Conflict Weekly

CWA # 1448
Conflict Weekly
Blinken’s Ninth Visit to Israel and the Mpox Outbreak in Africa

IPRI Team
22 August 2024
Photo Source: The New York Times

Conflict Weekly #242, 22 August 2024, Vol.5, No.34
An initiative by NIAS-IPRI

Ayan Datta and Anu Maria Joseph

Blinken’s Ninth visit to Israel: US and the War in Gaza
Ayan Datta
 
In the news
On 19 August, Israel’s Prime Minister, Benjamin Netanyahu, told the US Secretary of State, Anthony Blinken, that he would send Mossad Chief David Barnea, Shin Bet Director Ronen Bar, and Israel Defence Forces (IDF) Major General Nitzan Alon to Cairo for negotiations with Hamas. Additionally, Israel accepted Blinken’s “bridging proposal” for a ceasefire and hostage exchange, and the US urged Hamas to do the same. 

On 18 August, Blinken arrived in Tel Aviv to advance the Israel-Hamas negotiations, marking his ninth visit to Israel since the war began. Blinken stated: “This is a decisive moment, probably the best, maybe the last, opportunity to get the hostages home, to get a cease-fire.” 

The same day, Hamas leaked the terms of Blinken’s proposal, which included the following: the IDF would declare a temporary ceasefire and reduce its presence at the Philadelphi Corridor, the Palestinian Authority (PA) would govern the Rafah crossing under Israel’s supervision, the IDF would control the Netzarim Corridor and screen Palestinians passing through it, and Israel have the right to veto the release of 100 Palestinian prisoners demanded by Hamas. Furthermore, Israel would deport multiple Palestinian prisoners, and its military would be allowed to resume operations against Hamas if the group were to refuse its demands.

On the same day, Hamas rejected Blinken’s proposal for being biased towards Israel. The armed group reiterated its demand for a permanent ceasefire and stated: “We are not facing a deal or real negotiations, but…American diktats.” Hamas added that negotiations should implement the armed group’s 2 July proposal, based on US President Joe Biden’s three-stage plan, instead of discussing new proposals. 

On 17 August, the US, Qatar and Egypt announced a “bridging proposal” to Israel and Hamas, which was “consistent with the principles laid out by Biden on May 31, 2024. On the same day, Hamas stated that there was no progress on ceasefire-hostage negotiations and accused the US of creating a “false positive atmosphere.”  
 
Issues at large
First, the US objectives in the Gaza war. According to The Times of Israel and Al Jazeera, Washington aims to secure a hostage deal and permanent ceasefire, support Israel’s right to self-defence and its goal of destroying Hamas but with lower civilian casualties, deter Iran and its proxies from escalating the conflict, and establish a two-state solution with Gaza under the PA’s control.

Second, the US’ strategies. Since 7 October, Washington has pledged “ironclad support” for Israel through diplomatic support and weapons shipments and used its regional presence to counter Iran and its proxies. The US has kept negotiations alive by engaging regional partners, including Saudi Arabia, Qatar, Egypt, the UAE, and the PA, proposing a ceasefire-hostage exchange plan and facilitating aid delivery in Gaza through international platforms and the Gaza Aid pier. According to the Economist, Blinken has played a crucial role in the US diplomatic efforts to reach a ceasefire. Previously, he visited Israel five times between October and November 2023, leading to a 7-day pause. In 2024, he visited Israel nine times to reach a new ceasefire agreement.

Third, limitations of the US. According to the Times of Israel, the US’ aims of securing a permanent ceasefire and support for the elimination of Hamas are contradictory because the permanent ceasefire would lead to Hamas’ revival as a governing force. Furthermore, Israeli leaders have consistently rejected a two-state solution and PA rule over Gaza, instead supporting the IDF’s “overriding security control” over the enclave. Additionally, the Institute for National Security Studies reported that Hamas' immense popularity in Gaza, massive tunnel network, and weapons stockpiles complicate any endgame involving the group’s destruction and rule of any other group over the enclave. 
 
In perspective
Blinken’s visits to Israel mark a revival of the “shuttle diplomacy” approach to the Middle East conflicts, popularised by Henry Kissinger during the Arab-Israeli war of 1973-74. Blinken rarely met Israeli leaders in isolation, with his visits usually followed and preceded by trips to Arab states. However, unlike Kissinger, who successfully extracted concessions from Israel, Blinken provided unconditional support, limiting US leverage over Netanyahu. His bridging proposal reflects Israel’s desire to recreate the pre-2005 political arrangement in Gaza, with a weak PA in charge and IDF enjoying a substantial presence, completely alienating Hamas in the process. As long as the US carte blanche to Israel continues, its efforts to resolve the conflict are unlikely to succeed. 

Mpox Outbreak: Africa and Beyond
Anu Maria Joseph

In the news
On 20 August, the World Health Organization Europe (WHO Europe) director Hans Kluge stated: “Mpox is not the new COVID” and that “we know how to control mpox. And, in the European region, the steps needed to eliminate its transmission altogether.”

On 19 August, the Philippines reported the first clade Ib variant mpox case. Subsequently, the health ministries of South Korea, Japan, Malaysia and Indonesia announced precautions and alerts to avoid a spread.

On 15 August, the WHO declared a public health emergency of international concern (PHEIC) amidst the Mpox outbreak in Africa. WHO chief Tedros Adhanom Ghebreyesus stated that the possibility of a spread beyond Africa "is very worrying." He added: "A co-ordinated international response is essential to stop this outbreak and save lives." 

On 16 August, the European Centre for Disease Prevention and Control (ECDC) advised travel warnings for the regions affected by mpox virus. It came after the first clade Ib variant case was detected in Sweden. 

Previously, on 13 August, the Africa Centres for Disease Control and Prevention (Africa CDC) declared a health emergency in Africa. It reported that since January more than 13,700 cases and 450 deaths due to clade Ib mpox variant have been recorded in the Democratic Republic of Congo. It has spread to other African countries including Burundi, the Central African Republic, Kenya and Rwanda. 

On the same day, Africa CDC Director General Jean Kaseya stated: “We didn’t start vaccinations yet. We’ll start in a few days, if we are sure that everything is in place. End of next week vaccines will start to arrive in DRC and other countries.”

