CWA # 2263
Conflict Weekly
The US-Iran War Week 26 I The Trial of Joshua Wong
The State of Food Security and Nutrition
Conflict Weekly #347, Vol 7, Nos. 34, 04 September 2026
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NIAS Global Politics Team
4 September 2026
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CW Note
The US-Iran War Week 26:
Renewed Escalation and Diplomatic Deadlock
Brighty Ann Sarah
In the news
On 30 August, Reuters reported that Washington attacked two Iranian launchers on Iran's Larak Island, claiming that the IRGC forces “were observed preparing to launch rockets with sea mines into Strait of Hormuz.” The attacks marked the first major military escalation since late July, with a reported casualty of three civilians. Iran decried the accusations and the IRGC retaliated with ballistic missile strikes on the King Hussein and Al Azraq US bases in Jordan.
On 01 September, Iran’s semi-official news outlet Tasnim reported that President Masoud Pezeshkian affirmed that “If the US returns to that same memorandum of understanding, we will abide by it as well,” in conversation with Russia’s President Vladimir Putin on the sidelines of the SCO summit.
On 02 September, according to media reports, the US had launched a barrage of strikes against Iran, targeting strategic assets including air defense sites, radar systems, mine-laying capabilities, and communications sites. Iran responded with attacks on US facilities in Jordan, Bahrain and Iraq. On the same day, Reuters also reported that for the first time, Iran has gone about seven weeks without shipping significant crude exports through the Strait of Hormuz after the US reinstated the naval blockade.
Issues at large
1. The return to hostilities
Following an intense 13-day strike campaign in late June, the US and Iran there was a lull. During this period the situation remained tense but relatively quiet, even without a formal ceasefire. There were no major direct exchanges of strikes, though the broader conflict continued through economic pressure, disrupted shipping in the Strait of Hormuz, and sanctions. However, the latest wave of attacks marks an end to the respite, plunging the region into renewed escalation.
2. Intensifying US economic pressure and military escalation
Washington has intensified its efforts to coerce Tehran to a favourable settlement through a series of sanctions, compounded by military escalation against Tehran’s interference in the Strait of Hormuz. The US has shifted from limited, precise actions to larger, more powerful waves of airstrikes targeting IRGC’s strategic infrastructure near the Strait, with President Trump explicitly warning that any Iranian retaliation would trigger harder strikes. Concurrently, the administration launched “Operation Economic Outcast,” a coordinated Treasury-led campaign aimed at systematically isolating Iran’s already war-battered economy through tightened sanctions, further restrictions on oil exports, and broader financial measures designed to choke off remaining revenue streams.
3. Dwindling crude exports and a weakened Iranian economy
The Iranian economy was plunged into the war fresh off an economic crisis and a major civil unrest in its wake. Iran’s economy is under severe strain from the cumulative effects of the six-month war, the intermittent naval blockade of its ports and the Strait of Hormuz, and intensified Western sanctions, resulting in soaring prices, and widespread hardship for the civilian population, the major contributors to the unrest of 2025. President Masoud Pezeshkian had earlier stated that Iranian exports have fallen by 35 per cent due to US sanctions. The intensifying US blockade over the strait has also choked Tehran’s primary lifeline of crude oil exports, pushing the country into further economic strain. Islamabad has further choked remaining export channels and foreign-exchange reserves.
4. Recurring cycles of violence and the limits of diplomacy
The six months of intense conflict have been marked by recurring cycles of escalation, interspersed with brief pauses and diplomatic efforts. However, none of the formal diplomatic initiatives have succeeded in establishing meaningful grounds for resolution or a lasting halt to hostilities. Negotiations have failed to produce any meaningful outcome. Although Iran has continued to hint at compliance with the MoU, particularly amid intensifying US pressure, reciprocity from Washington has remained absent. The US appears steadfast on its path of attrition, unwilling to negotiate over unrestricted access to the Strait of Hormuz. Tehran, meanwhile, has remained unyielding in its hardline position and increasingly assertive demands over the strait despite the willingness to negotiate, further diminishing the scope for meaningful negotiations.
