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NIAS Africa Weekly
IN FOCUS | Africa, Russia, and the War in Ukraine
NIAS Africa Team
|
Africa Weekly #08, Vol. 1, No. 8
19 April 2022
Africa, Russia, and the War in Ukraine: Three reasons behind abstentions and silence
Apoorva Sudhakar
Despite the war’s detrimental effects on Africa, the decision to abstain from condemning Moscow reflect the growing Russian influence on the continent.
On 7 April, the UN General Assembly voted to suspend Russia from the UN Human Rights Council. Among the 193 member countries, 93 voted in favour and 24 against the resolution. Of those who voted against the resolution, nine were African countries. Similarly, of the 58 abstentions, there were 19 African countries.
Previously, on 7 March, the UNGA voted on a resolution to condemn the Russian invasion of Ukraine; African countries accounted for 17 of the 35 abstentions.
The above developments have garnered criticism from the West and the Africans themselves. In March, the US called “for a strong African response to Russian aggression.” Opposition parties in Africa have criticized the decision not to condemn Russia. For example, opposition leaders in South Africa believed the abstention placed the country “on the wrong side of history.”
What are the implications of the war on Africa? Why are African countries not condemning Russia?
The War in Ukraine: Three implications for Africa
Africans in Ukraine and back home have borne the brunt of the Russia-Ukraine war since its breakout in February,
First, the treatment of African students in European countries. Africans faced a two-fold challenge among the thousands of foreign students who fled Ukraine. One, to escape the conflict. Two, racism at the hands of security and border forces. African students said they were left stranded at Ukraine’s border with Poland after the Ukrainian military separated the fleeing students into two groups of white and non-white people. Some African students said they were given stale leftover food after the fresh food was distributed to Ukrainians. The evident discrimination drew the attention of the UN and the African Union. The UNHCR Chief said he was “humbled by the outpouring of support” to Ukrainian refugees but highlighted “the ugly reality that some Black and Brown people fleeing Ukraine – and other wars and conflicts around the world – have not received the same treatment as Ukrainian refugees.” The AU Chair said the treatment of African students was a breach of international law and reiterated that regardless of race and nationality, “all people have the right to cross international borders during conflict.”
Second, the threat of increased food insecurity. The war has raised concerns that Africa will face increased food insecurity as prices continue to rise in several countries after Ukrainian supplies were cut off. Africa receives 40 per cent of Ukraine’s export of corn and wheat. Similarly, African countries also depend on Russia for its fertilizer imports; Russia is also the leading exporter of nitrogen fertilizers globally. Therefore, rising prices of food and raw materials could lead to increased food insecurity.
Third, the diversion of aid. As mentioned earlier by the UNHRC Chief, global humanitarian support to Ukraine is welcome. However, the relief and aid are in contrast to the attention given to other crises such as Yemen. The New Humanitarian cites that days before the US and other donors pledged more than USD two billion to assist Ukraine, donors failed to raise even a third of the USD 4.3 billion required for Yemen. On 12 April, BBC reported the World Food Programme’s Executive Director’s remark: “Don't make us take food from children that are hungry to give to children that are starving.” The remark came after the WFP had to reduce the amount of food it delivered to Yemen, Chad, and Niger. The sudden focus on Ukraine is not only set to impact African countries requiring aid, but also other countries like Afghanistan and Myanmar.
Absence, abstentions and more: Three reasons behind Africa’s silence
Despite these detrimental impacts on Africa, African leaders have been hesitant to condemn Russia’s moves. What are the reasons behind this?
First, Africa’s ties with the Soviet Union. During the Cold War, several African countries were leading their independence movements. The Soviet Union had actively supported several movements against the colonial governments, including the African National Congress against the apartheid system in South Africa. Several African countries are still ruled by parties once supported by the Soviets and cherish the historical engagement. After Russia was subjected to several sanctions in 2014, it turned to revive its ties in Africa, which were mellowed after the fall of the Soviet Union.
Second, strained relations with France and European powers. Recently, Sudan and Mali witnessed citizens calling for the French exit from African territories and a wave of support towards Russia. The anti-French sentiment grew after France’s military intervention, which began in 2013 in Mali, could not end the Islamist violence in the Sahel region. France has been accused of holding a paternalistic approach to its former colonies, thereby, adding to the people’s resentment. Africans are more cautious regarding Western powers after the latter’s intervention in Libya and the subsequent instability, and sought alternative partners. Russia, therefore, has taken advantage of this situation by forging closer ties with African countries.
