Protests in Iran

CWA # 1935

Conflict Weekly

Protests in Iran | Instability in Nigeria

Conflict Weekly #315, 16 January 2026, Vol 7, No. 2

IPRI Team
15 January 2026

Photo Source: Reuters

Conflict Weekly #315, 16 January 2026, Vol 7, No. 2
An initiative by NIAS-IPRI

Brighty Ann Sarah and Anu Maria Joseph

Protests in Iran: Continuing Stalemate and Shifting US Position
Brighty Ann Sarah

In the news
On 15 January, the US Department of Treasury imposed sanctions on five Iranian officials, including the Secretary of the Supreme Council for National Security and the Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps, and law enforcement forces commander, for the violent crackdown on protesters. US Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent accused the leaders of several unlawful transfers of “funds stolen from Iranian families” to international banks and demanded that the regime “stop the violence and stand with the people of Iran.”

On 14 January, following Tehran’s postponement of the execution of an anti-government protester, President Trump stated that certain “very important sources on the other side” had informed him that the government crackdown on protestors was easing and that Washington would pursue a “wait-and-see” response. Trump also expressed his reservations about extending support to Reza Pahlavi, the exiled heir of the former shah, stating that “I don't know how he'd play within his own country, and we really aren't up to that point yet,” adding that “I don't know whether or not his country would accept his leadership.”

On 13 January, Washington withdrew personnel from the Al Udeid Air Base in Qatar following Tehran’s warnings that US military bases in neighbouring countries would be treated as “legitimate targets” if the US pursues military intervention. The Revolutionary Guards' Aerospace Commander Majid Mousavi declared that Iran's stockpile of missiles has increased since the 12-day war, and that Tehran was “at the peak of our readiness.”

On the same day, President Trump reiterated his support for the protesters in Tehran, assuring that “help is on its way.” He also announced 25 per cent tariffs on countries trading with Iran.

Issues at large
First, Iran’s history of protests and state responses. Over the last two decades, Iran witnessed several major protest movements. The regime has maintained a similar response of denial, deflection, and brutal repression, internet blackouts to disrupt coordination, attribution to foreign powers, and subsequent show trials or executions to deter future dissent. Massive protests broke out against the 2009 presidential elections, which were marked by accusations of widespread electoral fraud. The protesters disputed the victory of the then-president, Mahmoud Ahmadinejad. The months-long protests met with a severe crackdown and censorship. A similar response was pursued during the November 2019 protests over the rise in fuel prices. The peaceful protest morphed into calls for regime change and was quelled with severe state repression, communication blackouts and mass detentions.

In 2022, women-led protests under the slogan “Women, Life, Freedom” took over Iran after the alleged custodial torture and death of 22-year-old Mahsa Amini. She was arrested by the country’s "morality police" for not wearing a hijab properly. The state responded to the protests, one of the largest the country had witnessed, with a violent crackdown. Thousands were arrested, and many were killed, with young protesters sentenced to death in summary trials.

During the current protests, initially, the regime acknowledged the demands of the protestors as legitimate, diverging from an immediate hardline stance. However, it quickly devolved into violent suppression, claims of external intervention, and media and communication blackouts, with death tolls that dwarfed the previous uprisings.

Second, the escalating protests and humanitarian concerns. The protests, initially against economic issues, have evolved into demands for regime change and the fall of Khamenei’s rule. Nearly 20 days into the crisis, protests have spread into all 31 provinces in Iran and over 200 cities. As the regime intensifies the crackdown, rights groups, including Amnesty International and the US-based Human Rights Activists News Agency (HRANA), have verified at least 2,571 fatalities. Senior Iranian officials have acknowledged around 3,000 deaths, although state media claims about 100 security forces being killed by “rioters.” Over 18,100 arrests have been recorded. The internet and communication blackout continue to disrupt the coordination among the masses. It has additionally constrained media and reporting.

Third, Iran’s threats of retaliation and shifts in US response. Trump’s latest statement is a shift from his previous threats of military intervention against government repression. His earlier “locked and loaded” remarks signalling a military response and repeated reassurances to the protestors had incited a defensive posture from Tehran. It also threatened retaliatory strikes on several US bases across the region, which spans Qatar, Iraq, Kuwait, Saudi Arabia, Syria, Turkey, and the UAE. The US military bases in the Middle East were originally established for counterterrorism and ensuring energy security. Washington’s withdrawal of personnel from the Al Udeid Air Base in Qatar and the forward headquarters for the US Central Command (CENTCOM) heightens the fear of a military intervention.

Fourth, global responses and heightened caution. The escalating tensions in Iran, compounded by the US threats, have prompted a state of caution in the region and beyond. Qatar has assumed the role of mediator, fearing an attack within its territory. Saudi Arabia and Oman have affirmed cooperation with Iran. Anxiety over regional instability and the disruption of global oil trade is also high. Trump’s threats of 25 per cent tariffs on countries trading with Iran also have a notable impact. China, Iran’s largest trade partner, has condemned the US threat. Indian suppliers halted the supply of rice and pharmaceuticals to Iran.

In perspective
Despite the intensifying unrest and increasing demands for regime change, Iran’s administration has remained united, diminishing the scope of a transition driven by internal fragmentation. Sustained and escalating state repression is likely to quell protests in the short term. However, the unrest has exposed significant cracks in the regime’s control over society, underscoring widespread frustration that extends into its traditional support bases. Increasing calls for the restoration of the monarchy, along with visible support for Reza Pahlavi, further challenge the regime’s political cohesion. Washington’s threats also add to the regime's instability.

Even if the protests are ultimately contained and the regime endures, the faultlines of the administration have been revealed. With sanctions remaining in place and economic recovery expected to be slow, a return to political stability and economic normalcy will be difficult. As a result, sporadic episodes of civil unrest are likely to persist unless substantive administrative reforms are undertaken.

CW Column: Conflicts in Africa This Week
Instability in Nigeria: Intensifying domestic responses, and questions over Trump’s intervention
Anu Maria Joseph

What happened this week?
On 13 January, Reuters reported that the US delivered critical military supplies to Nigeria to support its fight against Islamic State militants. The US Africa Command (AFRICOM) stated that the delivery will support "Nigeria's ongoing operations and emphasises our shared security partnership."

On 13 January, the Nigerian government told the BBC that more than 200 Bandits were killed in central Nigeria in an ongoing operation.

On 9 January, US President Donald Trump said that he could order more strikes on Nigeria if Christians continue to be killed. He said: "I'd love to make it a one-time strike. But if they continue to kill Christians it will be a many-time strike." Meanwhile, Nigeria's spokesperson to the foreign ministry responded to BBC: We will continue to engage constructively and work with partners, including the United States, on the basis of mutual respect, international law, and Nigeria's sovereignty. Nigeria remains committed to protecting all citizens, Christians and Muslims alike, without discrimination."

What are the issues?
Nigeria: Intensification of domestic military operations, deepening Nigeria-US security cooperation and sovereignty sensitivities
Nigeria's peripheral regions, particularly in the north-western areas, have long faced security challenges due to a weak state presence. Banditry in these states, especially Niger, has continued despite renewed efforts by the Nigerian government to address the issue. 30 people were killed, and several were abducted in Kasuwan Daji market in Niger state on 6 January. In Kano state, thousands fled amidst fear of being killed by bandits this week. Spreading banditry also came after the US carried out an IS-targeted attack on Sokoto state, which prompted armed groups to flee and spread to other states.

Meanwhile, AFRICOM's assistance to Nigeria is part of a shared security partnership that highlights Nigeria's importance in US counterterrorism efforts in West Africa. It also reflects Nigeria's strategic and tactical military reliance on the US to counter jihadists/insurgents/bandit attacks across the country. However, the long-term capacity of this short-term assistance is uncertain. Besides, Trump has linked US military attacks as a response to the killing of Christians in the country, despite Nigerian President Bola Tinubu clarifying that the targets are not exclusively Christians.

Trump's statements and stance suggesting further possible US strikes highlight the increasing sovereignty concerns in Abuja. Trump's religious framing, threats of unilateral actions and Nigeria's incapacity and dependence on US security assistance have increased fears of creating a perception of external leverage over the country's internal security issues.

