Conflict Weekly

Conflict Weekly
Global Biodiversity Framework and the EU's gas price capping regulation

IPRI Team
22 December 2022
Photo Source: CBD/UNEP

Conflict Weekly #155, 22 December 2022, Vol.3, No.38
An initiative by NIAS-IPRI and India Office of the KAS

Akriti Sharma and Ankit Singh


COP 15: Countries sign the historic Global Biodiversity Framework

In the news
On 19 December, at COP 15 hosted by Canada and chaired by China, the Kunming-Montreal Global Biodiversity Framework (GBF) was adopted by 190 countries.

On 17 December, the UN Secretary-General Antonio Guterres had said: "We are finally starting to forge a peace pact with nature." Reflecting on the current state of affairs, he had remarked: “We are waging a war on nature. Ecosystems have become playthings of profit. Humanity’s war on nature is ultimately a war on ourselves.”

On 15 December, Chinese President Xi Jinping had urged the contracting parties to “turn ambitions into actions” as "humanity lives in a community with a shared future." He added: “We need to build global consensus on biodiversity protection.”
 
Following the GBF, Chinese Environment Minister Huang Runqiu said: “The declaration will send a powerful signal, showing the world our determination to solve the problem of biodiversity loss, and our stronger actions on the issues discussed at this high-level meeting.” His Canadian counterpart, Steven Guilbeault said: “It is truly a moment that will mark history as Paris did for climate.”

However, the Democratic Republic of the Congo’s Environment Minister Ève Bazaiba protested, saying: “We didn’t accept it. We didn’t have the agreement. We will go back home. Maybe the president of COP 15 and Canada will continue negotiations with countries before the next COP. We are open to that. I am sad to see that they didn’t respect the procedure” of an agreement by consensus.

Issues at large
First, a background on the Conference of Parties (COP 15). The COP is the governing body of the Convention on Biological Diversity (CBD) signed in 1992 aimed at the conservation of biodiversity, the sustainable use of its components, and the fair and equitable sharing of resources. The COP meets once in two years to monitor the implementation of the CBD. The latest COP (COP 15) concluded with the adoption of the Global Biodiversity Framework (GBF) which set the agenda for biodiversity post-2020. It is considered to be the most ambitious global plan ever developed for protecting biodiversity.

Second, the outcome of COP 15 in 2022. The agreement includes 23 targets aimed at addressing biodiversity loss, restoring ecosystems, and protecting indigenous rights. The targets focus on halting and reversing nature loss and putting 30 per cent of the planet and 30 per cent of degraded ecosystems under protection by 2030. Currently, only 17 per cent of land is protected. Additionally, it seeks to halve global food waste and phase out or reform subsidies that harm biodiversity by at least USD 500 billion per year. Moreover, the rights of indigenous people and local communities are to be respected while implementing the GBF.

Third, the issue of finance. The agreement also pledged to mobilise at least USD 200 billion each year from public and private sources as biodiversity-related funding. The issue of finance has remained at the core of negotiations at COP 15 like the recent COP 27 in Egypt for developing countries. At least USD 30 billion each year is expected to flow from developed to developing countries as part of the agreement.

Fourth, bridging biodiversity and climate change. The agreement is being compared with the significant Paris agreement for climate action making countries accountable for their actions towards biodiversity loss. It has intertwined climate action with nature and biodiversity protection and resulted in a coherent policy framework. Last year, the scientific body behind COP 27 and COP 15, the Intergovernmental Panel for Climate Change, and the Intergovernmental Science-Policy Platform on Biodiversity and Ecosystem Services released a joint report on the need to achieve climate and environmental targets highlighting the link between climate change and biodiversity loss.

Fifth, the opposition by the global south. Many developing countries have flagged their concerns over the funding mechanisms. Delegates from Latin America, Africa, and Southeast Asia walked out of the discussion complaining that they were not being heard. While the developing countries prefer establishing a new fund for biodiversity, the developed countries prefer continuing with the existing Green Environment Facility. The DRC’s objection to the current agreement stems from its reservations regarding the proposed funding mechanisms. A few countries have also opposed the 30 by 30 target fearing the potential displacement of indigenous people.

In perspective
First, a significant step in pushing the biodiversity agenda to the forefront. The agreement is a remarkable step towards bringing the global biodiversity agenda to the forefront at par with climate action. Such policy frameworks can inspire countries to set ambitious targets and implement them in specific areas like biodiversity.

Second, more focus on implementation. Climate targets of countries reflect how declaring intent and ambition alone is not enough. The Global Biodiversity Framework, likewise, faces challenges in monitoring and implementation. Given that previous commitments on biodiversity have not been met, the current agreement needs to put in place appropriate monitoring mechanisms to ensure its implementation.

Third, the need for coordination between developing and developed countries. The debate over financing has been at the core of the global environmental agenda and developing and developed countries need to arrive at a workable solution to address their historical responsibilities while raising the requisite funds for the effective implementation of the GBF. 


The EU: The new gas price capping regulation

In the news
On 19 December, European Union energy ministers reached a consensus on a market correction mechanism on recent fluctuations in liquified petroleum gas (LNG) prices. The regulation, a price capping mechanism for LNG trade is likely to be implemented by 15 February 2023 and will be activated if the LNG price at the Dutch Title Transfer Facility (TTF) is above EUR180/MWh (USD4.34/mmBtu) for three consecutive days on TTFs front month contracts. Once the mechanism is triggered, trade would not be permitted on the front-month, three-month, and front-year TTF contracts at a price more than EUR 35/MWh above the global reference LNG price.

