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Conflict Weekly 77
Ceasefire in Ethiopia, Berlin Conference on Libya and the World Drug Report
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IPRI Team
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Conflict Weekly #77, 30 June 2021, Vol.2, No.13
An initiative by NIAS-IPRI & KAS-India Office
Apoorva Sudhakar and Jeshil Samuel J
Ethiopia: Federal government declares unilateral ceasefire after TPLF recaptures Mekelle
In the news
On 29 June, the Tigray People's Liberation Front (TPLF) spokesperson vowed to clear the Tigray region off all "enemies." BBC quoted the spokesperson's remarks to CNN: "We will not stop until Tigray has been cleared of any and all enemy forces. We will do whatever it takes." On the same day, Tigray residents reportedly celebrated the recapture of Tigray by the TPLF. Meanwhile, the US State Department warned that if hostilities continue in Tigray, Ethiopia and Eritrea should be prepared for actions from the US.
On 28 June, TPLF troops seized the regional capital, Mekelle, forcing Tigray's interim authority appointed by the federal government to flee. Following this, the federal government declared a unilateral ceasefire. Al Jazeera quoted from the statement: "This unilateral ceasefire declaration starts from today 28 June 2021 and will stay until the farming season ends." The UN Secretary-General said he had spoken with the Prime Minister and said: "I am hopeful that an effective cessation of hostilities will take place."
Issues at large
First, a recap of the conflict in Tigray. The recapture of Mekelle comes eight months after the federal government declared the end of a military offensive on 28 November 2020. The offensive had been launched on 4 November in response to an alleged TPLF attack on federal military bases in Tigray. Though the offensive lasted only three weeks, the fallouts of the same led to a humanitarian crisis and rights violations including massacres, sexual abuse, and restrictions on aid supply. Differences between the TPLF and the federal government can be traced back to 2018 when PM Abiy Ahmed overthrew the TPLF-led government.
Second, the recent spate of violence. On 22 June, dozens of civilians were killed in a military airstrike on a village in Tigray; some witnesses claimed that around 40 people were killed and some have pinned the figure at 80. In a separate incident, on 25 June, the Doctors without Borders (MSF) agency reported that three of its staff had been murdered in Tigray. Apart from the above incidents, several reports of violence throughout the eight months have been released.
Third, the uncertainty regarding the elections. On 21 June, Ethiopia held its parliamentary elections, which had previously been delayed twice since 2020. The postponement of elections in 2020 was a trigger for the worsening of relations between Tigray and the federal government. Meanwhile, the elections were boycotted by some opposition parties on the grounds of manipulation and harassment and polls were not held in Tigray.
Fourth, increased international attention on the crisis. Recently, the UN human rights chief said: "I am deeply disturbed by continued reports of serious violations of international humanitarian law and gross human rights violations and abuses against civilians by all parties to the conflict." Concerns regarding the conflict also include the role of Eritrea in targeting Tigrayans. After denying several times, the Ethiopian government admitted the presence of Eritrean troops along the Tigray borders and condemned their role in rights abuses. The EU and the US have repeatedly expressed concerns over the above; Eritrea and Ethiopia, under the TPLF-led government, had been at war for decades.
In perspective
First, the recapture of Mekelle is not surprising; after the federal government declared its victory in November, the TPLF retreated but had vowed to come back. The timing of the recapture - within a week of the elections - signifies that the move was well planned and that TPLF has a roadmap ahead. The TPLF had previously warned of action against Eritrea's presence in Tigray; therefore, any escalation between the two could have devastating impacts in the region.
Second, if Prime Minister Abiy Ahmed wins the elections and retains his position, he will have to deal with multiple crises, some of which were triggered by his policies; otherwise, another TPLF like uprising from another region of Ethiopia cannot be ruled out.
Libya: Berlin Conference stresses on Libyan-led and Libyan-owned political process
In the news
On 23 June, the Second Berlin Conference on Libya was hosted by the German Foreign Minister and the United Nations Secretary-General. A press release from the Federal Foreign Office of Germany acknowledged the improvement in Libya's situation and reiterated support to the interim Government of National Unity. However, the Conference also held that several measures were yet to be implemented and asked the interim government to ensure elections in December. Lastly, the Conference called for the withdrawal of all foreign forces without delay. The press release said: "We reaffirm our strong commitment to the UN-facilitated, Libyan-led and Libyan owned political process and the sovereignty, independence, territorial integrity and national unity of Libya."
On 28 June, the UN Secretary-General Special Envoy for Libya addressed the Libyan Political Dialogue Forum (LPDF). The Envoy reiterated from the Berlin Conference and said: "I encourage you to move beyond what divides you and to reach a consensus on a possible constitutional basis for the elections in December. By this, you will live up to your responsibilities."
Issues at large
First, the progress in Libya. In October 2020, the two warring sides in Libya – the internationally recognized Government of National Accord (GNA) and the parallel authority, Libyan National Army (LNA) - signed a ceasefire. Subsequently, an interim government was sworn in on 15 March with elected interim Prime Minister, President and Vice President who will ensure that parliamentary and presidential elections are held on 24 December 2021. As of 29 June, the ceasefire has been successful for the longest period in recent times. Previous Libyan-led and Libyan-owned ceasefires had failed as they focused on power-sharing between the GNA and LNA. However, the Berlin Conference emphasizes an entirely new government.
Second, the external actors. The latest Conference included delegations from the UNSC's permanent five countries; Italy, Turkey, the UAE, the European Union, African Union, UN; and other African countries. The attendance of the European and Arab countries is particularly important as they were supporting different sides in the Libyan conflict. For example, Italy and France were supporting the GNA and LNA, respectively; similarly, Qatar and the UAE were also supporting the respective sides. All these countries have now unanimously called for a solution. However, Turkey differs from the rest of the countries on the troop withdrawal and insists on maintaining its forces in Libya as part of an agreement with the GNA. Currently, the UN estimates that over 20,000 foreign mercenaries are present in Libya.
