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Conflict Weekly 09
The CoronaVirus: South Asia copes, China stabilises, Europe bleeds and the US wakes up finally
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IPRI Team
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IPRI Conflict Weekly, 18 March 2020, Vol.1, No. 9
Rashmi Ramesh, Kabi Adhikari, Ruwanthi Jayasekara, Jenice Goveas, Sukanya Bali, Harini Madhusudan, Sourina Bej, Sneha Tadkal and Kavitha P Raj
SOUTH ASIA:
The region is coping, despite the population, and a tough healthcare system. Until Now
As on 18 March 2020, the COVID-19 claims more than 169 cases in India, followed by 189 in Pakistan, nine cases in the Maldives, 21 reported cases in Afghanistan, 18 in Sri Lanka, 10 cases in Bangladesh and one each in Nepal and Bhutan. South Asia seems to be less affected than Europe, East Asia, and the US; given the numbers and some basic issues, it is not an easy achievement.
Population Bulge: With a total population at 1.8 billion, South Asia's numbers are staggering. Importantly, the numbers are most concentrated in its urban spaces. The cities of Karachi in Pakistan, Mumbai in India, Colombo in Sri Lanka and Dhaka in Bangladesh are estimated to have the highest number of the urban population in the world. South Asia’s urban population grew by 130 million between 2001 and 2011 – which is more than the entire population of Japan – and is poised to rise by almost 250 million by 2030 (World Bank).
Huge workforce outside South Asia: The virus cases seem to be an external import and the numbers have not been staggering in spite of a large workforce of South Asia (recently brought back home) working in the Middle East, East Asia and Europe.
Challenging Healthcare structure: South Asia is also not known for its best healthcare systems, the absence of proper health infrastructure and lack of hygiene adds to the risk of increasing the number of affected cases.
The impossibility of social distancing: South Asia is known not only for its numbers but also how it gathers - socially and culturally. The public response to social distancing has been equally difficult to impose as the deep-seated community gathering norms and living in close quarters in big families make self-quarantine an unfathomable concept for most South Asian families.
The federal structure: South Asia is also predominantly federal. Some states are known for its lethargic response - whether it is a social disaster or a natural one. The federal government response has been tough with border restriction and suspension of visa-free entries. The federal responses have also been so far swift in human tracing, a digital portal to track people with foreign country travel history with the use of both national media, telecom services, and social media in spreading the affects of diseases in all vernacular languages. Some states have been proactive; while the others are yet to pick up. South Asia’s coping mechanism in disasters might have helped it to keep the numbers low but as the region enters its third stage, the region will now have to mitigate over cope.
India: With 147 cases, it is contained so far; the challenge now is to prevent the community spread
The numbers
India reported its first case in February when three students studying in Wuhan returned to Kerala. As of 18 March 2020, the total number of active COVID-19 cases in the country is 147, including 25 foreign nationals. So far, three patients have succumbed to the virus, while 14 patients have been cured.
Maharashtra, Kerala, Uttar Pradesh, Karnataka, Delhi and the Union Territory of Ladakh account for with the highest number of cases.
Government initiatives
Reports by various organizations pointed out that India is one of the countries at risk of importing coronavirus. The gravity of the situation pushed the government to take specific measures as a precaution. At present, India is taking several steps both at the central as well as the state level to contain the further spread of the epidemic.
Ministry of Health and Family Welfare along with the Prime Minister's Office is at the helm of affairs, trying to generate awareness through visual, print and social media. To ensure preparedness, the provisions under the Epidemic Diseases Act of 1897 has been invoked. India has issued advisory for travel within borders and has imposed strict restrictions on international travel. Travel of passengers from China, Afghanistan, Philippines, Malaysia, European Union, European Free Trade Association, Turkey and the United Kingdom have been prohibited. The government has also undertaken Universal Health Screening at all points of entry into the country.
The government has arranged for quarantine facilities at public hospitals and few quarantine shelters run by the Indian Army. However, due to the weak health care system in place, the country might be at a higher risk in the near future. The crumbling public health infrastructure has forced few patients to flee the quarantine facilities at Delhi and Maharashtra, while many more patients have demanded treatment from private hospitals. An epidemic such as this reflects on the necessity for spending on strengthening the health care system in the country.
At the provincial level, states like Karnataka, Kerala, Maharashtra, Madhya Pradesh, Delhi, Uttar Pradesh and West Bengal have imposed restrictions on gatherings, travel, encouraged social distancing and have ordered for a temporary closure of educational institutions and public places. Kerala is being praised for its swift action in combating the virus. It has successfully implemented both hospital-based and community-based quarantine for a period of 28 days in total. Community surveillance systems are ensuring that the community spread does not begin in the state. Maharashtra faces a severe challenge, as new cases have been reported in rural areas like Yavatmal and Ahmednagar. The state government has extended restrictions to rural areas as well. Another big challenge for the state is the mass transit network in Mumbai, which, when completely halted, can adversely affect the economy of the commercial capital of India.
Public responses
While governments at the federal and state levels are responding with all might, it is essential to know the public response to this epidemic. In the age of all-pervasive media, the spread of fake news in India regarding COVID-19 is much faster than the spread of the epidemic itself. Though the authorities have time and again busted the myths of coronavirus, social media has been bustling with false information, aimed at generating chaos among the public.
The society, on the other hand, has responded by taking some precautionary measures, though the apathy still prevails. Private schools declared holidays in early March. While the governments – especially the state government announced the closure of public places – malls and theatres, people took it seriously.
The media – especially the print media in the vernacular languages have provided more space on the virus – both informing and explaining.
Also, in certain regions, fearing social stigma, many people with symptoms of the virus have refused to get themselves tested. Maharashtra's step to stamp the hands of home-quarantined people will further encourage stigmatization.
So far, India has been able to contain the epidemic to a large extent. The challenge would be to ensure that community spread does not take place. A pandemic such as this, demands a joint action from the authorities, health professionals, sensitive population and responsible media.
Nepal: In the second stage, cancels "Visit Nepal 2020"
The numbers
In view of the rapid spread of Global COVID -19 Coronavirus pandemic which was first identified in Nepal confirmed its first and only case on 24 January 2020. The patient had been discharged with instructions to self-quarantine at home while he showed only mild symptoms. As of 16 March, Nepal tested 477 other people who reported negative for the virus.