On the same day, the Czech Minister of Industry and Trade, Jozef Síkela, who holds the rotating EU Presidency said: “We will set a realistic and effective mechanism, which includes the necessary safeguards that will steer us clear from risks to the security of supply and financial markets stability. Once again, we have proved that the EU is united and will not let anybody use energy as a weapon.”

Issues at large
First, energy crises due to price fluctuations. Europe has been reeling under an unprecedented energy crisis following the Russia-Ukraine war which has triggered record levels of inflation. The conflict has pushed Europe to look for alternatives to avoid being blackmailed on energy security by Russia and compelled governments in the EU to arrange for extra funds. The highly volatile LNG trade has witnessed an increase of around 264 per cent since January 2022, while the drops in prices have also been over 200 per cent in the past 11 months.

Second, disparities and affordability issues within the EU. The excessive LNG pricing has exposed the faultlines in a seemingly united EU. The deal was supported by most EU members but its biggest consumer, Germany, had initially objected to the gas pricing mechanism and finally relented. The shift happened after its demands for changes to another regulation on speeding up renewable energy permits and stronger safeguards were added to the cap. The Netherlands has doubled its LNG import capacity to 24 Bcm/year and its LNG terminals will soon reach their full capacity, according to a report by SP Global. The Netherlands has also abstained from supporting the regulation as it fears the low cap could cause the sellers and LNG exporters to look for better-paying customers. The TTF has also maintained that it is reviewing the consensus reached by the EU; it had indicated earlier that it may move gas trading out of the EU if the price cap was approved. Hungary also voted against the mechanism.

Third, market intervention by the neo-liberal EU. Dutch energy minister Rob Jetten said: "Despite the progress the last couple of weeks, the market correction mechanism remains potentially unsafe." Goldman Sachs sees the mechanism as a factor that could further cause market disruptions as the sellers were not consulted and the demand side remains oblivious to corrective mechanisms that the EU could impose on itself to calibrate with current circumstances. The intervention by the EU on LNG has disrupted the global LNG supply routes and many developing countries are suffering from gas shortages as the EU could offer a higher price.

In perspective
First, seeking guarantees without adequate infrastructure. Europe is on a path to substitute its reliance on Russian energy in an attempt to deter energy from being used as a weapon. The ground reality, however, is Europe’s lack of LNG import terminals has exasperated the importers who have to wait for the offsetting of the LNG in terminals to be released into inland Europe while those who could not afford the expensive LNG wait in vain in cold and dry winters.

Second, the increasingly important role of the US in the EU’s LNG imports. The US now exports more than a third of its LNG to Europe, while Russian exports which used to be around one-third have been reduced to 17 per cent. The US has come to rescue Europe by supplying 70 per cent of its LNG cargoes diverting them from Asia to Europe.

Third, from market intervention to a market correction. The price mechanism caps the maximum price of LNG that the EU members are willing to pay at USD 5/mmBtu, which is not much higher than the global average. This has the potential to cause speculations in the market resulting in adjusted expectations and creating scope for other countries to plan on paying the LNG bill. Europe’s rich man status assures guaranteed payments, however, the price cap being almost in line with the global average makes the price cap redundant. This points to the possibility of the mechanism signalling an anti-Russia agenda rather than ensuring energy security, at least in the medium term.


Also, from around the World

Avishka Ashok, Sai Pranav, Joel Jacob, Akriti Sharma, Bhoomika Sesharaj, Sethuraman N. Apoorva Sudhakar, Anu Maria Joseph and Padmashree Anandan 

East and Southeast Asia
China: Proposal at Biological Weapons Convention is common will of developing countries, says Ministry
On 19 December, the Foreign Ministry spokesperson stressed China's proposal at the Biological Weapons Convention, calling it the common will of the majority of the developing countries amongst the member states. On 16 December, the ninth review of the convention concluded, approving an accord to ban bio-weapons, including its development, production, acquisition, transfer, stockpiling and use of viruses, bacteria and other pathogens. The spokesperson said: "The outcomes of the just-concluded convention marks important progress in global bio safety governance that is in line with the common interest of the international community."

China: Surge in COVID-19 cases prevents restricts normality despite withdrawal of  zero-COVID policy
On 19 December, China's National Health Commission reported two COVID-19 deaths, weeks after withdrawing its zero-COVID policy. The rising cases pose a challenge to the Communist Party of China as the country tries to quell the outbreak of cases and protests. The sudden surge has strained China's health infrastructure and other facilities. The crematoriums are crowded with citizens waiting to cremate their families and also demand hefty fees to securely receive the services. The nursing homes have shut the facilities from the outsiders, demanding the nurses and workers to remain at the facilities to prevent the spread of infections. Schools in Shanghai have shut again. There is also a heightened strain on the healthcare workers in China, which was brought to light after a medical student cum doctor died while working at the hospital.

China: Satellite photos show China building on unoccupied territory in South China Sea
On 21 December, the Strait Times reported that China was accused of building unoccupied land features in the South China Sea. The action is considered to be China's long-term strategy to claim the region as its national territory.  Although China has previously built on reefs, islands and land formations, the report stressed that this was the first known instance of the country building on unoccupied land features that it does not occupy. The news report is based on satellite photos which display a Chinese vessel releasing an amphibious hydraulic excavator, like the one used in Spratly Islands in 2014.

South Korea: Joint air exercise held with the US
On 20 December, South Korea and the US conducted joint aerial drills involving Washington’s B-52 strategic bomber and F-22 stealth fighters and Seoul’s F-35A stealth jets and F-15K fighters. The aerial exercise was held in South Korea’s air defence identification zone, southwest of Jeju island. The drill aimed to strengthen the operational capabilities of the newer generation fighters in escorting and protecting the strategic bomber and intensify their military equipment compatibility.