Third, continued European interests in Africa. The Berlin Conference was first held in February 2020. Between the first and second Conferences, European countries, especially Germany and France have displayed an increased interest in Africa. For example, in March, France reopened its embassy in Tripoli after seven years. France has also been mending its relations with Rwanda, and the French President visited Rwanda in May. Similarly, Germany recognized the genocide between 1904 to 1908 in Namibia, which was a German colony.
In perspective
First, the solution to the conflict lies in the inclusivity of all conflicting parties in the new government. Therefore, the months leading up to December will be crucial as they will decide whether the emphasis on a "Libyan-led and Libyan owned" will reap the required results or not.
Second, the Conference is another step in European countries trying to correct their positions in Africa. The Conference also reflected a strong US interest in the finding a solution to the Libyan conflict.
UNODC World Drug Report: 36 million struggled with drug use disorders globally in 2020
In the news
On 24 June, the United Nations Office on Drugs and Crime (UNODC) released the annual World Drug Report. Divided into five separate booklets, the report individually examines the policy implications in combatting illegal drugs, the supply and demand for illegal drugs, the market trends towards cannabis and other opioids, the market trends towards cocaine and other amphetamine-type stimulants, and finally, the impact of COVID-19 on drugs. The report aims to foster greater international cooperation in combatting the drug problem and assist member states in addressing challenges that may arise regarding the same in the future.
The key findings of the report are as follows. First, the number of people using drugs increased by 22 per cent between 2010 and 2019, partly because of the increase in the global population. Second, nearly 275 million people used drugs globally in 2020, and over 36 million struggled with drug use disorders. Third, cannabis has become more potent in the last ten years. However, fewer young people see it as a harmful drug. Fourth, the sale of drugs on the dark web increased fourfold between 2017 and 2020, amounting to annual revenue of nearly USD 315 million. Fifth, the number of drug users in Africa is estimated to increase by 40 per cent by 2030. Sixth, drug markets have made a quick recovery from the pandemic, and the trafficking of drugs has increased alongside contactless drug transactions. Seventh, the increased use of technology during the pandemic has led to innovations in drug prevention and treatment services, enabling healthcare professionals to treat more addicts.
Issues at large
First, the fallouts of drug abuse. Drug abuse does not stop with affecting the abuser, it also takes a toll on the socio-economic conditions of their families and country. In many cases, drug abuse has far-reaching repercussions like domestic abuse, compromised livelihood, involvement in criminal activities, unhealthy relationships, and suicidal tendencies. In 2019 alone, the impact of drug abuse on the American economy was estimated to be USD 193 billion. That same year, there were around 50,000 recorded deaths in the US that resulted from overdosing on opioids. At present, more than 11 million people are addicted to injecting drugs, and around half of them suffer from Hepatitis C. These individuals are also at higher risk of succumbing to new diseases as they do not use new or sterilized needles all the time.
Second, the changing dynamics of drug trafficking and sales. The pandemic forced drug dealers to explore new methods and platforms to sell drugs. The rapid growth in technological innovation may soon create a globalized market with a wider reach. Drug sales and marketing in popular e-commerce platforms and social media are stark reminders that accessibility to drugs is increasing. Drug trafficking has also increased due to the rise in demand, resulting in larger shipments being trafficked using private planes and waterway routes. Contactless delivery of drugs has also become popular with the help of cryptocurrencies for buyers and mail or drone deliveries for sellers.
Third, the fallouts of the pandemic. The pandemic has worsened the economic conditions of numerous countries leading to a spike in the global unemployment rate. The rising unemployment rates could push more people to work as daily labourers in illicit crop farms or for drug traffickers. The pandemic has also fostered poverty, inequality and mental health conditions, which have pushed many people into using drugs. This increased usage of drugs will inevitably lead to an increase in drug use disorders.
Fourth, the epidemic of misinformation. This year's theme for the International Day against Drug Abuse and Illicit Trafficking was "Share facts on drugs. Save lives". The large scale spread of misinformation by drug advertisers and sellers has led youngsters in particular to have a false perception of the potency of drugs like cannabis.
In perspective
The report suggests major additions to government policies that could help tackle the drug problem more effectively. A few of the suggestions include increased funding for research on the potency of drugs, regulation of cryptocurrency markets, updating scientific standards regularly, constant transaction of intelligence between law enforcement agencies, and improved socio-economic conditions for marginalized communities susceptible to drug usage. However, most of these solutions are easier said than done.
An increase in funding for research and rehabilitation has been a problem even for developed countries. Improving the socio-economic conditions of marginalized communities might not be possible due to the financial impact of the pandemic. As long as unemployment is on the rise, so will the usage of drugs.
Also from around the World
By Apoorva Sudhakar and Abigail Miriam Fernandez
Peace and Conflict from East and Southeast Asia
Hong Kong: 117 arrested within one year of the imposition of National Security Law
On 30 June, Hong Kong marked one year of Beijing's imposition of the National Security Law on the city in 2020. Since 30 June 2020, 117 people have been arrested under the law; of this, at least 60 are pro-democracy politicians, activists, journalists and students. CNA reports that the youngest person to be arrested under the law was 15 years old and the oldest, 79. Meanwhile, The Security Bureau maintained that the law had effectively curbed chaos and restored order in the city. The news report quotes a Bureau spokesperson: "We would like to emphasize that any law enforcement actions ... are based on evidence, strictly according to the law."
China: Nike is a brand of and for China, says Chief executive
On 25 June, BBC reported that Nike's Chief executive defended the brand's business in China despite Chinese consumers calling for a boycott for the brand's statements on Xinjiang. The chief executive said: "Nike is a brand that is of China and for China... We've always taken a long-term view. We've been in China for over 40 years." The development comes after Nike and other brands faced backlash in China as they expressed concerns over reports of forced labour of Uighur Muslims in Xinjiang region.
