TWTW Note

CWA # 2243
TWTW Note
President Min Aung Hlaing's Thailand visit
Myanmar's neighbourhood push, a Divided ASEAN, and Transactional engagement

The World This Week #367-368, Vol 8, No 29-30, 15 August 2026

Adwaith Sankar
16 August 2026
Photo Source:

What happened?
On 06 August, Myanmar's President Min Aung Hlaing visited Thailand for two days. He was hosted by Thailand's Prime Minister Anutin Charnvirakul. The President was welcomed with an honour guard and held a one-on-one with the PM. Several agreements were signed during the visit. Among other topics, these agreements covered space technology, labour, and water quality management in shared rivers. The President stated that "Myanmar has now reestablished itself on the path to democracy and is moving toward a better future." The visit drew criticism from activists for allegedly lending legitimacy to the regime in Naypyidaw.

What is the background?
1. Myanmar's neighbourhood push
Since assuming the presidency of Myanmar on 10 April, Min Aung Hlaing has been pushing to normalise relations with ASEAN and deepen ties with neighbouring countries. This approach aims to legitimise the regime. The President made his first foreign visit to India. In India, he met with the Prime Minister, the President, and other leaders. Min Aung Hlaing's second visit as President was to China. On his state visit to Beijing, Myanmar's leader held talks with President Xi Jinping. The Chinese visit was particularly successful as Beijing provided full sovereign recognition and support. In July, the President visited Laos. Both countries pledged cooperation across a wide range of sectors, including trade and security. Myanmar is not wholly isolated, and some of its neighbours have sought to engage with the country.

2. ASEAN's five-point consensus and Myanmar's rejection
Since the 2021 coup, Myanmar's top leadership has been excluded from high-level ASEAN meetings. This is due to Myanmar's failure to implement the bloc's consensus. Myanmar's parliament has deemed the consensus to be "irrelevant." ASEAN and its constituent states do not have the leverage to coerce Myanmar. ASEAN did not send observers for the elections held in Myanmar between December 2025 and January 2026. The positions of individual ASEAN states differed. Malaysia did not send any observers, whilst Vietnam and Cambodia did. ASEAN foreign ministers did categorically confirm that Myanmar "remains an integral part of ASEAN." A significant development occurred in July when Myanmar's foreign minister was included in an informal discussion with ASEAN counterparts. ASEAN is unable to gain from continuing to isolate Myanmar.

3. Conflict and instability
The conflict within the country has resulted in over 100,000 deaths on all sides. As of August, over 8,200 civilians have been killed by security forces since the coup. This humanitarian crisis is perilous for a regime that aims to stabilise its rule. Myanmar's neighbouring countries, including Thailand, absorb part of the displacement. This incentivises Myanmar to pursue warmer ties with its neighbours.

4. Thailand-Myanmar bilateral issues
Thailand shares a 2,400-kilometre border with Myanmar. Moreover, the country hosts millions of Myanmar nationals, including migrant workers and refugees. In 2024, Thailand reportedly lost 110 billion Thai baht to scams. Six in ten Thais have fallen victim to these scams. These operations are predominantly found in countries including Myanmar and Cambodia. According to Thai officials, dismantling these scam centres was part of the pre-visit agenda. Thailand's foreign minister stated that its neighbouring country could "do a lot more" against scam networks. These issues have made the relationship with Myanmar very important to Thailand. Thailand is also a top foreign investor in Myanmar, with roughly USD 4.6 billion invested in the country. An aggressive approach that seeks to have Myanmar implement the consensus would risk Thai capital.

What does it mean?
First, Thailand's warm reception of Min Aung Hlaing is suggestive of broader positions across the region. Countries are increasingly engaging with Naypyidaw. ASEAN centrality, the bloc's core tenet, is consequential. ASEAN centrality necessitates that ASEAN acts as the hub through which external powers interact with the region. To maintain this focal position vis-à-vis Myanmar, ASEAN will have to compromise on its consensus. The deepening of Myanmar's ties with Beijing exacerbates this issue. As ASEAN is consensus-based by design, differing opinions will also complicate the bloc's Myanmar policy.

Second, Myanmar is actively seeking deeper relations with powerful neighbours outside ASEAN. The country is looking to diversify its relationships. This is not only to pursue legitimacy, but also to stabilise the conflict. Chinese drones have proven themselves useful to the Army. Myanmar's relationship with India, for instance, constrains the movements of the western resistance in rear areas along the border.

