 1724

IPRI Team

Conflict Weekly #286
The Spiralling Israel-Iran Crisis, and the Dangerous Hunger Hotspots
June 2025 | CWA # 1721

Rizwana Banu S and Santhiya M

Who are the Afrikaners?
Why is Trump interested in the Afrikaner question in South Africa?
June 2025 | CWA # 1720

Lekshmi MK

New WMO Report on Arctic Warming
What are the social, economic and environmental implications of Arctic warming
June 2025 | CWA # 1719

J Yamini  

China’s EV Surge
What contributes to the rise of BYD
June 2025 | CWA # 1717

J Yamini

Gender Violence in Pakistan:
What are the larger issues in the Noor Mukadam case?
June 2025 | CWA # 1715

Femy Francis

The US-China:
On Tariffs, Rare Earths and Visas
June 2025 | CWA # 1713

GP Team

The World This Week #315
The UN Ocean Conference in France and the US-China Meeting in London
June 2025 | CWA # 1709

IPRI Team

Conflict Weekly #284-285
Cambodia-Thailand Border Tensions, Protests in the US, and the Indigenous Māori question in New Zealand
June 2025 | CWA # 1705

GP Team

The World This Week #314
Elections in South Korea and Poland I China and the Pacific Island Countries I Bangladesh Election Announcement 2026
June 2025 | CWA # 1700

R Preetha

Ethiopia bans the TPLF
What does the TPLF ban mean for the Pretoria agreement? What next for Ethiopia?
June 2025 | CWA # 1694

Aashish Ganeshan

The US:
Harvard vs Trump Administration
June 2025 | CWA # 1691

GP Team

The World This Week #313
China-ASEAN-GCC Summit I President Macron's visit to South East Asia I Trump Vs Harvard
May 2025 | CWA # 1690

GP Team

The World This Week #312
Elections in Romania, Portugal & Poland I UK-EU Summit
May 2025 | CWA # 1689

Padmashree Anandhan

Ukraine
Continuing Russia’s Aerial Attacks, despite exchange of prisoners
May 2025 | CWA # 1688

Ayan Datta

Gaza
The Humanitarian Crisis and Israel’s Renewed Offensive
May 2025 | CWA # 1685

Aparna A Nair

UK-EU Summit:
First step towards a reset
May 2025 | CWA # 1683

Aashish Ganeshan

Elections in Portugal:
The Rise of Chega Party and the Search for Political Stability
May 2025 | CWA # 1679

Aashish Ganeshan

US in the Middle Easr
Trump’s visit to Saudi Arabia, Qatar and UAE
May 2025 | CWA # 1678

Gauri Gupta

China in Latin America
China-CELAC forum: Strengthening ties with Latin America and Caribbean
May 2025 | CWA # 1677

GP Team

The World This Week #310-311
China in Latin America and the Carribbean I Trump's Middle East Visit I Denmark as the new Arctic Chair
May 2025 | CWA # 1675

Lekshmi MK

Turkey:
PKK disbands after 40 years of armed insurgency
May 2025 | CWA # 1673

Padmashree Anandhan

Ukraine:
The Discussion in Turkiye and the Elusive Ceasefire
May 2025 | CWA # 1672

D Suba Chandran

India and Pakistan:
De-escalation and the “New Normal”
May 2025 | CWA # 1671

Abhiruchi Chowdhury

US, Ukraine and Russia:
Air attacks amidst a Minerals deal and Ceasefire Proposals
May 2025 | CWA # 1670

Fleur Elizabeth Philip

Singapore Elections in 2025:
People’s Action Party (PAP) Wins, Again
May 2025 | CWA # 1667

R Preetha and Brighty Ann Sarah

East Asia:
Tough Tariff Negotiations with the US
May 2025 | CWA # 1666

Padmashree Anandhan

The US-Ukraine
The mineral deal with the US
May 2025 | CWA # 1665
Conflict Weekly # 280-81
India-Pakistan De-escalation I Ukraine Discussion in Istanbul I The Battle over Port Sudan I Disbanding of PKK in Turkiye I France-Algeria Diplomatic Tensions
May 2025 | CWA # 1663

R Preetha

Canada Elections 2025:
What do the results convey? What next for Mark Carney?
March 2024 | CWA # 1251

NIAS Africa Team

Africa This Week
February 2024 | CWA # 1226

NIAS Africa Team

Africa This Week
October 2023 | CWA # 1091

Annem Naga Bindhu Madhuri

Issues for Europe
July 2023 | CWA # 1012

Bibhu Prasad Routray

Myanmar continues to burn
December 2022 | CWA # 879

Padmashree Anandhan

The Ukraine War
November 2022 | CWA # 838

Rishma Banerjee

Tracing Europe's droughts
March 2022 | CWA # 705

NIAS Africa Team

In Focus: Libya
December 2021 | CWA # 630

GP Team

Europe in 2021
October 2021 | CWA # 588

Abigail Miriam Fernandez

TLP is back again
August 2021 | CWA # 528

STIR Team

Space Tourism
September 2019 | CWA # 162

Lakshman Chakravarthy N

5G: A Primer
December 2018 | CWA # 71

Mahesh Bhatta

Nepal
December 2018 | CWA # 70

Nasima Khatoon

The Maldives
December 2018 | CWA # 69

Harini Madhusudan

India
December 2018 | CWA # 68

Sourina Bej

Bangladesh
December 2018 | CWA # 67

Seetha Lakshmi Dinesh Iyer

Afghanistan