What does it mean?
The intensified domestic response to the security issues in Nigeria marks a positive development. However, these developments appear to be substantially dependent on the US support. The US-Nigeria security cooperation alone is unlikely to address the multifactor security crisis in Nigeria. A long-term security will depend on local response, presence of state forces and technical and military capacity to respond on time. Meanwhile, the continued scale of banditry suggests the challenge of durable security improvements, particularly in areas with weak governance and local grievances. Besides, Trump’s stance and increasing sovereignty concerns imply that Nigeria needs to balance security cooperation and external control over domestic security policies.

Issues in Peace and Conflict This Week:
Regional Roundups
Brighty Ann Sarah, R Preetha, Lekshmi MK, Aparna A Nair, M Kejia, and Rizwana Banu

China, East, Southeast Asia, and the Pacific
South Korea: Former President Yoon Suk Yeol sentenced to five years in prison over failed 2024 martial law declaration
On 16 January, the Seoul Central District Court sentenced former President Yoon Suk Yeol to five years in prison for abuse of power, obstruction of justice, and falsification of documents related to his failed attempt to impose martial law in December 2024. The judge criticised Yoon for putting the country into a severe political crisis, disregarding the constitution, and showing no remorse. Yoon denied all wrongdoing and insisted that the charges were procedurally invalid. This marks the first verdict in a series of trials against him, and much more serious insurrection charges are still pending. A ruling is expected in February, and both sides have seven days to appeal.

Myanmar: NUG welcomes ICJ hearings, says junta has no legitimacy to represent Myanmar
On 12 January, Mizzima reported that Myanmar’s National Unity Government (NUG) welcomed the upcoming International Court of Justice (ICJ) hearings in The Gambia v. Myanmar case, scheduled to begin on 13 January, and asserted that it is the sole legitimate representative of Myanmar before the Court. The NUG stated that it has accepted the ICJ’s jurisdiction and withdrawn all preliminary objections previously filed, framing the proceedings as critical for justice for the Rohingya people and Myanmar’s future. The statement reiterated that the military junta lacks domestic legitimacy and is not recognised by the UN General Assembly, and therefore has no authority to represent Myanmar in international legal forums. The NUG warned that allowing the junta to appear before the ICJ would undermine the dignity of victims and global justice, stressing that any submissions made by the military regime do not reflect the will of the Myanmar people.

Myanmar: AA seizes strategic outposts as battle for Sittwe intensifies
On 12 January, Mizzima reported that the Arakan Army (AA) captured two strategic military outposts near the Regional Operations Command (ROC) in Sittwe, intensifying fighting around the Rakhine State capital. Military sources said junta forces lost control of outposts on Kan Kaw Kyun, forcing troops to retreat amid close-quarters combat, with reports of casualties and wounded soldiers captured. The junta has reportedly concentrated senior commanders in Sittwe, including the Western Command chief and the Bureau of Special Operations head, who are frequently relocating to avoid attack. Kan Kaw Kyun, along with Nar Yi Kan and Kyauk Tan bridges, is seen as vital to Sittwe’s defence, and sources indicated that if the AA consolidates control there, the fall of the city would be imminent.

Myanmar: ICJ hearings open as Gambia accuses Myanmar military of genocide against Rohingyas
On 13 January, Mizzima reported that formal hearings on the merits of The Gambia v. Myanmar case began at the International Court of Justice (ICJ), with Gambia’s Justice Minister Dawda Jallow accusing Myanmar’s military of intentionally targeting the Rohingya minority for destruction. Addressing the court, Jallow said the genocide was a deliberate policy carried out and stressed that no perpetrators had been held accountable to date. He noted that Myanmar’s former representative before the ICJ, Aung San Suu Kyi, is now detained by the military junta that seized power in 2021, while Senior General Min Aung Hlaing, who commanded the army during the atrocities, now heads the Military Commission. Jallow told the judges that the case was not abstract but concerned “real people, real events and an entire community” subjected to targeted violence and impunity.

Myanmar pro-military party claims Suu Kyi’s seat in junta-run poll
On 13 January, Mizzima reported that the Union Solidarity and Development Party (USDP) claimed victory in Kawhmu constituency, previously held by detained democratic leader Aung San Suu Kyi, during the second phase of the junta-run parliamentary elections. A USDP official stated that the party won 15 out of 16 lower house seats in Yangon Region, though official results from the junta-controlled election commission have yet to be released. Under Myanmar’s military-drafted constitution, the armed forces will retain 25 per cent of parliamentary seats regardless of election outcomes.

South Asia
Pakistan: The CTD kills three TTP-linked militants in DI Khan
On 14 January, Dawn reported that the Khyber Pakhtunkhwa Counter-Terrorism Department (CTD) killed three militants affiliated with Fitna-al-Khawarij, the state-designated term for the banned Tehreek-i-Taliban Pakistan (TTP), during an intelligence-based operation in Dera Ismail Khan. Acting on confirmed intelligence, CTD teams surrounded the suspects, who opened fire to evade arrest, prompting retaliatory action in which all three were killed. Authorities recovered three Kalashnikovs, nine magazines, two hand grenades and ammunition from the site. The CTD said the militants were directly involved in attacks on police and security forces, and announced an expansion of search operations to apprehend facilitators in the area. KP’s police leadership praised the operation, while Interior Minister Mohsin Naqvi commended the CTD, reiterating the government’s resolve to intensify operations against militant groups.

Bangladesh: Border Guard detains 53 ARSA fighters, raises alert along Myanmar border
On 13 January, Mizzima reported that Bangladesh placed its Myanmar border on “high alert” after Border Guard Bangladesh detained 53 members of the Arakan Rohingya Salvation Army (ARSA) for illegally crossing into its territory. The detentions followed intensified fighting across the border in Myanmar’s Rakhine State, where ARSA, the Arakan Army and the military junta are reportedly engaged in a three-way conflict involving ground clashes and air strikes. Bangladeshi officials said at least two people were injured in Cox’s Bazar amid the violence, while law enforcement agencies have been deployed in border villages to prevent further incursions and monitor security risks.

Central Asia
Kazakhstan: Calls for help from the US and Europe after drone attacks hit oil tankers
On 14 January, Kazakhstan called on the United States and European partners to help secure oil transport routes after drone attacks targeted tankers heading to a major Black Sea terminal on Russia’s coast. Unidentified drones struck at least two tankers on 13 January, including one chartered by US oil major Chevron. The tankers were en route to the Caspian Pipeline Consortium (CPC) terminal, which handles about 1 per cent of global oil supply. Kazakhstan’s foreign ministry said that the rising frequency of such attacks poses growing risks to international energy infrastructure and urged coordinated measures to prevent further disruptions. The CPC, which accounts for nearly 80 per cent of Kazakhstan’s oil exports, has faced repeated attacks in recent weeks.

The Middle East and Africa
Iran: Tehran threatens to attack neighbours hosting US troops in the event of Washington’s intervention; Trump vows support to protestors, assures that “help is on the way”
On 14 January, Iran warned neighbouring countries hosting US military troops would be targeted if Washington strikes Tehran. "Tehran has told regional countries, from Saudi Arabia and the UAE to Turkey, that US bases in those countries will be attacked" if the US targets Iran, an Iranian official stated. Senior Israeli officials told Reuters that some personnel had been advised to leave the US military’s Al Udeid Air Base in Qatar. The officials stated that the move was a “posture change,” rather than an “ordered evacuation.” They also stated that direct contacts between Iran's Foreign Minister Abbas Araqchi and US Special Envoy Steve Witkoff had been suspended. Israeli officials revealed their assessment that Trump has decided to intervene, although the scope and timing of the intervention have not been determined. In a televised interview, Trump had vowed that "very strong action" would be taken if Iran executes protesters, warning that "If they hang them, you're going to see some things.” He also urged the protestors to advance their actions, stating that “help is on the way.”

