CW Newsmakers

CWA # 2217
CW Newsmakers
The Berlin Pride attack
Zelensky's US Visit I Japan's Earthquake

Conflict Weekly #342, 30 July 2026, Vol 7, No. 29

Namrata L Ghanghatkar, Priyanka Makhijani, Urja R Kudalkar
30 July 2026
Photo Source:

The Berlin Pride attack:
A Lone Wolf Attack and Responses in Germany
On 25 July, The Guardian reported that an attacker rammed a van into a crowd leaving Berlin's Pride celebrations in Tiergarten Park, killing one person and injuring 29 others, in what authorities classified as an Islamist terrorist attack. The suspect, identified as Abdul B, a German citizen with links to Islamist circles, was tracked down after a nationwide manhunt and shot dead by police in Spandau on 26 July after charging at officers with a bladed weapon. Investigators said he had made repeated failed attempts to join the Islamic State, including travelling to Lebanon, where he was jailed for three months before returning to Germany and being arrested again for preparing a serious act of violence. Despite this, a judge had handed him a 22-month suspended sentence rather than the three years sought by prosecutors, a decision Interior Minister Alexander Dobrindt called incomprehensible given the danger he posed. The government has since ordered a review of terrorism laws, considering changes to bar suspended sentences for those convicted of terror-related offences, including juveniles.

The attack triggered sharply divided political reactions. Chancellor Friedrich Merz and President Frank-Walter Steinmeier condemned the violence and urged Pride-goers not to be intimidated, while CDU lawmakers pushed for tougher penalties and expanded digital investigative powers. However, columnist Fatma Aydemir criticised this show of solidarity as hypocritical, noting that Merz's own coalition had cut funding and protections for queer communities in recent years, including rejecting a rainbow flag over the Bundestag last year. She argued the debate risked being hijacked by both the far-right, which used the attack to attacks migration policy, and by conservatives whose own record on queer rights she called comparably hostile.

Gaza’s International Stabilisation Force 
Israel’s security cabinet approves the US-backed ceasefire plan
On 26 July, Reuters reported that Israel’s security cabinet has approved the legal framework allowing the entry of the International Stabilisation Force (ISF) into Gaza as part of President Trump’s ceasefire plan for the territory. The decision was taken ahead of Netanyahu’s visit to Washington, where discussions with US officials included Gaza’s future security arrangements and regional stability. The International Stabilisation Force is expected to operate in areas of Gaza that are not under Israeli control and will work in coordination with the Israeli military. The force is planned to include around 200 personnel from countries including Uganda and Morocco, although the participation of individual countries will require separate approval. A timeline for deployment has not yet been announced. The deployment is part of a broader US-backed framework aimed at stabilising Gaza after prolonged conflict. The plan includes humanitarian assistance, establishing a civilian Palestinian administration, reducing Hamas’ military capabilities and supporting the transition towards post-war governance. However, challenges remain, including disagreements over Hamas’ disarmament, the extent of international involvement and Israel’s continued security concerns. Israel’s approval of the force represents a significant step towards implementing the proposed Gaza arrangements, but the limited scope of the deployment has raised questions about its effectiveness. Some analysts have described the move as a strategic decision by Israel to manage international pressure while maintaining control over security arrangements in Gaza. The establishment of the International Stabilisation Force is expected to play a key role in shaping Gaza’s post-war environment, balancing Israel’s security priorities with international efforts to restore governance, humanitarian access and regional stability. 

Mass migrant crossings in Spain's Ceuta 
Regional government requests Madrid to deploy army and close the border with Morocco
On 30 July, Reuters reported that migrants crossed into Spain's North African enclave of Ceuta, with over 1,500 people crossing over, some swimming and others breaking through fences on foot. A Guardia Civil spokesperson said migrants were "massively entering from the sea," calling it an "explosion" following a slow trickle since a Supreme Court ruling that migrants intercepted at sea cannot be summarily returned to Morocco. Ceuta and Melilla represent the EU's only land border with Africa and have long been flashpoints for migration into Europe. State television TVE reported 2,000 to 3,000 people had crossed. Ceuta's regional government requested Madrid deploy the army and close the border. Spain's Interior Ministry said the armed forces would reinforce the Guardia Civil, while Prime Minister Pedro Sanchez pledged an “immediate response.” Spanish authorities blamed human trafficking networks for exploiting the court ruling to encourage crossings, vowing to deport those entering illegally. Spain and Morocco agreed to strengthen cooperation and return irregular migrants "as soon as possible 