Issues at large
First, the mpox virus, origin, symptoms, mutants, and cure. Mpox, also known as monkeypox, was first identified in monkeys in a laboratory in Denmark in 1958. It is a zoonotic disease which can be transmitted from animals to humans. The first human case was reported in 1970. Mpox spreads through close contact with an infected via sex, skin-to-skin contact and body fluids. The symptoms are skin lesions and flu-like symptoms. The disease is at times fatal. It is similar to smallpox which was eradicated from the world in 1980. According to public health and virology professor at Texas State University, Rodney Rohde, mpox is a DNA virus, which does not mutate rapidly unlike RNA viruses. However, 50 variants of the mpox virus have been identified so far; all having a low impact on the severity of the disease. The strand which has been spreading in the DRC is clade 1b. It is highly contagious and deadly, and was described by the scientists as "the most dangerous yet." Meanwhile, smallpox vaccines are said to be 80 per cent effective in mpox.

Second, previous mpox outbreaks. This is not the first time the mpox outbreak has been reported worldwide. The first outbreak of the disease was reported in the US in 2003 with 70 cases. The virus was believed to be brought to the US through an infected prairie dog from Gambia. Cases were also reported in the UK, Israel, and Singapore, and among people who recently travelled to African countries. In May 2022, another mpox clade II variant outbreak was reported with active cases in the US, the UK, Australia, Canada and several other countries, affecting nearly 100,000 people. In January 2023, a major outbreak of mpox clade I in the DRC reported 19,000 cases and 900 deaths.

Third, vulnerable gender, age and geographies. The disease has been endemic in Africa since 1970 and limited to several western and central African countries. However, presently, the new variant has been identified in other African countries including Burundi, Kenya, Rwanda, South Africa and Uganda. The lack of access to vaccines and vaccination facilities, and slow precautions and responses have accelerated the spread. Africa CDC reported that children and women are highly affected in number and have an increased fatal risk. The conflict-hit regions in eastern DRC, especially internally displaced camps in the North Kivu province, are vulnerable to a rapid spread as isolation is impossible. 

In perspective
The frequency of the outbreak has increased, new strands are appearing and rapidly spreading, and the fatality rate is increasing. It seems that the virus is more concerning, unlike the previous outbreaks. Besides the DRC, conflict-hit regions in Africa including Sudan, Chad, Somalia and Ethiopia are more vulnerable to the spread of the disease. The absence of state apparatus, health facilities, and disrupted life in the conflict-hit regions make it susceptible to the spread of disease. 

An endemic in African countries gained international concern when the number of cases and the possibility of a global spread increased. It implies Africa's double burden of carrying communicable diseases while international actors remain ignorant. African countries lack state-level capacity to take precautions to control such a virus spread. Regional and international responses to the DRC outbreak were too late and too little, despite the WHO acknowledging Africa’s disease burden. The outbreak needs to be controlled by vaccinating the vulnerable groups in the vulnerable geographies. As Madeline Barron says, "diseases don't know boundaries," something the world learned from the COVID-19 pandemic. 

Global Protests Tracker #3
Zimbabwe and Venezuela
Anu Maria Joseph

It seems the protests in the UK, Kenya, Nigeria and Bangladesh have come to an end. However, a revisit after a few months would tell the melting point, and success of these protests. This week, protests continued in Venezuela. Meanwhile, much attention is not received on the protests in Zimbabwe.

Zimbabwe: An isolated anti-government protest
In Zimbabwe, the crackdown on opposition parties and leaders has been ongoing for a long time under the ZANU-PF party, during Robert Mugabe's regime and now under Emmerson Mnangagwa. However, it intensified after Mnangagwa passed the Patriotic Bill right after the 2023 elections, criminalising “wilfully damaging the sovereignty and national interest of Zimbabwe” and imposing sentences of up to 20 years. The law targeted opposition groups, human rights groups and journalists. Since then, parallel to recurring protests, several opposition members have been arrested, abducted, and tortured. Since June 2024, security officials have been attacking the opposition members and their protest venues, accusing them of trying to sabotage the SADC summit. This is the first time the country is hosting the SADC summit. According to Amnesty International, at least 160 people have been arrested since June. While the anti-government protests continue isolated, the opposition supporters blame the SADC, and other regional actors for their silence on Zimbabwe's illiberal democracy.

Venezuela: Strengthening protests
On 18 August, BBC reported on continuing protests in Venezuela against Nicolás Maduro's disputed election victory. Thousands have joined the protest supporting opposition leader María Corina Machado. The UN, the US, the EU and several Latin American countries have refused to recognise Maduro's victory. Maduro's government has used force and arbitrary arrest against opposition members and its supporters. It seems the protest is gaining momentum with increased participation and international support. However, it remains uncertain whether Maduro will give up.

Issues in Peace and Conflict This Week:
Regional Roundups
Rohini Reenum, Femy Francis, Anu Maria Joseph, Padmashree Anandhan, Ayan Datta, Samruddi Pathak, Sayeka Ghosh and Neha Tresa George

China, East, Southeast Asia, and the Pacific
China: Clashes with the Filipino coast guard in the South China Sea
On 19 August, the Chinese Coast Guard accused the Filipino counterpart of “unprofessional and dangerous” behaviour and a deliberate collision. Chinese spokesperson Gan Yu warned the Philippines to “cease its infringement and provocation” or face consequences. The Filipino vessel 4410 reportedly rammed Chinese vessel 21551 after ignoring warnings. This incident follows ongoing disputes between the countries over the Second Thomas Shoal and the Sabina Shoal. The Filipino Coast Guard spokesperson Jay Tarriela asserted their right to operate in the area stating: “Our Philippine Coast Guard vessels have the right to operate within the lagoon of Escoda Shoal for as long as necessary, without requiring permission from any other country.”

Taiwan: Hotel chain faces boycott over refusal to hoist Chinese flag
On 16 August, SCMP reported that a Taiwanese hotel chain, Evergreen Laurel, faced boycott calls from China after its Paris branch refused to hoist China’s flag during the Olympics. Videos of the incident have spurred outrage on Chinese social media. The Beijing Daily’s social media page demanded boycotts of Evergreen Laurel. A Taiwan official Liang Wen-chieh denounced the move of using nationalism to disrupt business. This incident comes amidst consumer boycotts in China against firms perceived to offend nationalist sentiments. The hotel’s website later listed locations by cities from countries, amid accusations of not recognising Taiwan as part of China.