The War in Gaza: Hamas to elect the successor to Yahya Sinwar, sources tell Reuters
On 13 January, Reuters reported that Hamas is expected to elect a new leader with information from sources. The new leader would fill the position left vacant since the death of Yahya Sinwar in 2024. Reuters also reports that Khalil Al-Hayya and Khaled Meshaal could be the potential leaders and notes that both are in the five-man council. It is also reported that the election process has already begun. This election process involves a secret ballot by Hamas’ Shoura Council, which contains 50 members of Hamas. Hamas’ spokesperson has declined to comment on the same.

Iran: President Trump imposes a 25 per cent tariff rate on countries doing business with Iran; Iran acknowledges the high death toll for the first time, says Reuters
On 12 January, US President Trump stated that any country that does business with Iran will face a tariff rate of 25 per cent on any trade with the US. He said, "Effective immediately, any Country doing business with the Islamic Republic of Iran will pay a Tariff of 25 per cent on any business being done with the United States of America," and "This Order is final and conclusive." No further details have been disclosed so far. Iran is an OPEC oil-producing country, and countries like China, Turkey, Iraq, UAE and India are its top trading partners. On 13 January, Reuters reported that an Iranian official acknowledged for the first time that the protest claimed the lives of 2000. As the country witnesses its biggest protest in years, Reuters reports that Iranian authorities have taken a dual approach, acknowledging economic problems while enforcing a security crackdown.

Iran: Trump hints at meeting with Iranian officials; Former IRGC commander states that US bases would be “legitimate targets,” warning Washington against "a miscalculation”
On 12 January, Trump claimed that Iranian officials had contacted the US to negotiate the terms of Tehran’s nuclear programme, and that US and Iranian officials might meet for further discussions. The US-based rights group HRANA stated that the verified death toll has increased to 490 protesters and 48 security personnel, with more than 10,600 people arrested. Trump was to meet with senior advisers to discuss options for Iran, including military strikes, using secret cyber weapons, widening sanctions and providing online help to anti-government sources, reports Reuters. "The military is looking at it, and we're looking at some very strong options," Trump told reporters travelling on Air Force One on Sunday night. In response, Iranian Parliament Speaker Mohammad Baqer Qalibaf warned Washington against "a miscalculation,” adding that “in the case of an attack on Iran, the occupied territories (Israel) as well as all US bases and ships will be our legitimate target.”

Iran: Washington reiterates support for protestors in Tehran; Pahlavi issues a call to "seize city centres and hold them"
On 10 January, in response to the administration's efforts to curb the escalating protests, President Trump warned Tehran that "You better not start shooting because we'll start shooting too." "I just hope the protesters in Iran are going to be safe, because that's a very dangerous place right now," he added. The US Secretary of State Marco Rubio also expressed Washington's support for the "brave people of Iran," following the state-imposed communication blackout in the country. The crown prince in exile, Reza Pahlavi, declared in a social media post that "Our goal is no longer merely to come into the streets; the goal is to prepare to seize city centres and hold them." He also urged "workers and employees in key sectors of the economy, especially transportation, oil, gas and energy", to begin a nationwide strike. Iran's Revolutionary Guards warned that safeguarding security was a "red line", and the military vowed to protect public property, accusing "terrorists" of attacking military and law enforcement bases over the past two nights, killing several citizens and security personnel. The military, operating independently from the IRGC, announced it would "protect and safeguard national interests, the country’s strategic infrastructure, and public property."

Syria: Turkey says use of force by Damascus remains an option
On 15 January, Turkey’s Minister of Foreign Affairs, Hakan Fidan, said that he hopes to resolve problems with Syria peacefully, but added that “when problems are not solved through dialogue, unfortunately, I see from here that the use of force is also an option for the Syrian government." Syria’s health ministry reported that five days of fighting in Aleppo claimed the lives of 23 people and led to the displacement of more than 150,000. Minister Fidan urged the Kurdish-led Syrian Democratic Forces to show goodwill and end the cycle of violence. He also said that the ongoing peace process with the PKK should not become a missed opportunity.

South Africa: China, Russia and Iran conduct 'WILL FOR PEACE 2026' naval exercise
On 10 January, China, Russia and Iran started a week-long joint naval exercise in South Africa. The statement from South Africa's military said, "Exercise WILL FOR PEACE 2026 brings together navies from BRICS Plus countries for ... joint maritime safety operations (and) interoperability drills." In the opening ceremony led by China's military officials, BRICS plus countries, including Brazil, Egypt and Ethiopia, participated as observers.

Europe and the Americas
The War in Ukraine: "I think Ukraine is less ready to make a deal," says US President Trump
On 15 January, in an interview with Reuters, US President Trump stated that Ukraine is less ready to make a deal, contradicting European allies who argue that Moscow is less interested. This statement was in response to the question of why US-led negotiations have not resolved Europe's largest conflict since World War II. Referring to Putin, President Trump said, "I think he's ready to make a deal." Following that, Russia's spokesperson said, "I agree, that is indeed the case. President Putin and the Russian side remain open to talks. The Russian position is well known. It is well known to the American negotiators, to President Trump, and to the leadership of the Kyiv regime."

The War in Ukraine: Norway to provide EUR 340 million to support Kyiv’s energy sector
On 12 November, Norway announced that it will provide EUR 340 million in emergency funding to support and maintain Ukraine’s energy sector as Russian attacks repeatedly targeted Ukraine’s energy network. Last year, the Norwegian parliament allocated NOK 70 billion to military support and NOK 15 billion to civilian and humanitarian aid for Ukraine, of which NOK 4.8 billion was allotted to energy security and supply. This occurred as EU leaders recently agreed to a EUR 90 billion loan and increased support for Ukraine from European countries.

Greenland: European allies send military personnel to Nuuk
On 15 January, military personnel from several European countries, including France, Germany, Sweden, and Norway, began arriving in Greenland as part of preparations for joint exercises and increased Arctic defence activities. European allies are coordinating with Denmark and Greenland to enhance military presence and reassure their commitment to the island’s sovereignty, underscoring concerns over Trump’s proposals. A recent trilateral meeting in Washington between the US, Denmark, and Greenland's officials produced no resolution on Trump’s stance, leaving disagreements unresolved. Trump has argued that US control of Greenland is necessary to prevent Russian or Chinese influence in the Arctic.

Greenland: Copenhagen and Nuuk to hold high-stakes talks with the US; Trump says, "NATO would be far more formidable with Greenland in the hands of the US"
On 16, the media reported that Denmark and Greenland will hold a high-level meeting with US officials. Denmark's Prime Minister Mette Frederiksen said that the talks are expected to involve US Deputy Secretary of State Victoria Nuland and other senior officials. The talks are framed as urgent discussions on security cooperation, Arctic defence, and regional stability. Meanwhile, President Trump reiterated that NATO would be a more formidable alliance if the United States controlled Greenland, citing its strategic position in the Arctic. His remarks came as NATO allies affirm they remain committed to collective defence and maintaining territorial integrity for Denmark and Greenland. PM Frederiksen said the upcoming meeting would focus on how best to strengthen defence cooperation without undermining Greenland’s status, emphasising the need to uphold sovereignty and international law. Greenland’s leaders have repeatedly rejected incorporation into the United States, instead advocating for maintained autonomy and dialogue within established legal frameworks.

Greenland: Denmark faces a defence dilemma over Greenland; Nuuk's Parliament prepares talks on US threats
On 10 January, the media reported that Denmark is grappling with how to defend Greenland, its vast Arctic territory. This came amid the renewed US interest and threats from President Donald Trump prompt strategic reassessment. Denmark's defence officials acknowledge that protecting Greenland poses challenges given its remote location, sparse population, and limited infrastructure, raising questions about how best to strengthen the territory’s security. Government efforts to increase military presence in the Arctic, including a multi-billion-dollar investment, are ongoing, but Copenhagen recognises that effective defence will require coordination with NATO allies and broader strategic planning.

Meanwhile, Greenland’s Parliament announced that it will convene a meeting to discuss threats from the United States and other developments that may impact its future. The move reflects growing local concern over sovereignty and external pressure following Trump’s renewed threat to acquire Greenland. Greenland’s lawmakers plan examine the implications of these threats and debate how best to respond, including possible diplomatic and legislative measures.