Taiwan: China retaliates to increased Japan, US support to Taipei
On 28 June, Japan's State Minister of Defence said that democratic countries protected each other and therefore called for the protection of Taiwan. Following this, the Chinese Foreign Ministry spokesperson said: "We deplore the erroneous remarks by the senior official of the Japanese government, and we have lodged solemn representations," adding, "This is highly sinister, dangerous and irresponsible. This politician also openly called Taiwan a country, in serious violation of the China-Japan joint statement." The development comes after China, similarly, maintained that increasing military contacts between the US and Taiwan would be opposed, adding that "seeking independence of Taiwan means' war.'"
Peace and Conflict from South Asia
India: Farmers mark seven months of protests, say ready to stay at borders till 2024
On 26 June, thousands of farmers marking the seven-month anniversary of their protests against three agricultural reform laws marched to Raj Bhavan. The farmers stated that their demands are the same, saying that more people will be joining the protests soon. Additionally, they submitted a memorandum to President, claiming an undeclared emergency in the country. Meanwhile, farmers at the Singhu border stated that they are ready to stay at the borders till 2024.
India: Prime Minister meets leaders from Jammu and Kashmir
on 24 June, Prime Minister Narendra Modi met leaders from Jammu and Kashmir. The meeting is considered as a significant development, as there were 14 leaders from J&K from different political parties that included four former Chief Ministers - Farooq Abdullah, Ghulam Nabi Azad, Omar Abdullah and Mehbooba Mufti. The People’s Alliance for Gupkar Declaration (PAGD), a group of six parties (including the PDP, NC and the Congress) and the BJP were the primary parties that took part in the meeting. On 29 June, the PAGD was to meet for a follow-up meeting to discuss the New Delhi meeting; it has been postponed.
India: Two explosions reported at IAF Jammu station
On 27 June, an Indian Air Force spokesperson stated: "Two low-intensity explosions were reported in the technical area of the Jammu Air Force Station. One caused minor damage to the roof of a building while the other exploded in an open area. There was no damage to any equipment. A probe is on." Officials suspect the attackers to have dropped and detonated the devices by unmanned aerial vehicles.
Sri Lanka: President pardons 94 persons
On 24 June, President Gotabaya Rajapaksa pardoned 94 persons, including 16' political prisoners' and one murder convict on death row. The move was welcomed by Tamil parties and human rights defenders; however, government critics and lawyers criticized the release of former MP Duminda Silva, who was sentenced to death in 2016 for murdering a political rival.
Afghanistan: "Civil war is certainly a path that can be visualized," says Gen Miller
On 29 June, General Austin S Miller, commander of the US-led mission in Afghanistan, warned that Afghanistan could be on a path to a civil war amidst the US troop withdrawal. He said: "Civil war is certainly a path that can be visualized if it continues on the trajectory it's on," adding, "That should be a concern for the world." Meanwhile, the Pentagon has called on the Taliban to return to the peace negotiations, saying: "What we want to see, what we'd like to see is the Taliban return to the peace process in a credible way," adding, "The violence remains too high, and we're all aware of all of the security situation in Afghanistan."
Afghanistan: Last German troops leave Afghanistan
On 29 June, the German Defence Minister announced that the last German last troops left Afghanistan. The minister said: "Our last troops left Afghanistan this night after almost 20 years and are on their way home." There were around 1100 German troops in Afghanistan, and is said to be the countries deadliest military mission since World War II. Meanwhile, Tajikistan and Uzbekistan have stated that cases of Afghan government troops seeking refuge across the borders are now becoming a common occurrence. On 27 June, 17 Afghan troops were forced to flee to Tajikistan after an armed group of militants launched an attack on a border checkpoint in Afghanistan.
Peace and Conflict from Central Asia, Middle East, and Africa
Uzbekistan: 53 Afghan military and militiamen returned to Afghanistan
On 24 June, Eurasianet reported that several Afghan troops and pro-government militia trying to cross into the Uzbek territory were returned immediately. The Foreign Ministry said that on 23 June, 53 soldiers and militiamen had crossed into territory near the Amu-Darya River. Eurasianet quoted from the Ministry's statement: "Any attempts to illegally cross into Uzbek territory will be strictly suppressed, and very stringent measures will be taken against those infringing the state border." The statement further called on all parties in the Afghan conflict not to escalate the violence in Afghanistan.
Syria-Iraq: The US launches airstrike against Iran-backed militia
On 27 June, the US military said it had carried out airstrikes targeting Iran-backed armed groups in Iraq and Syria. The Syrian Observatory for Human Rights said five fighters were killed in operation. On 28 June, the Observatory said that Iran-backed groups had launched counter-attacks on US bases. State media SANA also reported that the groups had "targeted a military base of the US occupation forces in the Al-Omar oil field." Meanwhile, Iraqi groups took to the streets in Baghdad to protest against the US air raids; Al Jazeera reports that several protesters were heard chanting "Death to America" and "Vengeance for the martyrs."
Palestine: Activist's death sparks protest against Mahmoud Abbas
On 24 June, hundreds gathered outside the Palestinian Authority headquarters in Ramallah to protest against the death of activist Nizar Banat who was a vocal critic of the PA; Banat died in custody two days after he was arrested. On 26 June, protesters called on the PA President Mahmoud Abbas to quit his position and reflect the people's interests. Following this, supporters of Abbas began a rally claiming that Palestinians wanted him to stay. Meanwhile, a Hamas spokesman said: "The brutal repression by the security services of the PA in the occupied West Bank against demonstrators is criminal conduct and a flagrant violation of all laws and humanitarian norms."
Lebanon: Hezbollah and Hamas leaders meet in Beirut
On 29 June, Hezbollah and Hamas leaders met in Beirut to discuss the 11-day conflict in the Gaza Strip. Hamas chief Ismail Haniyeh held that Palestinian refugees had the right to return, adding that those residing in Lebanon should be seen as "guests" until they return to their homeland. Further, he said: "Jerusalem remains the focus of the conflict with the occupation, and the resistance is the strategic choice for liberation... The unity of the Palestinian people is the basis for achieving this liberation." Haniyeh also met with the Lebanese President and Speaker.