Third, issues of transnational crime, displacement, and trade will continue to dominate the engagement between Myanmar and its neighbours. These issues are intrusive and destabilising and require Myanmar's cooperation. Myanmar can establish itself as a more stable and legitimate actor if it engages these issues in good faith.

About the author

Adwaith Sankar is a final-year undergraduate student pursuing Political Science and International Liberal Studies through the NUS-Waseda Double Degree Programme. He is currently a research intern at the National Institute of Advanced Studies (NIAS).


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Brighty Ann Sarah, R Preetha, Santhiya M, Aparna A Nair & M Kejia

Operation Midnight Hammer: US bombs three nuclear sites in Iran
What were the three Iranian nuclear sites that were targeted? What are the B2 Bombers and Bunker Buster Bombs? What do these attacks mean? What Next?
Conflict Weekly
June 2025 | CWA # 1724

IPRI Team

Conflict Weekly #286
The Spiralling Israel-Iran Crisis, and the Dangerous Hunger Hotspots
Global Politics Explainer
June 2025 | CWA # 1721

Rizwana Banu S and Santhiya M

Who are the Afrikaners?
Why is Trump interested in the Afrikaner question in South Africa?
Global Politics Explainer
June 2025 | CWA # 1720

Lekshmi MK

New WMO Report on Arctic Warming
What are the social, economic and environmental implications of Arctic warming
Global Politics Explainer
June 2025 | CWA # 1719

J Yamini  

China’s EV Surge
What contributes to the rise of BYD
Global Politics Explainer
June 2025 | CWA # 1717

J Yamini

Gender Violence in Pakistan:
What are the larger issues in the Noor Mukadam case?
TWTW Note
June 2025 | CWA # 1715

Femy Francis

The US-China:
On Tariffs, Rare Earths and Visas
The World This Week
June 2025 | CWA # 1713

GP Team

The World This Week #315
The UN Ocean Conference in France and the US-China Meeting in London
CW Note
June 2025 | CWA # 1712

R Preetha

The World This Week
June 2025 | CWA # 1705

GP Team

The World This Week #314
Elections in South Korea and Poland I China and the Pacific Island Countries I Bangladesh Election Announcement 2026
Global Politics Explainer
June 2025 | CWA # 1703

M Kejia 

Sagarmatha Sambaad in Nepal
Kathmandu’s Global Agenda for the Himalayas
Global Politics Explainer
June 2025 | CWA # 1700

R Preetha

Ethiopia bans the TPLF
What does the TPLF ban mean for the Pretoria agreement? What next for Ethiopia?
TWTW Note
June 2025 | CWA # 1694

Aashish Ganeshan

The US:
Harvard vs Trump Administration
The World This Week
June 2025 | CWA # 1691

GP Team

The World This Week #313
China-ASEAN-GCC Summit I President Macron's visit to South East Asia I Trump Vs Harvard
The World This Week
May 2025 | CWA # 1690

GP Team

The World This Week #312
Elections in Romania, Portugal & Poland I UK-EU Summit
CW Note
May 2025 | CWA # 1689

Padmashree Anandhan

Ukraine
Continuing Russia’s Aerial Attacks, despite exchange of prisoners
CW Note
May 2025 | CWA # 1688

Ayan Datta

Gaza
The Humanitarian Crisis and Israel’s Renewed Offensive
TWTW Note
May 2025 | CWA # 1685

Aparna A Nair

UK-EU Summit:
First step towards a reset
TWTW Note
May 2025 | CWA # 1683

Aashish Ganeshan

Elections in Portugal:
The Rise of Chega Party and the Search for Political Stability
TWTW Note
May 2025 | CWA # 1679

Aashish Ganeshan

US in the Middle Easr
Trump’s visit to Saudi Arabia, Qatar and UAE
TWTW Note
May 2025 | CWA # 1678

Gauri Gupta

China in Latin America
China-CELAC forum: Strengthening ties with Latin America and Caribbean
The World This Week
May 2025 | CWA # 1677

GP Team

The World This Week #310-311
China in Latin America and the Carribbean I Trump's Middle East Visit I Denmark as the new Arctic Chair
CW Note
May 2025 | CWA # 1675

Lekshmi MK

Turkey:
PKK disbands after 40 years of armed insurgency
CW Note
May 2025 | CWA # 1673