Government Initiatives
Nepali Prime Minister K P Sharma Oli, in a video conference with SAARC members initiated by Indian Prime Minister Narendra Modi and presented the preventive measures that Nepal is taking against the virus. "Our region is at high risk of COVID-19. The epidemic knows no boundary, nationality or region. We need to devise ways to combat this pandemic collectively, "said Prime Minister Oli.
Nepal government took various precautions to prevent the spread of disease in Nepal. Nepal evacuated 175 Nepalese from Hubei in February and kept at quarantine set up at the premises of the training centre of Nepal Electricity Authority (NEA) Bhaktapur for two weeks. They were sent home after they tested negative.
Nepal has already established health desks at the international airport and border checkpoints with India. Nepal closed down the Rasuwagadhi border with China completely halting the Nepal - China trade. In addition to this, medical personnel were deployed to various entry points along the Indo - Nepal border.
Nepal cancelled its international promotional activities 'Visit Nepal Year 2020'. The government of Nepal issued an urgent notice and announced cancelling the spring mountaineering expeditions and temporary suspension on arrival visas of 8 countries in Nepal. International flights have been cut almost every day in recent days whereas 45 to 50 international flights used to be operated daily at Tribhuvan International Airport in normal conditions. Considering the outbreak, a 70 bed hospital is going to be constructed at Chitwan Exhibition
Centre in Bharatpur Metropolitan City for treating COVID -19 cases within 72 hours in case of an outbreak of COVID -19.
The high level coordination committee headed by Deputy Prime Minister and Defense Minister Ishwar Pokharel has decided to ban all passengers, including Nepalis, from entering Nepal from European Union territories, United Kingdom, West Asia, Gulf Countries, Iran, Turkey, Malaysia, South Korea and Japan. It will come to an effect from March 20 midnight till April 15.
The committee has also decided to postpone the Secondary Education Examinations (SEE) until further notice. The exams were scheduled to begin on Thursday.
The government has also barred more than 25 people for assembling for cultural, social and religious activities at party palaces, temples monasteries, mosques, churches and other religious and public places. It has also urged the public to not to go out unless necessary.
Pubilc Responses
The people of Nepal are scared. The WHO has already alerted Nepal about the possible risk of the spread of the virus. Yet, with the flow of Chinese tourists, there is also a high risk of transmission of the disease. On the other hand, neighboring country India is in the second transmission stage of the pandemic COVID-19. Therefore, people seem more aware and they are self-disciplined in this respect. To some extent, it is a relieving feeling that Nepal is still on the safer side as it continues to alarm the rest of the world.
Expressing deep concerns regarding the widespread Coronavirus infection, the high level committee closely observes the activities in the countries connected to Nepal and formulate necessary measures. It is therefore, Nepali media is trustworthy while most of them are following the authentic updates from Nepal government. However, sometimes credible news gets overshadowed by fake news while social media has made people content developer and publisher.
Sri Lanka: With 43 cases so far, casualty number low
The numbers
Even though COVID-19 originated in China, it didn't take long to spread towards South Asia. It was approximately one and half months later that the first patient was discovered in Sri Lanka, who was a Chinese tourist that was tested positive at the end of her tour on 27 January 2020. She was receiving treatment at the Infectious Disease Hospital (IDH) and fully recovered by 1 February 2020. Since then no cases were reported till 11 March. Meanwhile, Sri Lanka was able to successfully evacuate Sri Lankan students from Wuhan, with the support of Sri Lankan Airlines, tri forces and the Ministry of Health. The students were quarantined for 14 days, and none of them was found infected.
However, on 11 March, the first Sri Lankan was tested positive, who is a tour guide and suspected to be infected by Italian tourists. Since then, the number of infections has risen to 43 with 204 suspected cases under observations.
Government initiatives
Various policy decisions have been taken by the government including the shutdown of all schools and pre-schools island-wide, shared two hotlines for the general public to gather information and updates on COVID-19 and to seek assistance for any emergency, travel bans for 11 countries including Italy, South Korea and some European countries which was followed by a halt of all passenger arrivals while continuing departure, transit and cargo, suspension of screening of movies, ban on public gatherings and closure of national museums etc. Considering the global situation, Sri Lanka has acted swiftly to take necessary actions, as Sri Lanka, which is a developing country under heavy debt burden, cannot afford rising numbers of infected people.
Sri Lanka possesses one hospital solely dedicated to treating infected diseases and therefore currently, actions are taken to open up another hospital in Polonnaruwa with ICU facilities. With the leadership of Sri Lankan Army, 16 quarantine centres have been established with 2258 people being quarantined. However, it is burdensome that around 1500-2000 Sri Lankans who arrived in Sri Lanka before the travel bans, from highly infected areas, have escaped security measures at the airport, disrespecting the rules and regulations set for mandatory quarantine. It is thoroughly advised to all families of COVID-19 patients and all travellers from infected areas to self-quarantine themselves with strict regulations. Medical officers continue to check these people on a regular basis.
Public responses
As seen globally, Sri Lankans too began panic buying supplies when the first Sri Lankan patient was announced. However, it was assured from the private and public sector that there would be no shortage of essential commodities, although Sri Lanka has run out of masks and hand sanitizers. At a time, when the government has declared a three-day holiday, some people have made this a time to go out relaxing and specifically on pilgrimages, despite warnings from the authorities. Unfortunately, the public is disappointed with the fact that the authorities haven't given any thought to postpone the upcoming elections, like France did, as this provides space for large public gatherings. Therefore, public opinion is formed asking for a lockdown of the country, but the issues remain if Sri Lanka can afford a situation as such, which will grow towards a grave recession.
Fake news has been circulating on the number of COVID-19 patients and how people in the quarantine centres were ill-treated. However, this was immediately tackled by updates broadcasted by the Department of Government Information and National Operational Centre for the prevention of the spread of COVID-19, headed by the Commander of Army of Sri Lanka.
The immediate steps of Sri Lanka should include assessment of available health kits and essential medication for at least a buffer period of 4 weeks, immediate fever checks within all public buildings that run essential services. Postponing of upcoming elections should be given more consideration. It is high time that Sri Lanka learns from Singapore and Taiwan and acts with preparedness and vigilance.