The GERD: Sudan, Egypt urge UNSC to intervene in Nile Dam dispute
On 28 June, The Arab Weekly reported that Sudan had rejected Ethiopia's plan to conduct a second filing of the Grand Ethiopian Renaissance Dam (Nile Dam). The news report quoted a senior Sudanese official who said that Ethiopia had presented "impossible conditions" regarding water sharing from the dam. The development comes days after the Sudanese Foreign Ministry had called on the UN Security Council to urge Ethiopia to suspend its plans to fill the dam. Meanwhile, on 26 June, the Egyptian Foreign Minister said that Cairo had also called on the UNSC for a resolution on the dam. The minister said: "It was important for us to bolster Sudan's position and make our own request."
Madagascar: WFP outlines the risk of starvation and warns of a famine
On 25 June, the World Food Program Regional Director said prolonged droughts are pushing 400,000 people towards starvation in Madagascar. He said that the UN and the Madagascar government would be launching a USD 155 million appeal to address the situation. On the same day, WFP chief David Beasley tweeted that if the necessary measures are not taken, the figure will reach 500,000 within a few months. He said: "This is not because of war or conflict, this is because of climate change," adding, "This is an area of the world that has contributed nothing to climate change, but now, they're the ones paying the highest price." Meanwhile, on 30 June, he outlined that Ethiopia, South Sudan and Yemen also faced similar situations and added that Burkina Faso and Niger were also countries of concern. He said: "If we don't address their needs, over the next six to nine months you could have an unprecedented famine of biblical proportions, destabilization of nations and mass migration."
Nigeria: UNDP report links the death of 324,000 children to 12-year fight against Boko Haram
On 24 June, a UN Development Programme report outlined that the fight against Boko Haram in northeast Nigeria since 2009 had resulted in the death of 324,000 children below the age of five. This figure accounted for more than 90 per cent of the 350,000 casualties of the conflict; however, of the total casualties, around 314,000 were indirect deaths. The UN said: "In northeast Nigeria alone, 13.1 million people live in areas affected by conflict, out of whom 8.7 million are in need of immediate assistance."
Somalia: 41 al Shabab terrorists killed in a suicide attack, says the Somali National Army
On 28 June, the UN said that thousands had been displaced due to violence in a village in north-central Somalia on 27 June after al Shabab terrorists launched an attack. However, the Somali National Army (SNA) said 41 terrorists were killed in a suicide car bomb attack; further, an SNA commander said three soldiers and five paramilitary personnel were also killed in the attack. The government condemned the attack, and the Deputy Information Minister said the people of Wisil had the courage and resisted the terrorists.
Burkina Faso: US Ambassador condemns involvement of children in Solhan massacre
On 28 June, the US Ambassador to the UN highlighted the involvement of children in the Solhan village massacre on 4 June wherein at least 132 people were killed. The Ambassador said: "Earlier this month, in the village of Solhan in the Sahel region, a non-state armed group killed more than 130 civilians – many of whom were children. That armed group? Mostly 12- to 14-year-olds. Children killing children – children killing children." Meanwhile, on 29 June, a public prosecutor said two suspected jihadists had been detained in connection with the massacre. Previously, on 24 June, UNICEF had also condemned the revelations by the UN and the Burkinabe government. UNICEF said: "We strongly condemn the recruitment of children and adolescents by non-state armed groups. This is a grave violation of their fundamental rights."
Peace and Conflict from Europe and the Americas
The US-Ukraine: Sea Breeze exercise raise tensions with Russia
On 28 June, the Sea Breeze 2021 multinational maritime exercise, organized by the Ukrainian Navy and the US Sixth Fleet, began in the Black Sea region. Pentagon Press Secretary stated: "There is nothing provocative about a naval exercise in international waters... This longstanding exercise continues to support security and stability in the region through interoperability with our Black Sea NATO allies and partners." Russia's Defence Ministry stated that Moscow would monitor the Ukrainian-American exercises very closely and respond if necessary.
Belarus: Foreign Ministry ask EU envoys to leave over sanctions
On 28 June, Belarus asked the European Union's representative to return to Brussels for consultations and stated that it would stop helping the bloc in combating illegal migration in retaliation against EU sanctions. The Ministry also announced that it was suspending its participation in the EU's Eastern Partnership, a policy initiative that aims to deepen the EU's ties with neighbouring former communist countries. In response, the EU's Council President stated: "Belarus has taken another step backwards today by suspending its participation in the Eastern Partnership. This will escalate tensions further and have a clear negative impact on the people of Belarus by depriving them of opportunities provided by our cooperation.
Israel-Poland: Two countries summon each other over Holocaust property bill
On 27 June, Israel's Foreign Ministry summoned Polish Ambassador over a new law that Israelis fear would block compensation claims for World War II atrocities. Israeli officials stated: "This is not a historical debate about responsibility for the Holocaust but a moral debt of Poland to those who were its citizens and whose property was looted during the Holocaust and under the Communist regime." Conversely, on 28 June, Poland summoned Israeli Charge d'Affaires. Polish Deputy Foreign Minister said: "We believe that unfortunately what we're dealing with here is a situation that certain Israeli politicians are exploiting for internal political purposes."
Italy: Anti-Islamic State coalition says the threat from ISIS fighters remains
On 28 June, a global coalition to fight Islamic State terrorists met in Rome, pledging to maintain watch against a resurgence of the insurgents. The group stated that eight million people had been freed from their control in Iraq and Syria, but the threat from ISIS fighters remains there and in Africa. The coalition said it needed to address the following: "the drivers that make communities vulnerable to recruitment by Daesh/ISIS and related violent ideological groups, as well as to provide support to liberated areas to safeguard our collective security interests." On the resumption in ISIS, it said: "activities and its ability to rebuild its networks and capabilities to target security forces and civilians in areas in Iraq and Syria where the coalition is not active, requires strong vigilance and coordinated action."