North Korea: Pyongyang fires two ballistic missiles at the East Sea
On 18 December, South Korea’s Joint Chiefs of Staff reported that North Korea fired two medium-range ballistic missiles towards the Korean Peninsula’s eastern coast. Both missiles flew 500 kilometres and landed in the East Sea outside Japan’s exclusive economic zone. South Korea and Japan condemned Pyongyang’s missile test and stated that it escalated regional tensions.
 
North Korea: Pyongyang tests its first military surveillance satellite
On 19 December, North Korea’s National Aerospace Development Administration (NADA) tested its first military reconnaissance satellite. Pyongyang aims to complete the satellite by 2023. North Korea’s state media Korean Central News Agency (KCNA) released two black-and-white, low-resolution pictures of South Korea’s Seoul and Incheon. The US and South Korean researchers criticised the quality of the image and called the satellite imaging crude. In response, North Korea said that the US and its allies were lying about its technology and warned the US and its allies against undermining their technological capabilities.

Malaysia: Flood and landslide kills 25 people including children
On 17 December, the death toll from a landslide near a town outside capital city Kuala Lumpur rose to 21, including five children. On 20 December, the government data showed that five people, including a 15-month-old child, had died and 56,159 people were displaced from floods in five states. The fire and rescue operation director said that aerial monitoring to assess the situation on the ground helped in the ongoing rescue missions. Prime Minister Anwar Ibrahim visited the affected areas and promised financial aid to the families of the deceased.

Thailand: 31 sailors missing from the warship which sink in the storm
On 19 December, a Thai navy spokesperson reported that 31 sailors were missing after warship HTMS Sukhothai, carrying more than 100 crew, capsized in a storm in the Gulf of Thailand. The navy rescued 75 sailors and is searching for the  remaining 31 sailors. The navy announced an investigation into the disaster as an active usage warship has never sunk before.

South Asia
Bangladesh: Railway Protection Force of Northeast Frontier Railway holds nine Rohingyas
On 18 December, the Railway Protection Force (RPF) of the Northeast Frontier Railway said nine Bangladeshi Rohingyas had been held at the Agartala railway station. The development took place while the RPF, along with the local railway patrol team, conducted a “special” check against illegal migrants on all incoming and outgoing trains at the station. The RPF said that the migrants did not produce any “valid documents” and only later admitted that they were Rohingyas from Bangladesh. They were handed to the government for “further legal action.”

Nepal: Import of medicines from 16 Indian firms banned
On 20 December, Nepal’s Department of Drug Administration banned the import of medicines from 16 Indian pharmaceutical companies for reportedly disobeying and “failing to comply” with the World Health Organisation’s “good manufacturing practices.” This comes after the WHO issued an alert on Indian-made cough syrups for allegedly killing children in the Gambia. The ban entails mainstream Indian pharmaceuticals, along with Divya Pharmacy, which manufactures Yoga Guru Ramdev’s Patanjali products. The WHO traced the deaths in the Gambia to four cough and cold syrups produced by Maiden Pharmaceuticals whose operations were busted by the Central Drugs Standard Control Organisation.

Sri Lanka: Navy seizes ice meth and heroin worth USD 12.46 Mn from a trawler
On 18 December, Sri Lanka’s Navy conducted a special operation with the State Intelligence Service and Police Narcotic Bureau in the seas about 229 nautical miles from Dondra. The Navy captured a local fishing trawler and seized a consignment of ice meth and heroin, along with 14 suspects. The seized drug, worth more than USD 12.46 million, included over 128.327 kg of crystal methamphetamine (ice meth) and 106.474 kg of heroin. The Sri Lankan Police said that in 2022, more than 100,000 persons had been arrested in drug cases over 13,000kg of different types of illegal drugs had been seized. The Sri Lankan Navy estimated the value of seized drugs in 2022 at USD 76 million.

Central Asia, Middle East, and Africa
Armenia-Azerbaijan: Protesters block access to Nagorno-Karabakh
On 15 December, tensions between Armenia and Azerbaijan rose amid protests and blockade on the Lachin Corridor connecting Armenia to Nagorno-Karabakh. Armenia accused Azerbaijan of sending protesters to deny Armenia access to the region; however, the latter denied the allegations. Russia’s Foreign Ministry raised concerns over the development and said Russia Defence Ministry and peacekeeping troops were working towards de-escalating the tensions and restoring the transport links. 

Iran: Four security personnel killed near Pakistan border, says IRGC
On 19 December, Al Jazeera reported a statement by the Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps (IRGC) which said that four Iranian security personnel had been killed in a firefight near the Iran-Pakistan border. One of the casualties was part of the IRGC and the other three belonged to the Basij forces under the IRGC. The IRGC, without naming anyone,  accused a “terrorist group” of the attack.

Iraq: Bomb and gun attacks claims nine lives
On 18 December, at least nine police officers and an assailant were killed in a bomb and gun attack near Kirkuk city in northern Iraq. The Islamic State claimed responsibility for the attack, which began with a bomb blast near the Chalal al-Matar village, followed by “a direct attack with small arms.”

Israel-Palestine: Israel deports human rights lawyer to France
On 18 December, Israel deported Palestinian-French human rights lawyer Salah Hammouri who had been detained since March. The development comes despite the French Foreign Ministry’s position that Hammouri “must be able to exercise all his rights and lead a normal life in Jerusalem, his city of birth and residence.” Therefore, the ministry criticised the deportation after Hammouri reached Paris and said it had “taken full action, including at the highest level of the state, to ensure that Mr. Salah Hamouri’s rights are respected, that he benefits from all legal remedies and that he can lead a normal life in Jerusalem, where he was born, resides and wishes to live.” Meanwhile, Hammouri said he would continue to fight for his rights and would pursue his “right to resist against this occupation.”