South Korea: North Korean soldier found near the Military Demarcation Line
On 20 August, The Korea Times reported that a North Korean soldier was found on the northern part of the Military Demarcation Line (MDL) by the South Korean Military. The Joint Chief of Staff (JCS) confirmed the defection and stated that an investigation is underway. This comes 12 days after a North Korean resident reached South Korea by crossing the neutral zone of the Han River. Recently, South Korea has been conducting full-scale anti-Pyongyang broadcasts in response to the North's repeated launches of trash balloons.

Japan: 79 years of World War II surrender
On 15 August, Japan Today reported on Japan marking the 79th anniversary of its Second World War surrender. Emperor of Japan Naruhito, Empress of Japan Masako, and Prime Minister of Japan Fumio Kishida attended the ceremony. The ceremony mourned the three million Japanese civilians and soldiers who died during the war. During his speech, Kishida ignored Japan’s wartime aggression and focussed on free and open international order. Emperor Naruhito expressed his “deep remorse.” 

Japan: Lifts Nankai Trough megaquake alert, urges continued vigilance
On 15 August, Japan lifted its first-ever Nankai Trough megaquake alert. Despite the alert’s cancellation, authorities emphasised that the risk of a major earthquake persists. Chief Cabinet Secretary Yoshimasa Hayashi stressed the importance of ongoing preparedness, advising citizens to secure furniture and familiarise themselves with evacuation sites. The alert system, triggered by abnormal seismic activity along the Nankai Trough, does not guarantee safety once lifted. Toyo University Professor Isao Nakamura explained that the danger does not suddenly decrease, but diminishes gradually. Prime Minister Fumio Kishida called for clear communication about post-alert measures. Minister of Disaster Management Yoshifumi Matsumura noted the need to examine information dissemination and address discrepancies in tsunami arrival times within municipalities.

Australia and New Zealand: AUKUS to boost security
On 16 August, Reuters quoted Australian and New Zealand leaders that Australia, the UK, and the US (AUKUS) defence pact would improve regional security and stability. Australia’s Prime Minister Anthony Albanese and New Zealand’s Prime Minister Christopher Luxon stated that both countries would collaborate on security and prosperity. Although New Zealand is not a part of AUKUS, it has been seeking to collaborate on “pillar two” of the pact, focusing on shared military technology. Albanese said: “We share very much common values and we share common objectives, and it is not surprising we will look at any opportunity for including New Zealand in pillar two.” Prime Ministers issued concerns over tensions in the South China Sea and the need to maintain peace and stability. Additionally, they emphasised cyberattacks, targeting territorial integrity, political independence, and national security. 

Myanmar: KIA seizes the Moumauk town in Kachin state
On 19 August, the Kachin Independence Army (KIA) claimed to have captured the Momauk Township in Kachin State, the last remaining junta base in the state. According to KIA, it seized arms and ammunition and six military vehicles. KIA spokesperson Colonel Naw Bu said that the armed group took control of the whole town. They claimed to have struck the Battalion 437 headquarters, an important base for the junta’s military operations.

Myanmar: Thousands flee Gwa township to Ayeyarway region
On 20 August, Irrawaddy Times reported that 1,300 civilians fled southern Rakhine State’s Gwa Township to neighbouring Ayeyarwady region amidst intense fighting between the Arakan Army (AA) and the junta troops. The AA with the joint resistance forces seized Kyeintall in Gwa Township in August.

Vietnam: Thousands of children to face difficulties in returning to school, warns Save the Children
On 20 August, Save the Children in Vietnam warned that around 4,500 children in northern Vietnam would face difficulties returning to school following the flash floods and landslides. In July, the region was affected by heavy downpours and flash floods that destroyed crops and displaced several communities.

South Asia
Pakistan: Seven TTP militants killed in Kurram, reveals ISPR
On 15 August, Inter-Services Public Relations (ISPR) revealed that seven Fitna Al Khawarij or the Tehreek-e-Taliban Pakistan (TTP) terrorists were killed in an intelligence operation in the Kurram district of Khyber Pakhtunkhwa. ISPR stated that five other terrorists were captured. Separately, ISPR reported that three soldiers and five members of Fitna Al Khawarij were killed on 18 August. The Pakistani forces successfully prevented an infiltration attempt along the Pakistan-Afghanistan border in the Bajaur District of Khyber Pakhtunkhwa. The ISPR repeated its request to the Taliban regime to maintain effective management on their border. It added that it is important to prevent Afghan terrorists from using the shared territory to launch attacks on Pakistan.

Pakistan: Opposition parties to hold a peaceful rally 
On 20 August, The News International reported that the opposition party Pakistan Tehreek-e-Insaf (PTI) leaders decided to carry out a peaceful rally against the ruling government. A senior leader said: “It is our moral, constitutional and public duty to speak on issues and challenges being faced by the nation and the incompetence of the government will find even a little way forward and way out.” The PTI has planned to hold the rally on 22 August at Tarnol in Islamabad and other opposition parties would participate. At a meeting of opposition parties, they discussed the political and economic state of affairs and reiterated the supremacy of the constitution and the parliament. The participants are uniformly concerned about the government’s “self-serving” actions “at the cost of the Constitution and its spirit.” PTI member and National Assembly opposition leader Omar Ayub said: “Efforts will continue to restore the Constitution and rule of law in Pakistan and a nationwide campaign against the government will be announced soon.” 

The Middle East and Africa
Israel: Polio case detected in Gaza, UN chief urges “polio pause”
On 16 August, the Palestinian Ministry of Health in Gaza reported the first case of polio in the Gaza Strip, with the victim being a ten-month-old baby from Deir-el-Balah. On the same day, Hamas supported a proposal by UN Secretary-General Antonio Guterres for humanitarian pauses to vaccinate Gaza’s population. 

Israel: IDF continues attacks in Gaza, recover six hostages’ bodies
On 21 August, the IDF stated that its forces struck a Hamas compound “embedded and hidden” in Gaza City’s Mustafa Khaft school, killing 12 people. On 20 August, the IDF recovered the bodies of six hostages in Khan Younis. On 19 August, according to Al Jazeera, the Israeli Air Force (IAF) killed 35 Gazans. On 17 August, the IDF carried out attacks in southern Gaza’s Khan Younis city, northern Gaza’s Jabalia camp, and central Gaza’s Nuseirat refugee camp. Additionally, the IDF ordered Palestinians to leave parts of central Gaza’s Maghazi refugee camp. On 16 August, the IAF struck targets in northern Gaza’s Ta al-Hawa neighbourhood and southern Gaza’s Zeitoun neighbourhood. 
 