Colombia: Helicopter carrying the President attacked
On 25 June, Colombian President Ivan Duque stated that a helicopter carrying him and several senior officials came under fire in the southern Catatumbo region bordering Venezuela. However, there were no casualties. Meanwhile, Colombian authorities have not confirmed the perpetrators; however, they suspect dissidents from the non-functioning Revolutionary Armed Forces of Colombia guerrillas or the rebel National Liberation Army to be responsible for the attack.
Venezuela: Maduro allows opposition coalition to contest upcoming elections
On 29 June, the head of the National Electoral Council (CNE) announced that a coalition of major opposition political parties would be able to field candidates in upcoming elections as the opposition and government prepare to enter into a negotiation process. The Democratic Unity Roundtable opposition bloc, known as MUD, will be one of twenty authorized political parties that will take part in the November elections. This move comes after several actions by President Nicolas Maduro seen by many as olive branches to the opposition.
The US: House votes to remove confederate statues in the US Capitol
On 29 June, the House of Representatives voted to remove all Confederate statues from public display in the US Capitol. The House passed the bill with a 285-120 majority, with all Democrats voting in support of the legislation. A Democrat Representative who helped write the bill said: "We can't change history, but we can certainly make it clear that which we honor and that which we do not honor," adding: "Symbols of hate and division have no place in the halls of Congress."
The US: UNSC holds its first formal public meeting on cybersecurity
On 29 June, The UN Security Council held its first formal public meeting on cybersecurity, addressing the growing threat of hacks to countries' key infrastructure. The session was held by Estonia as part of its UNSC Presidency. During the meeting, several Security Council members acknowledged the grave dangers posed by cybercrime, especially ransomware attacks on key installations and companies. This comes after the issue was raised recently by President Joe Biden with President Vladimir Putin.
About the authors
Jeshil Samuel J is a postgraduate scholar from the Department of International Studies, CHRIST (Deemed to be University) currently enrolled at the NIAS Online Certificate Course on Contemporary Peace Processes. Apoorva Sudhakar and Abigail Miriam Fernandez are Research Associates at the School of Conflict and Security Studies in NIAS.
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Trump-Putin Talks on Ukraine, Israel's reoccupation of Gaza City, and a Fragile Ceasefire in DR Congo
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The War in Gaza: Failed negotiations, unfolding famine and the mounting international pressure
IPRI Team
Thailand–Cambodia Diplomatic and Military Standoff & Third Round of Russia–Ukraine Negotiations in Turkey
IPRI Team
Sectarian Violence in Syria and New US Sanctions on Russia over Ukraine
IPRI Team
Conflict Weekly # 287-88
IPRI Team
Conflict Weekly #286
IPRI Team
Conflict Weekly #284-285
Conflict Weekly # 282-83
Conflict Weekly # 280-81
India-Pakistan Tensions | Ukraine between missile attacks and ceasefire proposals
IPRI Team
Expanding anti-Erdogan Protests in Turkey and Russia’s Continuing Military Strikes in Ukraine
IPRI Team
The Farmer-Herder Conflict in Nigeria, and Remembering the Genocide in Rwanda
Women and Peacebuilding: An interaction with Ms Visaka Dharmadasa on International Women's Day
IPRI Team
Devastating Earthquake in Myanmar
Bibhu Prasad Routray
Myanmar: State of Perpetual War
IPRI Team
Ukraine's Failed Kursk Offensive, Congo-Rwanda Ceasefire Statement, and the Return of War in Gaza
IPRI Team
Ukraine: Discussions in Russia and Saudi Arabia, A Ceasefire Proposal, and Drone/Missile Attacks
IPRI Team
Ukraine and Gaza under Trump’s Shadow
IPRI Team
Three Years of Ukraine War
IPRI Team
Europe's Ukraine Dilemma
IPRI Team
Gaza’s fragile ceasefire, Violence in Bangladesh, and DR Congo's M23 problem
IPRI Team
A Dangerous Offensive in DR Congo by M23
IPRI Team
The Israel-Hamas Deal (and its challenges)
IPRI Team
The Israel-Hamas Deal and Wildfires in California
IPRI Team
Trump’s Threat to the Middle East, Genocide in Sudan, Fears over China’s Dam on Yarlung Tsangpo, andTen Years after Charlie Hebdo Attacks
IPRI Team
Crisis in Syria, Protests in Georgia, Violence in Mozambique, and an Update on Ukraine War
IPRI Team
State of Peace and Conflict in 2024
IPRI Team
The Rise of HTS and the Fall of Assad in Syria
IPRI Team
Continuing Baloch Disappearances and the Failed PTI Protest in Pakistan
IPRI Team
The Long Range Missiles in Ukraine War and the Prolonged War in Sudan
IPRI Team
Trump and the Conflict in the Middle East
IPRI Team
India-China Border Disengagement and Floods in Spain
IPRI Team
Continuing Israel-Iran-Hezbollah-Hamas Conflict and a Controversial Election in Georgia
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Continuing Israel-Hezbollah Attacks and a Militant Attack in Kashmir
IPRI Team
Special Edition on “Contemporary Conflictsâ€
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Israel-Hezbollah-Iran Missile Attacks, and New Tensions in Sudan
IPRI Team
From Gaza to Lebanon: A New Phase of War in the Middle East
IPRI Team
The War in Ukraine: Russia’s counteroffensive in Kursk
IPRI Team
The Continuing State of War, Mediation and Humanitarian Crisis in Sudan