Third, Russia’s new inroads into Africa through military support. In 2021, a report by the Stockholm International Peace Research Initiative (SIPRI) showed that between 2016 and 2020, Africa received 18 per cent of Russia’s arms exports. Further, Russia’s arms exports to Africa rose by 23 per cent from 2011-15 to 2016-20. Mali, South Sudan, Ethiopia, the Central African Republic, and Libya are some countries that have close military ties with Russia. However, the West has also accused Russia of sending private military contractors, namely the Wagner Group, to help African governments. Russia has denied these claims and maintained that it had sent military instructors for training.
What can Africa expect now?
It is important to note that the whole African continent has not remained silent. The African Union and the Economic Community of West African States condemned the Russian moves in Ukraine. Similarly, 28 countries voted in favour of the resolution condemning Russia. Despite this, the countries which abstained hold strategic importance to the West. Therefore, Africa has three options: continue to maintain its neutrality, attempt to smoothen the withered ties with Russia, or let the emerging divide between Africa and the West grow.
AFRICA IN BRIEF
13 April - 19 April
by Apoorva Sudhakar and Anu Maria Joseph
SOUTH SUDAN
UN body warns of increased food insecurity
On 14 April, News24 reported the United Nations Central Emergency Response Fund’s (CERF) warning on rising food insecurity in South Sudan. The CERF said 100,000 people had fled the Abyei Administrative Area (AAA) following increased communal fighting in February and March. The CERF said the displaced people had outlined the “restoration of peace as their most critical demand, as well as food, water, shelter, and non-food items.” The news report says UN agencies in South Sudan have warned that humanitarian crises could raise food insecurity by seven per cent. The Food and Agriculture Organisation’s country representative also said the food insecurity has been driven by heavy flooding since 2019. (Lenin Ndebele, “South Sudan food insecurity likely to rise, UN agency says,” News24, 14 April 2022)
SOMALIA
Over 200 lawmakers sworn after several delays in elections
On 14 April, 290 lawmakers were sworn in, marking a significant development in Somalia’s much-awaited parliamentary elections; a few more lawmakers will be sworn in shortly. The lawmakers will then elect a speaker and deputies for the parliamentary Houses and subsequently elect a new president. The development comes after parliamentary and presidential elections have been delayed since February 2021, when President Mohamed Abdullahi Mohamed’s term expired. The lower house elections were expected to be completed by 15 March; however, the polls were delayed. (“Somalia swears in lawmakers as UN warns of ‘real risk of famine’,” Al Jazeera, 15 April 2022)
NIGERIA
Nigerian authorities unwilling to investigate mass abductions, says Amnesty International
On 13 April, a press release from the AmnestyInternational marked eight years of the abduction of 276 schoolgirls from Chibok on 14 April 2014. The press release said, of the 276 abducted, 16 were killed and 109 remained missing. It outlined that 1500 children had been abducted by armed groups since and that 204 children are in captivity since 2014. The Amnesty International Nigeria Director opined that Nigeria had failed to protect its children and added: “In all cases, the Nigerian authorities have remained shockingly unwilling to investigate these attacks or to ensure that the perpetrators of these callous crimes face justice.” (“Nigeria: Eight years after Chibok more than 1,500 children abducted by armed groups,” Amnesty International, 14 April 2022)
Death toll from attacks in Plateau state rises to 154
On 13 April, community leaders said the death toll from the gunmen attacks across four villages in Plateau state had risen to 154. A senior councillor of Garga rural district said gunmen pursued and shot dead several people who tried to escape the attack; mass burials were being held. The gunmen attacks of such scale are rare in Plateau state. The attacks took place a week after gunmen attacked a passenger train, killed eight people, and held several people hostage, in the neighbouring Kaduna state. (“Death toll in Nigeria's Plateau state rises to 154 - community leaders,” News24, 13 April 2022)
SOUTH AFRICA
Death toll from floods climbs to 400; government releases emergency funds
On 15 April, the government released emergency funds after nearly 400 deaths were recorded in the recent floods in South Africa’s east coast. The floods affected more than 40,000 people. The Finance Minister said USD 68.3 million would be used immediately, and a second phase of funds will focus on recovery and repair. The floods have disrupted power lines, water supply and highways. (“S.Africa releases emergency funds for deadly floods, nearly 400 dead,” The Standard, 15 April 2022)
ENVIRONMENT
Fuel ship sinks off the Tunisian coast raising concerns about environmental damage
On 15 April, a fuel ship carrying 750 to 1000 tonnes of fuel sank off the Gabes coast. Following distress calls from a location near Gabes, the Tunisian navy rescued all seven crew members aboard. The vessel was heading to Malta from Equatorial Guinea. Tunisia’s Environment Ministry said bad weather had caused the accident and outlined that water had seeped in up to two metres. On 17 April, Tunisia’s Defence Ministry said other countries had offered to assist Tunisia to control the environmental damage. (“Fuel ship sinks off Tunisia, threatening environmental disaster,” The Standard, 17 April 2022)
REGIONAL