Maldives: With 17 cases, it has been contained so far, with no community spread
The numbers
Maldives confirmed its first two cases of COVID-19 on 7 March 2020 both employees at Kuredhoo Island Resort from an Italian tourist. On 9 March two other COVID-19 cases were confirmed both from tourists. As of 17 March, there are 13 confirmed cases of COVID-19 in the Maldives.
Government initiatives
Immediately after the first two cases were confirmed, four Resorts of Kuredu, Vilamendhoo, Batalaa and Kuramathi island were placed under temporary quarantine. Schools have been closed as precautionary measures. Out of the 13 cases confirmed so far, most are foreign nationals. The four foreign Nationals from Kuredu Island Resort who tested positive are recovering well in isolation. Three islands which were temporarily restricted for entry/exit were screened thoroughly and reopened for travel.
As on 17 March, 15 people are in isolation in Farukolhu island, and 13 are in quarantine in Villivaru island awaiting results of the tests. A few have been released after 14 days isolation. Two Maldivians living in Wuhan evacuated to India continue to be in 14-day isolation. Contact tracing has been completed in all the above-mentioned islands with a few persons placed under room isolation and self-monitoring in resorts islands. The National Emergency Operations Centre is working 24/7 to determine the gaps and strengthen response in addition to enhancing contact tracing. Authorities say the island is well stocked. The Government of Maldives announced a ban on entry into Maldives of anyone who has left or transited the UK in the last 14 days, with effect from 18 March.
The Government of Maldives has declared a Public Health Emergency, effective until 10 April. For 14 days, effective from 14 March, travel from and to resorts from all inhabited islands have been suspended. Excursions have been limited, and public spaces like parks or sports grounds are temporarily closed. All cruise ships are currently banned from entering and docking in the Maldives. Besides, all persons who have been in the last 14 days to Mainland China, Iran, South Korea, Italy, Bangladesh, Spain, Germany and France are not allowed to enter or transit through the Maldives. Passengers and airline crew must undergo a screening procedure. WHO has been helping efforts to contain the virus through teleconference awareness calls and COVID19 test kits. Sitreps are shared daily and new technical documents immediately.
Another important angle to look at is that even though the Maldives declared a 30-day Public Health Emergency, it hasn't rescheduled its local council elections scheduled for 4 April which generally sees high voter turnout. The political opposition has although suspended its campaign after early cases of virus outbreak. However, "If COVID-19 infects Maldives' local population, predictions suggest 60% to 80% could be affected without government intervention" says foreign affairs minister Abdulla Shahid.
Public responses
Tourists who have been kept under quarantine at the luxury Maldives resorts cited "lack of information" and "workers in hazardous material clothing". All guests and staff were restricted from leaving until further notice.
A few people, including the Italian guests, refused isolations at the resort and insisted on using facilities like the restaurants and bars. Besides, a few people began panicking, and sanitisers were stolen at the resorts but largely the virus has been well contained so far and has not escalated into community spread.
The Missing Collective: South Asia's regional attempt through the SAARC
More Ideas, Less Action
Afghanistan, India, Bangladesh, Bhutan, Maldives, Nepal, Sri Lanka and Pakistan came together after six years on the SAARC platform on 15 March, for a video conference. The video conference was attended by President Ashraf Ghani of Afghanistan, Prime Minister Sheikh Hasina of Bangladesh, Prime Minister Lotay Tshering of Bhutan, President Ibrahim Mohamed Solih of Maldives, Prime Minister KP Sharma Oli of Nepal, President Gotabaya Rajapaksa of Sri Lanka, Zafar Mirza, a special assistant to Prime Minister Imran Khan from Pakistan.
The total number of cases registered in SAARC, 443 and counting. The first hit in was seen in Nepal on 24 January followed by the spread across the South Asian countries.
The challenge is to operationalize the ideas
The first-ever video conference initiated by Prime Minister Narendra Modi of India. This initiative aimed at bringing all the regional leaders on the same platform to address the social, economic impact of the pandemic. It also aims at bringing solidarity, a corporate bonding, and inclusivity of ideas among neighbours.
Several concerns were raised during this video conference. The Maldives President Solih and Bhutan Prime Minister Tshering are worried on the economic implication, as per there economy is highly dependent on the tourist sector.
During the conference, Narendra Modi said, "We all agree on evolving a common strategy to handle such a challenge, we will also find a cooperative solution. We will share our knowledge for the best practices, capacity and possible resource for all." He also proposed funds to fight COVID-19, at a regional level by contributing $10 million and also offered for an online training facility to scale up the capabilities of SAARC countries. Later, he also suggested leaders of all the SAARC countries decide the plan for the SAARC COVID-19 Emergency Fund.
Additionally, Prime Minister, Sheikh Hasina approached with an idea "to create an institute to prevent and fight against any public health threat in the South Asian region in the future." The Indian government has also proposed, sooner on a meet with G20 leaders, to beat COVID-19.
China: Fall in numbers
The numbers
As of 18 March 2020, Wuhan remains one of the worst affected regions. Of the 200,102 cases so far, over 80,000 cases have been from China, with 69,614 cases recovered and 3,237 deaths. The count of new cases peaked in the first half of February, and since 6 March 2020, there has been a drastic fall in the number of new cases. Many of the makeshift centres in China have begun to close down after the fall in the number of cases.
Government initiatives
China adopted unprecedented and aggressive measures as the number of cases escalated in China. They ensured extreme lockdowns to bring the crisis under control in the country. One of the first measures was to suspend trains and block all roads to Wuhan and 15 other cities in Hubei. Strict instructions were circulated to the people in China to stay home and leave home only for medical assistance or food.
According to the New York Times, up to half of China's population; 760 million people were confined to their homes, for over two months. This confinement has been helpful in containing the spread, from having thousands of new cases in a day to less than a dozen new cases daily. However, the flaw in China's response was that it began late and hence had to face the massive spread of the outbreak.
Public responses
Strong measures to reduce contact among people and travel bans have helped slow-down the spread of the virus worldwide. The best success story is that of Singapore; in terms of public responses, China may be considered as the second-best in containing the virus considering the fact that it started there and spread before any knowledge of it was known.
Cancellation of work, schools, and events have caused a lot of chaos among the people, especially because the spread came at the same time as the Chinese New Year, many of those who were displaced remained in the same place due to shutdowns. Classes were suspended for a while, after which online courses have been recommended for students. With the fall in the number of cases, there have been measures to ease the restrictions placed; however, it is unclear if the situation would return/worsen once the movement begins.