Sudan: Security forces fired tear gas and stun grenades to disperse the protests
On 19 December, Sudanese security forces fired tear gas and stun grenades on pro-democracy protesters in the capital Khartoum. The demonstrators were marching towards the presidential palace demanding an end to the military rule. Previously, On 5 December, Sudan’s pro-democracy coalition Forces of Freedom and Change had signed a new deal with the military leaders agreeing for a two-year civilian-led transition towards election. However the protesters dismissed the agreement calling it too vague. The protesters also claim that the deal doesn’t cover security reforms and that it would leave the military powerful and disrupt the democratic transition.

Democratic Republic of the Congo: UN eases arms embargo
On 21 December, BBC reported that the UN had eased arms embargo on the Democratic Republic of the Congo to assist the army in fighting armed groups. With this, countries can conduct arms sales to the DRC government without notifying the UN Security Council. The DRC government said easing of the embargo was a move to correct the “injustice.” In a related development, the UN also extended its peacekeeping mandate in the country’s east by one year.

Europe and the Americas
The Netherlands: Hague court upholds ban on assisted suicide
On 14 December, the Hague District Court upheld the ban on assisted suicide. The case was filed by activists led by the Cooperative Last Will group challenged the Netherlands’ ban on assisted suicide claiming that it violates the European Convention on Human Rights. In the Netherlands, the practice of euthanasia is legal where physicians are allowed to end the lives of patients by administering lethal doses of drugs under strict conditions. The practice of assisted suicide where a person who is not a physician supplies an individual with fatal substances to self-administer is banned in the Netherlands. The Court in its ruling said that while the ECHR protects an individual’s right to decide when to end their life it “does not go so far that there is also a right to obtain assisted suicide.” Cooperative Last Will’s Chairperson Frits Spangenberg expressed his disappointment with the court’s judgement and added that they will continue this fight. The Dutch Association for a Voluntary End of Life criticised the ruling and said that the court supports a “…situation in which the government derives its citizens of the right to die with dignity at their own discretion.”

The UK: Sunak announces construction of three naval ships in Belfast
On 15 December, UK’s Prime Minister Rishi Sunak announced that the Defence Ministry contracted the building of three naval vessels in Belfast for GBP 1.6 billion. The move comes after Sunak’s first visit to Northern Ireland as the prime minister. The deal looks to thaw the icy relation between Northern Ireland and the UK regarding the Good Friday Agreement. Sunak called on Northern Ireland's parties to form a solution before the deadline for a new election comes up.

The UK: Deportation of migrants to Rwanda is lawful, says High Court
On 19 December, the UK High Court ruled that the government's proposal to deport migrants to Rwanda is lawful and that it did not violate the UN Refugee Convention or other human rights laws. The UK Home Secretary Suella Braverman said the government had always been confident about the policy and would now focus on implementing it at the earliest. Prime Minister Rishi Sunak termed the ruling a “common sense position” that “the vast majority of the British public" desired. However, the Labour Party said the policy was “unworkable” and “unethical.”

Russia: To conduct naval drills in East China Sea
On 19 December, TRT World reported that Russia and China will conduct naval drills from 21 to 27 December amid the ongoing war in Ukraine. The exercise, involving military and artillery firing in the East China Sea, aims to strengthen the relations between China and Russia. The Russian Defence Ministry said: “The main purpose of the exercises is to strengthen naval cooperation between Russia and China, and maintain peace and stability in the Asia-Pacific region.”

Sweden: Supreme Court denies extradition of Turkish journalist
On 19 December, the Swedish Supreme Court blocked the extradition of the Turkish Journalist Bulent Kenes to Turkey. It has cited that there are several obstacles to the extradition, including the risk of persecution, and the “political nature” of the extradition. Kenes, previously working in the Zaman Daily, was accused by Turkey of supporting Fethullah Gulen and being involved in the 2016 coup attempt. Sweden’s stand on the extradition may complicate the accession process, as Turkey's key conditions was to extradite Kenes to support the membership of Sweden and Finland into the NATO.

Finland: President accepts amendments to the Abortion Act
On 20 December, President Sauli Niinisto approved an amendment to the existing Abortion Act. The new amendment, in line with the Oma Tahto 2020, was approved after Social Affairs and Health Committee submitted a report. The act mandates that for terminating a pregnancy before the end of twelve weeks only the assent of the woman is required. Earlier, the provision for abortions after the twelfth week, was only been given for cases when the woman’s life was in danger or due to other complications. The act also provides for counselling and psychological support services. The amendments would come into force from 1 September 2023, as other associated decrees are yet to be amended

Peru: Castillo’s family leaves for Mexico; Ministry expels Mexican ambassador
On 21 December, former President Pedro Castillo’s family left for Mexico while Castillo remained in detention. The development comes after Mexico granted asylum to the family and the Peruvian Foreign Minister ensured their safe passage to the airport. Meanwhile, Peru also expelled the Mexican ambassador for “the repeated statements by that country's highest authorities about the political situation in Peru.” Al Jazeera quoted Peru’s Foreign Ministry statement: “The statements by the Mexican president are especially grave considering the violence in our country, which is incompatible with the legitimate right of every individual to protest peacefully.”

