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Conflict Weekly
Attacks on pride marches in Europe, Migration problems in Morocco, and Russia's new attacks in Ukraine
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IPRI Team
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Conflict Weekly #130, 29 June 2022, Vol.3, No.13
An initiative by NIAS-IPRI and KAS-India Office
Europe: Targeted attacks on pride month celebration
In the news
On 25 June, a gunman opened fire near the London Pub in Oslo, Norway. Two people were killed and ten seriously injured. The gunman, a 42-year-old Norwegian citizen from Iran, targeted three locations: the London Pub, one of the most popular places for the LGBTQ community, the Herr Nilsen jazz club and a nearby takeaway outlet. Following the attacks, the Oslo pride parade, an annual pride festival of Norway, was cancelled.
On 26 June, prior to a pride march, police in Turkiye arrested activists, journalists, and photographers from bars in the Cihangir district of Istanbul. They detained people who had gathered for the march. Previously, the authorities had also issued a seven-day ban on gatherings from 20-26 June to prevent the march altogether. Earlier in June, Turkiye’s police arrested and reportedly tortured 11 LGBTQ activists who had gathered to celebrate the beginning of pride month.
Issues at large
First, targeted violence against LGBTQ community. Pride marches and protests have been primary targets of homophobic attacks, since they began. At Olso, the shooting is being termed as Islamist terrorism. However, the fact that he opened fire in a spot popular with the LGBTQ community indicates his hatred for sexual minorities. In 2021 in Georgia, a planned March for Dignity as a part of pride celebrations was cancelled after far-right protests violently attacked participants and journalists. In the same year, the organisers of Zagreb Pride in Croatia reported: “For the first time in ten years… there was an outbreak of homophobic fascist violence, in a series of attacks, arsons and insults, in different parts of the city.” The above are some examples of violence against the LGBTQ community during Pride Month.
Second, increasing LGBTQ space. In the last decade, pride-related events have multiplied in Europe, not only in metro cities but also in rural spaces. The increasing LGBTQ spaces stem from a need to deviate from the otherness created by traditionally heterosexual societies.
Third, the state's apprehension towards the LGBTQ community. In Turkiye, homosexuality is not criminalized. However, there is a distinct difference between what is enshrined in the constitution and what the state apparatus practices. Similarly other states in Europe promote this standpoint by arguing that gender theories endanger Christian values.
In perspective
First, disparity in social awareness. There is a disparity in the growth in gender identity and gender expression, compared to the social awareness in countries across the globe. In traditionally conservative societies, where homosexuality is criminalised, it is likely that people are discriminatory towards the LGBTQ community, as in the shooter's case in Norway, originally from Iran where homosexuality is punishable by death.
Second, the rise of nationalist-conservative politicians. Scapegoating of LGBTQ minorities has been increasing, because of the rise of ultra-conservative and nationalist politicians. These politicians position themselves as the protectors and promoters of traditional values.
Third, shrinking liberal spaces across Europe. In Romania, Hungary and Russia, the countries have legislations that ban minors from being exposed to what they call “gay propaganda.” A report by ILGA-Europe showed that violence and hatred towards the community have been on the rise not only in countries with a history of exclusionary laws, like Poland and Hungary but also in France and Germany, which are viewed as progressive.
Fourth, the LGBTQ community’s response to attacks. The LGBTQ community is not new to discrimination. Violent attacks definitely curb the vigour of a protest or celebration as these pride marches tend to be. However, crackdowns by either individuals, groups or even the state have not succeeded in cancelling a march for good.
Morocco-Spain: Mass cross leads to death of over 20 migrants
In the news
On 25 June, Morocco’s state news channel said at least 23 people had died while attempting to enter Spain’s enclave Melilla, from Morocco. Further, 170 security personnel and 76 migrants were wounded. The Guardian referred to a statement by the Spanish government’s local delegation which said around 2,000 people had approached Melilla; nearly 500 entered a border control area and 133 reached Melilla. On the same day, Spain’s prime minister Pedro Sanchez called the migration an attack on Spain’s “territorial integrity” and blamed human traffickers for the incident.
On 26 June, The Guardian referred to a Spanish newspaper quoting a person who attempted crossing into Melilla. The person said the people and the police threw stones at each other and also accused the Moroccan forces of being “very violent, more aggressive than other times,” leading to panic and a stampede.
On 27 June, the African Union Commission chairman Moussa Faki Mahamat expressed shock and called for an investigation. Mahamat tweeted: “I express my deep shock and concern at the violent and degrading treatment of African migrants attempting to cross an international border from #Morocco into #Spain, with the ensuing violence leading to the deaths of at least 23 people and injuries to many more.”
Issues at large
First, migration from Morocco. Moroccans have migrated to European countries in search of better jobs and opportunities. However, Morocco also acts as a destination and transit point to Europe for several people migrants from North Africa and Sub-Saharan Africa. Most people migrate from Africa to escape conflict, violence, impacts of climate change, lack of opportunities, economic difficulties or poverty. Due to its geographical proximity, Morocco acts as a gateway to Europe, given that two autonomous cities under Spain - Ceuta and Melilla are in North Africa.
Second, North Africa as a transit point and Europe’s receiving countries. Apart from Morocco, Libya and Tunisia also act as transit points where people take the Mediterranean route to reach Italy, Greece, Cyprus, Malta and Spain. However, the above four are entry points to Europe and not necessarily destinations for the migrants; destinations include France, Germany and the like.
Third, Spain-Morocco relations. The incident took place after the two countries resolved diplomatic tensions prevailing since 2021. In March 2022, Spain extended support to Morocco’s claims to the Western Sahara. BBC explains that Spain expected that supporting Morocco would ensure cooperation from the latter on the migration issue. Previously, In 2021, Morocco broke ties with Spain after the latter offered treatment to a pro-independence leader of Western Sahara in a Spanish hospital. Further, when around 10,000 migrants crossed into another autonomous Spanish enclave, Ceuta, in May 2021, Morocco turned a blind eye, further deteriorating the ties.
