NIAS Africa Studies

NIAS Africa Studies
Russia’s increasing footprints in Africa

Anu Maria Joseph
14 August 2024
Photo Source: TASS Host Photo Agency via AFP

On 3-8 June, Russia’s Minister of Foreign Affairs, Sergei Lavrov visited Guinea, the Republic of Congo and Chad. The major focus of the visit was military partnership and energy investments. Russia-Africa engagements have strengthened since the War in Ukraine. There were frequent visits from Russia and to Russia. Russia’s relations with the continent appear to have taken a new turn with increasing and expanding political, military and economic footprints. The growing footprints have changed the narratives of Russia in Africa in 2024.

Russia’s footprints in Africa
1. Military ties. Russia has been militarily supporting several African countries through its PMCs. It has military cooperation agreements with 43 African countries. Russian mercenaries first appeared in the Central African Republic in 2017. Around 1000 Russian PMC troops have been fighting the rebels in the country. In Libya, around 300 Wagner troops have been fighting alongside Khalifa Haftar in the civil war since 2018. In Sudan, the Wagner Group allegedly supported the Omar al Bashir to suppress the 2019 revolution. Initially, there were reports of the Group supporting the Rapid Support Forces (RSF) in the Sudanese civil war. Following the French withdrawal, the Wagner Group expanded its footprints in Mali, Burkina Faso and Niger, fighting Islamist insurgency. Despite the death of Wagner Group leader Yevgeny Prigozhin, the group has continued its activities with the support of the Russian government. Besides, Russia has been supplying weapons to Angola, Mali, Ethiopia, Sudan, Algeria, Nigeria, Niger, Libya, Rwanda and Burkina Faso.

2. Political ties. Russia hosted the second Russia-Africa Summit on 27 July 2023. 49 African countries participated in the summit. It emphasised the principles of “sovereign equality of States, non-interference in their internal affairs, respect for sovereignty, territorial integrity and the right of all peoples to self-determination.” Besides, Lavrov and the Russian delegation's visits have increased in the past year. Lavrov visited Guinea, the Republic of Congo, Burkina Faso, Chad, Kenya, Sudan, Mali, Mauritania, South Africa, Eritrea, Angola, and Eswatini in a year. Visits by the Russian delegation to African countries including Mali, and Burkina Faso have become frequent. Besides, several African heads, ministers and delegations have been visiting Russia; Burkina Faso’s defence minister in November 2023, Ethiopian Prime Minister Abiy Ahmed in July 2023, Chad’s military head in January 2024, Sudanese delegation in June 2024, and the Republic of Congo President Denis Sassou Nguesso in June 2024. In December 2023, Russia reopened its embassy in Burkina Faso after 30 years. Russia has also been providing aid and expanding its investments in Africa’s health and education sectors.

3. Trade and energy. Africa’s imports from Russia account for less than one per cent. Exports from Africa to Russia are even smaller. The country has a major presence in Africa’s mining and energy sector apart from oil and gas. Russia’s mining investments in Africa include gold from Sudan, cobalt and coltan from the Democratic Republic of Congo, platinum and diamonds from Zimbabwe, nickel and manganese from South Africa, Uranium from Namibia, and gold and diamond from the Central African Republic. Egypt and Nigeria have signed a nuclear cooperation agreement and preliminary plans to build nuclear plants. South Africa’s Koeberg Nuclear Power Station is the only one in Africa, supported by Russian technology. 

Russia’s growing influence in Africa: Factors and Actors
The following are the factors and actors behind Russia’s growing influence in Africa. 

1. Successful Russia-Africa Summit 2023. In July 2023, Russia successfully hosted the second Russia-Africa summit. 17 heads of state attended the summit. Putin promised 25,000 to 50,000 tonnes of grain to six African countries including Burkina Faso, Central African Republic, Eritrea, Mali, Somalia and Zimbabwe, clearing the uncertainties following the suspension of the grain deal. Although Russia’s rejection of Africa’s peace plan in Ukraine brought unfavourable narratives, Putin successfully diverted the focus to the joint declaration to counter neocolonialism. 92 agreements, contracts and memoranda of understanding, worth USD 12.5 billion were signed during the summit. 

2. Ukraine War. Russia has increased seeking African alliances following the onset of the War in Ukraine, a move to gather support in the UN. 17 of the 54 African countries abstained from a UN vote condemning Russia's invasion in 2022. While the EU reduced its reliance on Russian supplies, Russia has been trying to find alternative markets in Africa.

3. Coups and authoritarian shift. Nine military coups occurred in Africa since 2020; two in Mali, Sudan and Burkina Faso and one each in Guinea, Gabon and Niger. Military coups and authoritarian shifts in Africa have always been favourable to Russia. Unlike the West, Russia’s engagements in Africa do not come with the baggage of democratic values. This has encouraged African juntas and populist illiberal leaders to forge Russia’s partnership.