Haiti: UN officials call for solidarity to Haiti amid rising gang violence
On 21 December, the UN Special Representative in Haiti informed the UN Security Council that 280 people had been murdered in November and over 1,200 people were kidnapped in 2022. This comes amid the rising gang violence in Haiti, which has restricted movement of people, goods and aid. The UN Deputy Secretary-General called for international solidarity and called on all countries to consider approving the government’s request for “an international specialized armed force to help restore security and alleviate the humanitarian crisis.” According to UN News, the Deputy Secretary-General said: “Now is not the time for the world to turn away from Haiti.”

The US: Gun violence targets Black community more, says report
On 20 December, a study published by the Journal of American Medical Association highlighted the long-term gun fatality trends among Black and white children. The study outlined that between 2013-20, firearm related deaths among the Black community rose by 108.3 per cent, while for young whites the deaths rose by 47.8 per cent. The rate of firearm related death per 100,000 was 5.2 on an average while for Blacks it was 17.4. 

The US: anti-abortion leader dismissed from Vatican priesthood
On 18 December, Father Frank Pavone was defrocked for his allegedly blasphemous communications on social media and his persistent disobedience of the lawful instructions of his diocesan bishop. Father Pavone defended his stance as pro-life and revealed that for years there was a persistent effort to cancel his stand. He lashed out at his critics and called them the "dumbest in the world."  After former President Donald Trump lost the elections in 2020, he also questioned the validity of the elections.

The US: House panel recommends Trump to be charged with four crimes on January 6 fiasco
On 19 December, the US House of Representatives asked federal prosecutors to charge Donald Trump with four crimes, including obstruction, insurrection for his role in the riots at the Capitol on 6 January 2021, and conspiracy to defraud the US. The nine-member panel took 18 months to complete its probing and conducted more that 1000 witness interviews. The request, however, does not compel the prosecutors to act. 


About the authors

Akriti Sharma and Ankit Singh are Doctoral Scholars at the School of Conflict and Security Studies, NIAS. Apoorva Sudhakar, Avishka Ashok and Padmashree Anandan are Project Associates at NIAS. Anu Maria Joseph, Joel Jacob, Sai Pranav and Sethuraman N are Research Assistants at NIAS. Bhoomika Sesharaj is a research intern at NIAS.


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Multiple Outbreaks, Fragile Healthcare System, and Ineffective Global Responses
May 2026 | CWA # 2122

Radhika M Agarwal

The War in Ukraine:
Ballistic missiles, Nuclear drills with Belarus, and the Czech ammunition initiative
May 2026 | CWA # 2120

Brighty Ann Sarah

Conflicts in the Middle East
The US-Iran War Week Thirteen: Escalating Hostilities, Tenuous Ceasefire and Tense Negotiations
May 2026 | CWA # 2119

Anu Maria Joseph

Conflicts in Africa
The Ebola spread in DR Congo, The Faye-Sonko split in Senegal, and the Deepening US military involvement in Nigeria
May 2026 | CWA # 2115

Aparna A Nair

The Putin-Xi Summit
Trade, Technology, Security, and Pipeline
May 2026 | CWA # 2114

Glynnis Winona B

What makes the UAE a global player?
Explaining the Governance, Economy, People, and Strategic Influence of a Small Middle Eastern State
May 2026 | CWA # 2113

Aishal Hab Yousuf

Sri Lanka and the US-Iran War 
Rising oil imports, Austerity measures and State capacity
May 2026 | CWA # 2111

NIAS Global Politics Team

The Trump-Xi Summit
The Africa Forward Summit 2026 I North Korea's Constitutional Amendment 2026
May 2026 | CWA # 2110

Aishal Hab Yousuf

The Trump-Xi Summit:
Managing Strategic Competition through Trade, Technology, and Diplomacy
May 2026 | CWA # 2092

NIAS Global Politics Team

The US-Iran War, Week Ten
CW Column on Middle East: Escalating Israeli Aggression in Lebanon I UAE's Covert Manoeuvres
May 2026 | CWA # 2090

Brighty Ann Sarah

The US-Iran War, Week Ten:
Fraying Ceasefire, Renewed Negotiations and the Risk of a Stalemate
May 2026 | CWA # 2089

Global Politics Team

King Charles's US Visit
May 2026 | CWA # 2088

Nithin V

Emphasis on strong bilateral relations, democratic values and security cooperation
May 2026 | CWA # 2087

Siddhi Halyur

Exploring Strategic Sectors of Cooperation
May 2026 | CWA # 2086

Aishal Hab Yousuf

Implications for the Middle East and the Energy Market
May 2026 | CWA # 2085

Glynnis Winona B

Growing US-Europe differences and Challenges for Berlin
May 2026 | CWA # 2083

Brighty Ann Sarah

The US-Iran War, Week Nine:
Deadlocked Negotiations, Competing Agendas and Domestic Pressure
May 2026 | CWA # 2082

Akshath Kaimal

Escalating Violence in Mali:
Between Ethnic Insurgencies, Jihadist Attacks, and Military Coups
April 2026 | CWA # 2080

Global Politics Team

Four Takeaways of the WFP's report on the fallouts of the Middle East crisis
April 2026 | CWA # 2079

Aishal Hab Yousuf

From Post-War Pacifism to Strategic Recalibration and Autonomy
April 2026 | CWA # 2074

Brighty Ann Sarah

Israel-Lebanon Ceasefire:
Asymmetric Terms, Fragile Truce and Israeli Occupation
April 2026 | CWA # 2073

Akshath Kaimal

The US-Iran War, Week Eight:
A Fragile Ceasefire, Attempts to Control Hormuz and the Stalled Talks in Islamabad
April 2026 | CWA # 2072

Anu Maria Joseph

Three Years of War in Sudan
Prolonged Stalemate, Humanitarian Cost, External Interventions and Regional Fallouts
April 2026 | CWA # 2070