Fourth, the humanitarian cost. The routes taken by migrants to enter Europe are dangerous and often lead to the loss of lives. In 2015, when the migration crisis gained global attention, Amnesty International’s data said since 2000, around 22,000 people had died trying to reach Europe. The International Organization of Migration recorded 1,903 deaths in the Mediterranean and the Western Africa/Atlantic region, so far in 2022. The figures recorded over the years are 3157 (2021); 2326 (2020); 2087 (2019); 2380 (2018); 3140 (2017) and 5305 (2016).
In perspective
First, the number of deaths over the years has not reduced except after 2016 which witnessed over 5000 deaths. Since 2017, the deaths have reduced or increased by a few hundred without displaying any improvement. This indicates the continuation of the migration issue without any solution.
Second, impact on Spain and Morocco relations. The incident may urge Spain and Morocco to fasten talks to address the crisis, especially after the former supported Morocco’s territorial claim over Western Sahara. However, another possibility could be the dampening of the spirits with which both countries restarted diplomatic ties.
Russia-Ukraine: War intensifies as Russia launches surprise attacks on Kyiv
In the news
On 26 and 27 June, Russia launched a range of missiles across parts of Ukraine including Yavoriv, Zhytomyr, Mykolaiv, Lysychansk, and Desna. The Russian forces were observed to have carried out the airstrikes from bombers in Belarusian airspace, through warships in the Black Sea, and via flying aircraft from the Caspian Sea.
On 27 June, Ukrainian intelligence reported that Russia had used six Tu-22M3s to bomb to launch the attacks in the northern part of Ukraine.
On 29 June, the Russian defence ministry claimed that the strikes took place in Ukraine but denied accepting the death of the civilians, as it viewed it as a “military target.”
Issues at large
First, attacks in Kyiv. The attacks are observed to be coordinated by massive missile strikes which also coincides with the G7 summit. Russia had previously attacked Kyiv in April and this renewed attempt of attacks can be either part of Moscow’s new strategy to capture Kyiv again or as a diversion to carry out its evacuation and proceed with capturing Ukraine’s Luhansk and Donbas regions.
Second, Russia’s strategies versus its objective. Till now there has been no clarity on Russia’s objective toward the Ukraine war. Through its on-ground developments, the UK ministry of defence and the US intelligence has traced it to be encircling Luhansk and Donbas upon failure to gain ground in the West. As far as the objectives, one of Russia’s key demands was to keep Ukraine away from NATO. However, with war escalations leading to Sweden and Finland joining NATO, NATO is closer than ever for Russia. Its key objective has backfired. Hence Russia has been trying to role-play by cutting its energy supplies to Europe, tightening its economy.
Third, operation tactics. Russia faces challenges on the ground such as mobilizing resources, recouping new weapons, and ensuring the availability of equipment at the right time for the forces. It has recently concentrated on using various new tactics such as covert mobilization, and Frankenstein forces, who are the remaining soldiers from diverse areas, called to form a combat group. Apart from the two, the Tupolev Tu-22M, a long-range bomber that was produced in mass numbers during the 1970s and has now gained a comeback in the Ukraine war.
In perspective
First, Russia’s strategy toward Europe. With NATO allies increasing on one hand and the EU granting candidate status to Ukraine and Moldova, Russia can turn more aggressive towards Europe. It had earlier warned about the possibility of using nuclear weapons if needed. The involvement of NATO in northern Europe and the Baltic will lead to an advanced war involving more powerful weapon systems. Russia also can crunch Europe economically as it is more costly and logistically challenging for the latter to import gas and oil from alternate sources.
Second, Russia’s strategy towards Ukraine. Russian forces will continue to succeed in territorial gains slowly and are expected to launch more attacks from the west of Izyum to cut down the Ukrainian offensives. This is to ensure the inverted “c” regions, Donbas and Luhansk, are fully brought under Russia’s control. In the coming months, Russia might draw a new boundary dividing the western and eastern Ukraine.
Also from around the World
By Avishka Ashok, Arshiya Banu, Ashwin Immanuel Dhanabalan, Akriti Sharma, Abigail Miriam Fernandez, Rashmi BR, Apoorva Sudhakar, Harini Madhusudan, Rishma Banerjee and Padmashree Anandhan
East and Southeast Asia
China: Commerce ministry spokesperson responds to ban on products from Xinjiang
On 21 June, the US Customs and Border Protection implemented the Uyghur Forced Labor Prevention Act and imposed a ban on products imported from the Xinjiang region. China’s Ministry of Commerce spokesperson accused the US of economic coercion for imposing the ban. The statement by the spokesperson said: “The move will seriously damage the interests of Chinese and U.S. consumers and enterprises, and will do no good for the stabilization of global industrial and supply chains, global inflation easing, or the promotion of global economic recovery.” The ministry further accused the US of practising unilateralism, protectionism, and bullying China in the name of human rights. The Xinjiang regional spokesperson Xu Guixiang opposed the US ban for causing economic losses to Chinese and US consumers and companies. He further stressed the 28 international labour treaties approved and implemented by China and defended the country’s human rights track record.
China: Taiwan concludes annual high-level security talks with the US
On 25 June, the Strait Times reported the US and Taiwan had concluded the three-day annual high-level security talks in Washington. The talks took place in the background of China’s recent incursion into Taiwan’s Air Defence Identification Zone and China’s insistence on the Taiwan Strait not being an international waterway. China’s Eastern Theatre Command’s spokesperson announced that the fly-through by the US Military aircraft had endangered the peace and stability in the Taiwan Strait, and informed that China was monitoring the US aircraft’s operation and opposed the deliberate US actions.
China: Hong Kong Police arrests five individuals as city preps for 25th handover anniversary
On 24 June, the Guardian reported the Hong Kong Police had arrested five people for sedition before the 25th anniversary celebration of the British Handover of the city. The police arrested two men on the suspicion of sharing posts with ill will and inciting violence. On 22 June, the police arrested three more individuals for running an armed separatist movement. The authorities in the city are on a high alert as President Xi Jinping confirmed his visit to the city on the occasion.