Hamas announces “complete disarmament”:
President Trump claims a "historic agreement" 
US President Trump announced that his Board of Peace had reached what he described as a "historic agreement" to secure the phased disarmament of Hamas and other armed groups in Gaza, alongside the eventual withdrawal of Israeli forces. The announcement marks the first major diplomatic initiative by the Board of Peace, a US-led body established in 2026 to oversee peacebuilding and reconstruction efforts in Gaza.  According to Trump, the agreement is based on a 20-point framework that includes the dismantling of Hamas' weapons and tunnel network, the deployment of an international stabilisation force, and the establishment of a new Palestinian technocratic administration to govern Gaza during a transitional period. Trump said the agreement would represent a "monumental step" towards lasting peace in the region. 
Reuters reported that the Board of Peace was first proposed in 2025 and formally launched in January 2026. Chaired by Trump, it includes senior figures such as US Secretary of State Marco Rubio, former UK Prime Minister Tony Blair and Jared Kushner. Reuters and the BBC reported that key issues, including the sequencing of Hamas' disarmament and Israel's military withdrawal, remain unresolved. 
 

Netanyahu’s US Visit
Focus on Iran, Gaza and Middle East security 
On 27 July, Reuters reported that Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu’s visit to Washington for talks with President Trump focused on the future direction of US-Israel policy in the Middle East, with Iran emerging as the main issue of discussion. Netanyahu is expected to urge Trump to maintain a firm approach towards Tehran, arguing that Iran continues to pose a major security threat and that any future negotiations over its nuclear programme should include strict conditions. Trump, while continuing pressure on Iran, has shown interest in exploring diplomatic options. The discussions focused on preventing Iran from rebuilding its nuclear and military capabilities, possible frameworks for future negotiations, and responses if Tehran resumes uranium enrichment or expands its regional activities. The leaders also discussed Gaza, including efforts to stabilise the territory, humanitarian concerns, future governance arrangements and possible international involvement. Developments in Lebanon and measures to reduce tensions along Israel’s northern border were also part of the broader regional security discussions. The visit came amid reported differences between Trump and Netanyahu over handling Iran and the future approach towards regional conflicts. Netanyahu sought continued US support for Israel’s security priorities, while Trump aimed to balance military pressure with diplomatic engagement. The talks also covered broader regional diplomacy, including efforts to expand the Abraham Accords and strengthen US-Israel cooperation in the Middle East.

Zelensky’s US Visit
Trump agrees on Ukraine’s production of US-designed Patriot air defence missiles
On 28 July, The New York Times reported that President Volodymyr Zelensky met President Donald Trump at the White House. Zelensky, still confronting fallout at home over his decision to dismiss Ukraine's defence minister and army chief, sought to reboot stalled peace talks with Russia and press Trump to follow through on a pledge, first made at this month's NATO summit, to grant Ukraine a licence to produce US-designed Patriot air defence missiles domestically. Ukraine has said it needs the interceptors, which can strike targets up to 1,000 kilometres away and track multiple threats simultaneously, to counter escalating Russian drone and ballistic missile attacks, Kyiv and its army have said 25 Patriot systems are needed, with each missile costing an estimated USD 3 million to USD 5 million.

Trump called the closed-door meeting "very good," and Zelenskyy told reporters afterwards that Trump had agreed to grant the production licences, adding he had since met representatives of US defence manufacturers to discuss possible co-production. The two leaders also discussed a potential ceasefire on long-range airstrikes and the broader peace process. Zelenskyy separately met a bipartisan group of senators shortly before the Senate voted 86-12 to advance sweeping new sanctions on Russia and Iran, legislation championed by the late Senator Lindsey Graham, whose memorial service both leaders were in Washington to attend. Domestic production of the Patriot systems would also help shore up Zelensky's approval ratings, with the key remaining question being where Ukraine could produce the systems securely and quickly enough to shift the balance of the war.

US Senate bill on Russia sanctions
The US Senate advances Graham's Russia sanctions bill 
On 28 July, The New York Times reported that the US Senate voted 86-12 on 28 July to invoke cloture and advance the Lindsey O. Graham Sanctioning Russia and Iran Act of 2026, clearing a key hurdle for legislation aimed at penalising Moscow over its war in Ukraine. The vote came hours after senators memorialised Graham, who died on 11 July, at ceremonies in the Capitol and Washington National Cathedral, and shortly after they met Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelenskyy, who watched the vote from the Senate gallery and thanked senators for their continued support as the war neared its four-and-a-half-year mark. Senator Roger Wicker said the bill would go after Vladimir Putin, his inner circle and the shadow fleet used to evade sanctions, while holding accountable those who purchase the most Russian oil and gas. The bill targets Russian officials, oligarchs, banks and financial institutions, and empowers the president to impose tariffs of up to 100 per cent on the largest purchasers of Russian oil and gas, with the top five buyers reassessed every 180 days.