NIAS Global Politics Team

The US-Iran War I Conflicts in Africa I The War in Ukraine I China-Japan Tensions I Pakistan-Afghanistan Clashes
April 2026 | CWA # 2069

Padmashree Anandhan

The War in Ukraine
Expanding Drone Warfare, Russia's Strategic Patience and Ukraine's Diplomatic Outreach
April 2026 | CWA # 2068

Femy Francis 

China-Japan Tensions
Escalating Defence Posturing and Economic Decoupling
April 2026 | CWA # 2067

Anu Maria Joseph

Conflicts in Africa
Continuing Conflicts in Sudan, South Sudan and DR Congo, Security issues in Nigeria, and Political Instability in Madagascar
April 2026 | CWA # 2065

Lakshmi Venugopal Menon

The US-Iran War, Israel-Hamas Conflict and their interconnected fallouts
April 2026 | CWA # 2064

Anwesha Ghosh

Gender Repression, Leadership Rifts, Regional Realignments and Clashes with Pakistan
April 2026 | CWA # 2063

Ramya B

Russia (Jan-Mar 2026)
Assertive Military Posture, Attempts for an Economic Turnaround and Search for Partners
April 2026 | CWA # 2062

Himani Pant

Europe (Jan-Mar 2026)
Trade diversification & FTAs, Increased defence spending, Tightening irregular migration and Economic slowdown
April 2026 | CWA # 2061

S Shaji

Africa (Jan-Mar 2026)
Elections, Civil Wars, Militancy and Peace Initiatives
April 2026 | CWA # 2059

Adarsh Vijay

April 2026 | CWA # 2058

Nishchal N Pandey  & Mahesh Raj Bhatta

Nepal (Jan-Mar 2026)
Political Upheaval, Generational Change and Economic Uncertainty
April 2026 | CWA # 2057

Bibhu Prasad Routray

Myanmar (Jan-Mar 2026)
An Illegitimate Regime's Consolidation Game
April 2026 | CWA # 2056

Ashik J Bonofer

Southeast Asia (Jan-Mar 2026)
Deteriorating situation in Myanmar, Philippines as the ASEAN Chair, New government in Thailand, and Economic & Environmental challenges
April 2026 | CWA # 2054

Amrita Jash

Regional assertion, Pragmatic recalibration with the West and Avoiding military entanglement in the Middle East
April 2026 | CWA # 2053

Anand V

The "Two Sessions," Recalibrated growth targets, Technology prioritization, and Military purges
April 2026 | CWA # 2052

Shreya Upadhyay

April 2026 | CWA # 2050

IPRI Team

March 2026 | CWA # 2042

Preetha Renganarayanan

Five Takeaways of the US Annual Threat Assessment (ATA) Report for 2026
March 2026 | CWA # 2039

Femy Francis

Trump-Xi Meeting
Why did Trump reschedule it? What does that mean?
March 2026 | CWA # 2035

Akshath Kaimal

Pakistan-Afghanistan Conflict
Broken ceasefire, Expanding military strikes and Worsening humanitarian situation
March 2026 | CWA # 2033

Mahesh Bhatta

Nepal after elections:
Five major challenges for the new government
March 2026 | CWA # 2023

Femy Francis

New Five-Year Plan, Ethnic Unity Law, and an Enhanced Defence Budget
March 2026 | CWA # 2019

Akshath Kaimal

Rising Violence in Nigeria
Limited State Capacity, Multiple Actors, and a Complex Security Environment
March 2026 | CWA # 2017

Global Politics Team

March 2026 | CWA # 2011

Tanvi Thara Harendra Jha

Resetting Economic, Strategic and Cultural Ties
March 2026 | CWA # 2009

Sreemaya Nair

Nepal Elections 2026
Rise of a new leadership and Reset in political landscape
March 2026 | CWA # 2004

Akshath Kaimal

Instability returns, with a fragile peace agreement, uptick in violence and limited international engagement
March 2026 | CWA # 2003

Yesasvi Koganti

From bilateral ties to a special strategic partnership
March 2026 | CWA # 2002

Femy Francis

Reducing trade deficit and recalibrating economic cooperation with Beijing
March 2026 | CWA # 2001

Preetha Renganarayanan

Six major takeaways on the economy, border and internal security and Iran
February 2026 | CWA # 1998

Anu Maria Joseph

Instability in Sudan
Response to the genocide call and the threats of a regional spillover
March 2026 | CWA # 1991

Global Politics Team

February 2026 | CWA # 1986

Preetha Renganarayanan

Focus on Trade, Defense, Energy and Regional Connectivity
February 2026 | CWA # 1985

Abhimanyu Solanki

Basant in Pakistan
The return of Basant, and what it signifies
February 2026 | CWA # 1977

Anu Maria Joseph

Violence in Nigeria
US military deployment amidst worsening insurgency
February 2026 | CWA # 1976

Lekshmi MK

The War in Ukraine
The Geneva Talks and Growing Negotiation Asymmetry
December 2025 | CWA # 1971

Vani Vyshnavi Jupudi

Pakistan Budget 2025-26
Legislating stabilisation under IMF discipline and coalition constraints
December 2025 | CWA # 1970

Aparna A Nair

Pakistan & China
Ten Years of China-Pakistan Economic Corridor (CPEC)
November 2025 | CWA # 1968

Vani Vyshnavi Jupudi

Pakistan and the US
A New opening, or another cycle?
November 2025 | CWA # 1967

R Preetha

Risks, Reforms and Trajectories
November 2025 | CWA # 1966

Lekshmi MK

Five Questions on Challenges, Capacity and Policies
February 2026 | CWA # 1962

Global Politics Team

Regional Roundups: From East Asia to the Americas
February 2026 | CWA # 1961

Lekshmi MK

What does it mean for domestic politics and regional stability?
February 2026 | CWA # 1955