North Korea: Foreign ministry accuses the US of forcing the country to develop stronger defences
On 27 June, the Strait Times reported North Korea’s foreign ministry had criticised the US for trying to create a military alliance in Asia akin to NATO, and that the US ambition to topple North Korea's leadership has compelled the regime to fortify its defences. The accusation follows a recent agreement between US president Joe Biden and South Korea’s president Yoon-Suk Yeol to deploy more American weapons if necessary to deter the North and comes amid concerns that the North may be ready to conduct its first nuclear test in five years. The ministry said: "While blatantly holding joint military exercises with Japan and South Korea, the United States is making a full-fledged move to establish an Asia-style NATO."
Japan: Russia vows to hit Japan with countermeasures for imposing sanctions
On 27 June, Russia pledged to strike Japan with retaliatory measures in response to Tokyo’s sanctions against Moscow over its invasion of Ukraine. In the four months since Russia started its war on Ukraine, Japan has joined the West in imposing an unprecedented set of sanctions on Russia. Tokyo's newest actions, including a ban on Russian gold imports, new asset freezes, and export bans on a number of Russian individuals and firms, were announced by Prime Minister Fumio Kishida. The move was denounced by the Russian ambassador to Japan Mikhail Galuzin, who also accused Tokyo of severing ties between the two countries. He stated that sanctions are “short-sighted and harm Japan itself, especially the business community," and added: “such an increase in a hostile policy towards Russia will be taken into account by us in our future approach towards Japan and will not go unanswered.”
Myanmar: Journalists report on the regime, using unconventional methods
On 25 June, a Voice of America report mentioned how the journalists under the military regime were using ways of reporting the day-to-day activities in Myanmar. This comes as the space of media within the country has shrunk after the military took over in February 2021. Myanmar’s journalists have also established several safety measures and have resorted to frequently moving to avoid being caught. The journalists mentioned that they have had to use burner phones and fake businesses as fronts to dodge crackdowns.
Myanmar: UN representative urges ASEAN to increase pressure on the regime
On 23 June, UN’s special rapporteur Tom Andrews stated that ASEAN had to increase their efforts in the country; else, there would be more death and suffering. Andrews added: “The longer we wait, the more inaction that there is, the more people are going to die, the more people are going to suffer.” He stated that ASEAN had to act, or the people in Myanmar would not be able to survive another year under the regime. Andrews further suggested implementing the five-point consensus program for meaningful actions by the bloc.
Indonesia: President Widodo urges Russia and Ukraine to open room for dialogue
On 26 June, Indonesia’s president Joko Widodo said he would call on Russia and Ukraine to act towards an immediate ceasefire. He expressed his concerns as the war disrupted the global food supply. Indonesia’s foreign minister also highlighted the food and fertiliser crisis in the global market. Widodo has condemned the war in Ukraine but has declined an arms request supply from Ukraine’s president Volodymyr Zelenskyy.
South Asia
Sri Lanka: Fuel sales suspended due to economic crisis
On 28 June, Sri Lanka suspended fuel sales for two weeks except for essential services. The halt in the sales was announced when the fuel reserves ran out. Member of Parliament, Bandula Gunawardana said: “From midnight today, no fuel will be sold except for essential services like the health sector, because we want to conserve the little reserves we have,” He added: “We regret the inconvenience caused to the people.” He also said that steps will be taken to ensure fuel supply after 10 July.
Pakistan: Eleventh case of polio reported in North Waziristan
On 24 June, another polio case was detected in North Waziristan. The victim is an eight-month-old boy who has been paralysed by the wild poliovirus (WPV). This takes the country’s tally of the virus to 11 just in 2022. Additionally, all the cases in Pakistan reported in 2022, so far, have been from North Waziristan, with eight of them reported from the Mir Ali area alone. To address the issue, the government launched the second Sub-National Immunisation Days (SNIDs) campaign on 27 June to vaccinate 12.6 million children, covering 25 very high-risk districts for polio across Pakistan.
Pakistan: Seven terrorists killed in an exchange of fire in North Waziristan
On 27 June, The Express Tribune reported that seven terrorists were killed in an exchange of fire in the North Waziristan district. Additionally, weapons and ammunition were recovered from the killed terrorists in the Ghulam Khan Kalle area. Meanwhile, prime minister Shehbaz Sharif argued that terrorism increased in the country because the role of the provinces in the implementation of the National Action Plan (NAP) had been ignored during the last four years. He promised to restore the role of provinces in the NAP.
Afghanistan: Earthquake leaves 1100 killed and several injured
On 22 June, a 6.0 magnitude earthquake hit the Paktika and Khost provinces killing 1100 and injuring 1600 people. The earthquake caused the destruction of homes and landslides in several areas leaving people trapped in the debris. Following the disaster, a Taliban spokesperson called for the unfreezing of Afghan assets saying: “The Islamic Emirate is asking the world to give the Afghans their most basic right, which is their right to life and that is through lifting the sanctions and unfreezing our assets and also giving assistance.” Meanwhile, several countries have sent aid and assistance to help the earthquake affect people.
Central Asia, Middle East, and Africa
Yemen: World Food Program cuts food aid to Yemen
On 27 June, the World Food Program (WFP) announced another drastic reduction in food aid to war-torn Yemen, due to lack of sufficient funds. With the cuts, WFP will be able to cater 50 per cent of daily food requirements to five million people and 25 per cent of requirements to the remaining eight million people. It stated that it was forced to resort to rationing mainly due to the economic crisis that is affecting the flow of funds and the focus on the war in Ukraine.
Jordan: Poisonous gas leak kills 13, injures more than 250 people
On 27 June, a chlorine gas leak in Jordan’s port city Aqaba, killed thirteen and harmed more than 250 people. The Public Security Directorate said that a tank with 25 tonnes of chlorine, scheduled to be exported to Djibouti, fell while being transported. Prime Minister Bisher al-Khasawneh reached Aqaba and visited the hospital where the injured are being treated.