In perspective
Despite navigating the international economic system for decades while weighed down by Western sanctions, Tehran is also feeling the pressure of US economic measures, particularly the blow to its crude exports caused by the Hormuz blockade. However, Tehran continues to maintain its position while reiterating its willingness to negotiate, a stance it has consistently maintained throughout the war, even as the US resorted to annihilative rhetoric and chest-thumping. However, the latest round of attacks indicates that Washington is set on a clear path of escalation. The oscillation between escalation and negotiations underscore the limitations of diplomacy, as both Iran and the US continue to pursue zero-sum outcomes in their favour. The scope for a negotiated settlement remains out of reach in the foreseeable future, while the further escalation remains imminent.
Brighty Ann Sarah is a Research Assistant at the National Institute of Advanced Studies, Bengaluru.
CW Explainer
The Trial of Joshua Wong:
What are the charges? Why did he plead guilty now?
Aparna A Nair
On 02 September, Hong-Kong based pro-democracy activist Josua Wong pled guilty to colluding with foreign actors under China’s national security law. He had been serving a sentence of four years and eight month on charges of subversion and was shecduled to be released from prison in 2027 when he pleaded guilty.
Who is Joshua Wong?
Joshua Wong Chi- Fung is a prominent Hong Kong-based pro-democracy activist. He began his activist journey at the age of 14, fighting against government overreach. In 2012, he demanded that the Hong Kong government suspend the proposed national education curriculum, which was widely regarded as political indoctrination. Pressured by school walkouts and public demonstrations, the government suspended the program. He was first arrested in a Hong Kong Civic Square protest for unlawful assembly in 2014. Initially, he was sentenced to community service, but later it was increased to six months behind bars. In 2016, he co-founded Demosisto with Nathem Law and Agnes Chow, advocating for greater autonomy for the Special Administrative Region. He advocated for civic rights, protection of democratic principles and self-determination.
In 2020, Beijing introduced the National Security Law (NSL) in Hong Kong that criminalised secession, subversion, terrorism, and collusion with foreign forces. The legislation also granted greater autonomy to the mainland in court proceedings. Since then, his party was disbanded, and he was arrested.
What are the charges against him?
The first charge he’s currently jailed for is subversion. He was one of the 45 pro-democracy figures involved in an unofficial legislative primary election in July 2020. The Prosecutors argued that his actions aimed to paralyse the government and undermine state power. In 2024, Wong pleaded guilty to conspiracy to subvert state power and was sentenced to four years and eight months in prison. He has been in custody since late 2020 and was due to be released in early 2027.
The latest charges are for collusion with foreign powers. On 02 September, he pleaded guilty to a second NSL charge- conspiracy to collude with a foreign country or external elements to endanger national security. The charge sheet reads that he conspired with exiled activist Nathan Law and others in 2020 and called foreign powers for sanctions, blockades, or other hostile activities against China and Hong Kong. Usually, this offence carries a statutory range of three to 10 years, or up to life imprisonment. The new conviction is expected to add more years to his existing terms.
Why did he plead guilty now?
This can be viewed as a tactical move to get a lighter sentence, as the evidence is strong. The common law principles in Hong Kong courts are that an early guilty plea results in a mitigated sentence. The court views it as accepted responsibility and as an act of remorse. Moreover, he is serving a four-year and eight-month subversion sentence. The new collusion charge will be added on top of his existing term. The latest literature suggests that all these factors might have resulted in an early guilty plea.
Is there a larger trend of jailed activists in China?
Yes. When NSL took effect, a wide range of pro-democracy activists, lawmakers, journalists, and civil society figures were arrested. The founder of the pro-democracy Apple Daily newspaper, Jimmy Lai, was convicted of collusion with foreign powers and sentenced to 20 years this year. Chow Hang‑tung and Lee Cheuk‑yan, organisers of the annual Tiananmen Square vigil, are now facing 10 years in jail for subversion. Many NSL defendants, including Wong and Benny Tai, are convicted of subversion and are facing multi-year sentences.