Israel: Tel-Aviv unveils new West Bank settlements amid continuing raids and settler violence
On 18 August, Israeli forces raided the Baqat al-Hatab in Qalqilya in the western West Bank. On 17 August, Israel’s government announced plans to establish a new settlement in the occupied territory in response to multiple European countries recognising the state of Palestine. Additionally, according to the Times of Israel, the IDF and Shin Bet killed two Hamas members in West Bank’s Jenin city, alleging that the duo planned a shooting attack that killed one Israeli. On 16 August, Israeli settlers attacked the northern West Bank village of Jit, killing one Palestinian. The attackers fired at residents, burning cars and destroying homes and property. 

Sudan: Health ministry declares cholera epidemic
On 19 August, the Sudanese Ministry of Health announced a cholera epidemic after 354 cases and  22 deaths were reported in the recent weeks. The WHO reported that 78 people have died due to cholera in the country between 1 January and 28 July. Seasonal floods and a 16-month civil war between the military factions have exacerbated the situation. Minister of Health Haitham Mohamed Ibrahim stated that the outbreak was “because of the weather conditions and because drinking water has been contaminated.” 

Mali: 15 soldiers killed in a clash with jihadists
On 17 August, Africanews reported that at least 15 members of Mali’s Defence and Security Forces (FDS) were killed during clashes with jihadists in the Mopti region. The jihadists belonged to the Jama’at Nusrat al-Islam wal Muslimeen (JNIM). 

Democratic Republic of Congo: 16 villagers killed in a clash with M23 rebels
On 16 August, Africanews reported that at least 16 villagers were killed in a clash between the M23 rebels and pro-government militias in the Rutshuru region of North Kivu Province. The fighting has raised concern on the break of a ceasefire which came into effect on 4 August. Issac Kibira, an administrative official, stated: "The M23 rebel position was attacked by the Wazalendo youth (and) unfortunately, seven civilians died.” 

Southern Africa: 68 million requires assistance amidst drought, reports SADC
On 17 August, the Southern African Development Community (SADC) Executive Secretary Elias Magosi stated that 17 per cent of the population in the region, nearly 68 million people, require assistance amidst the El Nino-induced drought. The bloc has warned of depleted crop and livestock production, causing food shortages in several countries. Magosi stated: “The 2024 rainy season has been a challenging one with most parts of the region experiencing negative effects of the El Nino phenomenon characterised by the late onset of rains.” Zimbabwe, Zambia and Malawi are reported to be the most affected. 

Europe and The Americas
Russia: Ukrainian troops destroy a second bridge in the Kursk region
On 18 August, Politico reported that the Ukrainian forces destroyed a second bridge over the Seim River in the Glushkovsky district of the Kursk region. Ukrainian Air Force Commander, Mykol Oleshchuk, said: “The Ukrainian air force continues to deprive Russia of its logistical capabilities with accurate airstrikes, which significantly affects the course of hostilities.” Kursk’s acting governor, Alexei Smirnov, confirmed the attack and reported the destruction of two bridges by HIMARS missiles. The military resupplies to Russian forces are predicted to be disrupted.

France: Delay in Pacific leaders’ visit to assess unrest in New Caledonia
On 21 August, the Pacific Islands Forum’s planned visit to the French territory of New Caledonia has been postponed due to concerns raised by the local government over “due process and protocol.” The 18-country forum intended to send a delegation, including the PIF chair and Cook Islands Prime Minister Mark Brown, to help resolve the ongoing violence that has claimed 11 lives since mid-May. However, New Caledonia Congress President Roch Wamytan accused France of trying to control the visit, stating that it was “an unacceptable form of humiliation.” France’s High Commissioner to the Pacific, Veronique Roger-Lacan, denied any responsibility for the delay, stating that France was “ready anytime to welcome such a mission.” The unrest in New Caledonia points to the indigenous Kanaks’ struggle for independence. The French government’s attempted electoral reforms further fueled tensions. The UN has criticised France’s “excessive use of force,” undermining the decolonisation process.

Haiti: Shootout between police and escaped prisoners
On 17 August, a spokesperson for Haiti’s National Police, Michel Ange Louis Jeune, said that eleven escaped prisoners in Saint-Merc were killed and one was arrested after a shootout with the police. This is the third similar incident in 2024, where inmates break out of prison. Citizens of Haiti are undergoing a continuous humanitarian crisis due to gang violence. The escaped prisoners burned down the police dormitories and archives. Citizens of Saint-Merc have been asked to stay vigilant. Haiti prisons suffer from overcrowding. 

Chile: Worker union’s strike against Lundin Mining continues
On 19 August, Reuters reported no signs of resolution between the workers’ union and Lundin Mining, a Canadian mining company, after a week of workers’ strike at the Caserones copper mine in Chile. President of the Caserones union, Marco Garcia, said that copper prices have been favourable to the industry but the profits are not being given to the workers. The workers are demanding higher wages and better working conditions. Meanwhile, the Head of the Chilean mining association SONAMI, Jorge Riesco, said that there needs to be a balance between workers’ pay and industry competitiveness. 

About the authors
Rohini Reenum is a PhD Scholar at NIAS. Padmashree Anandhan and Anu Maria Joseph are Research Associates at NIAS. Femy Francis, Neha Tresa George, Sayeka Ghosh and Nuha Aamina are Research Assistants at NIAS. Samruddi Pathak is a Research Intern at NIAS. Ayan Datta is a Postgraduate Student at the University of Hyderabad.