35 feared dead after boat capsizes off Libyan coast
On 15 April, a boat carrying 35 people capsized off the Libyan coast; the International Organization for Migration said six bodies had been discovered and the rest 29 are missing and presumed dead. The boat departed from Sabratha city, a major point from where Africans leave for Europe through the Mediterranean Sea. The IOM said the incident took place when at least 53 deaths have been recorded in accidents off the Libyan coast within a week. (“Boat capsizes off Libya, leaving 35 people dead or presumed dead,” The Guardian, 16 April 2022)
INTERNATIONAL
EU suspends military training projects in Mali
On 12 April,the European Union decided to suspend major military training programmes in Mali like the relations with the Malian transitional military government relapse. The EU's High Representative to Foreign Affairs and Security Policy, Joseph Borrel, mentioned the presence of Russian mercenaries and the reports of human rights abuses by the Malian troops and foreign fighters led to the decision. Borrel said: “We are halting the training missions for the [Malian] armed forces and national guard.” He added the developments in Mali “have forced us to see there were not sufficient guarantees … on non-interference by the Wagner group.” He accused the Wagner Group of being “responsible for some very serious events which have led to tens of people being killed in Mali in recent times”. The EU has two training missions in Mali, the European Union Training Mission (EUTM) and the European Union Capacity Building Mission (EUCAP), to train soldiers and police, respectively. The EU's decision came following the Human Rights Watch's report on the alleged killing of 300 people in a military operation by Malian forces alongside foreign fighters in the town of Moura. ("EU winds down military training operations in Mali," Al Jazeera, 12 April 2022)
The world is not treating the human race equally, says WHO chief
On 13 April, WHO chief Tedros Ghebreyesus, referring to the world’s response to Ukraine, opined there was a difference in the attention given to “black and white lives.” Ghebreyesus said: “I need to be blunt and honest that the world is not treating the human race the same way,” adding, “Some are more equal than others. And when I say this, it pains me. Because I see it. Very difficult to accept – but it's happening.” Ghebreyesus said that while the attention to Ukraine is necessary, Ethiopia, Yemen, Syria, and Afghanistan did not receive a “fraction” of the attention. (Taiyler Simone Mitchell, “WHO chief says crises in Ethiopia and other places deserve as much attention as Ukraine,” Business Insider South Africa, 16 April 2022)
UN allocates USD 100 million for six African countries and Yemen to fight hunger
On 14 April,the UN relief chief, Martin Griffiths, announced the allocation of USD 100 million in Africa and the Middle East to fight the spillover effects of the Ukraine war on the most vulnerable people close to famine. He said: "Hundreds of thousands of children are going to sleep hungry every night while their parents are worried sick about how to feed them. A war halfway around the world makes their prospects even worse. This allocation will save lives". The United Nations Central Emergency Response Fund (UNCERF) funding will be supporting six African countries and Yemen. A USD 30 million will be allocated for the Horn of Africa divided between Somalia, Ethiopia and Kenya. Another USD 20 million will go to Sudan, whereas Yemen will also receive the same amount. South Sudan and Nigeria will be receiving USD 15 million each. The Ukraine conflict has worsened the food security issues in these countries, driven by economic instability, armed conflicts and environmental issues. ("UN releases $100 million to fight hunger in 6 African countries and Yemen," UN News, 14 April 2022)
UK’s plan to relocate asylum seekers to Rwanda sparks criticism
On 14 April, the UK announced a plan to relocate asylum seekers to Rwanda; UK’s Home Secretary Priti Patel said anyone who enters the UK illegally would be considered for the relocation. Patel said the relocated people “will be given the support including up to five years of training, integration, accommodation, health care, so that they can resettle and thrive.” Prime Minister Boris Johnson termed the scheme an “innovative approach, driven by our shared humanitarian impulse and made possible by Brexit freedoms.” The move garnered criticism; the UNHCR's Assistant High Commissioner for Protection said: “People fleeing war, conflict and persecution deserve compassion and empathy. They should not be traded like commodities and transferred abroad for processing.” In Rwanda, the opposition criticised the government for accepting the agreement to receive asylum seekers. The Democratic Green party of Rwanda (PVDR) said rich countries with their money and influence “should not shift their international obligation to receive refugees and transfer them to third countries.” The leader of DALFA-Umurinzi said Rwanda should address its own political and social problems before hosting refugees from other countries. (Radina Gigova, Sharon Braithwaite, Jorge Engels, Sarah Diab and Bethlehem Feleke, “UK announces controversial plan to send asylum-seekers to Rwanda,” CNN, 15 April 2022; Ignatius SSuuna and Jason Burke, “Rwandan opposition criticises deal to accept UK’s asylum seekers,” The Guardian, 14 April 2022)
About the authors
Apoorva Sudhakar is a Project Associate at the School of Conflict and Security Studies at the National Institute of Advanced Studies.Anu Maria Joseph is a postgraduate scholar at the Department of Political Science in Madras Christian College, Chennai.