The latest official figures show that more than 400 have been arrested under the NSL since 2020. This includes over 200 charges and 180 people convicted, denoting a systemic crackdown on organised opposition. Many view Beijing's action as an effort to eradicate Hong Kong’s Basic Law - “one country, two systems". Such strong convictions and oppression are aimed at reshaping Hong Kong's political landscape and neutralising leading activists.
References:
“Hong Kong: Jailed activist Joshua Wong pleads guilty to foreign collusion under National Security Law,” BBC, 02 September 2026
“Hong Kong: How is it run, and what is the Basic Law?,” BBC, 01 July 2022
“Who is Joshua Wong, the Hong Kong activist jailed for a 2019 protest?,” Reuters, 02 December 2020
Aparna A Nair is a postgraduate student at the Department of Political Science, Madras Christian College, Chennai. She is currently a Research Assistant at NIAS.
CW Takeaways
The State of Food Security and Nutrition:
Six takeaways of the WHO 2026 Report on rising food insecurity and the affordability crisis
Yesasvi Koganti
On 21 July, the World Health Organization published the State of Food Security and Nutrition in the World 2026 report, reviewing hunger, affordability, nutrition, and inequalities. It was jointly drafted by FAO, IFAD, UNICEF, WFP, and WHO, using expert analysis and data, with reviews.
The report highlights the significance of affordable access to nutritious diets through agricultural policy reform, improved value chains, and tackling entrenched inequalities. The following are the seven major takeaways from the report:
1. Food security improved in 2026 compared with 2025, while nutrition continued to face challenges
The 2026 report demonstrated improvement compared with the 2025 report. Hunger decreased from 8.2 per cent in the 2025 report to 7.8 per cent in the 2026 report. Moderate or severe food insecurity dropped marginally to 25.8 per cent. Nutrition continued to be a concern, however, with a lack of dietary diversity and slow progress made in the reduction of malnutrition. Overall, while 2026 portrayed improvements in terms of food security, nutrition-related problems continue to persist.
2. Global food security is improving, but remains off track for 2030
Global undernourishment declined to 7.8 per cent in 2025, affecting approximately 644.6 million people a gradual reversal of post-2022 deterioration. Recovery remains insufficient and uneven. The structural concentration of hunger is the highest in Africa (309.2 million undernourished people). With no additional macroeconomic or trade shocks, it is estimated that approximately 503 million people may still be affected by chronic undernourishment in 2030. Conflict threatens these gains: the US-Iran war could add around ten million hungry people in Asia and eight million in Africa by 2030. The report projects 510–520 million people could still face hunger in 2030, with 56 per cent in Africa. Declining global hunger doesn't mean underlying vulnerabilities are eradicated.
3. Food insecurity is increasingly an affordability crisis rather than a supply crisis
In 2025, 2.69 billion people (32.7 per cent of the world's population) lacked access to healthy diet. he disparity between regions is stark: 66.6 per cent of the population in Africa would not be able to afford one, compared to 28.9 per cent of the population in Asia and 25.7 per cent of the population in Latin America and the Caribbean. Affordability improved in Asia and Latin America; however, it deteriorated in Africa. Rising food availability doesn't automatically ensure nutritional security; persistent inflation, income constraints, and unequal access mean food policy must address economic access to dietary diversity, not merely calorie availability.
4. Nutritionally valuable foods remain disproportionately expensive
The Healthy Diet Basket reveals a cost-nutrition mismatch: starchy staples provide around half of daily dietary energy while accounting for only 16 per cent of cost, whereas animal-source foods, fruits and vegetables provide fewer calories but account for nearly 70 per cent of total diet costs. This explains why calorie-based food security can improve without equivalent nutrition gains. The problem is context-specific: animal-source foods are most expensive in Africa; vegetables are in Latin America and the Caribbean. Policies should reduce the relative price of nutrient-dense foods, not the already-low prices of staple foods.