Syria: US military targets the leader of the al-Qaeda-aligned group
On 28 June, the United States Central Command (USCENTCOM) said that it conducted a raid on 27 June in Idlib, Syria, targeting Abu Hamzah al Yemeni, a senior leader of the Hurras al-Din, an al-Qaeda aligned group. It ruled out any civilian casualties or major collateral damage, during an initial review of the operation. The statement noted that “the removal of this senior leader will disrupt al-Qaeda’s ability to carry out attacks against US citizens, our partners and innocent civilians around the world.”
Iraq: Rockets target the Khor Mor gas field
On 26 June, a rocket struck near a UAE-owned gas complex in Iraq’s Kurdish region. This is reported to be the third attack in a span of 72 hours. The Counter-Terrorism Group, a security body in the Kurdish region of Northern Iraq, said that six rockets in total had hit the Khor Mor gas field, which lies between the cities of Kirkuk and Sulaimaniyah. The attack failed to cause much damage or casualties.
Libya: UN official calls for facilitation of return to electoral process
On 27 June, the UN political affairs chief called on the UN “to facilitate a return to the electoral process, based on a sound and consensual constitutional basis for elections,” adding, “This is what the Libyan people have asked for.” Referring to the rivalry between the government appointed by the House of Representatives and the UN-backed government, the UN official warned of an escalation of clashes between the rival groups if maximum restraint and dialogue are not maintained.
Sudan-Ethiopia: Khartoum recalls ambassador from Addis Ababa
On 26 June, Sudan’s foreign ministry said it would recall its ambassador to Ethiopia and also summon Addis Ababa’s ambassador over the alleged killing of seven Sudanese soldiers by the latter’s military. On 25 June, Sudan claimed that seven soldiers had been captured by Ethiopia on Sudan’s territory on 22 June, killed and their bodies hung in Ethiopia’s public. However, on 27 June, Ethiopia denied Sudan’s claims and alleged that Sudanese soldiers entered Ethiopian territory, thus leading to skirmishes between the two sides.
Burkina Faso: Civilians asked to evacuate for military operation against rebels
On 24 June, an army spokesperson said civilians living in northern and southeastern parts of Burkina Faso were notified to evacuate the region within 14 days, ahead of proposed military operations against rebels in the area. However, the spokesperson did not specify how long the civilians had to stay away and where they had to go. The development comes after nearly 100 people were killed and thousands displaced in a rebel attack on 11 June.
Europe and the Americas
G7 Summit: Four members announce a Gold-ban on Russia
On 26 June, four members of the Group of Seven (G7) nations announced the imposition of a gold ban on Russia. Britain, the US, Canada, and Japan banned the import of Russian gold as a measure for tightening sanctions, and against the Russian war efforts in Ukraine. So far, the Western sanctions have targeted the Russian banks, energy companies, airlines, and high-tech and consumer goods. Further choking off the gold market is expected to have a significant impact on their economy. The move would also impact the Russian oligarchs who resorted to buying gold in the face of economic sanctions.
Russia: Strong responses against the transit blockade by Lithuania
On 27 June, following the Lithuanian announcement of banning the transit of goods to Russia’s Kaliningrad enclave, Vilnius faced a DDoS cyberattack. The hacker group Killnet claimed responsibility. Over 1000 websites were attacked which included both state and private institutions. On the same day, Medvedev, the former Russian President and the vice-chairman of the Security Council of the Russian Federation, in an interview announced the possibility of cutting off oxygen supplies to the EU Baltic states in response to the Lithuanian decision.
Ukraine: Sievierodonetsk falls to Russia
On 25 June, the mayor of Sievierodonetsk confirmed that Russia's forces had full control over Sievierodonetsk. With this, Russia now controls the entire Donbas region, except Lysychansk. Kyrlo Budanov, the head of Defence Intelligence at Ukraine’s defence ministry said: “Russia is using the tactic it used in Mariupol: wiping the city from the face of the earth… Given the conditions, holding the defence in the ruins and open fields is no longer possible.” Expecting an increase in Russia’s offensive in Lysychansk, Ukraine’s forces have been ordered to retreat from Sievierodonetsk, regroup and prepare to protect Lysychansk.
Europe: NATO reveals the new strategic concept
On 29 June, NATO released details about their new strategic concept and identified Russia as the most significant threat to Western security. The organization said that it will assist in modernizing Kyiv’s armed forces. It also decided on a seven-fold increase in combat forces along its eastern flanks to pre-empt any future Russian attacks. Reportedly, the number of troops will be raised from 40,000 to 300,000.
Europe: NATO prepares for a cyber defense project. On 29 June, the NATO members agreed to establish a program called “virtual rapid response cyber capability,” for defense against cyber attacks from Russia. The initiative was taken following multiple cyberattacks on Ukraine’s infrastructure and increasing concern that Moscow may target the US and other NATO countries. The US has volunteered to offer “robust national capabilities,” to this program. Furthermore, during the summit NATO reiterated that the North Atlantic Treaty's Article five might also be triggered by a cyberattack, making it an attack against the alliance as a whole.
Portugal: General Secretary Anotonio Guterres declares “Ocean emergency”
On 27 June, the UN General Secretary António Guterres spoke at the opening of the organisation's ocean conference that took place in Lisbon. He spoke about how the ocean needs to be saved. He raised concerns over the rising sea level, ocean heating, acidification, and plastic pollution in the largest water bodies. He further went on to say that the oceans are being exploited and that the member nations should concern themselves with the protection of the high seas. The harm done to oceans may have adverse effects on small nations and coastal cities and may even cause flooding. Increased fishing and marine pollution have led to a reduction in the population of marine life forms. He also talked about dumping wastewater and plastic in the ocean and how it degrades marine ecology. He called for global awareness of marine pollution and to raise global health. The draft declaration focuses on ways to achieve SDG 14 and improve the health of the ocean. The final draft of the political declaration is expected to be adopted by the end of the conference.