Europe: Shut down in Italy and Spain, and the danger in Germany
The numbers
In Europe, Italy registered the most cases (outside China) at more than 31,500. The country witnessed another surge in the number of deaths on 17 March, from 2,150 to 2,503. The country remains in lockdown. Since it began on 20 February with three cases of coronavirus in Lombardy, the number of cases surged to more than 30,000 in less than a month in Italy. The health officials in Italy have concluded that the virus arrived in Italy long before the first case was discovered. Italy was experiencing an unusually high number of pneumonia cases in its northern provinces. Around 26 February, Austria, Croatia, Greece, Norway, Switzerland, Georgia, and North Macedonia reported their first coronavirus cases. Many of them involved people who had been to Italy. Italian researchers at the Sacco hospital in Milan have identified two variations of coronavirus, including a local variant that may have circulated for several weeks before the first identified case in northern Italy. The second variant spread across Europe through people with travel history in Italy or in the Middle East. Denmark registered its first case from Iran and the other two with travel history in Egypt.
Since the spread from Italy, the number of confirmed cases in France grew by more than 16 per cent on 17 March, at 7,730 confirmed cases, 1,097 more than the previous day. The death toll rose to 175, with 7 per cent of the dead aged under 65. More than 2,500 people are being treated in hospital, including 699 in intensive care. In Britain, the death toll is 71. The number of confirmed cases in Spain has soared by 2,000 to 11,178. Authorities there are maintaining a partial lockdown on 47 million people. It is now the second European country to be worst-affected after Italy. Germany has had more than 8,000 confirmed cases and 13 deaths. The Prime Minister of Ireland Leo Varadkar has announced a possible 15,000 cases of coronavirus before the end of March.
Government initiatives
EU proposed the strictest travel ban with Belgium and France joining Spain and Italy in complete lockdown. Meanwhile countries like Austria, Hungary, the Czech Republic, and Poland, unilaterally have begun imposing border checks.
In Italy, under the new lockdown legislation, people can be issued fines for travelling within or outside the country without a permit. All public events have been banned, and schools have been cancelled throughout the country. Public spaces, such as gymnasiums, theatres, and cinemas, have also been closed down by the government. Individuals who defy the lockdown could face up to three months in jail or a fine of $234. The new rules prohibit inmates from having visitors or day releases, which set off protests at 27 prisons throughout the country. Similar rules have been imposed in France where citizens who leave home must now carry a document detailing the reasons why, with fines for transgressors to be set at €135 ($150; £123). In Britain, the chancellor, Rishi Sunak, has unveiled a financial package worth £330bn ($400bn) to ease the burden on the people. Prime Minister Boris Johnson on 16 March has urged people to avoid pubs, clubs, and cafes. At midnight on 17 March, Spain began stopping cars crossing its borders from France and Portugal with a rule that only Spanish nationals, residents and cross-border workers were being allowed to enter the country.
Germany has banned religious services and would proceed with an airlift of its nationals in other countries.
The EU travel ban and move to seal its borders will apply to 26 EU states as well as Iceland, Liechtenstein, Norway and Switzerland with the exception of the UK. Free travel is a cherished principle within the European border-free Schengen area but as many countries unilaterally impose full or partial border shutdowns in a bid to stop the spread of the coronavirus, the EU travel ban is a prompted decision by the EU Commission.
Public responses
The initial responses of the virus were racist slur and contempt against the Asians in Europe. Cases of Sinophobia were increasingly observed in France, Germany, Italy, and Spain. This propelled many Asians of Chinese, Vietnamese and South Korean origin to take to social media with a counter-narrative on "I am not the Virus." As the cases of coronavirus started increasing in Europe, the partial to complete lockdown has led people to adopt social distancing goals as the new SDG to contain the coronavirus spread. The people in Spain and Italy have used social media to record and spread the messages on how life looks in a quarantine. The social etiquette of handshakes has been increasingly replaced with a nod to 'namaste.'
The United States: Strong public response, despite the late spike and Trump's slow reaction
The numbers
As on 18 March there are 6,524 cases, with 116 deaths, and importantly, 106 recovered.
The first case of COVID-19 was reported in the US in Washington State in late January 2020. The first person infected with the virus happened to visit a family in Wuhan, China. Since then more than 6,300 people have been diagnosed with the virus in the US The national health protection agency, Centres for Disease Control and Prevention (CDC) is actively coordinating and directing the state and people of the US to contain the spread of the coronavirus. The source of the coronavirus can be categorized broadly as imported cases in travelers, cases among close contacts of a known case and community-acquired cases where the source of the infection is unknown. Three US states are experiencing sustained community spread - New York is the number one hotspot.
Government initiatives
The US was unfortunately slow to respond by three weeks at the beginning that resulted in missing the opportunity to contain like what Singapore has done. It was unfortunately politicized and called as a hoax. The person who has the loudest microphone in the White House did not send the right message to the public, kept shaking his hands and hosted events and gatherings while Singapore made its military to make N95 masks.
Finally, when the Government was ready to put its act together, the US had to straight go to mitigation skipping the containment. Significant problems were there, for example, the global shortage of masks and test kits. The US, being the big brother, did not seek help from the WHO in regards to getting the kits. Twelve million masks that were used during the SARS outbreak was never replenished. The US is still playing the catch-up game.
There have been aggressive measures led by the White House task force Dr Anthony Fauci, Director of the National Institute of Allergy and Infectious Diseases. Finally, the President has started to listen to medical experts. Million test kits are made available this week with multiple drives by testing centres all over the country.
Centers for Disease Control and Prevention (CDC) is studying the virus worldwide and helping communities respond locally. National emergency, state emergency has been called, FDA working with the medical community to develop vaccines, drugs and diagnostic tests. CMS (Medicare) offering new benefits for US citizens, so their insurance covers telemedicine, and they get their medical care without leaving their home.