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Return of the Heatwaves
Jerry Franklin A
A profile on Ethiopia's Oromo ethnic group
Sneha Surendran
A profile on Ethiopia’s Somali ethnic group
Nithyashree RB
A profile on Ethiopia’s Afar ethnic group
Anu Maria Joseph
Ethiopia’s Amhara problem
Jerry Franklin A
ECOWAS and Niger remain at an impasse, causing a prolonged standoff
Lakshmi Parimala H
Mural, Movie and the Map: Akhand Bharat mural and Adipurush
Rishika Yadav
The High Seas Treaty
Indrani Talukdar
Ukraine War and the International Order
Jerry Franklin A
Coup in Niger: Manifold national, regional and international stances
Sneha Surendran
Senegal's political crisis: Four questions
NIAS Africa Team
Africa Weekly #73&74 | Coup in Niger and Senegal’s political crisis
Himani Pant
Germany-Russia Relations: What Next?
D. Suba Chandran
Que Sara Sara: Pakistan, Two Months After 09 May
Sneha Surendran
Pakistan’s e-Sport Industry: A Profile
Ramya Balasubramanian
Russia and Europe: Understanding Moscow’s strategies
Bibhu Prasad Routray
Return of Violence in Manipur
Nithyashree RB
The UN in Africa: MINUSMA has failed. So did Mali
Bibhu Prasad Routray
Myanmar continues to burn
Anu Maria Joseph
The Wagner Group in Africa: Fallouts of the failed revolt in Russia
NIAS Africa Team
Africa Weekly #69-71 | The Wagner Group in Africa
Lakshmi Parimala
Hybrid Warfare in Ukraine
Padmashree Anandhan
Rise and fall of the Wagner Revolt: Four Takeaways
Sneha Surendran
The Wagner Revolt: A profile of Yevgeny Prigozhin
Padmashree Anandhan
The War in Ukraine: Four Issues to watch in 2023
Rishika Yadav, Sneha Surendran, Sandra D Costa, Ryan Marcus, Prerana P and Nithyashree RB
Global Gender Gap Report 2023: Regional Takeaways
Harini Madhusudan, Rishika Yada, Sneha Surendran, Prerana P, Sreeja JS and Padmashree Anandhan
Russia: Anatomy of Wagner Revolt, and its Fallouts
Anu Maria Joseph
Resurging insurgency in Uganda and insecurity in East Africa
Jerry Franklin
Eritrea: Back to the IGAD after 16 years
Bibhu Prasad Routray
India: Violence continues in Manipur
Jerry Franklin
Tunisia: A Political Profile
Jerry Franklin
Cameroon’s Anglophone Crisis: Reasons for its continuation
Anu Maria Joseph
Ceasefires in Sudan: An uneasy trajectory
Rishika Yadav, Sreeja JS, Nithyashree RB, and Melvin George | Rishika Yadav is a Research Assistant in NIAS Europe Studies at NIAS. Nithyashree RB, Sreeja JS, and Melvin George are Research Interns in NIAS Europe Studies at NIAS.
The Battle for Bakhmut: Significance, Objectives, Course, and What Next
Nithyashree RB
Poland approves Russian Influence Law: Three Implications
Rishika Yadav | Research Assistant, National Institute of Advanced Studies, Indian Institute of Science Campus, Bangalore
Serbia: Mass shootings, protests and instability
Rishika Yadav and Nityashree RB | Research Assistant and Research Intern, National Institute of Advanced Studies, Indian Institute of Science Campus, Bangalore
Turkey’s Elections: Unravelling the Political Spectacle of 2023
Padmashree Anandhan | Research Associate National Institute of Advanced Studies, Bangalore
Belgorod drone attacks: Who, What and Why?