Germany: Parliament revokes a law that punishes doctors who advertise abortion services
On 24 June, the coalition government voted to scrap the Nazi-era law in paragraph 219a of the German criminal code that criminalizes doctors who advertise their abortion services. According to paragraph 219a of the German Criminal Code, a doctor might be fined or imprisoned for up to two years for publicly "offering, announcing, or advertising" abortion services. Abortion remains to be legally banned in Germany. However, if the pregnancy poses a health risk, as in the case of rape, or if the abortion is performed during the first 12 weeks of pregnancy following mandated counselling, women and doctors do not face the punishments. Minister of family affairs, Lisa Paus stated that the result was a triumph that strengthens women’s right to self-determination in Germany.
The US: Private equity investor set to takeover UK defence supplier
On 23 June, the aerospace manufacturing company Cobham was permitted to acquire a UK defence supplier called Ultra Electronics. Cobham, based in Bournemouth, England, was taken over by a US private equity investor, Advent, in 2019. Therefore, the firm will be further controlling a significant supplier of nuclear submarine technologies. Under the terms of accession, Cobham will have to establish two “SecureCos” to host “sensitive capabilities.” The government will approve the articles of association for these firms, and it will have a seat on their boards. The government will also have “step-in rights,” which will enable it to seize control of the SecureCos for national security reasons.
Texas: 50 found dead in San Antonio
On 28 June, 50 people were found dead inside a truck in San Antonio, Texas. Mexico’s foreign minister said out of the 50, close to 22 were Mexican, seven from Guatemala and two from Honduras. The San Antonio Fire Chief Charles Hood said that the people found were transferred to the hospital due to heat stroke and exhaustion. The investigation by the Department of Homeland Security found that smugglers and human traffickers were the reason behind the tragedy. US president Joe Biden called the event “horrifying and heartbreaking.”
About the authors
Akriti Sharma, Rashmi BR, and Harini Madhusudan are Doctoral Scholars at the School of Conflict and Security Studies, NIAS. Avishka Ashok, Ashwin Immanuel Dhanabalan, Abigail Miriam Fernandez, Apoorva Sudhakar, Rishma Banerjee, and Padmashree Anandhan are Project Associates at the School of Conflict and Security Studies, NIAS. Arshiya Banu is postgraduate scholars at Women’s Christian College, Chennai.
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The War in Gaza: US Post-War Plans and Global Accountability Efforts
IPRI Team
Trump-Putin-Zelensky-EU Leaders meetings, Reoccupation of Gaza by Israel, and the Armenia-Azerbaijan agreement
IPRI Team
Trump-Putin Talks on Ukraine, Israel's reoccupation of Gaza City, and a Fragile Ceasefire in DR Congo
IPRI Team
The War in Gaza: Failed negotiations, unfolding famine and the mounting international pressure
IPRI Team
Thailand–Cambodia Diplomatic and Military Standoff & Third Round of Russia–Ukraine Negotiations in Turkey
IPRI Team
Sectarian Violence in Syria and New US Sanctions on Russia over Ukraine
IPRI Team
Conflict Weekly # 287-88
IPRI Team
Conflict Weekly #286
IPRI Team
Conflict Weekly #284-285
Conflict Weekly # 282-83
Conflict Weekly # 280-81
India-Pakistan Tensions | Ukraine between missile attacks and ceasefire proposals
IPRI Team
Expanding anti-Erdogan Protests in Turkey and Russia’s Continuing Military Strikes in Ukraine
IPRI Team
The Farmer-Herder Conflict in Nigeria, and Remembering the Genocide in Rwanda
Women and Peacebuilding: An interaction with Ms Visaka Dharmadasa on International Women's Day
IPRI Team
Devastating Earthquake in Myanmar
Bibhu Prasad Routray
Myanmar: State of Perpetual War
IPRI Team
Ukraine's Failed Kursk Offensive, Congo-Rwanda Ceasefire Statement, and the Return of War in Gaza
IPRI Team
Ukraine: Discussions in Russia and Saudi Arabia, A Ceasefire Proposal, and Drone/Missile Attacks
IPRI Team
Ukraine and Gaza under Trump’s Shadow
IPRI Team
Three Years of Ukraine War
IPRI Team
Europe's Ukraine Dilemma
IPRI Team
Gaza’s fragile ceasefire, Violence in Bangladesh, and DR Congo's M23 problem
IPRI Team
A Dangerous Offensive in DR Congo by M23
IPRI Team
The Israel-Hamas Deal (and its challenges)
IPRI Team
The Israel-Hamas Deal and Wildfires in California
IPRI Team
Trump’s Threat to the Middle East, Genocide in Sudan, Fears over China’s Dam on Yarlung Tsangpo, andTen Years after Charlie Hebdo Attacks
IPRI Team
Crisis in Syria, Protests in Georgia, Violence in Mozambique, and an Update on Ukraine War
IPRI Team
State of Peace and Conflict in 2024
IPRI Team
The Rise of HTS and the Fall of Assad in Syria
IPRI Team
Continuing Baloch Disappearances and the Failed PTI Protest in Pakistan
IPRI Team
The Long Range Missiles in Ukraine War and the Prolonged War in Sudan
IPRI Team
Trump and the Conflict in the Middle East
IPRI Team
India-China Border Disengagement and Floods in Spain
IPRI Team
Continuing Israel-Iran-Hezbollah-Hamas Conflict and a Controversial Election in Georgia
IPRI Team
Continuing Israel-Hezbollah Attacks and a Militant Attack in Kashmir
IPRI Team
Special Edition on “Contemporary Conflictsâ€
IPRI Team
Israel-Hezbollah-Iran Missile Attacks, and New Tensions in Sudan
IPRI Team
From Gaza to Lebanon: A New Phase of War in the Middle East