5. Persistent malnutrition shows affordability improvements alone are insufficient
The world is far off track on all key 2030 nutrition targets for children and young women and women; only 30.8 per cent of children and 62.7 per cent of women achieve minimum dietary diversity. Wasting and stunting continue to be high, with maternal anaemia increasing to 30.7 per cent, and projected to rise to 32.6 per cent by 2030. Coverage of nutrition-specific interventions is low, evident in iron supplementation during pregnancy at just 39.2 per cent globally. Food prices and availability must be complemented by targeted nutrition policies to translate food-security gains into human-development outcomes.
6. Public agricultural support requires strategic repurposing toward nutritional affordability
Global producer support of approximately USD 540 billion annually remains heavily concentrated in specific commodities, with around 70 per cent directed toward grains and sugar, a mismatch with the foods driving most nutrition. Modelling shows broad support for already-cheap staples produces limited affordability gains and can raise CoHD through resource-allocation distortions. Support directed at higher-cost nutritious food and primary production constraints can yield more cost reductions. The report underscores the need to strategically redirect existing spending on productivity, horticulture, infrastructure and value chain interventions to tackle the affordability gap.
References:
“The State Of Food Security And Nutrition In The World 2026: Understanding And Addressing The High Cost Of A Healthy Diet,” The World Health Organization, 21 July 2026
https://www.who.int/publications/m/item/the-state-of-food-security-and-nutrition-in-the-world-2026
“The State of Food Security and Nutrition in the World 2025: Addressing high food price inflation for food security and nutrition,” The World Health Organization, 28 July 2025
https://www.who.int/publications/m/item/the-state-of-food-security-and-nutrition-in-the-world-2025
Yesasvi Koganti is an undergraduate scholar at the Department of Political Science, Madras Christian College, Chennai. She is also a Research Intern at NIAS, Bengaluru.
CW Takeaways
Africa's State of Food Security and Nutrition:
Five takeaways on Food insecurity, Geographic disparities and Diet affordability
Akshath Kaimal
On 21 July, the Food and Agriculture Organization of the United Nations (FAO) released “The State of Food Security and Nutrition in the World 2026” (SOFI) report, which tracks food insecurity, undernourishment, child stunting, and maternal malnutrition, among others, worldwide. The 2026 report found that Africa surpassed Asia as the epicentre of global hunger, underscoring significant direct and structural drivers behind the rise. While the 2025 report highlighted the stubbornly high rates of food inflation, insecurity, and undernourishment, the 2026 report looked at the expanding unaffordability crisis and the impact of conflict, climate shocks, and policy missteps.
The following are five major takeaways from the report.
1. Africa emerges as the epicentre of global hunger
Africa officially surpassed Asia as the global hunger epicentre, as its undernourished population rose from 307 million in 2024 to 309 million in 2025, while Asia's count fell by nearly 17 million, as part of a consistent declining trend. Although Africa’s overall hunger rate stabilised at 20 per cent, the crisis remains heavily concentrated in Middle and Eastern Africa, with prevalence routinely exceeding 28 per cent to 30 per cent. Countries like South Sudan, Sudan, the Democratic Republic of the Congo (DRC), and Somalia face acute hunger emergencies. Escalating conflicts, civil violence, and climate shocks like droughts and floods that displace rural populations are the primary triggers. Rapid demographic growth outpacing agricultural yields, alongside chronic rural infrastructure underinvestment, has left Central and Eastern Africa exceptionally vulnerable compared to Northern Africa, where stronger import mechanisms better cushion domestic consumption.
