In the news
On 5 May, the JUI-F district emir was shot dead by the ISKP in Charsadda. On 7 May, TTP used explosive cylinders to kill three children in South Waziristan. A civilian market was also hit with shells in Angoor Adda the same day, injuring ten people. Between 7 and 8 May, security operations were conducted in Hangu and Bajaur, killing six civilians and two children in incidents of crossfire and mortar fire.
On 8 May, a quadcopter drone exploded over a residential area in Bannu. On 9 May, Ittehad-ul-Mujahideen Pakistan attacked using a 1,500-kilogram VBIED at the Fateh Khel police checkpoint in Bannu, killing 15 of the 18 officers on duty. On 12 May, a rickshaw bomb attack in the Serai Naurang market in Lakki Marwat resulted in nine fatalities. JUI-F’s Attaur Rehman questioned in the Senate why the blood of the people in KP had “turned white.”
On 11 May, Pakistan summoned the Afghan Chargé d'Affaires over the Bannu attack. Another attack was reported near the Kohat-Attock border, where a retired railway employee stopped a suicide bomber who was heading toward a checkpoint and was killed as the bomb detonated. The Afghan Taliban dismissed Pakistan's allegations regarding the Bannu attack as baseless. On 13 May, Defense Minister Khawaja Asif declares in the National Assembly there would be “open war” if Afghanistan refused to formally put out its commitment to prevent harbouring militants in writing.
Issues at large
1. Continuing militant attacks in KP.
Attacks have taken place in Charsadda, Lakki Marwat, and the Kohat-Attock border, which are settled districts and interprovincial corridors, not the tribal areas where counterterrorism operations are concentrated. Security forces were not the only target. This week's attacks hit a religious and political leader in Charsadda, children in South Waziristan, a residential neighbourhood in Bannu, and a crowded market in Lakki Marwat. Five of the 41 dead were children.
2. Growing tactical sophistication of militant groups
A quadcopter struck a residential area in Bannu on 8 May. The Fateh Khel VBIED followed the next night in the same district. Drone use before a ground assault is a deliberate operational choice, not coincidence. The Fateh Khel device carried between 1,200 and 1,500 kilograms of high-grade explosives in a loader rickshaw. Getting that much material to a checkpoint requires supply chains, transport, and coordination that do not exist without external support. The checkpoint survived eighteen prior attacks. On the nineteenth, it was reduced to rubble. The Yarmook 60 link to Paktia is not incidental to that.
3. Bilateral talks and tensions between Pakistan and Afghanistan
The talks that were held by Qatar and Türkiye in October 2025 collapsed within days. The Eid ceasefire that was brokered by Saudi Arabia, Qatar, and Türkiye in March of 2026 had failed in the truce period. China's mediation of the Urumqi talks in April failed to reduce the attacks. The incidents rose from 128 in Q4 of 2025 to 169 in Q1 of 2026. The pattern followed is the same: a truce is announced, both sides allege violations, and violence continues. Pakistan wants verifiable proof that the TTP has been neutralized. The Taliban denies giving the TTP sanctuary and refuses to recognize the Durand Line. Neither position has moved across any of these rounds. Until they do, the demarche and the denial will keep arriving together.
In perspective
First, military pressure is producing more splinter groups and more militants. Ittehad-ul-Mujahideen Pakistan did not exist before Operation Ghazab Lil Haq. It emerged during the period of maximum military pressure and succeeded against a checkpoint that the previous attacks could not breach. Pakistan’s strategy is reorganizing the threat, not removing it.
Second, Pakistan's diplomatic response this week addressed only the TTP-linked Bannu attack. The Charsadda killing was ISKP. It received no demarche, no ISPR statement, no follow-up. TTP and ISKP are not the same organization. They do not share command structures, funding, or target logic. Treating them as one problem, addressable through the same pressure on Kabul, leaves ISKP's networks in settled KP untouched. Those networks are growing.
Finally, the India-proxy framing is narrowing Pakistan's diplomatic options. On 13 May, Prime Minister's adviser Rana Sanaullah told the Senate that 7,000 to 8,000 people were being trained in Afghanistan "with funding from India and Israel." ISPR uses the same framing. So does state media. Countries that might press the Taliban on TTP sanctuary are instead reading this conflict as a Pakistan-India confrontation and stepping back.