IPRI Team
Protests in Israel and Drone Attacks in Ukraine
IPRI Team
Telegram Founder’s Arrest, Attack in Burkina Faso, Canada’s Ban on Chinese EVs and Wildfires in Greece and Canada
IPRI Team
Blinken’s Ninth Visit to Israel and the Mpox Outbreak in Africa
IPRI Team
Ukraine’s Kursk Offensive inside Russia, and the UK Violence
IPRI Team
Violence in Bangladesh, the UK, and Nigeria
IPRI Team
Houthis-Hezbollah-Israel Tensions, and Continuing & Expanding Protests in Kenya
IPRI Team
Continuing Crisis in Kenya, Doha Talks with the Taliban, and Suicide Bombings in Nigeria
IPRI Team
Israel-Hezbollah Conflict, Terror Attacks in Dagestan, and Protests in Kenya
IPRI Team
Ukraine Peace Summit, New Challenges to Netanyahu, and Wildfires in California
IPRI Team
Biden's Gaza Proposal, New US Order on Migration, and a Guilty Verdict in Hong Kong
IPRI Team
International Condemnation of Israel, Battle for Kharkiv in Russia, and the Protests in New Caledonia
IPRI Team
Growing International Pressure on Israel, Protests in Armenia and Elections in South Africa
IPRI Team
Conflict in Gaza, Elections in Catalonia and Protests in Georgia
IPRI Team
Elusive Negotiations over Gaza and Complex Abortion Legislations in the US
IPRI Team
UK's Rwanda Deportation Bill and Ecuador's Referendum
IPRI Team
Conflict Escalation in the Middle East, and One Year of Civil War in Sudan
IPRI Team
Six Months of War in Gaza & the Mexico-Ecuador spat
IPRI Team
Remembering the Rwandan Genocide and Martin Luther King
IPRI Team
UNSC Resolution on Gaza, Terror Attack in Moscow, and a Profile of the IS-K
IPRI Team
The Female Genital Mutilation bill in The Gambia, Search for a Ceasefire in Gaza and Continuing Instability in Haiti
IPRI Team
Continuing Kidnappings in Nigeria
IPRI Team
Sweden in NATO, Farmers' Protest in Poland, and the anti-LGBTQ bill in Ghana
IPRI Team
The Battle for Avdiivka in Ukraine
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Israel's Military Campaign in Rafah
IPRI Team
Protests in Senegal
IPRI Team
UNRWA 's funding crisis in Gaza, Farmers' protest in France, and Withdrawal of Mali, Burkina Faso and Niger from ECOWAS
IPRI Team
Continuing Violence in Haiti, Myanmar and Gaza
IPRI Team
The Red Sea Crisis: Attacks and Counter Attacks
IPRI Team
Blinken's Fourth Visit to Middle East, Ecuador's State of Internal Armed Conflict, and Ethiopia-Somaliland tensions in the Horn of Africa
IPRI Team
The War in Ukraine and Gaza
IPRI Team
Special Edition: Conflicts in 2023
IPRI Team
The Red Sea Crisis and Hungary's blockade of EU's Ukraine aid
IPRI Team
Tensions in South China Sea and Ukraine and Terror Attack in Pakistan
IPRI Team
End of a Fragile Peace in Gaza, and a Failed Coup in Sierra Leone
IPRI Team
Floods in East Africa, the London Summit on Global Food Security, and the War in Gaza
IPRI Team
Into the Fifth Week: The Continuing Ground Offensive and Israel’s Search for Hamas’ Command Centre
IPRI Team
The Conflict in Sudan and Pakistan's Repatriation of Illegal Refugees
IPRI Team
The Worsening Situation in Gaza, Rapprochement between Venezuela and the US, and the Philippines- China Maritime Dispute
IPRI Team
The Conflict Escalation in Israel and the Failed Indigenous Voice Referendum in Australia
IPRI Team
Israel-Palestine Conflict and Earthquake in Afghanistan
IPRI Team
Rising security threats after the coup in Niger
IPRI Team
Nagorno-Karabakh and the End of the Republic of Artsakh
IPRI Team
Decriminalisation of Abortion in Mexico, Continuing Violence in Sudan, Floods in Libya, and Earthquake in Morocco
IPRI Team
The Fall of Black Sea Grain Initiative, Leadership Troubles for Myanmar in ASEAN, and Post-Coup Tensions in Gabon
IPRI Team
Coup in Gabon and One Year of “Total Peace†in Colombia
IPRI Team
Another Conflict in Ethiopia and a Stalemate in Niger
IPRI Team
Political Violence in Ecuador, Wildfires in Hawaii, and Two Years of Taliban Rule
IPRI Team
Continuing Standoff in Niger, Expanding War in Ukraine, and Political Crisis in Senegal
S Shaji
Increasing Insurgency in East Africa: Major Trends and Trajectories
IPRI Team
The Coup in Niger, Violent anti-government demonstrations in Kenya, and Protests in Israel over judicial reforms
Bibhu Prasad Routray
Return of Violence in Manipur
Bibhu Prasad Routray
Myanmar continues to burn
IPRI Team
Protests in France, Termination of UN Mission in Mali, and Violence in Israel
IPRI Team
Rise and Fall of the Wagner Revolt, Failure of the Ninth Ceasefire in Sudan, and the Global Gender Gap Report
Rishika Yadav, Sneha Surendran, Sandra D Costa, Ryan Marcus, Prerana P and Nithyashree RB
Global Gender Gap Report 2023: Regional Takeaways
IPRI Team
Violence in Uganda, Migrant Crisis in the Mediterranean, State of the Climate in Europe, and Taliban Arms Management
Bibhu Prasad Routray
The Civil War in Myanmar: Continuing Violence, the Battle of Attrition, and the Divide within ASEAN
IPRI Team
Counter-Offensive and Drone Attacks in Ukraine, and Continuing Violence in Manipur
Bibhu Prasad Routray
India: Violence continues in Manipur
IPRI Team
Canada's Wildfires, and Reviews of two reports on Tigray and the Arctic Ice-melt
IPRI Team
The Russia-Ukraine Drone Warfare, Violence in Kosovo, and a Separatists' Crisis in Cameroon
IPRI Team
Another ceasefire in Sudan, and a Counteroffensive in Ukraine
IPRI Team
Evacuation in Sudan, and the Chinese Ambassador's statement on the status of former Soviet republics
IPRI Team
Violence in Sudan and the Battle for Bakhmut
IPRI Team