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Global Politics Review: WPF Report 2026
June 2026 | CWA # 2140

Nithin V

Pakistan and Press Freedom:
Four takeaways Military influence, cyber laws, political instability, and youth-driven digital journalism
Global Politics Review: WPF Report 2026
June 2026 | CWA # 2139

Siddhi Halyur

Afghanistan and Press Freedom:
Four takeaways on political control, religious restrictions and economic vulnerabilities 
Global Politics Review: WPF Report 2026
June 2026 | CWA # 2138

Siddhi Halyur

Nepal and Press Freedom:
Three takeaways on Political constraints, Missing legal protection and Funding issues
TWTW Explainer
June 2026 | CWA # 2136

Acsah H

The Blue Origin Rocket Explosion:
Does this leave Jeff Bezos grounded, Elon Musk unchallenged, and NASA’s lunar timeline in jeopardy?
CW Note
June 2026 | CWA # 2131

Rohini Reenum

Israel-Lebanon Tensions:
New Deal amidst Israeli incursion and Hezbollah’s retaliation
CW Explainer
June 2026 | CWA # 2130

Akshath Kaimal

The UK-Rwanda Asylum Deal: 
Why did the Permanent Court of Arbitration reject Rwanda’s claims? What was Rwanda’s complaint? Why did the UK cancel the deal?
CW Column
June 2026 | CWA # 2129

Anu Maria Joseph

Conflicts in Africa This Week:
The Ebola fear in DR Congo and the Elections in Ethiopia amidst conflicts
TWTW Note
May 2026 | CWA # 2126

Aparna A Nair

The Shenzhou-23 Mission:
China's Space Missions, Technology, and Infrastructure
CW Note
May 2026 | CWA # 2124

Glynnis Winona B

The Crisis in Cuba:
The US Sanctions, Energy Crisis, and Economic Instability
CW Note
May 2026 | CWA # 2123

Akshath Kaimal

The Ebola and the DR Congo:
Multiple Outbreaks, Fragile Healthcare System, and Ineffective Global Responses
CW Column
May 2026 | CWA # 2122

Radhika M Agarwal

The War in Ukraine:
Ballistic missiles, Nuclear drills with Belarus, and the Czech ammunition initiative
CW Column
May 2026 | CWA # 2120

Brighty Ann Sarah

Conflicts in the Middle East
The US-Iran War Week Thirteen: Escalating Hostilities, Tenuous Ceasefire and Tense Negotiations
CW Column
May 2026 | CWA # 2119

Anu Maria Joseph

Conflicts in Africa
The Ebola spread in DR Congo, The Faye-Sonko split in Senegal, and the Deepening US military involvement in Nigeria
TWTW Note
May 2026 | CWA # 2115

Aparna A Nair

The Putin-Xi Summit
Trade, Technology, Security, and Pipeline
Global Politics Explainer
May 2026 | CWA # 2114

Glynnis Winona B

What makes the UAE a global player?
Explaining the Governance, Economy, People, and Strategic Influence of a Small Middle Eastern State
Global Politics Explainer
May 2026 | CWA # 2113

Aishal Hab Yousuf

Sri Lanka and the US-Iran War:
Rising oil imports, Austerity measures and State capacity
The World This Week
May 2026 | CWA # 2111

NIAS Global Politics Team

The Trump-Xi Summit
The Africa Forward Summit 2026 I North Korea's Constitutional Amendment 2026
TWTW Note
May 2026 | CWA # 2110

Aishal Hab Yousuf

The Trump-Xi Summit:
Managing Strategic Competition through Trade, Technology, and Diplomacy
Conflict Weekly
May 2026 | CWA # 2092

NIAS Global Politics Team

The US-Iran War, Week Ten
CW Column on Middle East: Escalating Israeli Aggression in Lebanon I UAE's Covert Manoeuvres
CW Note
May 2026 | CWA # 2090

Brighty Ann Sarah

The US-Iran War, Week Ten:
Fraying Ceasefire, Renewed Negotiations and the Risk of a Stalemate
The World This Week
May 2026 | CWA # 2089

Global Politics Team

King Charles's US Visit
TWTW Takeaways
May 2026 | CWA # 2088

Nithin V

Emphasis on strong bilateral relations, democratic values and security cooperation
TWTW Note
May 2026 | CWA # 2087

Siddhi Halyur

Exploring Strategic Sectors of Cooperation
TWTW Note
May 2026 | CWA # 2086

Aishal Hab Yousuf

Implications for the Middle East and the Energy Market
TWTW Note
May 2026 | CWA # 2085

Glynnis Winona B

Growing US-Europe differences and Challenges for Berlin
CW Note
May 2026 | CWA # 2083

Brighty Ann Sarah

The US-Iran War, Week Nine:
Deadlocked Negotiations, Competing Agendas and Domestic Pressure
CW Note
May 2026 | CWA # 2082

Akshath Kaimal

Escalating Violence in Mali:
Between Ethnic Insurgencies, Jihadist Attacks, and Military Coups
The World This Week
April 2026 | CWA # 2080

Global Politics Team

Four Takeaways of the WFP's report on the fallouts of the Middle East crisis
TWTW Note
April 2026 | CWA # 2079

Aishal Hab Yousuf

From Post-War Pacifism to Strategic Recalibration and Autonomy
CW Note
April 2026 | CWA # 2074

Brighty Ann Sarah

Israel-Lebanon Ceasefire:
Asymmetric Terms, Fragile Truce and Israeli Occupation
CW Note
April 2026 | CWA # 2073

Akshath Kaimal

The US-Iran War, Week Eight:
A Fragile Ceasefire, Attempts to Control Hormuz and the Stalled Talks in Islamabad
Special Commentary
April 2026 | CWA # 2072

Anu Maria Joseph

Three Years of War in Sudan
Prolonged Stalemate, Humanitarian Cost, External Interventions and Regional Fallouts
Conflict Weekly Special Edition
April 2026 | CWA # 2070

NIAS Global Politics Team

The US-Iran War I Conflicts in Africa I The War in Ukraine I China-Japan Tensions I Pakistan-Afghanistan Clashes
April 2026 | CWA # 2069

Padmashree Anandhan

The War in Ukraine
Expanding Drone Warfare, Russia's Strategic Patience and Ukraine's Diplomatic Outreach
April 2026 | CWA # 2068

Femy Francis 

China-Japan Tensions
Escalating Defence Posturing and Economic Decoupling
April 2026 | CWA # 2067

Anu Maria Joseph

Conflicts in Africa
Continuing Conflicts in Sudan, South Sudan and DR Congo, Security issues in Nigeria, and Political Instability in Madagascar
April 2026 | CWA # 2065

Lakshmi Venugopal Menon

The US-Iran War, Israel-Hamas Conflict and their interconnected fallouts
April 2026 | CWA # 2064