The bill, which has 62 co-sponsors, also extends the Iran Sanctions Act by five years and includes a five-year sunset clause on the new tariff powers. It still requires House approval, where Democrats have expressed reservations about expanding Trump's tariff authority, 11 Democrats and one Republican voted against the measure in the Senate. Senator Peter Welch, who opposed the bill, said its language on "facilitators" of Russian oil sales was too broadly defined and could let Trump target countries arbitrarily. Negotiators had revised the bill to require, rather than merely permit, the president to impose sanctions, while allowing him to waive them on national security grounds, and added reporting requirements to Congress.

Japan’s earthquake 
Death toll crosses 30
On 28 July, Asahi Shimbun reported that a magnitude 7.1 earthquake, registering a maximum intensity of 7, struck Kumamoto Prefecture at 1627 hrs, with the epicentre at a shallow depth of about ten kilometres. Prime Minister Sanae Takaichi ordered a government-wide emergency response. About 90 minutes later, an explosion suspected to be a gas leak tore through the AEON Mall Kumamoto in Kashima town, collapsing its second floor and trapping shoppers and staff. Reuters reported nearly 260,000 people were evacuated, with over 34,000 homes still without power amid temperatures near 34 degrees Celsius, raising heatstroke concerns at evacuation centres. Kyushu Shinkansen services and Kumamoto airport were suspended, roads and bridges buckled, and Kumamoto Castle's stone walls, still under repair since 2016, were damaged again. The quake disrupted the region's manufacturing hub. Sony Semiconductor, Renesas Electronics, Ebara Corp, Honda, and Mitsubishi Electric's Melco unit suspended plants, while Toyota halted three Fukuoka factories through Friday. Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company (TSMC) evacuated workers but resumed operations gradually. 

About the author

Namrata L Ghanghatkar, Priyanka Makhijani, Urja R Kudalkar are postgraduate students at the Department of Public Policy, Ramaiah University of Applied Sciences. They are currently Research interns at the National Institute of Advanced Studies (NIAS)


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Rashmi Ramesh

The FATF Meeting, February 2020
February 2020 | CWA # 235

Lakshmi V Menon

2019 Review
January 2020 | CWA # 209

Boa Wang

The Middle East in 2020
January 2020 | CWA # 208

Vivek Mishra

The World This Year
December 2019 | CWA # 196

Harini Madhusudan

Europe
November 2019 | CWA # 179

Rashmi Ramesh

United Kingdom
October 2019 | CWA # 178

Sourina Bej

Science, Technology and International Relations
September 2019 | CWA # 162

Lakshman Chakravarthy N

5G: A Primer
Climate Change
September 2019 | CWA # 161

Rashmi Ramesh

G-20 Summit
July 2019 | CWA # 147

Vivek Mishra

Global Politics
June 2019 | CWA # 134

Sourina Bej

China
June 2019 | CWA # 133

Harini Madhusudan

Julian Assange
June 2019 | CWA # 126

Jerin George

The BRI Summit 2019
May 2019 | CWA # 117

Sourina Bej

United States
January 2019 | CWA # 80

Abhishrut Singh

United States
January 2019 | CWA # 78

Kriti

United States
January 2019 | CWA # 77

Komal Tiwary

South Asia Monthly Brief (Nov 2018)
December 2018 | CWA # 71

Mahesh Bhatta

Nepal
South Asia Monthly Brief (Nov 2018)
December 2018 | CWA # 70

Nasima Khatoon

The Maldives
South Asia Monthly Brief (Nov 2018)
December 2018 | CWA # 69

Harini Madhusudan

India
South Asia Monthly Brief (Nov 2018)
December 2018 | CWA # 68

Sourina Bej

Bangladesh
South Asia Monthly Brief (Nov 2018)
December 2018 | CWA # 67

Seetha Lakshmi Dinesh Iyer

Afghanistan
Southeast Asia
September 2018 | CWA # 58

Aparupa Bhattacherjee

China
August 2018 | CWA # 52

Oishee Majumdar

United States
July 2018 | CWA # 47

Rahul Arockiaraj

United States
July 2018 | CWA # 40

Rahul Arockiaraj

East Asia
June 2018 | CWA # 26

Siddhatti Mehta

Global Politics
June 2018 | CWA # 21

Harini Madhusudan

Global Politics
May 2018 | CWA # 8

Samreen Wani

India
May 2018 | CWA # 1

Samreen Wani