IPRI Team
The War in Ukraine: Russia’s counteroffensive in Kursk
IPRI Team
The Continuing State of War, Mediation and Humanitarian Crisis in Sudan
IPRI Team
Protests in Israel and Drone Attacks in Ukraine
IPRI Team
Telegram Founder’s Arrest, Attack in Burkina Faso, Canada’s Ban on Chinese EVs and Wildfires in Greece and Canada
IPRI Team
Blinken’s Ninth Visit to Israel and the Mpox Outbreak in Africa
IPRI Team
Ukraine’s Kursk Offensive inside Russia, and the UK Violence
IPRI Team
Violence in Bangladesh, the UK, and Nigeria
IPRI Team
Houthis-Hezbollah-Israel Tensions, and Continuing & Expanding Protests in Kenya
IPRI Team
Continuing Crisis in Kenya, Doha Talks with the Taliban, and Suicide Bombings in Nigeria
IPRI Team
Israel-Hezbollah Conflict, Terror Attacks in Dagestan, and Protests in Kenya
IPRI Team
Ukraine Peace Summit, New Challenges to Netanyahu, and Wildfires in California
IPRI Team
Biden's Gaza Proposal, New US Order on Migration, and a Guilty Verdict in Hong Kong
IPRI Team
International Condemnation of Israel, Battle for Kharkiv in Russia, and the Protests in New Caledonia
IPRI Team
Growing International Pressure on Israel, Protests in Armenia and Elections in South Africa
IPRI Team
Conflict in Gaza, Elections in Catalonia and Protests in Georgia
IPRI Team
Elusive Negotiations over Gaza and Complex Abortion Legislations in the US
IPRI Team
UK's Rwanda Deportation Bill and Ecuador's Referendum
IPRI Team
Conflict Escalation in the Middle East, and One Year of Civil War in Sudan
IPRI Team
Six Months of War in Gaza & the Mexico-Ecuador spat
IPRI Team
Remembering the Rwandan Genocide and Martin Luther King
IPRI Team
UNSC Resolution on Gaza, Terror Attack in Moscow, and a Profile of the IS-K
IPRI Team
The Female Genital Mutilation bill in The Gambia, Search for a Ceasefire in Gaza and Continuing Instability in Haiti
IPRI Team
Continuing Kidnappings in Nigeria
IPRI Team
Sweden in NATO, Farmers' Protest in Poland, and the anti-LGBTQ bill in Ghana
IPRI Team
The Battle for Avdiivka in Ukraine
IPRI Team
Israel's Military Campaign in Rafah
IPRI Team
Protests in Senegal
IPRI Team
UNRWA 's funding crisis in Gaza, Farmers' protest in France, and Withdrawal of Mali, Burkina Faso and Niger from ECOWAS
IPRI Team
Continuing Violence in Haiti, Myanmar and Gaza
IPRI Team
The Red Sea Crisis: Attacks and Counter Attacks
IPRI Team
Blinken's Fourth Visit to Middle East, Ecuador's State of Internal Armed Conflict, and Ethiopia-Somaliland tensions in the Horn of Africa
IPRI Team
The War in Ukraine and Gaza
IPRI Team
Special Edition: Conflicts in 2023
IPRI Team
The Red Sea Crisis and Hungary's blockade of EU's Ukraine aid
IPRI Team
Tensions in South China Sea and Ukraine and Terror Attack in Pakistan
IPRI Team
End of a Fragile Peace in Gaza, and a Failed Coup in Sierra Leone
IPRI Team
Floods in East Africa, the London Summit on Global Food Security, and the War in Gaza
IPRI Team
Into the Fifth Week: The Continuing Ground Offensive and Israel’s Search for Hamas’ Command Centre
IPRI Team
The Conflict in Sudan and Pakistan's Repatriation of Illegal Refugees
IPRI Team
The Worsening Situation in Gaza, Rapprochement between Venezuela and the US, and the Philippines- China Maritime Dispute
IPRI Team
The Conflict Escalation in Israel and the Failed Indigenous Voice Referendum in Australia
IPRI Team
Israel-Palestine Conflict and Earthquake in Afghanistan
IPRI Team
Rising security threats after the coup in Niger
IPRI Team
Nagorno-Karabakh and the End of the Republic of Artsakh
IPRI Team
Decriminalisation of Abortion in Mexico, Continuing Violence in Sudan, Floods in Libya, and Earthquake in Morocco
IPRI Team
The Fall of Black Sea Grain Initiative, Leadership Troubles for Myanmar in ASEAN, and Post-Coup Tensions in Gabon
IPRI Team
Coup in Gabon and One Year of “Total Peace†in Colombia
IPRI Team
Another Conflict in Ethiopia and a Stalemate in Niger
IPRI Team
Political Violence in Ecuador, Wildfires in Hawaii, and Two Years of Taliban Rule
IPRI Team
Continuing Standoff in Niger, Expanding War in Ukraine, and Political Crisis in Senegal
S Shaji
Increasing Insurgency in East Africa: Major Trends and Trajectories
IPRI Team
The Coup in Niger, Violent anti-government demonstrations in Kenya, and Protests in Israel over judicial reforms
Bibhu Prasad Routray
Return of Violence in Manipur
Bibhu Prasad Routray
Myanmar continues to burn
IPRI Team
Protests in France, Termination of UN Mission in Mali, and Violence in Israel
IPRI Team
Rise and Fall of the Wagner Revolt, Failure of the Ninth Ceasefire in Sudan, and the Global Gender Gap Report
Rishika Yadav, Sneha Surendran, Sandra D Costa, Ryan Marcus, Prerana P and Nithyashree RB
Global Gender Gap Report 2023: Regional Takeaways
IPRI Team
Violence in Uganda, Migrant Crisis in the Mediterranean, State of the Climate in Europe, and Taliban Arms Management
Bibhu Prasad Routray
The Civil War in Myanmar: Continuing Violence, the Battle of Attrition, and the Divide within ASEAN
IPRI Team
Counter-Offensive and Drone Attacks in Ukraine, and Continuing Violence in Manipur
Bibhu Prasad Routray
India: Violence continues in Manipur
IPRI Team
Canada's Wildfires, and Reviews of two reports on Tigray and the Arctic Ice-melt
IPRI Team
The Russia-Ukraine Drone Warfare, Violence in Kosovo, and a Separatists' Crisis in Cameroon
IPRI Team
Another ceasefire in Sudan, and a Counteroffensive in Ukraine
IPRI Team
Evacuation in Sudan, and the Chinese Ambassador's statement on the status of former Soviet republics