Global Politics Team

Regional Roundups: From East Asia to the Americas
January 2026 | CWA # 1947

Brighty Ann Sarah

January 2026 | CWA # 1946

Preetha Renganarayanan

The Davos Summit 2026
Five Major Takeaways from The World Economic Forum
January 2026 | CWA # 1945

Global Politics Team

January 2026 | CWA # 1943

Anu Maria Joseph

January 2026 | CWA # 1942

Lekshmi MK

January 2026 | CWA # 1941

Brighty Ann Sarah

January 2026 | CWA # 1940

IPRI Team

January 2026 | CWA # 1939

Lekshmi MK

January 2026 | CWA # 1937

Anu Maria Joseph

December 2025 | CWA # 1931

Padmashree Anandhan

NATO Summit 2025
December 2025 | CWA # 1930

Aparna A Nair

December 2025 | CWA # 1924

Padmashree Anandhan

NATO Summit 2025
December 2025 | CWA # 1914

Preetha Renganarayanan

December 2025 | CWA # 1913

Rohini Reenum

December 2025 | CWA # 1912

Lekshmi MK

December 2025 | CWA # 1911

Swati Sood

December 2025 | CWA # 1905

Femy Francis

December 2025 | CWA # 1902

Brighty Ann Sarah

December 2025 | CWA # 1893

Lekshmi MK

December 2025 | CWA # 1889

Femy Francis

December 2025 | CWA # 1881

Sunidhi Sampige

December 2025 | CWA # 1864

Femy Francis

Ten Takeaways of a SCMP Interview with a former PLA Colonel
December 2025 | CWA # 1861

Femy Francis

China Reader
November 2025 | CWA # 1859

Brighty Ann Sarah

November 2025 | CWA # 1858

Padmashree Anandhan

August 2025 | CWA # 1801

R Preetha

28 August 1963
Martin Luther King's "I Have a Dream" speech and the Civil Rights Movement in the US
August 2025 | CWA # 1790

GP Team

The World This Week#323-324
The Trump-Putin meeting & the US-China tariff extension
August 2025 | CWA # 1780

Abhiruchi Chowdhury

Trump tariffs:
Weaponization of access to the US economy
August 2025 | CWA # 1779

GP Team

The World This Week#322
US tariffs on India, Brazil and Canada & the EU-US trade deal
August 2025 | CWA # 1778

Lekshmi MK

28 July 1914
Austria-Hungary declares war on Serbia, starting the First World War
July 2025 | CWA # 1770

Abhiruchi Chowdhury

Pakistan-Afghanistan relations:
Why the focus on terrorism, refugees, and Uzbekistan as the third partner?
July 2025 | CWA # 1769

GP Team

The World This Week#321
Indian PM Modi's visit to the Maldives I Elections to the Upper House in Japan
July 2025 | CWA # 1762

Lekshmi MK

Ocean Darkening: 
What is the phenomenon? What are its effects? And who are more vulnerable?
July 2025 | CWA # 1749

R Preetha

Africa as the Hunger Epicenter
Of the 13 Global Hunger Hotspots, 8 are in Africa: Five reasons why
July 2025 | CWA # 1748

GP Team

The World This Week #318
PM Modi’s Visit to Trinidad and Tobago & Ghana, One big beautiful bill, and Quad Foreign Ministers Meeting
July 2025 | CWA # 1744

Chittrothu Vaihali

EU-Canada Summit 2025
What is security and defence partnership all about?
July 2025 | CWA # 1742

IPRI Team

Conflict Weekly # 287-88
The 12 Day War and the Congo-Rwanda Peace Deal
July 2025 | CWA # 1738

Fleur Elizabeth Philip

Thailand and Cambodia
What was the phone call between PM Shinawatra and President of Senate Hun Sen? What is the border dispute between the two? Why has this become an issue?
June 2025 | CWA # 1735

Padmashree Anandhan

NATO Summit 2025:
Trump making Europe great again
June 2025 | CWA # 1734

GP Team

The World This Week #317
NATO Summit 2025 and Russia-Mali bilateral agreements
June 2025 | CWA # 1733

Ananya Dinesh

China and the Pacific Islands 
What was the recent China-PIC joint statement about? What it says, and what it means?
June 2025 | CWA # 1728

M Kejia

G7 Summit 2025:
The Focus on the Middle East and Trade negotiations
June 2025 | CWA # 1726

GP Team

The World This Week #316
China-Central Asia Summit in Kazakhstan, and the G7 Summit in Canada
June 2025 | CWA # 1725

Brighty Ann Sarah, R Preetha, Santhiya M, Aparna A Nair & M Kejia

Operation Midnight Hammer: US bombs three nuclear sites in Iran
What were the three Iranian nuclear sites that were targeted? What are the B2 Bombers and Bunker Buster Bombs? What do these attacks mean? What Next?
June 2025 | CWA # 1724

IPRI Team

Conflict Weekly #286
The Spiralling Israel-Iran Crisis, and the Dangerous Hunger Hotspots
June 2025 | CWA # 1721

Rizwana Banu S and Santhiya M

Who are the Afrikaners?
Why is Trump interested in the Afrikaner question in South Africa?
June 2025 | CWA # 1720

Lekshmi MK

New WMO Report on Arctic Warming
What are the social, economic and environmental implications of Arctic warming
June 2025 | CWA # 1719