Violence in Israel and 25 years of the Good Friday Agreement
IPRI Team
Protests in Israel, Elections in Finland, and Kidnapping in Nigeria
IPRI Team
Protests in Senegal, Imran Khan's arrest attempt and Bank distress across the US and Europe
IPRI Team
Protests in Georgia, Japan-South Korea reconciliation, and Iran’s school poisoning
IPRI Team
New BREXIT deal on Northern Ireland, battle for Bakhmut and return of violence in Palestine
IPRI Team
Protests in China and France, and post-earthquake crises in Turkey and Syria
IPRI Team
The US-China tensions over balloon, and Weather anomalies in the Americas
IPRI Team
The continuing crisis in Israel
IPRI Team
Protests in Spain, Sweden and Israel
IPRI Team
Population decline in China, and Protests in Peru
IPRI Team
Peace and conflict in 2022: Top 50 stories from around the world
IPRI Team
Global Biodiversity Framework and the EU's gas price capping regulation
IPRI Team
Workers strike in the UK
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Drone attacks in Russia
IPRI Team
Protests in China and the end of TTP's ceasefire in Pakistan
IPRI Team
A ceasefire in DRC and a report on the repatriation from Syria's detention camps
IPRI Team
Special Edition: 150th Issue of Conflict Weekly
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Assassination attempt on Imran Khan and Russia’s withdrawal from Kherson
IPRI Team
Permanent ceasefire in Ethiopia and a report on the supply chain behind war crimes in Myanmar
IPRI Team
Chad: Extension of transition period sparks pro-democratic protests
IPRI Team
Haiti's Gang Violence, Venezuelan Migrants and the US, and Global Hunger Index
IPRI Team
UNHRC proceedings on Xinjiang and the Oxfam report on reducing inequality
IPRI Team
North Korea's missile tests and Russia's annexation of four territories
IPRI Team
Protests in Iran
IPRI Team
The UN report on Xinjiang: Four Takeaways
IPRI Team
Violence in Baghdad and Renewed fighting in Ethiopia
IPRI Team
Clashes between Armenia-Azerbaijan
IPRI Team
Ukraine's counter-offensive, North Korea's legislation on preemptive nuclear strike, and a report on Modern Slavery
IPRI Team
Six months of War in Ukraine
IPRI Team
Zawahiri's killing, Pope's apology to the indigenous people in Canada, Iraq's political crisis, and Senegal's disputed elections
IPRI Team
Russia’s gas warning to Europe, and Sudan’s intra-tribal clashes
IPRI Team
President Rajapaksa’s resignation and the economic crisis in Sri Lanka, and the military's withdrawal in Sudan
IPRI Team
Political Stalemate in Libya, and the Fall of Luhansk in Ukraine
IPRI Team
Attacks on pride marches in Europe, Migration problems in Morocco, and Russia's new attacks in Ukraine
IPRI Team
Heatwave in Europe, rise of the Left in Colombia and the UNHCR report on Forced Displacement
IPRI Team
The new UK new bill on Brexit, Turkey's NATO concerns on Finland and Sweden and the SIPRI report on nuclear arsenal/weapons
IPRI Team
North Korea's Missile Tests and Sanctions on Mali
IPRI Team
Denmark's referendum on EU defence and interstate tensions in Africa
IPRI Team
Another school shooting in the US, and EU-UK tussle over Northern Ireland protocol
IPRI Team
Another racial attack in the US, Divide within the EU over the Russian oil ban, and violence in Israel
IPRI Team
Intensifying political crisis in Sri Lanka, Communal tensions in Ethiopia, and 75 days of Ukraine war
IPRI Team
Mali-France tensions and anti-UK protests in the Virgin Islands
IPRI Team
​​​​​​​UK-Rwanda asylum deal, Mexico's continuing femicides, and Afghanistan's sectarian violence
IPRI Team
The battle for Donbas, Violence in Jerusalem, Riots in Sweden, Kyrgyzstan- Tajikistan border dialogue, and China’s military drills
IPRI Team
Violence in Nigeria, and Russia’s new military strategy in Ukraine
IPRI Team
Political Crises in Sri Lanka, Pakistan and Tunisia; Ceasefire in Yemen; and the Battle for Mariupol
IPRI Team
30 days of War in Ukraine
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Sri Lanka’s worsening economic crisis
IPRI Team
The end of Denmark’s Inuit experiment
IPRI Team
International Women’s Day: Gap between policies and realities on gender equality
IPRI Team
Russia’s Ukraine Invasion: One Week Later
IPRI Team
Russia’s Ukraine salami slicing and Canada’s freedom convoy protests
IPRI Team
Unfreezing the Afghan assets, Tunisia’s judicial crisis and Libya’s new political deadlock
IPRI Team
Freedom convoy protests in Canada, and a de-escalation over Ukraine
IPRI Team
One year of the coup in Myanmar, Taliban meetings in Oslo, and the Global hunger report
IPRI Team
Coup in Burkina Faso, Continuing violence in Yemen, and an ISIS attack in Syria
IPRI Team
Threat of War over Ukraine, a Syrian trial in Germany, and Protests in France
IPRI Team
Conflicts in 2021 : Through Regional Prisms
IPRI Team
New reports on the Omicron threat, and lifting sanctions on humanitarian aid to Afghanistan
IPRI Team
West warns Russia over Ukrainian aggression and South Korea and North Korean agree on end-of-war declaration in principle
IPRI Team
Unrest in the Solomon Islands, and the 12 million missing children in China
IPRI Team
Anti-lockdown protests in Europe, Farmers' protests in India, and Continuing instability in Sudan
IPRI Team
Europe's other migrant crisis, and Protests in Cuba and Thailand
IPRI Team
The migrant threat to Europe from Belarus and Ceasefire with the TTP in Pakistan
IPRI Team
One year of Ethiopian conflict and UK-France fishing row
IPRI Team
Coup in Sudan, ASEAN on Myanmar, and the Migrant game by Belarus