4. West losing the ground. Since 2020, anti-West sentiments have been strengthening in West Africa and beyond. It is attributed to the West’s failure in fighting the Islamist insurgency and its interventionist approach. The West’s approach in Africa was always perceived as paternalistic and neocolonial. Western countries’ lucrative ties with African populist leaders received public scepticism. This led to anti-West protests and pro-Russia narratives across West Africa. While French forces in Mali, Niger and Burkina Faso and the US forces in Niger were asked to withdraw, Russia introduced itself as an alternative to fill the vacuum.

5. Russia’s successful narratives and Africa’s positive responses. Russia’s modus operandi has been based on equal partnership, and a non-interventionist approach, placing it as the right alternative to the neocolonial West. Its narrative as a security provider without involvement in internal affairs is a partner in the best interest of African leaders. Pro-Russian narratives accompanied the anti-West sentiments simultaneously. Russia has gained popular support across Africa. Financial Times quoted a Malian media representative: “Down to the last peasant in the last village, if you ask them who’s working in the best interests of Africans, they’ll say Russia.” 

Major Issues
The following are the major issues of Russia’s increasing engagements in Africa.

1. Human rights allegations. Several human rights groups have accused the Russian mercenaries of carrying out human rights atrocities in West African countries. In 2023, Human Rights Watch found out that the Wagner Group executed nearly 300 people in Mali under suspicion of involvement with jihadists. In the Central African Republic, the UN accused the Wagner forces and instructors, fighting the rebels alongside the government forces since 2017, of more than 500 incidents of human rights violations including extrajudicial killings, torture and sexual violence. 

2. Allegations of Russian propaganda. Many Western countries accuse Russia of using tactics of disinformation propaganda, and deception to bring African countries under Russian influence. They accuse Russia of infiltrating pro-Russian narratives equating it with anti-neocolonialism. Financial Times quoted a report by Meta which found around 30 networks in Africa, the majority pushing pro-Russia narratives. 

3. Democratic degradation. While Russia placed itself as an alternative to the West, African countries are more incentivised to move away from the West. Series of coups, increasing authoritarian governments and illiberal democracies were outcomes that followed. It has undermined Africa’s democratic aspirations. 

4. Conflict multiplier. The involvement of Russian paramilitaries has worsened several civil conflicts in African countries. During the Libyan civil war, the Wagner Group supported Khalifa Hafter to secure access to oil fields. The group was also allegedly supporting the paramilitary Rapid Support Forces (RSF) in the Sudanese civil war. 

Conclusion
Russia’s influence in Africa has strengthened in the past two years. It has secured African allies through the narratives of anti-neocolonialism and equal partnership. Russia is committed to showcasing its power by being Africa’s security provider. Africa has become the geopolitical flashpoint for Russia in its competition against the West. Additionally, it serves Russia’s economic interests in securing markets and minerals. With the African countries, Russia has been modelling a multipolar world far off from Western influence. However, Russian footprints in Africa accompany several uncertainties. The Western forces were able to contain the Islamist insurgency in West Africa for a long time. Following the withdrawal of the Western forces, the frequency of attacks has increased and the Tuareg rebellion is said to have re-emerged in the region. According to Relief Web Terrorism Index 2023, the number of attacks has increased with Mali, Burkina Faso and Niger topping the ranking. Although Russian forces have replaced the Western forces, their capacity to address the insurgency in the region is uncertain. Besides, Russia’s engagements in Africa come at the cost of human rights and democracy. While Russia successfully expands its footprints in Africa, apparent objectives and unclear methodologies are Africa’s concerns.  


About the author
Ana Maria Joseph is a Research Associate at NIAS.


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China-Central Asia Summit in Kazakhstan, and the G7 Summit in Canada
June 2025 | CWA # 1725

Brighty Ann Sarah, R Preetha, Santhiya M, Aparna A Nair & M Kejia

Operation Midnight Hammer: US bombs three nuclear sites in Iran
What were the three Iranian nuclear sites that were targeted? What are the B2 Bombers and Bunker Buster Bombs? What do these attacks mean? What Next?
June 2025 | CWA # 1724

IPRI Team

Conflict Weekly #286
The Spiralling Israel-Iran Crisis, and the Dangerous Hunger Hotspots
June 2025 | CWA # 1721

Rizwana Banu S and Santhiya M

Who are the Afrikaners?
Why is Trump interested in the Afrikaner question in South Africa?
June 2025 | CWA # 1720

Lekshmi MK

New WMO Report on Arctic Warming
What are the social, economic and environmental implications of Arctic warming
June 2025 | CWA # 1719

J Yamini  

China’s EV Surge
What contributes to the rise of BYD
June 2025 | CWA # 1717

J Yamini

Gender Violence in Pakistan:
What are the larger issues in the Noor Mukadam case?
June 2025 | CWA # 1715

Femy Francis

The US-China:
On Tariffs, Rare Earths and Visas
June 2025 | CWA # 1713

GP Team

The World This Week #315
The UN Ocean Conference in France and the US-China Meeting in London
June 2025 | CWA # 1712

R Preetha

June 2025 | CWA # 1705

GP Team

The World This Week #314
Elections in South Korea and Poland I China and the Pacific Island Countries I Bangladesh Election Announcement 2026
June 2025 | CWA # 1703