J Yamini  

China’s EV Surge
What contributes to the rise of BYD
June 2025 | CWA # 1717

J Yamini

Gender Violence in Pakistan:
What are the larger issues in the Noor Mukadam case?
June 2025 | CWA # 1715

Femy Francis

The US-China:
On Tariffs, Rare Earths and Visas
June 2025 | CWA # 1713

GP Team

The World This Week #315
The UN Ocean Conference in France and the US-China Meeting in London
June 2025 | CWA # 1712

R Preetha

June 2025 | CWA # 1705

GP Team

The World This Week #314
Elections in South Korea and Poland I China and the Pacific Island Countries I Bangladesh Election Announcement 2026
June 2025 | CWA # 1703

M Kejia 

Sagarmatha Sambaad in Nepal
Kathmandu’s Global Agenda for the Himalayas
June 2025 | CWA # 1700

R Preetha

Ethiopia bans the TPLF
What does the TPLF ban mean for the Pretoria agreement? What next for Ethiopia?
June 2025 | CWA # 1694

Aashish Ganeshan

The US:
Harvard vs Trump Administration
June 2025 | CWA # 1691

GP Team

The World This Week #313
China-ASEAN-GCC Summit I President Macron's visit to South East Asia I Trump Vs Harvard
May 2025 | CWA # 1690

GP Team

The World This Week #312
Elections in Romania, Portugal & Poland I UK-EU Summit
May 2025 | CWA # 1689

Padmashree Anandhan

Ukraine
Continuing Russia’s Aerial Attacks, despite exchange of prisoners
May 2025 | CWA # 1688

Ayan Datta

Gaza
The Humanitarian Crisis and Israel’s Renewed Offensive
May 2025 | CWA # 1685

Aparna A Nair

UK-EU Summit:
First step towards a reset
May 2025 | CWA # 1683

Aashish Ganeshan

Elections in Portugal:
The Rise of Chega Party and the Search for Political Stability
May 2025 | CWA # 1679

Aashish Ganeshan

US in the Middle Easr
Trump’s visit to Saudi Arabia, Qatar and UAE
May 2025 | CWA # 1678

Gauri Gupta

China in Latin America
China-CELAC forum: Strengthening ties with Latin America and Caribbean
May 2025 | CWA # 1677

GP Team

The World This Week #310-311
China in Latin America and the Carribbean I Trump's Middle East Visit I Denmark as the new Arctic Chair
May 2025 | CWA # 1675

Lekshmi MK

Turkey:
PKK disbands after 40 years of armed insurgency
May 2025 | CWA # 1673

Padmashree Anandhan

Ukraine:
The Discussion in Turkiye and the Elusive Ceasefire
May 2025 | CWA # 1671

Abhiruchi Chowdhury

US, Ukraine and Russia:
Air attacks amidst a Minerals deal and Ceasefire Proposals
May 2025 | CWA # 1670

Fleur Elizabeth Philip

Singapore Elections in 2025:
People’s Action Party (PAP) Wins, Again
May 2025 | CWA # 1667

R Preetha and Brighty Ann Sarah

East Asia:
Tough Tariff Negotiations with the US
May 2025 | CWA # 1666

Padmashree Anandhan

The US-Ukraine
The mineral deal with the US
May 2025 | CWA # 1665
Conflict Weekly # 280-81
India-Pakistan De-escalation I Ukraine Discussion in Istanbul I The Battle over Port Sudan I Disbanding of PKK in Turkiye I France-Algeria Diplomatic Tensions
May 2025 | CWA # 1663

R Preetha

Canada Elections 2025:
What do the results convey? What next for Mark Carney?
October 2024 | CWA # 1480

IPRI Team

July 2024 | CWA # 1413

Ramya B

May 2024 | CWA # 1336

Femy Francis

April 2024 | CWA # 1275

Ramya B

March 2024 | CWA # 1251

NIAS Africa Team

Africa This Week
March 2024 | CWA # 1246

Sivasubramanian K

February 2024 | CWA # 1226

NIAS Africa Team

Africa This Week
November 2023 | CWA # 1148

GP Team

October 2023 | CWA # 1091

Annem Naga Bindhu Madhuri

Issues for Europe
October 2023 | CWA # 1087

PR Team

October 2023 | CWA # 1083

GP Team

August 2023 | CWA # 1049

IPRI Team

July 2023 | CWA # 1012

Bibhu Prasad Routray

Myanmar continues to burn
July 2023 | CWA # 1009

GP Team

December 2022 | CWA # 879

Padmashree Anandhan

The Ukraine War
December 2022 | CWA # 872

Sapna Elsa Abraham

November 2022 | CWA # 838

Rishma Banerjee

Tracing Europe's droughts
March 2022 | CWA # 705

NIAS Africa Team

In Focus: Libya
December 2021 | CWA # 630

GP Team

Europe in 2021
October 2021 | CWA # 588

Abigail Miriam Fernandez

TLP is back again
August 2021 | CWA # 528

STIR Team

Space Tourism
September 2020 | CWA # 337

Anju Annie Mammen

February 2020 | CWA # 235

Lakshmi V Menon

September 2019 | CWA # 162

Lakshman Chakravarthy N

5G: A Primer
December 2018 | CWA # 71

Mahesh Bhatta

Nepal
December 2018 | CWA # 70

Nasima Khatoon

The Maldives
December 2018 | CWA # 69

Harini Madhusudan

India
December 2018 | CWA # 68

Sourina Bej

Bangladesh
December 2018 | CWA # 67

Seetha Lakshmi Dinesh Iyer

Afghanistan
July 2018 | CWA # 47

Rahul Arockiaraj

June 2018 | CWA # 26

Siddhatti Mehta