State governments are responding proactively like in New York and California, state emergencies have been declared before the national emergency and "Shelter in place" ordered for social distancing. Million ventilators are being purchased by the Government, medical supplies, preparation for makeshift hospitals, ICU beds etc. Tests are free for all American citizens regardless of insurance. Disability benefits for people who are unable to work due to COVID and or who require child care because of school closures. Travel restrictions to China, Europe and many other countries, scrutinized entry and screening at airports. Medical community's response is remarkable, working with CDC when things change by the hour. Retired doctors and nurses are requested to come back to work, and special benefits are announced to handle the staff shortage that is expected to happen as medical personnel get sick
Public responses
Life in America is changing so rapidly. COVID-19 has infiltrated every aspect of American citizen's lives. Two weeks ago, when the mainstream tech companies like Facebook, Google acted before Government requesting their employees to work from home and not to travel, it sent a strong message to the public. The typical brutal airlines have been the kindest during this unprecedented crisis, and have been so flexible with cancellations and flight changes. Doctors are seeing patients through video visits; every hospital has set its own drive by testing centres to help with testing and quarantine.
People are serious and following social distancing. Schools, colleges, restaurants, bars, gyms, libraries and parks are closed. Streets are deserted, stores are empty, even teenagers are not 'hanging out' with friends. Elderly people in the community are bring 'checked' to make sure they get the supplies they need without getting out of their homes due to the high risk. A religious ICU nurse shaved his beard today because the hospital was trying hard to find a N95 mask that can fit him and he simply went to the bathroom and shaved his beard to focus on what's more important . Stories like this by the public is heartwarming and people are coming together as a community to take care of each other. Not following "shelter in place" is a misdemeanour and the society is taking it very seriously.
The US is two weeks behind Italy and unfortunately, it has been a similar trend so far to repeat what has happened in Italy. Hope these aggressive measures by the Government, and public with strict social distancing and robust response by the medical community will flatten the curve.
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Padmashree Anandhan
The War in Ukraine: Fragile Skies, Failed Offensives, and Stalled Ceasefires
Ramya B
Russia and the War in Ukraine: Unwilling to Compromise
Santhiya M
Ethiopia: GERD inauguration amid Egypt-Sudan resistance
Ayan Datta
Sudan: A Civil War’s Implications Beyond Borders
Anu Maria Joseph
The Conflict in Eastern Congo: Rebel Violence, State Failure and Failed Mediations
R Preetha
The War in Gaza: Alarming Ground Situation, Failed Global Interventions, Competing Visions and Viability of Two-State Solution
Brighty Ann Sarah
The War in Gaza: Israel’s expanding military campaign
Anshuman Behera
State of Conflicts and Peace in India’s Northeast India: The Challenge of Demography, Development and Dialogue in Divided Societies
Anshuman Behera
The Meanings and Warnings of Nepal’s Youth Protest: Insulated political leadership, Unchecked corruption, and Mounting Unemployment
Bibhu Prasad Routray
Myanmar Since the 2021 Coup: Cost and Consequences of the Military's Containment Strategy
Kasvi Batra
Thailand–Cambodia border conflict: History, Politics, Cost and Regional Mediation
Avishka Ashok
The US-China Tariff War: The Battle for Global Economic Supremacy
IPRI Team
Congo: M23 Violence and Failed Peace Efforts in Eastern DRC
IPRI Team
Protests and Instability in Nepal
IPRI Team
The War in Gaza: US Post-War Plans and Global Accountability Efforts
IPRI Team
Trump-Putin-Zelensky-EU Leaders meetings, Reoccupation of Gaza by Israel, and the Armenia-Azerbaijan agreement
IPRI Team
Trump-Putin Talks on Ukraine, Israel's reoccupation of Gaza City, and a Fragile Ceasefire in DR Congo
IPRI Team
The War in Gaza: Failed negotiations, unfolding famine and the mounting international pressure
IPRI Team
Thailand–Cambodia Diplomatic and Military Standoff & Third Round of Russia–Ukraine Negotiations in Turkey
IPRI Team
Sectarian Violence in Syria and New US Sanctions on Russia over Ukraine
IPRI Team
Conflict Weekly # 287-88
IPRI Team
Conflict Weekly #286
IPRI Team
Conflict Weekly #284-285
Conflict Weekly # 282-83
Conflict Weekly # 280-81
India-Pakistan Tensions | Ukraine between missile attacks and ceasefire proposals
IPRI Team
Expanding anti-Erdogan Protests in Turkey and Russia’s Continuing Military Strikes in Ukraine
IPRI Team
The Farmer-Herder Conflict in Nigeria, and Remembering the Genocide in Rwanda
Women and Peacebuilding: An interaction with Ms Visaka Dharmadasa on International Women's Day
IPRI Team
Devastating Earthquake in Myanmar
Bibhu Prasad Routray
Myanmar: State of Perpetual War
IPRI Team
Ukraine's Failed Kursk Offensive, Congo-Rwanda Ceasefire Statement, and the Return of War in Gaza
IPRI Team
Ukraine: Discussions in Russia and Saudi Arabia, A Ceasefire Proposal, and Drone/Missile Attacks
IPRI Team
Ukraine and Gaza under Trump’s Shadow
IPRI Team
Three Years of Ukraine War
IPRI Team
Europe's Ukraine Dilemma
IPRI Team
Gaza’s fragile ceasefire, Violence in Bangladesh, and DR Congo's M23 problem
IPRI Team
A Dangerous Offensive in DR Congo by M23
IPRI Team
The Israel-Hamas Deal (and its challenges)
IPRI Team
The Israel-Hamas Deal and Wildfires in California
IPRI Team