IPRI Team
Violence in Sudan and the Battle for Bakhmut
IPRI Team
Violence in Israel and 25 years of the Good Friday Agreement
IPRI Team
Protests in Israel, Elections in Finland, and Kidnapping in Nigeria
IPRI Team
Protests in Senegal, Imran Khan's arrest attempt and Bank distress across the US and Europe
IPRI Team
Protests in Georgia, Japan-South Korea reconciliation, and Iran’s school poisoning
IPRI Team
New BREXIT deal on Northern Ireland, battle for Bakhmut and return of violence in Palestine
IPRI Team
Protests in China and France, and post-earthquake crises in Turkey and Syria
IPRI Team
The US-China tensions over balloon, and Weather anomalies in the Americas
IPRI Team
The continuing crisis in Israel
IPRI Team
Protests in Spain, Sweden and Israel
IPRI Team
Population decline in China, and Protests in Peru
IPRI Team
Peace and conflict in 2022: Top 50 stories from around the world
IPRI Team
Global Biodiversity Framework and the EU's gas price capping regulation
IPRI Team
Workers strike in the UK
IPRI Team
Drone attacks in Russia
IPRI Team
Protests in China and the end of TTP's ceasefire in Pakistan
IPRI Team
A ceasefire in DRC and a report on the repatriation from Syria's detention camps
IPRI Team
Special Edition: 150th Issue of Conflict Weekly
IPRI Team
Assassination attempt on Imran Khan and Russia’s withdrawal from Kherson
IPRI Team
Permanent ceasefire in Ethiopia and a report on the supply chain behind war crimes in Myanmar
IPRI Team
Chad: Extension of transition period sparks pro-democratic protests
IPRI Team
Haiti's Gang Violence, Venezuelan Migrants and the US, and Global Hunger Index
IPRI Team
UNHRC proceedings on Xinjiang and the Oxfam report on reducing inequality
IPRI Team
North Korea's missile tests and Russia's annexation of four territories
IPRI Team
Protests in Iran
IPRI Team
The UN report on Xinjiang: Four Takeaways
IPRI Team
Violence in Baghdad and Renewed fighting in Ethiopia
IPRI Team
Clashes between Armenia-Azerbaijan
IPRI Team
Ukraine's counter-offensive, North Korea's legislation on preemptive nuclear strike, and a report on Modern Slavery
IPRI Team
Six months of War in Ukraine
IPRI Team
Zawahiri's killing, Pope's apology to the indigenous people in Canada, Iraq's political crisis, and Senegal's disputed elections
IPRI Team
Russia’s gas warning to Europe, and Sudan’s intra-tribal clashes
IPRI Team
President Rajapaksa’s resignation and the economic crisis in Sri Lanka, and the military's withdrawal in Sudan
IPRI Team
Political Stalemate in Libya, and the Fall of Luhansk in Ukraine
IPRI Team
Attacks on pride marches in Europe, Migration problems in Morocco, and Russia's new attacks in Ukraine
IPRI Team
Heatwave in Europe, rise of the Left in Colombia and the UNHCR report on Forced Displacement
IPRI Team
The new UK new bill on Brexit, Turkey's NATO concerns on Finland and Sweden and the SIPRI report on nuclear arsenal/weapons
IPRI Team
North Korea's Missile Tests and Sanctions on Mali
IPRI Team
Denmark's referendum on EU defence and interstate tensions in Africa
IPRI Team
Another school shooting in the US, and EU-UK tussle over Northern Ireland protocol
IPRI Team
Another racial attack in the US, Divide within the EU over the Russian oil ban, and violence in Israel
IPRI Team
Intensifying political crisis in Sri Lanka, Communal tensions in Ethiopia, and 75 days of Ukraine war
IPRI Team
Mali-France tensions and anti-UK protests in the Virgin Islands
IPRI Team
​​​​​​​UK-Rwanda asylum deal, Mexico's continuing femicides, and Afghanistan's sectarian violence
IPRI Team
The battle for Donbas, Violence in Jerusalem, Riots in Sweden, Kyrgyzstan- Tajikistan border dialogue, and China’s military drills
IPRI Team
Violence in Nigeria, and Russia’s new military strategy in Ukraine
IPRI Team
Political Crises in Sri Lanka, Pakistan and Tunisia; Ceasefire in Yemen; and the Battle for Mariupol
IPRI Team
30 days of War in Ukraine
IPRI Team
Sri Lanka’s worsening economic crisis
IPRI Team
The end of Denmark’s Inuit experiment
IPRI Team
International Women’s Day: Gap between policies and realities on gender equality
IPRI Team
Russia’s Ukraine Invasion: One Week Later
IPRI Team
Russia’s Ukraine salami slicing and Canada’s freedom convoy protests
IPRI Team
Unfreezing the Afghan assets, Tunisia’s judicial crisis and Libya’s new political deadlock
IPRI Team
Freedom convoy protests in Canada, and a de-escalation over Ukraine
IPRI Team
One year of the coup in Myanmar, Taliban meetings in Oslo, and the Global hunger report
IPRI Team
Coup in Burkina Faso, Continuing violence in Yemen, and an ISIS attack in Syria
IPRI Team
Threat of War over Ukraine, a Syrian trial in Germany, and Protests in France
IPRI Team
Conflicts in 2021 : Through Regional Prisms
IPRI Team
New reports on the Omicron threat, and lifting sanctions on humanitarian aid to Afghanistan
IPRI Team
West warns Russia over Ukrainian aggression and South Korea and North Korean agree on end-of-war declaration in principle
IPRI Team
Unrest in the Solomon Islands, and the 12 million missing children in China
IPRI Team
Anti-lockdown protests in Europe, Farmers' protests in India, and Continuing instability in Sudan
IPRI Team
Europe's other migrant crisis, and Protests in Cuba and Thailand
IPRI Team
The migrant threat to Europe from Belarus and Ceasefire with the TTP in Pakistan
IPRI Team
One year of Ethiopian conflict and UK-France fishing row
IPRI Team
Coup in Sudan, ASEAN on Myanmar, and the Migrant game by Belarus
IPRI Team