2. Food insecurity remains concentrated in Sub-Saharan Africa amid localised spikes
Although combined rates of moderate and severe food insecurity across Africa experienced a slight dip from 58.9 per cent in 2024 to 56.6 per cent in 2025, the geographical burden remains concentrated in Sub-Saharan Africa. Western and Central African countries - such as Nigeria, Niger, Chad, and Burkina Faso - continue to endure severe volatility. Escalating armed insurgencies across the Sahel violently displace farming communities, forcing them to abandon their fields, halting local food production and disrupting supply chains. Simultaneously, Southern African countries like Madagascar, Zimbabwe, and Zambia face major localised spikes. Recurring El Niño-induced climate shocks like prolonged droughts followed by erratic floods have devastated rain-fed staple harvests like maize. Structural factors like heavy reliance on unirrigated subsistence farming, minimal mechanisation, and entrenched economic inequality further perpetuate this vulnerability. Consequently, even minor localised climate shocks or currency devaluations degrade household purchasing power, pushing millions of rural and peri-urban families into moderate or severe food insecurity.
3. Affordability crisis continues to impact access to healthy diets
In 2025, 66.6 per cent of Africans - over 1 billion people - remained unable to afford a healthy diet, unchanged from 2024. This crisis is geographically skewed: unaffordability in low-income Eastern and Middle African countries like Ethiopia, Mozambique, and the DRC exceeds 75 per cent, contrasting with lower rates in Northern African countries like Egypt and Morocco. Primary price drivers include domestic inflation and currency devaluations, making nutrient-dense foods account for nearly 70 per cent of a healthy diet's cost in Africa. To add to that, severe cold-chain storage deficits, poor rural roads, high processing costs, and disjointed trade routes drive up transport and spoilage costs, artificially inflating prices for nutritious foods and pushing vulnerable populations toward cheap, calorie-dense staples.
4. Reduction of child stunting and maternal malnutrition remains geographically fragmented
While global child stunting fell to 23.2 per cent in 2024, progress in Africa remains fragmented. Northern and Southern Africa lead reductions, whereas Central and Western African countries like Nigeria, DRC, and Chad face stalled progress. Immediate triggers include seasonal food shortages and unaffordable complementary foods for infants, driven by population growth and rural healthcare deficits. In parallel, maternal nutrition has also stagnated, with over 30 per cent of reproductive-age women suffering from anaemia - concentrated in Sahelian and Eastern African countries like Niger, Mali, Somalia, and South Sudan. This is primarily a result of severe micronutrient deficiencies and low dietary diversity during pregnancy, reinforced structurally by entrenched gender inequities, limited healthcare coverage, and persistent rural poverty.
5. Significance of subsidy repurposing and investments to address affordability
To resolve the affordability crisis in Africa, the report recommends enacting systemic reforms. The primary recommendation is the immediate repurposing of agricultural subsidies. Currently, public spending heavily favours low-cost staple grains and sugar. The report urges governments to redirect this fiscal support toward nutrient-dense foods - like fruits, vegetables, and legumes - to lower retail prices. Furthermore, to overcome logistical bottlenecks, the report says policymakers must prioritise investments in cold-chain storage, climate-resilient irrigation, and rural road networks. Finally, enhancing cross-border trade integration, particularly across Eastern and Western Africa, is recommended to stabilise regional food markets, reduce transport losses, and sustainably improve dietary access for vulnerable populations.
Conclusion
While minor statistical improvements in food security offer some hope, Africa’s emergence as the epicentre of global hunger highlights a major structural crisis. Relying on short-term fixes and inefficient subsidies is grossly inadequate given the continent’s rapid demographic growth, logistical challenges, and climate shocks, which make a healthy diet unaffordable for two-thirds of the population. Without subsidy reform and investments in infrastructure, achieving Zero Hunger by 2030 will remain out of reach.