Trump’s Threat to the Middle East, Genocide in Sudan, Fears over China’s Dam on Yarlung Tsangpo, andTen Years after Charlie Hebdo Attacks
IPRI Team
Crisis in Syria, Protests in Georgia, Violence in Mozambique, and an Update on Ukraine War
IPRI Team
State of Peace and Conflict in 2024
IPRI Team
The Rise of HTS and the Fall of Assad in Syria
IPRI Team
Continuing Baloch Disappearances and the Failed PTI Protest in Pakistan
IPRI Team
The Long Range Missiles in Ukraine War and the Prolonged War in Sudan
IPRI Team
Trump and the Conflict in the Middle East
IPRI Team
India-China Border Disengagement and Floods in Spain
IPRI Team
Continuing Israel-Iran-Hezbollah-Hamas Conflict and a Controversial Election in Georgia
IPRI Team
Continuing Israel-Hezbollah Attacks and a Militant Attack in Kashmir
IPRI Team
Special Edition on “Contemporary Conflictsâ€
IPRI Team
Israel-Hezbollah-Iran Missile Attacks, and New Tensions in Sudan
IPRI Team
From Gaza to Lebanon: A New Phase of War in the Middle East
IPRI Team
The War in Ukraine: Russia’s counteroffensive in Kursk
IPRI Team
The Continuing State of War, Mediation and Humanitarian Crisis in Sudan
IPRI Team
Protests in Israel and Drone Attacks in Ukraine
IPRI Team
Telegram Founder’s Arrest, Attack in Burkina Faso, Canada’s Ban on Chinese EVs and Wildfires in Greece and Canada
IPRI Team
Blinken’s Ninth Visit to Israel and the Mpox Outbreak in Africa
IPRI Team
Ukraine’s Kursk Offensive inside Russia, and the UK Violence
IPRI Team
Violence in Bangladesh, the UK, and Nigeria
IPRI Team
Houthis-Hezbollah-Israel Tensions, and Continuing & Expanding Protests in Kenya
IPRI Team
Continuing Crisis in Kenya, Doha Talks with the Taliban, and Suicide Bombings in Nigeria
IPRI Team
Israel-Hezbollah Conflict, Terror Attacks in Dagestan, and Protests in Kenya
IPRI Team
Ukraine Peace Summit, New Challenges to Netanyahu, and Wildfires in California
IPRI Team
Biden's Gaza Proposal, New US Order on Migration, and a Guilty Verdict in Hong Kong
IPRI Team
International Condemnation of Israel, Battle for Kharkiv in Russia, and the Protests in New Caledonia
IPRI Team
Growing International Pressure on Israel, Protests in Armenia and Elections in South Africa
IPRI Team
Conflict in Gaza, Elections in Catalonia and Protests in Georgia
IPRI Team
Elusive Negotiations over Gaza and Complex Abortion Legislations in the US
IPRI Team
UK's Rwanda Deportation Bill and Ecuador's Referendum
IPRI Team
Conflict Escalation in the Middle East, and One Year of Civil War in Sudan
IPRI Team
Six Months of War in Gaza & the Mexico-Ecuador spat
IPRI Team
Remembering the Rwandan Genocide and Martin Luther King
IPRI Team
UNSC Resolution on Gaza, Terror Attack in Moscow, and a Profile of the IS-K
IPRI Team
The Female Genital Mutilation bill in The Gambia, Search for a Ceasefire in Gaza and Continuing Instability in Haiti
IPRI Team
Continuing Kidnappings in Nigeria
IPRI Team
Sweden in NATO, Farmers' Protest in Poland, and the anti-LGBTQ bill in Ghana
IPRI Team
The Battle for Avdiivka in Ukraine
IPRI Team
Israel's Military Campaign in Rafah
IPRI Team
Protests in Senegal
IPRI Team
UNRWA 's funding crisis in Gaza, Farmers' protest in France, and Withdrawal of Mali, Burkina Faso and Niger from ECOWAS
IPRI Team
Continuing Violence in Haiti, Myanmar and Gaza
IPRI Team
The Red Sea Crisis: Attacks and Counter Attacks
IPRI Team
Blinken's Fourth Visit to Middle East, Ecuador's State of Internal Armed Conflict, and Ethiopia-Somaliland tensions in the Horn of Africa
IPRI Team
The War in Ukraine and Gaza
IPRI Team
Special Edition: Conflicts in 2023
IPRI Team
The Red Sea Crisis and Hungary's blockade of EU's Ukraine aid
IPRI Team
Tensions in South China Sea and Ukraine and Terror Attack in Pakistan
IPRI Team
End of a Fragile Peace in Gaza, and a Failed Coup in Sierra Leone
IPRI Team
Floods in East Africa, the London Summit on Global Food Security, and the War in Gaza
IPRI Team
Into the Fifth Week: The Continuing Ground Offensive and Israel’s Search for Hamas’ Command Centre
IPRI Team
The Conflict in Sudan and Pakistan's Repatriation of Illegal Refugees
IPRI Team
The Worsening Situation in Gaza, Rapprochement between Venezuela and the US, and the Philippines- China Maritime Dispute
IPRI Team
The Conflict Escalation in Israel and the Failed Indigenous Voice Referendum in Australia
IPRI Team
Israel-Palestine Conflict and Earthquake in Afghanistan
IPRI Team
Rising security threats after the coup in Niger
IPRI Team
Nagorno-Karabakh and the End of the Republic of Artsakh
IPRI Team
Decriminalisation of Abortion in Mexico, Continuing Violence in Sudan, Floods in Libya, and Earthquake in Morocco
IPRI Team
The Fall of Black Sea Grain Initiative, Leadership Troubles for Myanmar in ASEAN, and Post-Coup Tensions in Gabon
IPRI Team
Coup in Gabon and One Year of “Total Peace†in Colombia
IPRI Team
Another Conflict in Ethiopia and a Stalemate in Niger
IPRI Team
Political Violence in Ecuador, Wildfires in Hawaii, and Two Years of Taliban Rule
IPRI Team
Continuing Standoff in Niger, Expanding War in Ukraine, and Political Crisis in Senegal
S Shaji
Increasing Insurgency in East Africa: Major Trends and Trajectories
IPRI Team
The Coup in Niger, Violent anti-government demonstrations in Kenya, and Protests in Israel over judicial reforms
Bibhu Prasad Routray
Return of Violence in Manipur
Bibhu Prasad Routray
Myanmar continues to burn
IPRI Team
Protests in France, Termination of UN Mission in Mali, and Violence in Israel
IPRI Team
Rise and Fall of the Wagner Revolt, Failure of the Ninth Ceasefire in Sudan, and the Global Gender Gap Report
Rishika Yadav, Sneha Surendran, Sandra D Costa, Ryan Marcus, Prerana P and Nithyashree RB
Global Gender Gap Report 2023: Regional Takeaways
IPRI Team
Violence in Uganda, Migrant Crisis in the Mediterranean, State of the Climate in Europe, and Taliban Arms Management