One year after Samuel Paty's killing, Kidnapping in Haiti, and Instability in Sudan
IPRI Team
ISIS violence in Afghanistan, and Targeted killings in J&K
IPRI Team
Anti-Bolsonaro protests in Brazil, UK-France fishing row, Talks with the TTP in Pakistan, and the anti-abortion law protests in the US
IPRI Team
Pride marches in Europe, Jail term for Hotel Rwanda hero, and continuing Houthi-led violence in Yemen
IPRI Team
Protests in Europe and Brazil, and an impending humanitarian crisis in Afghanistan
IPRI Team
Texas' abortion ban, Return of the Thai protests, the Taliban government, and the Guinea coup
IPRI Team
The US exit from Afghanistan, the Houthi violence in Yemen, and Hurricane Ida in the US
IPRI Team
Return of the Taliban and the fall of Afghanistan
IPRI Team
Taliban offensive, New Zealand's apology over the Pacific communities, Peru's new problem, and an inter-State clash in India's Northeast
IPRI Team
France's anti-extremism bill, Canada's burning churches, and Tunisia's new political crisis
IPRI Team
Floods in Germany, Wildfires in Siberia and the Pegasus Spyware
IPRI Team
Anti-government protests in Cuba, Pro-Zuma protests in South Africa, and remembering the Srebrenica massacre
IPRI Team
Taliban offensive in Afghanistan, Protests in Colombia, and the Heat Wave
IPRI Team
Ceasefire in Ethiopia, Berlin Conference on Libya and the World Drug Report
IPRI Team
The US Juneteenth, UN resolution on Myanmar and Global Peace Index
IPRI Team
Three new reports on Child labour, Ethiopia and Xinjiang, Tensions in Belfast, and the Suu Kyi trial
IPRI Team
Continuing protests in Colombia, another mass abduction in Nigeria, and a controversial election in Syria
IPRI Team
Ceasefire in Israel, NLD ban in Myanmar and a new Belarus crisis
IPRI Team
Violent protests in Colombia, US troops withdrawal in Afghanistan, and the battle for Marib in Yemen
IPRI Team
Israel-Syria missile strikes, Clashes in Somalia and Afghan meetings in Pakistan
IPRI Team
Riots in Northern Ireland, Sabotage on an Iranian nuclear facility, and a massacre in Ethiopia
IPRI Team
Bloody Week in Myanmar, a Suicide attack in Indonesia and an Insurgency in Mozambique
IPRI Team
Sanctions on China, Saudi Arabia ceasefire in Yemen, the UNHRC resolution on Sri Lanka, and a massacre in Niger
IPRI Team
Gender Protests in Australia, Expanding Violence in Myanmar and Anti-protests bill in the UK
IPRI Team
Women’s Day, Swiss Referendum, Myanmar Violence, George Floyd Trial and Lebanon Protests
IPRI Team
From Myanmar and Hong Kong in Asia to Nigeria in Africa: Seven conflicts this week
IPRI Team
Continuing Protests in Myanmar, ‘Comfort Women’ issue in South Korea and Abductions in Nigeria
IPRI Team
Anti-Coup protests in Myanmar, a new US strategy on Yemen, and the US-Iran differences on nuclear roadmap
IPRI Team
Coup in Myanmar and Protests in Russia
IPRI Team
Farmers' protests in India, Vaccine Wars, another India-China border standoff, and Navalny's imprisonment
IPRI Team
New President in the US, new Chinese Village in Arunachal Pradesh, new Israeli settlement in West Bank, and another massacre in Sudan
IPRI Team
Trump impeached by the US House, Hazara miners buried in Pakistan, Farm laws stayed in India, and the Crisis escalation in CAR
IPRI Team
Hot on the Conflict Trails: Top Ten Conflicts in 2020
IPRI Team
Boko Haram abductions in Nigeria, Violence in Afghanistan and Farmers' protest in India
IPRI Team
Farmers protest in India, Radicals target idols in Bangladesh, UK reaches out to the EU and Saudi Arabia to mend ties with Qatar
IPRI Team
An assassination in Iran, Massacre in Nigeria and Suicide bombings in Afghanistan
IPRI Team
Electoral violence in Africa, War crimes in Afghanistan, COVID's third global wave, and Protest escalation in Thailand
IPRI Team
A peace agreement in Nagorno-Karabakh and a brewing civil war in Ethiopia
IPRI Team
IS terror in Vienna and Kabul, new controversy along Nepal-China border, and a boundary dispute in India’s Northeast
IPRI Team
Solidarity in France, Emergency withdrawn in Thailand, Terror tag removed in Sudan and Hunger in South Asia
IPRI Team
An Afghan woman nominated for the Nobel and a Dalit woman assaulted in India. External actors get involved in the Nagorno-Karabakh conflict
IPRI Team
Al Qaeda module in India, Naga Peace talks and the Polio problem in Pakistan
IPRI Team
Targeted Violence in Pakistan, Protests in Hong Kong and the Charlie Hebdo Trial in France
IPRI Team
Anti Racist Protests in the US and the Floods in Pakistan
IPRI Team
Proposed amendment in Sri Lanka, Verdict on the gunman in New Zealand, Peace Conference in Myanmar and the Ceasefire troubles in Libya
IPRI Team
Release of Taliban prisoners in Afghanistan, Troubles in Naga Peace Talks in India’s Northeast, and a deadly week in Lebanon
IPRI Team
Devastating floods in Assam, and a mob Lynching of cattle smugglers along India-Bangladesh border
IPRI Team
Violence in India's Northeast, FGM ban in Sudan, the UN warning on Global Hunger & the Return of Global Protests
IPRI Team
Geelani's Exit and Continuing Violence in J&K, and the BLA attack on Pakistan stock exchange in Karachi
IPRI Team
Baloch Disappearance issue returns, Nepal tightens Citizenship rules, and Egypt enters the conflict in Libya
IPRI Team
A week of violence in Afghanistan, US and Africa, Urban drivers of political violence, and anti-racism protests in Europe
IPRI Team
Kalapani dispute in India-Nepal border, Migrants exodus in India, Continuing violence in Balochistan and KP
IPRI Team