Anwesha Ghosh

Gender Repression, Leadership Rifts, Regional Realignments and Clashes with Pakistan
April 2026 | CWA # 2063

Ramya B

Russia (Jan-Mar 2026)
Assertive Military Posture, Attempts for an Economic Turnaround and Search for Partners
April 2026 | CWA # 2062

Himani Pant

Europe (Jan-Mar 2026)
Trade diversification & FTAs, Increased defence spending, Tightening irregular migration and Economic slowdown
April 2026 | CWA # 2061

S Shaji

Africa (Jan-Mar 2026)
Elections, Civil Wars, Militancy and Peace Initiatives
The World This Quarter
April 2026 | CWA # 2059

Adarsh Vijay

April 2026 | CWA # 2058

Nishchal N Pandey  & Mahesh Raj Bhatta

Nepal (Jan-Mar 2026)
Political Upheaval, Generational Change and Economic Uncertainty
The World This Quarter
April 2026 | CWA # 2057

Bibhu Prasad Routray

Myanmar (Jan-Mar 2026)
An Illegitimate Regime's Consolidation Game
The World This Quarter
April 2026 | CWA # 2056

Ashik J Bonofer

Southeast Asia (Jan-Mar 2026)
Deteriorating situation in Myanmar, Philippines as the ASEAN Chair, New government in Thailand, and Economic & Environmental challenges
The World This Quarter
April 2026 | CWA # 2054

Amrita Jash

Regional assertion, Pragmatic recalibration with the West and Avoiding military entanglement in the Middle East
The World This Quarter
April 2026 | CWA # 2053

Anand V

The "Two Sessions," Recalibrated growth targets, Technology prioritization, and Military purges
The World This Quarter
April 2026 | CWA # 2052

Shreya Upadhyay

Conflict Weekly
April 2026 | CWA # 2050

IPRI Team

March 2026 | CWA # 2042

Preetha Renganarayanan

Five Takeaways of the US Annual Threat Assessment (ATA) Report for 2026
March 2026 | CWA # 2039

Femy Francis

Trump-Xi Meeting
Why did Trump reschedule it? What does that mean?
March 2026 | CWA # 2035

Akshath Kaimal

Pakistan-Afghanistan Conflict
Broken ceasefire, Expanding military strikes and Worsening humanitarian situation
Global Politics Early Bird
March 2026 | CWA # 2033

Mahesh Bhatta

Nepal after elections:
Five major challenges for the new government
March 2026 | CWA # 2023

Femy Francis

New Five-Year Plan, Ethnic Unity Law, and an Enhanced Defence Budget
March 2026 | CWA # 2019

Akshath Kaimal

Rising Violence in Nigeria
Limited State Capacity, Multiple Actors, and a Complex Security Environment
The World This Week
March 2026 | CWA # 2017

Global Politics Team

March 2026 | CWA # 2011

Tanvi Thara Harendra Jha

Resetting Economic, Strategic and Cultural Ties
March 2026 | CWA # 2009

Sreemaya Nair

Nepal Elections 2026
Rise of a new leadership and Reset in political landscape
March 2026 | CWA # 2004

Akshath Kaimal

Instability returns, with a fragile peace agreement, uptick in violence and limited international engagement
March 2026 | CWA # 2003

Yesasvi Koganti

From bilateral ties to a special strategic partnership
March 2026 | CWA # 2002

Femy Francis

Reducing trade deficit and recalibrating economic cooperation with Beijing
March 2026 | CWA # 2001

Preetha Renganarayanan

Six major takeaways on the economy, border and internal security and Iran
February 2026 | CWA # 1998

Anu Maria Joseph

Instability in Sudan
Response to the genocide call and the threats of a regional spillover
March 2026 | CWA # 1991

Global Politics Team

PR Commentary
February 2026 | CWA # 1986

Preetha Renganarayanan

Focus on Trade, Defense, Energy and Regional Connectivity
PR Commentary
February 2026 | CWA # 1985

Abhimanyu Solanki

Basant in Pakistan
The return of Basant, and what it signifies
February 2026 | CWA # 1977

Anu Maria Joseph

Violence in Nigeria
US military deployment amidst worsening insurgency
February 2026 | CWA # 1976

Lekshmi MK

The War in Ukraine
The Geneva Talks and Growing Negotiation Asymmetry
Pakistan in 2025
December 2025 | CWA # 1971

Vani Vyshnavi Jupudi

Pakistan Budget 2025-26
Legislating stabilisation under IMF discipline and coalition constraints
Pakistan in 2025
December 2025 | CWA # 1970

Aparna A Nair

Pakistan & China
Ten Years of China-Pakistan Economic Corridor (CPEC)
PR Explainer
November 2025 | CWA # 1968

Vani Vyshnavi Jupudi

Pakistan and the US
A New opening, or another cycle?
PR Explainer
November 2025 | CWA # 1967

R Preetha

Risks, Reforms and Trajectories
November 2025 | CWA # 1966

Lekshmi MK

Five Questions on Challenges, Capacity and Policies
The World This Week
February 2026 | CWA # 1962

Global Politics Team

Regional Roundups: From East Asia to the Americas
Early Bird
February 2026 | CWA # 1961

Lekshmi MK

What does it mean for domestic politics and regional stability?
The World This Week
February 2026 | CWA # 1955

Global Politics Team

Regional Roundups: From East Asia to the Americas
TWTW Note
January 2026 | CWA # 1947

Brighty Ann Sarah

TWTW Note
January 2026 | CWA # 1946

Preetha Renganarayanan

The Davos Summit 2026
Five Major Takeaways from The World Economic Forum
The World This Week
January 2026 | CWA # 1945