Akshath Kaimal is a Research Assistant at the National Institute of Advanced Studies, Bengaluru
Newsmakers
Drone attacks in Germany | Settler violence in Palestine
Somali Piracy | DR Congo's Ebola crisis | Attempted coup in Niger
Madhura Meenakshi Tanikella, Namrata L Ghanghatkar, Priyanka Makhijani and Urja R Kudalkar
Drone attacks in Germany:
Berlin accuses Moscow of targeting Leipzig airport
On 02 September, The Guardian and other news outlets reported that German authorities formally accused Russia of conducting an attempted drone attack on Leipzig/Halle Airport, where an explosive-laden drone was discovered on 04 August near a Ukrainian Antonov cargo aircraft used to transport military goods to Ukraine. The drone was reportedly carrying around 600 grams of explosives and failed to detonate after its detonator apparently malfunctioned, while investigators also reported additional drone activity and traces of military explosives near the airport. Germany’s Interior Minister Alexander Dobrindt said police investigations, intelligence findings and the equipment used indicated Russia’s involvement, with the operation allegedly relying on Russia’s technology and “low-level agents”. Berlin described the incident as part of a broader campaign by Moscow of hybrid warfare involving sabotage across Europe. Germany responded by summoning Russia’s Ambassador, announcing the closure of Russia’s consulate in Bonn and the Russian House cultural centre in Berlin, while also tightening scrutiny of Russian nationals entering the country.
Additionally, NATO and EU officials expressed solidarity with Germany, with NATO Secretary-General Mark Rutte saying the evidence presented by Berlin was clear. Russia rejected the accusations as baseless and called Germany’s measures an unprecedented escalation. President Vladimir Putin specifically accused Berlin of fabricating evidence. The Leipzig incident comes amid a reportedly wider increase in drone sightings and suspected hybrid activities at airports, military and industrial sites across several NATO countries. Germany’s officials warned that the country remains a “daily target of hybrid warfare,” underscoring growing concern that covert Russian operations could threaten critical infrastructure and support for Ukraine. Moreover, European Commission President Ursula von der Leyen stated that the EU and NATO will increase pressure on Russia and further characterised Moscow’s actions as “reckless.”
Settler violence in Palestine:
Palestinian homes and communities face attacks as settler violence increases
On 24 August 2026, Al Jazeera and other outlets reported that Israeli settler violence against Palestinians has intensified across the occupied West Bank. Settlers have attacked Palestinian homes and communities, with the violence often occurring alongside Israeli military activity. More than 1,330 settler-related attacks were recorded between January and late July. The attacks include violence against civilians, damage to homes and property, and pressure on Palestinian communities. Experts and UN Special Rapporteur Francesca Albanese have described the attacks as “pogroms”. In the latest wave of violence, settlers attacked a Palestinian home in Qusra, injuring residents, while an ambulance attempting to reach them was also attacked. In Jalud, a Palestinian family and an NBC News team were assaulted. Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu condemned the attacks and blamed a “handful of rioters”. However, analysts said the violence needs to be viewed alongside wider settlement expansion in the West Bank. The violence has also affected Palestinian families in the United States. The Guardian reported on a Palestinian American family in Toledo, Ohio, whose relatives in Qusra faced the threat of settler attacks, bringing the issue directly into the local Palestinian American community.
The Kharg Island amid US-Iran tensions:
JD Vance says the AI-generated video was intended as a warning to Iran
On 31 August, Reuters reported that US Vice President JD Vance stated that President Trump was “sending a message to the Iranians” with the AI-generated video showing Iran’s Kharg Island being destroyed. A US official later said that Kharg Island had not been targeted in the overnight strikes, while an Iranian official dismissed the post as “laughable”. Kharg Island is a small island in the Persian Gulf, off Iran’s southern coast, and is the country’s main oil export hub. It is connected to Iran’s oil fields through pipelines and has facilities for storing and loading crude oil onto tankers. Reuters has reported that the island handles about 90 per cent of Iran’s oil exports, making it one of the country’s most important economic assets. Much of Iran’s exported oil is shipped to China. The island is important not only economically but also strategically. Any major disruption to Kharg’s oil facilities could severely affect Iran’s ability to earn foreign currency and maintain its energy trade. Earlier US strikes had targeted military facilities on the island while avoiding its oil infrastructure. The latest post therefore attracted attention because an actual attack on Kharg could have major consequences for Iran’s economy and regional oil supplies.