Bibhu Prasad Routray
The Civil War in Myanmar: Continuing Violence, the Battle of Attrition, and the Divide within ASEAN
IPRI Team
Counter-Offensive and Drone Attacks in Ukraine, and Continuing Violence in Manipur
Bibhu Prasad Routray
India: Violence continues in Manipur
IPRI Team
Canada's Wildfires, and Reviews of two reports on Tigray and the Arctic Ice-melt
IPRI Team
The Russia-Ukraine Drone Warfare, Violence in Kosovo, and a Separatists' Crisis in Cameroon
IPRI Team
Another ceasefire in Sudan, and a Counteroffensive in Ukraine
IPRI Team
Evacuation in Sudan, and the Chinese Ambassador's statement on the status of former Soviet republics
IPRI Team
Violence in Sudan and the Battle for Bakhmut
IPRI Team
Violence in Israel and 25 years of the Good Friday Agreement
IPRI Team
Protests in Israel, Elections in Finland, and Kidnapping in Nigeria
IPRI Team
Protests in Senegal, Imran Khan's arrest attempt and Bank distress across the US and Europe
IPRI Team
Protests in Georgia, Japan-South Korea reconciliation, and Iran’s school poisoning
IPRI Team
New BREXIT deal on Northern Ireland, battle for Bakhmut and return of violence in Palestine
IPRI Team
Protests in China and France, and post-earthquake crises in Turkey and Syria
IPRI Team
The US-China tensions over balloon, and Weather anomalies in the Americas
IPRI Team
The continuing crisis in Israel
IPRI Team
Protests in Spain, Sweden and Israel
IPRI Team
Population decline in China, and Protests in Peru
IPRI Team
Peace and conflict in 2022: Top 50 stories from around the world
IPRI Team
Global Biodiversity Framework and the EU's gas price capping regulation
IPRI Team
Workers strike in the UK
IPRI Team
Drone attacks in Russia
IPRI Team
Protests in China and the end of TTP's ceasefire in Pakistan
IPRI Team
A ceasefire in DRC and a report on the repatriation from Syria's detention camps
IPRI Team
Special Edition: 150th Issue of Conflict Weekly
IPRI Team
Assassination attempt on Imran Khan and Russia’s withdrawal from Kherson
IPRI Team
Permanent ceasefire in Ethiopia and a report on the supply chain behind war crimes in Myanmar
IPRI Team
Chad: Extension of transition period sparks pro-democratic protests
IPRI Team
Haiti's Gang Violence, Venezuelan Migrants and the US, and Global Hunger Index
IPRI Team
UNHRC proceedings on Xinjiang and the Oxfam report on reducing inequality
IPRI Team
North Korea's missile tests and Russia's annexation of four territories
IPRI Team
Protests in Iran
IPRI Team
The UN report on Xinjiang: Four Takeaways
IPRI Team
Violence in Baghdad and Renewed fighting in Ethiopia
IPRI Team
Clashes between Armenia-Azerbaijan
IPRI Team
Ukraine's counter-offensive, North Korea's legislation on preemptive nuclear strike, and a report on Modern Slavery
IPRI Team
Six months of War in Ukraine
IPRI Team
Zawahiri's killing, Pope's apology to the indigenous people in Canada, Iraq's political crisis, and Senegal's disputed elections
IPRI Team
Russia’s gas warning to Europe, and Sudan’s intra-tribal clashes
IPRI Team
President Rajapaksa’s resignation and the economic crisis in Sri Lanka, and the military's withdrawal in Sudan
IPRI Team
Political Stalemate in Libya, and the Fall of Luhansk in Ukraine
IPRI Team
Attacks on pride marches in Europe, Migration problems in Morocco, and Russia's new attacks in Ukraine
IPRI Team
Heatwave in Europe, rise of the Left in Colombia and the UNHCR report on Forced Displacement
IPRI Team
The new UK new bill on Brexit, Turkey's NATO concerns on Finland and Sweden and the SIPRI report on nuclear arsenal/weapons
IPRI Team
North Korea's Missile Tests and Sanctions on Mali
IPRI Team
Denmark's referendum on EU defence and interstate tensions in Africa
IPRI Team
Another school shooting in the US, and EU-UK tussle over Northern Ireland protocol
IPRI Team
Another racial attack in the US, Divide within the EU over the Russian oil ban, and violence in Israel
IPRI Team
Intensifying political crisis in Sri Lanka, Communal tensions in Ethiopia, and 75 days of Ukraine war
IPRI Team
Mali-France tensions and anti-UK protests in the Virgin Islands
IPRI Team
​​​​​​​UK-Rwanda asylum deal, Mexico's continuing femicides, and Afghanistan's sectarian violence
IPRI Team
The battle for Donbas, Violence in Jerusalem, Riots in Sweden, Kyrgyzstan- Tajikistan border dialogue, and China’s military drills
IPRI Team
Violence in Nigeria, and Russia’s new military strategy in Ukraine
IPRI Team
Political Crises in Sri Lanka, Pakistan and Tunisia; Ceasefire in Yemen; and the Battle for Mariupol
IPRI Team
30 days of War in Ukraine
IPRI Team
Sri Lanka’s worsening economic crisis
IPRI Team
The end of Denmark’s Inuit experiment
IPRI Team
International Women’s Day: Gap between policies and realities on gender equality
IPRI Team
Russia’s Ukraine Invasion: One Week Later
IPRI Team
Russia’s Ukraine salami slicing and Canada’s freedom convoy protests
IPRI Team
Unfreezing the Afghan assets, Tunisia’s judicial crisis and Libya’s new political deadlock
IPRI Team
Freedom convoy protests in Canada, and a de-escalation over Ukraine
IPRI Team
One year of the coup in Myanmar, Taliban meetings in Oslo, and the Global hunger report
IPRI Team
Coup in Burkina Faso, Continuing violence in Yemen, and an ISIS attack in Syria
IPRI Team
Threat of War over Ukraine, a Syrian trial in Germany, and Protests in France
IPRI Team
Conflicts in 2021 : Through Regional Prisms
IPRI Team
New reports on the Omicron threat, and lifting sanctions on humanitarian aid to Afghanistan
IPRI Team
West warns Russia over Ukrainian aggression and South Korea and North Korean agree on end-of-war declaration in principle
IPRI Team
Unrest in the Solomon Islands, and the 12 million missing children in China
IPRI Team
Anti-lockdown protests in Europe, Farmers' protests in India, and Continuing instability in Sudan
IPRI Team