Venezuela: Opposition leader and Nobel laureate María Machado gives her Nobel Peace prize to Trump in recognition of "his unique commitment to [Venezuela's] freedom"
On 16 January, Venezuela's opposition leader María Corina Machado gave her Nobel Peace Prize medal to President Donald Trump during a meeting at the White House. She stated that it was "a recognition for his unique commitment to our freedom." The Nobel Prize Committee responded in a social media post, stating that "a medal can change owners, but the title of a Nobel Peace Prize laureate cannot." President Trump welcomed the act as "a wonderful gesture of mutual respect," but declined to endorse Machado as Venezuela's new leader. On the same day, CIA Director John Ratcliffe met Venezuela's interim leader Delcy Rodriguez in Caracas to discuss cooperation. The visit marks the most senior known visit by a US official since Washington's intervention. A White House official stated that the meeting was at the direction of President Donald Trump, "to deliver the message that the United States looks forward to an improved working relationship." The discussions focused on intelligence cooperation, economic stability and the need to ensure Venezuela was no longer a "safe haven for America's adversaries, especially narco-traffickers," and was an effort to build mutual trust between Washington and Caracas.

US and Cuba: "THERE WILL BE NO MORE OIL OR MONEY GOING TO CUBA - ZERO!," says Trump; Cuba's President says, "Nobody dictates what we do"
On 12 January, US President Trump stated that Cuba would not receive any Venezuelan oil or money and suggested that Cuba strike a deal with the US. He said, "THERE WILL BE NO MORE OIL OR MONEY GOING TO CUBA - ZERO! I strongly suggest they make a deal, BEFORE IT IS TOO LATE." He also stated that Cuba has been receiving a large amount of oil and money from Venezuela. In response, Cuba's President Miguel Diaz-Canel said, "Cuba is a free, independent, and sovereign nation. Nobody dictates what we do," and "Cuba does not attack; it has been attacked by the US for 66 years, and it does not threaten; it prepares, ready to defend the homeland to the last drop of blood." Additionally, Cuba's Foreign Minister stated that the country has the right to import fuel from any willing suppliers and denied receipt of financial or other material compensations for the security services provided to the government. No cargoes have been sent from Venezuela's port to Cuba since the capture of Venezula President by the US. As per the latest literature, Venezuela covers 50 per cent of Cuba's oil deficit. On the other hand, Washington and Caracus official are working on a USD two billion deal that supplies 50 million barrels of Venezuelan oil to the US.

About the authors
Brighty Ann Sarah and R Preetha are postgraduate students at the Department of International Studies, Stella Maris College, Chennai. Lekshmi MK is a postgraduate student at the Department of Political Science, Madras Christian College, Chennai. Rizwana Banu, and Aparna A Nair are undergraduate students at the Department of Political Science, Madras Christian College, Chennai. M Kejia is an undergraduate student at the Department of Political Science and International Relations, Pondicherry University, Pondicherry.

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August 2026 | CWA # 2227

Dhivya KM

The IMF in Sri Lanka: Debt, Dependence, and Dissent

Four major takeaways on IMF conditionalities, public discontent, the social cost of adjustment, governance reforms and debt restructuring

Global Politics Explainer

August 2026 | CWA # 2226

Nithin V

Colombia's ban on Female Genital Mutilation:

What is the new legislation? What are the challenges? And what are the implications?

Global Politics Explainer

August 2026 | CWA # 2225

Acsah H

China's C909:

China moves from near-total reliance on foreign jets to domestic dominance. How did it happen? And what does it mean?

The World This Week

August 2026 | CWA # 2224

Global Politics Team

Zelenskyy's US visit

Newsmakers of the week

TWTW Note

August 2026 | CWA # 2223

Yesasvi Koganti

President Zelenskyy's visit to the US:

Strengthening defence cooperation

TWTW Newsmakers

August 2026 | CWA # 2222

Namrata L Ghanghatkar, Priyanka Makhijani and Urja R Kudalkar

Peru's new President Netanyahu's Washington visit

US Senate bill against Russia | Ukraine and Patriot missiles | China's PLA 99th anniversary

PR Commentary

July 2026 | CWA # 2221

Aarav Bhaskar

Pakistan's Compounding Water Crisis:

Environmental, Demographic, Economic and Structural stresses

PR Commentary

July 2026 | CWA # 2220

Dhivya KM

Pakistan's Federal Budget FY2026-27:

Five takeaways on Consolidation, Growth and Structural Reforms

PR Commentary

July 2026 | CWA # 2219

Vani Vyshnavi Jupudi

Pakistan Economic Survey 2025-26: Six Takeaways

Growth and Turnaround, but not much

Conflict Weekly

July 2026 | CWA # 2218

Global Politics Team

The US-Iran War, Week 22 I Heatwaves and Wildfires in Spain and France

Ebola expansion in Africa I Profile: Houthis

CW Newsmakers

July 2026 | CWA # 2217

Namrata L Ghanghatkar, Priyanka Makhijani, Urja R Kudalkar

The Berlin Pride attack

Zelensky's US Visit I Japan's Earthquake

CW Profile

July 2026 | CWA # 2216

Manikranth Chakravarthula

The Houthis:

Origins, Ethnic makeup, Political structure, Geographical footprint and External support

CW Note

July 2026 | CWA # 2215

Lekshmi MK

Heatwaves and Wildfires in Spain and France:

Capacity gaps and Resource constraints amidst Recurring extreme weather

CW Note

July 2026 | CWA # 2214

Akshath Kaimal

Ebola expansion in the Democratic Republic of Congo:

Healthcare worker strikes amidst Misinformation, Climate disaster and Humanitarian crisis

CW Note

July 2026 | CWA # 2213

Brighty Ann Sarah

The US-Iran War, Week 22:

End of pause, Return of hostilities and Expanding conflict geography

The World This Week

July 2026 | CWA # 2212

NIAS Global Politics Team

The US-Saudi Arabia Nuclear Cooperation Agreement I AI's Rogue Agent Breach

Return of US-Canada Tariff Tensions I 33rd ASEAN Regional Forum

TWTW Note

July 2026 | CWA # 2211

Priyanka Makhijani

AI's Rogue Agent Breach:

Recurring Patterns, Gaps in the AI safety rules and the AI rivalry

TWTW Takeaways

July 2026 | CWA # 2210

Adwaith Sankar

ASEAN Regional Forum:

Six Takeaways on Issues, Limitations and Opportunities

TWTW Note

July 2026 | CWA # 2209

Namrata L Ghanghatkar

The return of US-Canada Tariff Tensions:

Retaliation and Legal setbacks

TWTW Note

July 2026 | CWA # 2208

Madhura Meenakshi Tanikella

The US-Saudi Arabia Nuclear Cooperation Agreement:

Questions over the agreement's terms, the Abraham Accords condition, and Non-proliferation concerns

Conflict Weekly

July 2026 | CWA # 2207

Global Politics Team

US-Iran War, Week 21 I Houthi's Saudi Arabia target in the Red Sea

Return of South China Sea tensions I Resurgence of Somali piracy

CW Note

July 2026 | CWA # 2206

Akshath Kaimal

The resurgence of Somali piracy:

Sophisticated tactics, Regional instability and an Ineffective international response

CW Note

July 2026 | CWA # 2205

Aparna A Nair

China, the Philippines, and the return of South China Sea tensions:

Accusations, Arbitrations and Ambiguities

CW Note

July 2026 | CWA # 2204

Brighty Ann Sarah

The Houthis target Saudi Arabia:

A new front in the US-Iran War

CW Note

July 2026 | CWA # 2203

Brighty Ann Sarah

US-Iran War, Week 21:

Resumption of attacks and the Strait of Hormuz impasse

The World This Week

July 2026 | CWA # 2202

Special Issue

Special Issue: The World This Quarter (Apr-Jun 2026)

From China to the US

TWTW Note

July 2026 | CWA # 2201

Akshath Kaimal

Ten Years and Seven Prime Ministers in the UK:

Inside the Fall of Keir Starmer and Political Instability

Conflict Weekly

July 2026 | CWA # 2200

NIAS Global Politics Team

The US-Iran War I UNCLOS and the South China Sea Award

Review of the UN SDG Report 2026

CW Review

July 2026 | CWA # 2199

Preetha Renganarayanan

The SDG Annual Report 2026:

Six takeaways on a decade of SDG monitoring, global progress, and key challenges

CW Note

July 2026 | CWA # 2198

Aparna A Nair

UNCLOS and the South China Sea Arbitral Award:

Ten Years Later

CW Note

July 2026 | CWA # 2197

Madhura Meenakshi Tanikella

The US-Iran War, Week 20:

Renewed Strikes, Collapsed MoU and the Blockade of the Strait

The World This Quarter

July 2026 | CWA # 2196

Mahesh Bhatta

Nepal (Apr-Jun 2026):

New Government, Political Stability and Economic Recovery

GP Takeaways

July 2026 | CWA # 2195

Radhika M Agarwal

PR Review

June 2026 | CWA # 2194

Vani Vyshnavi Jupudi

Pakistan's macroeconomic performance in the second quarter

Growth, Fiscal Consolidation, and the Middle East war risk

PR Commentary

June 2026 | CWA # 2193

Aparna A Nair

Pakistan PMin China:

75th anniversary of diplomatic relations, CPEC expansion and Middle East mediation

PR Review

June 2026 | CWA # 2192

Lekshmi MK

Climate Change and Pakistan's Economic Faultlines:

Six takeaways on inadequate climate finance, spillover effects, and low climate prioritisation

PR Review

June 2026 | CWA # 2191

Dhivya KM

Pakistan's Economy in the Second Quarter:

Five Takeaways from the SBP Half Year Report on GDP growth, target-range inflation, and fiscal surplus

The World This Week

July 2026 | CWA # 2190

NIAS Global Politics Team

China-DPRK friendship treaty I The IMF World Economic Outlook

TWTW Review

July 2026 | CWA # 2189

Dhivya KM

Five takeaways on Global growth, AI, and Economic resilience

TWTW Note

July 2026 | CWA # 2188

Adwaith Sankar

65 years of the China-DPRK friendship treaty:

Reopening links, Russia factor, and Nuclear compromise

TWTW Note

July 2026 | CWA # 2187

Avaneesh S

China's SLBM test in the Pacific:

Modernization, Increasing deterrence and Strategic messaging

TWTW Note

July 2026 | CWA # 2186

Lekshmi MK

NATO Summit 2026:

Four takeaways on Alliance unity, Defence commitments, and Support for Ukraine

Conflict Weekly

July 2026 | CWA # 2185

Global Politics Team

Iran after Ali Khamenei I The War in Ukraine

CW Review

July 2026 | CWA # 2184

Deb Dutta

Four takeaways on Forced returns, Collapsing protection, Protracted crises

CW Note

July 2026 | CWA # 2183

Preetha Renganarayanan

Europe's expanding and intensifying heatwaves:

CW Column

July 2026 | CWA # 2182

Anu Maria Joseph

Africa This Week

JNIM-FLA coordinated attacks in Mali and the RSF siege in Sudan

CW Note

July 2026 | CWA # 2181

Padmashree Anandhan

The War in Ukraine:

Deep strikes, NATO diplomacy and the Expanding air warfare

CW Note

July 2026 | CWA # 2180

Madhura Meenakshi Tanikella

Iran after Ali Khamenei

Institutional resilience, Anti-American sentiment and an Unresolved conflict

GP Explainer

July 2026 | CWA # 2179

Avaneesh S

The "Power of Siberia 2" pipeline:

Russia's endgame and China's calculus

The World This Week

July 2026 | CWA # 2178

CW Note

July 2026 | CWA # 2171

Radhika M Agarwal

Anand V

China's Domestic Landscape (April-June 2026):

Reforms, Regulations, Reinvention and Risk Management

Conflict Weekly

June 2026 | CWA # 2161

NIAS Global Politics Team

Africa's Conference on Slavery

The US-Iran MoU I Ukraine's Crimea Campaign

CW Note

June 2026 | CWA # 2160

Radhika M Agarwal

The War in Ukraine:

Ukraine's Crimea Campaign, The Belarus Standoff, and Russia's Aerial Bombardment

CW Note

June 2026 | CWA # 2159

Madhura Meenakshi Tanikella

The US-Iran MoU

Renewed strikes, Persistent disagreements, and a Fragile Agreement

CW Column: Africa This Week

June 2026 | CWA # 2158

Anu Maria Joseph

The World This Week

June 2026 | CWA # 2157

Global Politics Team

The G7 Summit 2026

TWTW Note

June 2026 | CWA # 2156

Avaneesh S

President Xi Jinping's North Korea visit:

TWTW Note

June 2026 | CWA # 2155

Aparna A Nair

Myanmar President's China visit:

Diplomatic legitimacy, Economic cooperation and Beijing's interests

TWTW Takeaways

June 2026 | CWA # 2154

Madhura Meenakshi Tanikella

The G7 Summit 2026

Four Takeaways on Economic security, Critical minerals, and Consensus on Ukraine and Iran

Conflict Weekly

June 2026 | CWA # 2153

Global Politics Team

The US-Iran MoU

The War in Ukraine I Anti-immigrant violence in South Africa I Ultra Orthodox Jews' protests in Israel

CW Note

June 2026 | CWA # 2152

Akshath Kaimal

Anti-immigrant violence in South Africa:

Xenophobic attacks, Economic distress, and an Aggressive crackdown

CW Note

June 2026 | CWA # 2151

Rohini Reenum

Israel's Ultra-Orthodox Jews:

Why are they protesting?

CW Note

June 2026 | CWA # 2150

Madhura Meenakshi Tanikella

The War in Ukraine:

Massive drone attacks, Europe's support for Ukraine, and a Distant ceasefire

CW Note

June 2026 | CWA # 2149

Brighty Ann Sarah

The US-Iran MoU:

Asymmetric Gains and Implementation Challenges

Remembering Amb PS Raghavan and his legacy

June 2026 | CWA # 2148

Akshath Kaimal

The Making of India's Foreign Policy:

Major pillars and their critiques

Remembering Amb PS Raghavan and his legacy

June 2026 | CWA # 2147

Lekshmi MK

India as a Net Security Provider in the Indian Ocean Region:

A Critique of Raghavan's Maritime Security and Emerging Constraints

Global Politics Review: WPF Report 2026

June 2026 | CWA # 2146

Global Politics Team

Press Freedom in the Indian Neighbourhood

From Afghanistan to Myanmar

Global Politics Review: WPF Report 2026

June 2026 | CWA # 2145

Glynnis Winona B

Myanmar and Press Freedom:

Global Politics Review: WPF Report 2026

June 2026 | CWA # 2144

Nithin V

Bangladesh and Press Freedom:

Global Politics Review: WPF Report 2026

June 2026 | CWA # 2143

Aishal Hab Yousuf

Sri Lanka and Press Freedom:

Five Takeaways on Political influence, Legal mechanisms to control, Ethnic sensitivities and History of State intimidation

Global Politics Review: WPF Report 2026

June 2026 | CWA # 2142

Glynnis Winona B

Bhutan and Press Freedom:

Four takeaways on Regulatory control, Economic fragility, and Social constraints

Global Politics Review: WPF Report 2026

June 2026 | CWA # 2141

Aishal Hab Yousuf

Maldives and Press Freedom:

Four takeaways on the influence of democracy, legislation, and state funding

Global Politics Review: WPF Report 2026

June 2026 | CWA # 2140

Nithin V

Pakistan and Press Freedom:

Four takeaways Military influence, cyber laws, political instability, and youth-driven digital journalism

Global Politics Review: WPF Report 2026

June 2026 | CWA # 2139

Siddhi Halyur

Afghanistan and Press Freedom:

Global Politics Review: WPF Report 2026

June 2026 | CWA # 2138

Siddhi Halyur

Nepal and Press Freedom:

Three takeaways on Political constraints, Missing legal protection and Funding issues

The World This Week

June 2026 | CWA # 2137

NIAS Global Politics Team

Shangri-La Dialogue 2026: Major Statements and Takeaways

The Blue Origin Rocket Explosion

TWTW Explainer

June 2026 | CWA # 2136

Acsah H

The Blue Origin Rocket Explosion:

TWTW Note

June 2026 | CWA # 2135

Madhura Meenakshi Tanikella

Shangri-La Dialogue 2026:

Who said what

TWTW Note

June 2026 | CWA # 2134

Aishal Hab Yousuf

Shangri-La Dialogue 2026: Four Major Takeaways

Focus on Rules-based maritime order, AI & Cyber Security, and Preventive Diplomacy, but with no consensus

Conflict Weekly

June 2026 | CWA # 2133

NIAS Global Politics Team

Israel-Lebanon Tensions and a New Deal I The US-Iran War, Week Fourteen

Conflicts in Africa I The UK-Rwanda Asylum Deal

CW Note

June 2026 | CWA # 2132

Brighty Ann Sarah

The US-Iran War, Week Fourteen:

Intensifying Domestic Pressure and the Lebanon Question

CW Note

June 2026 | CWA # 2131

Rohini Reenum

Israel-Lebanon Tensions:

CW Explainer

June 2026 | CWA # 2130

Akshath Kaimal

The UK-Rwanda Asylum Deal:

CW Column

June 2026 | CWA # 2129

Anu Maria Joseph

Conflicts in Africa This Week:

The Ebola fear in DR Congo and the Elections in Ethiopia amidst conflicts

The World This Week

May 2026 | CWA # 2128

NIAS Global Politics Team

TWTW Note

May 2026 | CWA # 2127

Madhura Meenakshi Tanikella

The Quad Foreign Ministers' Meeting 2026:

Prioritizing Critical minerals, Supply chain resilience, and Maritime surveillance

TWTW Note

May 2026 | CWA # 2126

Aparna A Nair

The Shenzhou-23 Mission:

China's Space Missions, Technology, and Infrastructure

Conflict Weekly

May 2026 | CWA # 2125

NIAS Global Politics Team

Israel-Lebanon Tensions I Crisis in Cuba I Ebola Outbreak in Africa

Weekly Columns on Africa and the Middle East

CW Note

May 2026 | CWA # 2124

Glynnis Winona B

The Crisis in Cuba:

The US Sanctions, Energy Crisis, and Economic Instability

CW Note

May 2026 | CWA # 2123

Akshath Kaimal

The Ebola and the DR Congo:

Multiple Outbreaks, Fragile Healthcare System, and Ineffective Global Responses

CW Column

May 2026 | CWA # 2122

Radhika M Agarwal

The War in Ukraine:

Ballistic missiles, Nuclear drills with Belarus, and the Czech ammunition initiative

CW Note

May 2026 | CWA # 2121

Deb Dutta

Israel, Lebanon, Hezbollah, and the Border Tensions:

Collapse of the Ceasefire, Ineffective Beirut, and Aggressive Tel Aviv

CW Column

May 2026 | CWA # 2120

Brighty Ann Sarah

Conflicts in the Middle East

The US-Iran War Week Thirteen: Escalating Hostilities, Tenuous Ceasefire and Tense Negotiations

CW Column

May 2026 | CWA # 2119

Anu Maria Joseph

Conflicts in Africa

The Ebola spread in DR Congo, The Faye-Sonko split in Senegal, and the Deepening US military involvement in Nigeria

The World This Week

May 2026 | CWA # 2118

Global Politics Team

The Putin-Xi Summit, PM Modi's UAE Visit, and the India-Nordic Summit

TWTW Note

May 2026 | CWA # 2117

Lekshmi MK

Arctic cooperation, Climate diplomacy, and Trade diversification

CW Review

May 2026 | CWA # 2102

Glynnis Winona B

Weakening faith in institutions and Political polarization in Latin America and the Caribbean:

Six Takeaways from the UNDP Democracy and Development Report 2026

CW Note

May 2026 | CWA # 2101

Anu Maria Joseph

The New Wave of Violence in DR Congo:

Farmer-herder clashes, Armed groups, and Security vacuum

The US-Iran War

May 2026 | CWA # 2100

Aishal Hab Yousuf

The Hormuz Strait and the Fertilizer Crisis in South Asia and Sub-Saharan Africa

The US-Iran War

May 2026 | CWA # 2099

Kirsten Wilfred Coelho

Why is the UK reluctant to engage?

Remembering Amb PS Raghavan and his legacy

May 2026 | CWA # 2098

Sreemaya Nair

India, Russia and the imperative to strengthen the traditional relationship

Remembering Amb PS Raghavan and his legacy

May 2026 | CWA # 2097

Kirsten Wilfred Coelho

President Trump and the US-China Trade Tensions

Remembering Amb PS Raghavan and his legacy

May 2026 | CWA # 2095

Santhosh Guru PR

The Eurasian-Indo Pacific Congruence and its Critique

Remembering Amb PS Raghavan and his legacy

May 2026 | CWA # 2094

Rakshitha B

Transactional US foreign policy and it implications for India's Strategic Autonomy

Remembering Amb PS Raghavan and his legacy

May 2026 | CWA # 2093

Glynnis Winona B

The Russia-Ukraine War and the Rise of Parallel Strategic Systems: A Critique of Raghavan's Strategic Framework

Conflict Weekly

May 2026 | CWA # 2092

NIAS Global Politics Team

The US-Iran War, Week Ten

CW Column on Middle East: Escalating Israeli Aggression in Lebanon I UAE's Covert Manoeuvres

CW Column

May 2026 | CWA # 2091

Brighty Ann Sarah

Conflicts in the Middle East:

Escalating Israeli Aggression in Lebanon I UAEs Covert Manoeuvres

CW Note

May 2026 | CWA # 2090

Brighty Ann Sarah

The US-Iran War, Week Ten:

Fraying Ceasefire, Renewed Negotiations and the Risk of a Stalemate

The World This Week

May 2026 | CWA # 2089

Global Politics Team

US troop withdrawal from Germany I UAEs Exit from OPEC I Japan, Vietnam and PM Takaichis Visit

King Charles's US Visit

TWTW Takeaways

May 2026 | CWA # 2088

Nithin V

King Charles's US Visit:

Emphasis on strong bilateral relations, democratic values and security cooperation

TWTW Note

May 2026 | CWA # 2087

Siddhi Halyur

Japan, Vietnam and PM Takaichis Visit

Exploring Strategic Sectors of Cooperation

TWTW Note

May 2026 | CWA # 2086

Aishal Hab Yousuf

UAE's Exit from OPEC:

Implications for the Middle East and the Energy Market

TWTW Note

May 2026 | CWA # 2085

Glynnis Winona B

US troop withdrawal from Germany:

Growing US-Europe differences and Challenges for Berlin

Conflict Weekly

May 2026 | CWA # 2084

NIAS IPRI

The US-Iran War, Week Nine I Escalating Violence in Mali

Review: Five Takeaways of RSF's 2026 Report on Media Freedom

CW Note

May 2026 | CWA # 2083

Brighty Ann Sarah

The US-Iran War, Week Nine:

Deadlocked Negotiations, Competing Agendas and Domestic Pressure

CW Note

May 2026 | CWA # 2082

Akshath Kaimal

Escalating Violence in Mali:

Between Ethnic Insurgencies, Jihadist Attacks, and Military Coups

CW Review

May 2026 | CWA # 2081

Jenin Raj S

Media freedom hits a 25-year low:

Five Takeaways from the RSF 2026 Index

The World This Week

April 2026 | CWA # 2080

Global Politics Team

Nepals New National Commitment I Japans New Defence Posture

Four Takeaways of the WFP's report on the fallouts of the Middle East crisis

TWTW Note

April 2026 | CWA # 2079

Aishal Hab Yousuf

Japans New Defence Posture:

From Post-War Pacifism to Strategic Recalibration and Autonomy

TWTW Note

April 2026 | CWA # 2078

Mahesh Bhatta

Nepal's New National Commitment

Managing Consensus and Moving ahead towards a New Nepal

TWTW Review

April 2026 | CWA # 2077

Nithin V

The Middle East Crisis and its Fallouts on Hunger and Global Food Supply Network

Four Takeaways of the WFP's report on the fallouts of the Middle East crisis, April 2026

CW Column: Africa This Week

April 2026 | CWA # 2076

Anu Maria Joseph

Three years of War in Sudan, DRC-M23 talks in Switzerland and the collapse of the peace agreement in Tigray

Report Review

April 2026 | CWA # 2075

Preetha Renganarayanan

The US-Iran War Fallouts on the Asia Pacific, Energy Security and Supply Chains

Five Takeaways of the UNDP Report, April 2026

CW Note

April 2026 | CWA # 2074

Brighty Ann Sarah

Israel-Lebanon Ceasefire:

Asymmetric Terms, Fragile Truce and Israeli Occupation

CW Note

April 2026 | CWA # 2073

Akshath Kaimal

The US-Iran War, Week Eight:

A Fragile Ceasefire, Attempts to Control Hormuz and the Stalled Talks in Islamabad

Special Commentary

April 2026 | CWA # 2072

Anu Maria Joseph

Three Years of War in Sudan

Prolonged Stalemate, Humanitarian Cost, External Interventions and Regional Fallouts

Conflict Weekly

April 2026 | CWA # 2071

NIAS Global Politics Team

Three Years of Civil War in Sudan I The US-Iran War, Week Eight I Israel-Lebanon Ceasefire

Review of the UNDP Report on Military Escalation in the Middle East I Conflict Weekly Column on Africa

Conflict Weekly Special Edition

April 2026 | CWA # 2070

NIAS Global Politics Team

Peace and Conflicts This Quarter (JanuaryMarch 2026)

The US-Iran War I Conflicts in Africa I The War in Ukraine I China-Japan Tensions I Pakistan-Afghanistan Clashes

Peace and Conflicts This Quarter (JanuaryMarch 2026)

April 2026 | CWA # 2069

Padmashree Anandhan

The War in Ukraine

Expanding Drone Warfare, Russia's Strategic Patience and Ukraine's Diplomatic Outreach

Peace and Conflicts This Quarter (JanuaryMarch 2026)

April 2026 | CWA # 2068

Femy Francis�

China-Japan Tensions

Escalating Defence Posturing and Economic Decoupling

Peace and Conflicts This Quarter (JanuaryMarch 2026)

April 2026 | CWA # 2067

Anu Maria Joseph

Conflicts in Africa

Continuing Conflicts in Sudan, South Sudan and DR Congo, Security issues in Nigeria, and Political Instability in Madagascar

Peace and Conflicts This Quarter (JanuaryMarch 2026)

April 2026 | CWA # 2066

Akshath Kaimal

The Pakistan-Afghanistan Conflict

Recurrent Clashes, Defiant Taliban, Contesting Narratives and Emerging Chinas Role

The World This Quarter

April 2026 | CWA # 2065

Lakshmi Venugopal Menon

The Middle East (JanMar 2026):

The US-Iran War, Israel-Hamas Conflict and their interconnected fallouts

The World This Quarter

April 2026 | CWA # 2064

Anwesha Ghosh

Afghanistan (JanMar 2026):

Gender Repression, Leadership Rifts, Regional Realignments and Clashes with Pakistan

The World This Quarter

April 2026 | CWA # 2063

Ramya B

Russia (Jan-Mar 2026)

Assertive Military Posture, Attempts for an Economic Turnaround and Search for Partners

The World This Quarter

April 2026 | CWA # 2062

Himani Pant

Europe (Jan-Mar 2026)

Trade diversification & FTAs, Increased defence spending, Tightening irregular migration and Economic slowdown

The World This Quarter

April 2026 | CWA # 2061

S Shaji

Africa (Jan-Mar 2026)

Elections, Civil Wars, Militancy and Peace Initiatives

The World This Quarter

April 2026 | CWA # 2060

Nanda Kishor M S

India and the Neighbourhood (Jan-Mar 2026)

Continuity, Caution and Calculated assertiveness

April 2026 | CWA # 2051

TWTW Special Edition

TWTW Special Edition, 350th Issue

THE WORLD THIS QUARTER (Jan-Mar 2026)

Conflict Weekly

April 2026 | CWA # 2050

IPRI Team

The US-Iran War, Week Five: Widening Conflict, Houthi Involvement, and Trumps Renewed Threats

PR Commentary

March 2026 | CWA # 2043

Abhimanyu Solanki

Escalatory Airpower, Hybrid Retaliation, and Regional Security

Reassessing the PakistanAfghanistan Confrontation and Its Implications for India

March 2026 | CWA # 2042

Preetha Renganarayanan

Five Takeaways of the US Annual Threat Assessment (ATA) Report for 2026

March 2026 | CWA # 2041

Aparna A Nair

China-Vietnam 3+3 Strategic Dialogue

Defence, Diplomacy and Public Security

March 2026 | CWA # 2040

Femy Francis

China's Interests and Strategies in the US-Iran War

Why Beijings support for Iran is rhetoric and muted

March 2026 | CWA # 2039

Femy Francis

Trump-Xi Meeting

Why did Trump reschedule it? What does that mean?

March 2026 | CWA # 2038

Anu Maria Joseph

Sudan-Chad tensions and the Boko Haram attack in Nigeria's Maiduguri

March 2026 | CWA # 2037

Padmashree Anandhan

Massive drone attacks, Growing energy leverage and Drifting peace efforts

March 2026 | CWA # 2036

Brighty Ann Sarah

Continuing Israel-Hezbollah Confrontation

Expanding Israeli Military Operations and the Reshaping of Southern Lebanon

March 2026 | CWA # 2035

Akshath Kaimal

Five Takeaways of Human Rights Watch Report 2026

March 2026 | CWA # 2024

Lekshmi MK

The UN and the Iran-US War

UNSC Resolution 2817 between Clear and Unified Message and Manifest Injustice

March 2026 | CWA # 2023

Femy Francis

Chinas Two Sessions 2026

New Five-Year Plan, Ethnic Unity Law, and an Enhanced Defence Budget

March 2026 | CWA # 2022

Padmashree Anandhan

Continuing Strikes and Inconsistent Diplomatic Efforts

March 2026 | CWA # 2021

Anu Maria Joseph

Political instability in Madagascar and spreading violence in South Sudan

March 2026 | CWA # 2020

Brighty Ann Sarah

Continuing Israel-Hezbollah Confrontation

Attacks in South Lebanon, Beiruts Conundrum, and Tel Avivs Greater Goals

March 2026 | CWA # 2019

Akshath Kaimal

Rising Violence in Nigeria

Limited State Capacity, Multiple Actors, and a Complex Security Environment

March 2026 | CWA # 2018

Rohini Reenum

The US-Iran War, Week Two

Expanding Fronts, Shifting Goalposts, and Global Fallout

The World This Week

March 2026 | CWA # 2011

Tanvi Thara Harendra Jha

Canadas PM Mark Carneys India Visit

Resetting Economic, Strategic and Cultural Ties

Global Politics Early Bird

March 2026 | CWA # 2010

Mahesh Bhatta

Nepal Elections 2026

The Rise of the New and the Fall of the Old

March 2026 | CWA # 2009

Sreemaya Nair

Nepal Elections 2026

Rise of a new leadership and Reset in political landscape

The World This Week

March 2026 | CWA # 2008

Global Politics Team

Canadian PM's India Visit I Nepal Elections and its Political Reset

March 2026 | CWA # 2007

Global Politics Team

The World Today #272, 06 March 2026

The World Today

Early Bird

March 2026 | CWA # 2006

Mahesh Bhatta

Nepal Election 2026, Day One

Peaceful polling, with over 60 per cent turnout

March 2026 | CWA # 2005

Global Politics Team

The World Today #271, 05 March 2026

The World Today

March 2026 | CWA # 2004

Akshath Kaimal

The Forgotten South Sudan Conflict

Instability returns, with a fragile peace agreement, uptick in violence and limited international engagement