Global Politics Team

Conflict Weekly Note
January 2026 | CWA # 1943

Anu Maria Joseph

CW Note
January 2026 | CWA # 1942

Lekshmi MK

CW Note
January 2026 | CWA # 1941

Brighty Ann Sarah

Conflict Weekly
January 2026 | CWA # 1940

IPRI Team

TWTW Note
January 2026 | CWA # 1939

Lekshmi MK

CW Note
January 2026 | CWA # 1937

Anu Maria Joseph

State of Global Politics 2025
December 2025 | CWA # 1931

Padmashree Anandhan

NATO Summit 2025
State of Global Politics 2025
December 2025 | CWA # 1930

Aparna A Nair

State of Global Politics 2025
December 2025 | CWA # 1924

Padmashree Anandhan

NATO Summit 2025
State of Global Politics 2025
December 2025 | CWA # 1914

Preetha Renganarayanan

State of Global Politics 2025
December 2025 | CWA # 1913

Rohini Reenum

State of Global Politics 2025
December 2025 | CWA # 1912

Lekshmi MK

State of Global Politics 2025
December 2025 | CWA # 1911

Swati Sood

State of Global Politics 2025
December 2025 | CWA # 1905

Femy Francis

State of Peace and Conflict 2025
December 2025 | CWA # 1902

Brighty Ann Sarah

State of Peace and Conflict 2025
December 2025 | CWA # 1893

Lekshmi MK

State of Peace and Conflict 2025
December 2025 | CWA # 1889

Femy Francis

State of Peace and Conflict 2025
December 2025 | CWA # 1881

Sunidhi Sampige

China Reader
December 2025 | CWA # 1864

Femy Francis

Ten Takeaways of a SCMP Interview with a former PLA Colonel
TWTW Note
December 2025 | CWA # 1861

Femy Francis

China Reader
CW Column: The Conflicts in The Middle East
November 2025 | CWA # 1859

Brighty Ann Sarah

CW Column: The War in Ukraine
November 2025 | CWA # 1858

Padmashree Anandhan

This Week in History
August 2025 | CWA # 1801

R Preetha

28 August 1963
Martin Luther King's "I Have a Dream" speech and the Civil Rights Movement in the US
The World This Week
August 2025 | CWA # 1790

GP Team

The World This Week#323-324
The Trump-Putin meeting & the US-China tariff extension
TWTW note
August 2025 | CWA # 1780

Abhiruchi Chowdhury

Trump tariffs:
Weaponization of access to the US economy
The World This Week
August 2025 | CWA # 1779

GP Team

The World This Week#322
US tariffs on India, Brazil and Canada & the EU-US trade deal
This Week in History
August 2025 | CWA # 1778

Lekshmi MK

28 July 1914
Austria-Hungary declares war on Serbia, starting the First World War
Global Politics Explainer
July 2025 | CWA # 1770

Abhiruchi Chowdhury

Pakistan-Afghanistan relations:
Why the focus on terrorism, refugees, and Uzbekistan as the third partner?
The World This Week
July 2025 | CWA # 1769

GP Team

The World This Week#321
Indian PM Modi's visit to the Maldives I Elections to the Upper House in Japan
Global Politics Explainer
July 2025 | CWA # 1762

Lekshmi MK

Ocean Darkening: 
What is the phenomenon? What are its effects? And who are more vulnerable?
Global Politics Explainer
July 2025 | CWA # 1749

R Preetha

Africa as the Hunger Epicenter
Of the 13 Global Hunger Hotspots, 8 are in Africa: Five reasons why
The World This Week
July 2025 | CWA # 1748

GP Team

The World This Week #318
PM Modi’s Visit to Trinidad and Tobago & Ghana, One big beautiful bill, and Quad Foreign Ministers Meeting
Global Politics Explainer
July 2025 | CWA # 1744

Chittrothu Vaihali

EU-Canada Summit 2025
What is security and defence partnership all about?
Conflict Weekly
July 2025 | CWA # 1742

IPRI Team

Conflict Weekly # 287-88
The 12 Day War and the Congo-Rwanda Peace Deal
Global Politics Explainer
July 2025 | CWA # 1738

Fleur Elizabeth Philip

Thailand and Cambodia
What was the phone call between PM Shinawatra and President of Senate Hun Sen? What is the border dispute between the two? Why has this become an issue?
TWTW Note
June 2025 | CWA # 1735

Padmashree Anandhan

NATO Summit 2025:
Trump making Europe great again
The World This Week
June 2025 | CWA # 1734

GP Team

The World This Week #317
NATO Summit 2025 and Russia-Mali bilateral agreements
Global Politics Explainer
June 2025 | CWA # 1733

Ananya Dinesh

China and the Pacific Islands 
What was the recent China-PIC joint statement about? What it says, and what it means?
TWTW Note
June 2025 | CWA # 1728

M Kejia

G7 Summit 2025:
The Focus on the Middle East and Trade negotiations
The World This Week
June 2025 | CWA # 1726

GP Team

The World This Week #316
China-Central Asia Summit in Kazakhstan, and the G7 Summit in Canada
Global Politics Explainer
June 2025 | CWA # 1725

Brighty Ann Sarah, R Preetha, Santhiya M, Aparna A Nair & M Kejia

Operation Midnight Hammer: US bombs three nuclear sites in Iran
What were the three Iranian nuclear sites that were targeted? What are the B2 Bombers and Bunker Buster Bombs? What do these attacks mean? What Next?
Conflict Weekly
June 2025 | CWA # 1724

IPRI Team

Conflict Weekly #286
The Spiralling Israel-Iran Crisis, and the Dangerous Hunger Hotspots
Global Politics Explainer
June 2025 | CWA # 1721

Rizwana Banu S and Santhiya M

Who are the Afrikaners?
Why is Trump interested in the Afrikaner question in South Africa?
Global Politics Explainer
June 2025 | CWA # 1720

Lekshmi MK

New WMO Report on Arctic Warming
What are the social, economic and environmental implications of Arctic warming
Global Politics Explainer
June 2025 | CWA # 1719

J Yamini  

China’s EV Surge
What contributes to the rise of BYD
Global Politics Explainer
June 2025 | CWA # 1717

J Yamini

Gender Violence in Pakistan:
What are the larger issues in the Noor Mukadam case?
TWTW Note
June 2025 | CWA # 1715

Femy Francis

The US-China:
On Tariffs, Rare Earths and Visas
The World This Week
June 2025 | CWA # 1713

GP Team

The World This Week #315
The UN Ocean Conference in France and the US-China Meeting in London
CW Note
June 2025 | CWA # 1712

R Preetha

The World This Week
June 2025 | CWA # 1705

GP Team

The World This Week #314
Elections in South Korea and Poland I China and the Pacific Island Countries I Bangladesh Election Announcement 2026
Global Politics Explainer
June 2025 | CWA # 1703