Europe's other migrant crisis, and Protests in Cuba and Thailand
IPRI Team
The migrant threat to Europe from Belarus and Ceasefire with the TTP in Pakistan
IPRI Team
One year of Ethiopian conflict and UK-France fishing row
IPRI Team
Coup in Sudan, ASEAN on Myanmar, and the Migrant game by Belarus
IPRI Team
One year after Samuel Paty's killing, Kidnapping in Haiti, and Instability in Sudan
IPRI Team
ISIS violence in Afghanistan, and Targeted killings in J&K
IPRI Team
Anti-Bolsonaro protests in Brazil, UK-France fishing row, Talks with the TTP in Pakistan, and the anti-abortion law protests in the US
IPRI Team
Pride marches in Europe, Jail term for Hotel Rwanda hero, and continuing Houthi-led violence in Yemen
IPRI Team
Protests in Europe and Brazil, and an impending humanitarian crisis in Afghanistan
IPRI Team
Texas' abortion ban, Return of the Thai protests, the Taliban government, and the Guinea coup
IPRI Team
The US exit from Afghanistan, the Houthi violence in Yemen, and Hurricane Ida in the US
IPRI Team
Return of the Taliban and the fall of Afghanistan
IPRI Team
Taliban offensive, New Zealand's apology over the Pacific communities, Peru's new problem, and an inter-State clash in India's Northeast
IPRI Team
France's anti-extremism bill, Canada's burning churches, and Tunisia's new political crisis
IPRI Team
Floods in Germany, Wildfires in Siberia and the Pegasus Spyware
IPRI Team
Anti-government protests in Cuba, Pro-Zuma protests in South Africa, and remembering the Srebrenica massacre
IPRI Team
Taliban offensive in Afghanistan, Protests in Colombia, and the Heat Wave
IPRI Team
Ceasefire in Ethiopia, Berlin Conference on Libya and the World Drug Report
IPRI Team
The US Juneteenth, UN resolution on Myanmar and Global Peace Index
IPRI Team
Three new reports on Child labour, Ethiopia and Xinjiang, Tensions in Belfast, and the Suu Kyi trial
IPRI Team
Continuing protests in Colombia, another mass abduction in Nigeria, and a controversial election in Syria
IPRI Team
Ceasefire in Israel, NLD ban in Myanmar and a new Belarus crisis
IPRI Team
Violent protests in Colombia, US troops withdrawal in Afghanistan, and the battle for Marib in Yemen
IPRI Team
Israel-Syria missile strikes, Clashes in Somalia and Afghan meetings in Pakistan
IPRI Team
Riots in Northern Ireland, Sabotage on an Iranian nuclear facility, and a massacre in Ethiopia
IPRI Team
Bloody Week in Myanmar, a Suicide attack in Indonesia and an Insurgency in Mozambique
IPRI Team
Sanctions on China, Saudi Arabia ceasefire in Yemen, the UNHRC resolution on Sri Lanka, and a massacre in Niger
IPRI Team
Gender Protests in Australia, Expanding Violence in Myanmar and Anti-protests bill in the UK
IPRI Team
Women’s Day, Swiss Referendum, Myanmar Violence, George Floyd Trial and Lebanon Protests
IPRI Team
From Myanmar and Hong Kong in Asia to Nigeria in Africa: Seven conflicts this week
IPRI Team
Continuing Protests in Myanmar, ‘Comfort Women’ issue in South Korea and Abductions in Nigeria
IPRI Team
Anti-Coup protests in Myanmar, a new US strategy on Yemen, and the US-Iran differences on nuclear roadmap
IPRI Team
Coup in Myanmar and Protests in Russia
IPRI Team
Farmers' protests in India, Vaccine Wars, another India-China border standoff, and Navalny's imprisonment
IPRI Team
New President in the US, new Chinese Village in Arunachal Pradesh, new Israeli settlement in West Bank, and another massacre in Sudan
IPRI Team
Trump impeached by the US House, Hazara miners buried in Pakistan, Farm laws stayed in India, and the Crisis escalation in CAR
IPRI Team
Hot on the Conflict Trails: Top Ten Conflicts in 2020
IPRI Team
Boko Haram abductions in Nigeria, Violence in Afghanistan and Farmers' protest in India
IPRI Team
Farmers protest in India, Radicals target idols in Bangladesh, UK reaches out to the EU and Saudi Arabia to mend ties with Qatar
IPRI Team
An assassination in Iran, Massacre in Nigeria and Suicide bombings in Afghanistan
IPRI Team
Electoral violence in Africa, War crimes in Afghanistan, COVID's third global wave, and Protest escalation in Thailand
IPRI Team
A peace agreement in Nagorno-Karabakh and a brewing civil war in Ethiopia
IPRI Team
IS terror in Vienna and Kabul, new controversy along Nepal-China border, and a boundary dispute in India’s Northeast
IPRI Team
Solidarity in France, Emergency withdrawn in Thailand, Terror tag removed in Sudan and Hunger in South Asia
IPRI Team
An Afghan woman nominated for the Nobel and a Dalit woman assaulted in India. External actors get involved in the Nagorno-Karabakh conflict
IPRI Team
Al Qaeda module in India, Naga Peace talks and the Polio problem in Pakistan
IPRI Team
Targeted Violence in Pakistan, Protests in Hong Kong and the Charlie Hebdo Trial in France
IPRI Team
Anti Racist Protests in the US and the Floods in Pakistan
IPRI Team
Proposed amendment in Sri Lanka, Verdict on the gunman in New Zealand, Peace Conference in Myanmar and the Ceasefire troubles in Libya
IPRI Team
Release of Taliban prisoners in Afghanistan, Troubles in Naga Peace Talks in India’s Northeast, and a deadly week in Lebanon
IPRI Team
Devastating floods in Assam, and a mob Lynching of cattle smugglers along India-Bangladesh border
IPRI Team
Violence in India's Northeast, FGM ban in Sudan, the UN warning on Global Hunger & the Return of Global Protests
IPRI Team
Geelani's Exit and Continuing Violence in J&K, and the BLA attack on Pakistan stock exchange in Karachi
IPRI Team
Baloch Disappearance issue returns, Nepal tightens Citizenship rules, and Egypt enters the conflict in Libya
IPRI Team
A week of violence in Afghanistan, US and Africa, Urban drivers of political violence, and anti-racism protests in Europe
IPRI Team
Kalapani dispute in India-Nepal border, Migrants exodus in India, Continuing violence in Balochistan and KP
IPRI Team