Somali Piracy:
Hijackings increase amid weakened maritime security
On 31 August, Al Jazeera and other news outlets reported that Somali piracy has resurged sharply in the Gulf of Aden and waters off Somalia, with between 13 and 15 attacks recorded since the start of 2026. The latest incident reportedly involved a Cameroon-flagged cargo vessel, MV Lutuf, which was seized off Puntland on 17 August and held for 10 days. Somalia’s government said that Türkiye’s and Somalia’s forces jointly freed the vessel, killing 14 pirates and destroying four boats. Puntland authorities conversely stated that the vessel was released after a ransom payment was made, further warning that this could encourage further hijackings. This incident was followed by the seizure of the Eritrean-flagged MT Sibu near Yemen.
Analysts and scholars attributed the resurgence of piracy to reduced naval attention caused by the US-Iran conflict, lack of security around the Strait of Hormuz and Bab al-Mandab, persistent economic hardship, and illegal fishing and weak coastal governance in Somalia. Moreover, the Joint Maritime Information Centre raised its piracy threat assessment to “severe” during April-May. However, despite the recent increase, piracy reportedly remains below the surge seen in the 2010s, when Somali pirates carried out more than 200 attacks. Omar Mahmood of the International Crisis Group noted that the piracy could be considered “a crime of opportunity”, warning that successful attacks could prompt further copycat incidents. Additionally, experts warn that naval patrols alone are not likely to provide a solution without addressing underlying economic, security, and governance problems.
DR Congo's Ebola crisis:
Ebola case count breaks 6,000 as death toll nears 3,000, five survivors discharged
On 01 September, WHO and other major sources reported that the Ebola outbreak in eastern Democratic Republic of Congo has surpassed 6,000 confirmed cases, making it the country's largest outbreak on record and one of the fastest-growing Ebola epidemics ever documented. WHO's 28 August update recorded 5,794 confirmed cases and 2,786 deaths as of 26 August, a case fatality ratio of 48.1 per cent, with the outbreak spreading from 54 to 60 health zones across six provinces. By 31 August, health authorities reported 6,041 confirmed cases and 2,911 deaths, with 1,366 recoveries, surpassing the country's previous record outbreak of 3,317 cases between 2018 and 2020. The outbreak, declared on 15 May and caused by the Bundibugyo virus, is unfolding amid insecurity, armed violence, and mass displacement, with over one million people internally displaced in Ituri province alone, the epicentre with 4,802 cases. WHO began vaccinating health workers with the Ervebo vaccine on 27 August, though its efficacy against this virus strain remains unconfirmed. Amid the rising toll, five survivors, including a healthcare worker, were discharged from treatment centres in Béni on 31 August, with officials calling it a "momentous day" even as cases continue climbing.
Attempted coup in Niger:
Renegade soldiers attack Niger’s presidential palace and airport
On 29 August, Reuters and other news outlets reported that mutinous soldiers attacked Niger’s presidential palace and the main airport in Niamey, triggering hours of gunfire and explosions and briefly knocking state television off air. Niger’s Defence Ministry said the armed forces gradually retook control of the sites, though mutineers reportedly remained at the airport for much of the day, with the presidential palace secured by loyalist troops by mid-morning. The assault, described by some analysts as an attempted coup, involved soldiers from Ouallam, Tera and Dosso regions that have suffered heavy casualties fighting jihadist groups, with analysts citing mounting frustration within frontline military units as a possible motive. President Abdourahamane Tiani, who has ruled Niger since seizing power in a 2023 coup, made no public appearance during the unrest. The Alliance of Sahel States, comprising Niger, Mali and Burkina Faso, backed Niger’s military and said the mutineers had been thwarted.
Russia said its forces had helped repel the coup attempt, with Moscow’s foreign ministry saying Nigerien troops had regained control “with the assistance of servicemen of the African Corps of the Russian Ministry of Defence.” Russia said it would continue supporting Niger against “extremists,” while state media showed footage of alleged mutineers being arrested. Commercial activity began returning to normal the following day, with businesses reopening and government supporters gathering in Niamey. Air Base 101, the military site targeted in the attack, hosts Nigerien aircraft, an AES counter-terrorism unit and Russian and Italian forces, and had previously been attacked twice this year by jihadist affiliates.