M Kejia 

Sagarmatha Sambaad in Nepal
Kathmandu’s Global Agenda for the Himalayas
Global Politics Explainer
June 2025 | CWA # 1700

R Preetha

Ethiopia bans the TPLF
What does the TPLF ban mean for the Pretoria agreement? What next for Ethiopia?
TWTW Note
June 2025 | CWA # 1694

Aashish Ganeshan

The US:
Harvard vs Trump Administration
The World This Week
June 2025 | CWA # 1691

GP Team

The World This Week #313
China-ASEAN-GCC Summit I President Macron's visit to South East Asia I Trump Vs Harvard
The World This Week
May 2025 | CWA # 1690

GP Team

The World This Week #312
Elections in Romania, Portugal & Poland I UK-EU Summit
CW Note
May 2025 | CWA # 1689

Padmashree Anandhan

Ukraine
Continuing Russia’s Aerial Attacks, despite exchange of prisoners
CW Note
May 2025 | CWA # 1688

Ayan Datta

Gaza
The Humanitarian Crisis and Israel’s Renewed Offensive
TWTW Note
May 2025 | CWA # 1685

Aparna A Nair

UK-EU Summit:
First step towards a reset
TWTW Note
May 2025 | CWA # 1683

Aashish Ganeshan

Elections in Portugal:
The Rise of Chega Party and the Search for Political Stability
TWTW Note
May 2025 | CWA # 1679

Aashish Ganeshan

US in the Middle Easr
Trump’s visit to Saudi Arabia, Qatar and UAE
TWTW Note
May 2025 | CWA # 1678

Gauri Gupta

China in Latin America
China-CELAC forum: Strengthening ties with Latin America and Caribbean
The World This Week
May 2025 | CWA # 1677

GP Team

The World This Week #310-311
China in Latin America and the Carribbean I Trump's Middle East Visit I Denmark as the new Arctic Chair
CW Note
May 2025 | CWA # 1675

Lekshmi MK

Turkey:
PKK disbands after 40 years of armed insurgency
CW Note
May 2025 | CWA # 1673

Padmashree Anandhan

Ukraine:
The Discussion in Turkiye and the Elusive Ceasefire
CW Note
May 2025 | CWA # 1671

Abhiruchi Chowdhury

US, Ukraine and Russia:
Air attacks amidst a Minerals deal and Ceasefire Proposals
Global Politics Early Bird
May 2025 | CWA # 1670

Fleur Elizabeth Philip

Singapore Elections in 2025:
People’s Action Party (PAP) Wins, Again
TWTW Note
May 2025 | CWA # 1667

R Preetha and Brighty Ann Sarah

East Asia:
Tough Tariff Negotiations with the US
TWTW Note
May 2025 | CWA # 1666

Padmashree Anandhan

The US-Ukraine
The mineral deal with the US
Conflict Weekly
May 2025 | CWA # 1665
Conflict Weekly # 280-81
India-Pakistan De-escalation I Ukraine Discussion in Istanbul I The Battle over Port Sudan I Disbanding of PKK in Turkiye I France-Algeria Diplomatic Tensions
Global Politics Early Bird
May 2025 | CWA # 1663

R Preetha

Canada Elections 2025:
What do the results convey? What next for Mark Carney?
Conflict Weekly 250th Issue
October 2024 | CWA # 1480

IPRI Team

This Week in History
July 2024 | CWA # 1413

Ramya B

Global Politics Early Bird
May 2024 | CWA # 1336

Femy Francis

This Week in History
April 2024 | CWA # 1275

Ramya B

NIAS Global Politics Database
March 2024 | CWA # 1251

NIAS Africa Team

Africa This Week
This Week in History
March 2024 | CWA # 1246

Sivasubramanian K

NIAS Global Politics Database
February 2024 | CWA # 1226

NIAS Africa Team

Africa This Week
The World This Week
November 2023 | CWA # 1148

GP Team

The War in Ukraine
October 2023 | CWA # 1091

Annem Naga Bindhu Madhuri

Issues for Europe
NIAS Pakistan Weekly
October 2023 | CWA # 1087

PR Team

The World This Week
October 2023 | CWA # 1083

GP Team

Conflict Weekly
August 2023 | CWA # 1049

IPRI Team

IPRI Quarterly Forecasts I Triggers, Trends, and Trajectories
July 2023 | CWA # 1012

Bibhu Prasad Routray

Myanmar continues to burn
The World This Week
July 2023 | CWA # 1009

GP Team

2022: The World This Year
December 2022 | CWA # 879

Padmashree Anandhan

The Ukraine War
2022: The World This Year
December 2022 | CWA # 872

Sapna Elsa Abraham

Europe: Heatwaves, Wildfires, Droughts, and Ice Melt in Alps
November 2022 | CWA # 838

Rishma Banerjee

Tracing Europe's droughts
NIAS Africa Weekly
March 2022 | CWA # 705

NIAS Africa Team

In Focus: Libya
The World This Week: 150th Issue
December 2021 | CWA # 630

GP Team

Europe in 2021
Pakistan Reader
October 2021 | CWA # 588

Abigail Miriam Fernandez

TLP is back again
NIAS Fortnightly on Science, Technology & International Relations
August 2021 | CWA # 528

STIR Team

Space Tourism
GLOBAL PROTEST MOVEMENTS
September 2020 | CWA # 337

Anju Annie Mammen

The FATF Meeting, February 2020
February 2020 | CWA # 235

Lakshmi V Menon

Science, Technology and International Relations
September 2019 | CWA # 162

Lakshman Chakravarthy N

5G: A Primer
South Asia Monthly Brief (Nov 2018)
December 2018 | CWA # 71

Mahesh Bhatta

Nepal
South Asia Monthly Brief (Nov 2018)
December 2018 | CWA # 70

Nasima Khatoon

The Maldives
South Asia Monthly Brief (Nov 2018)
December 2018 | CWA # 69

Harini Madhusudan

India
South Asia Monthly Brief (Nov 2018)
December 2018 | CWA # 68

Sourina Bej

Bangladesh
South Asia Monthly Brief (Nov 2018)
December 2018 | CWA # 67

Seetha Lakshmi Dinesh Iyer

Afghanistan
United States
July 2018 | CWA # 47

Rahul Arockiaraj

East Asia
June 2018 | CWA # 26

Siddhatti Mehta