IPRI Team
One year after Samuel Paty's killing, Kidnapping in Haiti, and Instability in Sudan
IPRI Team
ISIS violence in Afghanistan, and Targeted killings in J&K
IPRI Team
Anti-Bolsonaro protests in Brazil, UK-France fishing row, Talks with the TTP in Pakistan, and the anti-abortion law protests in the US
IPRI Team
Pride marches in Europe, Jail term for Hotel Rwanda hero, and continuing Houthi-led violence in Yemen
IPRI Team
Protests in Europe and Brazil, and an impending humanitarian crisis in Afghanistan
IPRI Team
Texas' abortion ban, Return of the Thai protests, the Taliban government, and the Guinea coup
IPRI Team
The US exit from Afghanistan, the Houthi violence in Yemen, and Hurricane Ida in the US
IPRI Team
Return of the Taliban and the fall of Afghanistan
IPRI Team
Taliban offensive, New Zealand's apology over the Pacific communities, Peru's new problem, and an inter-State clash in India's Northeast
IPRI Team
France's anti-extremism bill, Canada's burning churches, and Tunisia's new political crisis
IPRI Team
Floods in Germany, Wildfires in Siberia and the Pegasus Spyware
IPRI Team
Anti-government protests in Cuba, Pro-Zuma protests in South Africa, and remembering the Srebrenica massacre
IPRI Team
Taliban offensive in Afghanistan, Protests in Colombia, and the Heat Wave
IPRI Team
Ceasefire in Ethiopia, Berlin Conference on Libya and the World Drug Report
IPRI Team
The US Juneteenth, UN resolution on Myanmar and Global Peace Index
IPRI Team
Three new reports on Child labour, Ethiopia and Xinjiang, Tensions in Belfast, and the Suu Kyi trial
IPRI Team
Continuing protests in Colombia, another mass abduction in Nigeria, and a controversial election in Syria
IPRI Team
Ceasefire in Israel, NLD ban in Myanmar and a new Belarus crisis
IPRI Team
Violent protests in Colombia, US troops withdrawal in Afghanistan, and the battle for Marib in Yemen
IPRI Team
Israel-Syria missile strikes, Clashes in Somalia and Afghan meetings in Pakistan
IPRI Team
Riots in Northern Ireland, Sabotage on an Iranian nuclear facility, and a massacre in Ethiopia
IPRI Team
Bloody Week in Myanmar, a Suicide attack in Indonesia and an Insurgency in Mozambique
IPRI Team
Sanctions on China, Saudi Arabia ceasefire in Yemen, the UNHRC resolution on Sri Lanka, and a massacre in Niger
IPRI Team
Gender Protests in Australia, Expanding Violence in Myanmar and Anti-protests bill in the UK
IPRI Team
Women’s Day, Swiss Referendum, Myanmar Violence, George Floyd Trial and Lebanon Protests
IPRI Team
From Myanmar and Hong Kong in Asia to Nigeria in Africa: Seven conflicts this week
IPRI Team
Continuing Protests in Myanmar, ‘Comfort Women’ issue in South Korea and Abductions in Nigeria
IPRI Team
Anti-Coup protests in Myanmar, a new US strategy on Yemen, and the US-Iran differences on nuclear roadmap
IPRI Team
Coup in Myanmar and Protests in Russia
IPRI Team
Farmers' protests in India, Vaccine Wars, another India-China border standoff, and Navalny's imprisonment
IPRI Team
New President in the US, new Chinese Village in Arunachal Pradesh, new Israeli settlement in West Bank, and another massacre in Sudan
IPRI Team
Trump impeached by the US House, Hazara miners buried in Pakistan, Farm laws stayed in India, and the Crisis escalation in CAR
IPRI Team
Hot on the Conflict Trails: Top Ten Conflicts in 2020
IPRI Team
Boko Haram abductions in Nigeria, Violence in Afghanistan and Farmers' protest in India
IPRI Team
Farmers protest in India, Radicals target idols in Bangladesh, UK reaches out to the EU and Saudi Arabia to mend ties with Qatar
IPRI Team
An assassination in Iran, Massacre in Nigeria and Suicide bombings in Afghanistan
IPRI Team
Electoral violence in Africa, War crimes in Afghanistan, COVID's third global wave, and Protest escalation in Thailand
IPRI Team
A peace agreement in Nagorno-Karabakh and a brewing civil war in Ethiopia
IPRI Team
IS terror in Vienna and Kabul, new controversy along Nepal-China border, and a boundary dispute in India’s Northeast
IPRI Team
Solidarity in France, Emergency withdrawn in Thailand, Terror tag removed in Sudan and Hunger in South Asia
IPRI Team
An Afghan woman nominated for the Nobel and a Dalit woman assaulted in India. External actors get involved in the Nagorno-Karabakh conflict
IPRI Team
Al Qaeda module in India, Naga Peace talks and the Polio problem in Pakistan
IPRI Team
Targeted Violence in Pakistan, Protests in Hong Kong and the Charlie Hebdo Trial in France
IPRI Team
Anti Racist Protests in the US and the Floods in Pakistan
IPRI Team
Proposed amendment in Sri Lanka, Verdict on the gunman in New Zealand, Peace Conference in Myanmar and the Ceasefire troubles in Libya
IPRI Team
Release of Taliban prisoners in Afghanistan, Troubles in Naga Peace Talks in India’s Northeast, and a deadly week in Lebanon
IPRI Team
Devastating floods in Assam, and a mob Lynching of cattle smugglers along India-Bangladesh border
IPRI Team
Violence in India's Northeast, FGM ban in Sudan, the UN warning on Global Hunger & the Return of Global Protests
IPRI Team
Geelani's Exit and Continuing Violence in J&K, and the BLA attack on Pakistan stock exchange in Karachi
IPRI Team
Baloch Disappearance issue returns, Nepal tightens Citizenship rules, and Egypt enters the conflict in Libya
IPRI Team
A week of violence in Afghanistan, US and Africa, Urban drivers of political violence, and anti-racism protests in Europe
IPRI Team
Kalapani dispute in India-Nepal border, Migrants exodus in India, Continuing violence in Balochistan and KP
IPRI Team