Padmashree Anandhan

Ukraine:
The Discussion in Turkiye and the Elusive Ceasefire
CW Note
May 2025 | CWA # 1671

Abhiruchi Chowdhury

US, Ukraine and Russia:
Air attacks amidst a Minerals deal and Ceasefire Proposals
Global Politics Early Bird
May 2025 | CWA # 1670

Fleur Elizabeth Philip

Singapore Elections in 2025:
People’s Action Party (PAP) Wins, Again
TWTW Note
May 2025 | CWA # 1667

R Preetha and Brighty Ann Sarah

East Asia:
Tough Tariff Negotiations with the US
TWTW Note
May 2025 | CWA # 1666

Padmashree Anandhan

The US-Ukraine
The mineral deal with the US
Conflict Weekly
May 2025 | CWA # 1665
Conflict Weekly # 280-81
India-Pakistan De-escalation I Ukraine Discussion in Istanbul I The Battle over Port Sudan I Disbanding of PKK in Turkiye I France-Algeria Diplomatic Tensions
Global Politics Early Bird
May 2025 | CWA # 1663

R Preetha

Canada Elections 2025:
What do the results convey? What next for Mark Carney?
Conflict Weekly 250th Issue
October 2024 | CWA # 1480

IPRI Team

This Week in History
July 2024 | CWA # 1413

Ramya B

Global Politics Early Bird
May 2024 | CWA # 1336

Femy Francis

This Week in History
April 2024 | CWA # 1275

Ramya B

NIAS Global Politics Database
March 2024 | CWA # 1251

NIAS Africa Team

Africa This Week
This Week in History
March 2024 | CWA # 1246

Sivasubramanian K

NIAS Global Politics Database
February 2024 | CWA # 1226

NIAS Africa Team

Africa This Week
The World This Week
November 2023 | CWA # 1148

GP Team

The War in Ukraine
October 2023 | CWA # 1091

Annem Naga Bindhu Madhuri

Issues for Europe
NIAS Pakistan Weekly
October 2023 | CWA # 1087

PR Team

The World This Week
October 2023 | CWA # 1083

GP Team

Conflict Weekly
August 2023 | CWA # 1049

IPRI Team

IPRI Quarterly Forecasts I Triggers, Trends, and Trajectories
July 2023 | CWA # 1012

Bibhu Prasad Routray

Myanmar continues to burn
The World This Week
July 2023 | CWA # 1009

GP Team

2022: The World This Year
December 2022 | CWA # 879

Padmashree Anandhan

The Ukraine War
2022: The World This Year
December 2022 | CWA # 872

Sapna Elsa Abraham

Europe: Heatwaves, Wildfires, Droughts, and Ice Melt in Alps
November 2022 | CWA # 838

Rishma Banerjee

Tracing Europe's droughts
NIAS Africa Weekly
March 2022 | CWA # 705

NIAS Africa Team

In Focus: Libya
The World This Week: 150th Issue
December 2021 | CWA # 630

GP Team

Europe in 2021
Pakistan Reader
October 2021 | CWA # 588

Abigail Miriam Fernandez

TLP is back again
NIAS Fortnightly on Science, Technology & International Relations
August 2021 | CWA # 528

STIR Team

Space Tourism
GLOBAL PROTEST MOVEMENTS
September 2020 | CWA # 337

Anju Annie Mammen

The FATF Meeting, February 2020
February 2020 | CWA # 235

Lakshmi V Menon

Science, Technology and International Relations
September 2019 | CWA # 162

Lakshman Chakravarthy N

5G: A Primer
South Asia Monthly Brief (Nov 2018)
December 2018 | CWA # 71

Mahesh Bhatta

Nepal
South Asia Monthly Brief (Nov 2018)
December 2018 | CWA # 70

Nasima Khatoon

The Maldives
South Asia Monthly Brief (Nov 2018)
December 2018 | CWA # 69

Harini Madhusudan

India
South Asia Monthly Brief (Nov 2018)
December 2018 | CWA # 68

Sourina Bej

Bangladesh
South Asia Monthly Brief (Nov 2018)
December 2018 | CWA # 67

Seetha Lakshmi Dinesh Iyer

Afghanistan
United States
July 2018 | CWA # 47

Rahul Arockiaraj

East Asia
June 2018 | CWA # 26

Siddhatti Mehta