March 2026 | CWA # 2003

Yesasvi Koganti

PM Modis Visit to Israel

From bilateral ties to a special strategic partnership

March 2026 | CWA # 2002

Femy Francis

German Chancellors China Visit

Reducing trade deficit and recalibrating economic cooperation with Beijing

March 2026 | CWA # 2001

Preetha Renganarayanan

Six major takeaways on the economy, border and internal security and Iran

March 2026 | CWA # 2000

Rohini Reenum

The US-Iran War, Week One

Rapid Escalation, Regional Spillover, Global Uncertainty

Conflict Weekly

March 2026 | CWA # 1999

IPRI Team

The US-Iran War, Week One | The Return of Violence to South Sudan

Weekly Column on Ukraine & Africa

February 2026 | CWA # 1998

Anu Maria Joseph

Instability in Sudan

Response to the genocide call and the threats of a regional spillover

February 2026 | CWA # 1997

Padmashree Anandhan

Four Years of War in Ukraine

Continuing Uncertainty

February 2026 | CWA # 1996

Akshath Kaimal

Pakistan-Afghanistan Clashes

Another round of cross-border attacks

March 2026 | CWA # 1995

Global Politics Team

The World Today #269, 03 March 2026

The World Today

March 2026 | CWA # 1994

Global Politics Team

The World Today #268, 02 March 2026

The World Today

PR Commentary

March 2026 | CWA # 1993

D Suba Chandran

The US-Iran Conflict and Pakistan

Balancing Rhetoric, Regional Interests and Global Alignments

Conflict Weekly

February 2026 | CWA # 1992

IPRI Team

Pakistan-Afghanistan Clashes I Fours Years of Ukraine War

Weekly Column on Africa

March 2026 | CWA # 1991

Global Politics Team

Trumps State of the Union Address | German Chancellors China Visit | Indias PMs Israel Visit

February 2026 | CWA # 1990

Global Politics Team

The World Today #266, 27 February 2026

The World Today

Conflict Weekly

February 2026 | CWA # 1989

IPRI Team

Abu Dhabi Talks on Ukraine I Militant Attacks in Balochistan

CW Columns on Middle East and Africa

February 2026 | CWA # 1988

Padmashree Anandhan

Ukraine Peace talks in Abu Dhabi

Negotiations without a ceasefire or resolution

February 2026 | CWA # 1987

Akshath Kaimal

Continuing militant attacks in Balochistan

Expanding violence, Security-first response and Missing political dialogue in Pakistan

PR Commentary

November 2025 | CWA # 1966

Lekshmi MK

Pakistans Climate and Water Crisis

Five Questions on Challenges, Capacity and Policies

The World This Week

February 2026 | CWA # 1965

Global Politics Team

AI Impact Summit in New Delhi I Munich Security Conference 2026

Conflict Weekly

February 2026 | CWA # 1964

IPRI Team

US-Iran & Ukraine Negotiations in Geneva I US Military Deployment in Nigeria

CW Columns on Middle East and Africa

February 2026 | CWA # 1963

Global Politics Team

The World Today #255, 16 February 2026

Today in History

The World This Week

February 2026 | CWA # 1962

Global Politics Team

Japan: Sanae Takaichis historic win | Honk Kong: Jimmy Lai Sentenced

Regional Roundups: From East Asia to the Americas

Early Bird

February 2026 | CWA # 1961

Lekshmi MK

Sanae Takaichis historic win in Japan

What does it mean for domestic politics and regional stability?

Early Bird

February 2026 | CWA # 1960

Femy Francis

Jimmy Lai sentenced for 20 years in Hong Kong: Who, What, and Why

CEAP

February 2026 | CWA # 1959

Yesasvi Koganti

UK and China

PM Keir Starmers visit and the Recalibration of Economic, Strategic, and Domestic ties

February 2026 | CWA # 1958

Akshath Kaimal

India-EU Free Trade Agreement: Five Major Takeaways

The focus on expanded cooperation in defence, technology and critical minerals

February 2026 | CWA # 1957

Preetha Renganarayanan

The India-US interim trade framework

Tariff recalibration and Energy and Supply Chain realignment

February 2026 | CWA # 1956

Lekshmi MK

End of the New Strategic Arms Reduction Treaty (START)

Erosion of arms control, Return of nuclear anxieties, and the New focus on China

The World This Week

February 2026 | CWA # 1955

Global Politics Team

End of the New START I IndiaUS interim Trade Framework I India-EU Free Trade Agreement I UK PM Keir Starmers China visit

Regional Roundups: From East Asia to the Americas

February 2026 | CWA # 1954

Nishchal Nath Pandey

Nepal Elections 2026: Political Parties, Gen Z Protests and Hope for a New Beginning

Conflict Weekly

February 2026 | CWA # 1953

IPRI Team

Abu Dhabi Talks on Ukraine I Militant Attacks in Balochistan

Weekly Columns: Conflicts in Africa and the Middle East

CW Column: Conflicts in the Middle East

January 2026 | CWA # 1952

Brighty Ann Sarah

US threats against Iran, and Phase Two operations in Gaza

CW Column: Conflicts in Africa

January 2026 | CWA # 1951

Anu Maria Joseph

Africa: Renewed violence in Ethiopia and a Jihadist attack in Niger

CW Note

January 2026 | CWA # 1950

Lekshmi MK

The War in Ukraine: The Trilateral Talks, and the Deadlock over Donetsk & Security Guarantees for Kyiv

CW Note

January 2026 | CWA # 1949

Preetha Renganarayanan

The United States: ICE Crackdowns, Rising Resistance and the Political/Legal pushback

Conflict Weekly

January 2026 | CWA # 1948

ICE Crackdowns and Resistance in the US I Trilateral Talks on Ukraine

TWTW Note

January 2026 | CWA # 1947

Brighty Ann Sarah

The Pentagons National Defence Strategy: Four major takeaways

TWTW Note

January 2026 | CWA # 1946

Preetha Renganarayanan

The Davos Summit 2026

Five Major Takeaways from The World Economic Forum

The World This Week

January 2026 | CWA # 1945

Global Politics Team

The Davos Forum 2026 Takeaways I The US Pentagons National Defence Strategy

CW Note

January 2026 | CWA # 1944

Brighty Ann Sarah

Syria: The State victory over the Syrian Democratic Forces

Conflict Weekly Note

January 2026 | CWA # 1943

Anu Maria Joseph

Another major kidnapping in Nigeria and Election announcement in Guinea-Bissau

CW Note

January 2026 | CWA # 1942

Lekshmi MK

Greenland: Trumps escalation-deescalation approach and Europes defence

CW Note

January 2026 | CWA # 1941

Brighty Ann Sarah

The War in Gaza: Trumps Board of Peace and the Challenges to Phase Two

Conflict Weekly

January 2026 | CWA # 1940

IPRI Team

Trumps Board of Peace in Gaza I Escalation/De-escalation in Greenland

TWTW Note

January 2026 | CWA # 1939

Lekshmi MK

Greenland: Trumps escalation-deescalation strategy and Europes defence

The World This Week

January 2026 | CWA # 1938

Continuing Tensions over Greenland

CW Note

January 2026 | CWA # 1937

Anu Maria Joseph

Instability in Nigeria: Intensifying domestic responses, and questions over Trumps intervention

CW Note

January 2026 | CWA # 1936

Brighty Ann Sarah

Protests in Iran: Continuing Stalemate and Shifting US Position

Conflict Weekly

January 2026 | CWA # 1935

IPRI Team

Protests in Iran | Instability in Nigeria

The World This Week

January 2026 | CWA # 1934

Global Politics Team

The US, Greenland and Trump's Claims

Conflict Weekly

January 2026 | CWA # 1933

IPRI Team

Protests in Iran, the US Military Intervention in Venezuela and Conflicts in Africa

NIAS Conflict Weekly | The World This Week

January 2026 | CWA # 1932

Global Politics Team