M Kejia 

Sagarmatha Sambaad in Nepal
Kathmandu’s Global Agenda for the Himalayas
June 2025 | CWA # 1700

R Preetha

Ethiopia bans the TPLF
What does the TPLF ban mean for the Pretoria agreement? What next for Ethiopia?
June 2025 | CWA # 1694

Aashish Ganeshan

The US:
Harvard vs Trump Administration
June 2025 | CWA # 1691

GP Team

The World This Week #313
China-ASEAN-GCC Summit I President Macron's visit to South East Asia I Trump Vs Harvard
May 2025 | CWA # 1690

GP Team

The World This Week #312
Elections in Romania, Portugal & Poland I UK-EU Summit
May 2025 | CWA # 1689

Padmashree Anandhan

Ukraine
Continuing Russia’s Aerial Attacks, despite exchange of prisoners
May 2025 | CWA # 1688

Ayan Datta

Gaza
The Humanitarian Crisis and Israel’s Renewed Offensive
May 2025 | CWA # 1685

Aparna A Nair

UK-EU Summit:
First step towards a reset
May 2025 | CWA # 1683

Aashish Ganeshan

Elections in Portugal:
The Rise of Chega Party and the Search for Political Stability
May 2025 | CWA # 1679

Aashish Ganeshan

US in the Middle Easr
Trump’s visit to Saudi Arabia, Qatar and UAE
May 2025 | CWA # 1678

Gauri Gupta

China in Latin America
China-CELAC forum: Strengthening ties with Latin America and Caribbean
May 2025 | CWA # 1677

GP Team

The World This Week #310-311
China in Latin America and the Carribbean I Trump's Middle East Visit I Denmark as the new Arctic Chair
May 2025 | CWA # 1675

Lekshmi MK

Turkey:
PKK disbands after 40 years of armed insurgency
May 2025 | CWA # 1673

Padmashree Anandhan

Ukraine:
The Discussion in Turkiye and the Elusive Ceasefire
May 2025 | CWA # 1671

Abhiruchi Chowdhury

US, Ukraine and Russia:
Air attacks amidst a Minerals deal and Ceasefire Proposals
May 2025 | CWA # 1670

Fleur Elizabeth Philip

Singapore Elections in 2025:
People’s Action Party (PAP) Wins, Again
May 2025 | CWA # 1667

R Preetha and Brighty Ann Sarah

East Asia:
Tough Tariff Negotiations with the US
May 2025 | CWA # 1666

Padmashree Anandhan

The US-Ukraine
The mineral deal with the US
May 2025 | CWA # 1665
Conflict Weekly # 280-81
India-Pakistan De-escalation I Ukraine Discussion in Istanbul I The Battle over Port Sudan I Disbanding of PKK in Turkiye I France-Algeria Diplomatic Tensions
May 2025 | CWA # 1663

R Preetha

Canada Elections 2025:
What do the results convey? What next for Mark Carney?
October 2024 | CWA # 1480

IPRI Team

July 2024 | CWA # 1413

Ramya B

May 2024 | CWA # 1336

Femy Francis

April 2024 | CWA # 1275

Ramya B

March 2024 | CWA # 1251

NIAS Africa Team

Africa This Week
March 2024 | CWA # 1246

Sivasubramanian K

February 2024 | CWA # 1226

NIAS Africa Team

Africa This Week
November 2023 | CWA # 1148

GP Team

October 2023 | CWA # 1091

Annem Naga Bindhu Madhuri

Issues for Europe
October 2023 | CWA # 1087

PR Team

October 2023 | CWA # 1083

GP Team

August 2023 | CWA # 1049

IPRI Team

July 2023 | CWA # 1012

Bibhu Prasad Routray

Myanmar continues to burn
July 2023 | CWA # 1009

GP Team

December 2022 | CWA # 879

Padmashree Anandhan

The Ukraine War
December 2022 | CWA # 872

Sapna Elsa Abraham

November 2022 | CWA # 838

Rishma Banerjee

Tracing Europe's droughts
March 2022 | CWA # 705

NIAS Africa Team

In Focus: Libya
December 2021 | CWA # 630

GP Team

Europe in 2021
October 2021 | CWA # 588

Abigail Miriam Fernandez

TLP is back again
August 2021 | CWA # 528

STIR Team

Space Tourism
September 2020 | CWA # 337

Anju Annie Mammen

February 2020 | CWA # 235

Lakshmi V Menon

September 2019 | CWA # 162

Lakshman Chakravarthy N

5G: A Primer
December 2018 | CWA # 71

Mahesh Bhatta

Nepal
December 2018 | CWA # 70

Nasima Khatoon

The Maldives
December 2018 | CWA # 69

Harini Madhusudan

India
December 2018 | CWA # 68

Sourina Bej

Bangladesh
December 2018 | CWA # 67

Seetha Lakshmi Dinesh Iyer

Afghanistan
July 2018 | CWA # 47

Rahul Arockiaraj

June 2018 | CWA # 26

Siddhatti Mehta