NIAS Africa Team
In Focus | Japan in Africa
Devjyoti Saha
Japan in Africa: Renewed Efforts to Revitalise Relations
Indrani Talukdar
Russia's Position in the Arctic: New challenges
Lakshmi Parimala H
Bhutan's Gross National Happiness
Amit Gupta
The Trump Phenomenon: Why it Won’t Go
Rishika Yadav
Turkey’s Election: Issues, Actors and Outcomes
IPRI Team
The Armenia-Azerbaijan Stalemate
NIAS Africa Team
Droughts in East Africa: A climate disaster
NIAS Africa Team
Sudan: Intensifying political rivalry and expanding violence
NIAS Africa Team
Expanding Russia-South Africa relations
Padmashree Anandhan
Pentagon document leak: Russia-Ukraine Conflict From a Tactical Lens
NIAS Africa Team
IN FOCUS | Tunisia: The question of undocumented migrants
Indrani Talukdar
Belarus’s endgame in Russia-Ukraine Conflict
Padmashree Anandhan
Russia: Drone attacks escalate the Ukraine war
Padmashree Anandhan
The UK: Conservative party put to test as worker strikes continue
Bhoomika Sesharaj
PR Explains: Pakistan’s power outage
Abigail Miriam Fernandez
Pakistan’s Blue Helmets: A long-standing contribution
D Suba Chandran
Karachi: The race and new alignments for the Mayor
NIAS Africa Team
IN FOCUS | Macron’s visit to Africa: Three Takeaways
NIAS Africa Team
IN FOCUS | Nigeria elections: Ruling party wins; What is ahead?
NIAS Africa Team
IN FOCUS | M23 atrocities in DRC and upcoming Nigeria elections
NIAS Africa Team
Africa in 2023: Elections and conflicts
IPRI Team
The continuing crisis in Israel
NIAS Africa Team
IN FOCUS | Chinese Foreign Minister's visit to Africa
IPRI Team
Protests in Spain, Sweden and Israel
Avishka Ashok
China: A complicated economic recovery
Padmashree Anandhan
Europe: An impending energy crisis and its economic fallouts
Ankit Singh
Defence: Towards a new cold war
Riya Itisha Ekka
Brazil: Managing Bolsonaro’s legacy
Apoorva Sudhakar
Africa: Despite the elections, democratic backslide will continue
Abigail Miriam Fernandez
Pakistan in 2023: Between elections, economic turmoil and climate crisis
Sethuraman Nadarajan
Sri Lanka in 2023: A troubling economy and an unstable polity
Avishka Ashok
Chinese Foreign Minister's visit to Africa
NIAS Africa Team
IN FOCUS | Bamako’s pardon of Ivorian soldiers
NIAS Africa Team
IN FOCUS | The relapse of ANC
Allen Joe Mathew, Sayani Rana, Joel Jacob
Newsmakers: From Putin to Rushdie
Sethuraman Nadarajan
Rest in Peace; Queen Elizabeth. Mikhail Gorbachev, Pelé...
Ankit Singh
Global economy in 2022: The year of cooling down
Bhoomika Sesharaj
Digital world: Elon Musk and the Twitter Chaos
Madhura Mahesh
The FTX Collapse: Depleting cryptocurrencies
Harini Madhusudan
The Space race: Scaling new technological feats
Avishka Ashok
G20: More challenges
Akriti Sharma
COP27: Hits and Misses
Padmashree Anandhan
The Ukraine War
Poulomi Mondal
French Exit from Mali: More questions than answers
Mohaimeen Khan
Yemen, Syria, and Sudan: Continuing humanitarian crises
Padmashree Anandhan
NATO and the Madrid Summit: Expanding defence frontiers
Padmashree Anandhan
Elections in France, Sweden, and Italy: The rise of the right
Janardhan G
North Korea: Missile Tests Galore
Avishka Ashok
The Taiwan Strait: Political and military assertions
Anu Maria Joseph
Ethiopia: Uncertainties despite ceasefire
Apoorva Sudhakar
Tunisia: The end of the Jasmine Revolution
Rashmi BR
Iraq: Deadlock and breakthrough
Kaviyadharshini A
Iran: Anti-government protests
Chrishari de Alwis Gunasekare
Sri Lanka: Political and Economic Crises
Aparupa Bhattacherjee
Myanmar: The coup and after
NIAS Africa Team
The US-Africa Leaders Summit
IPRI Team
Workers strike in the UK
NIAS Africa Team
IN FOCUS | End of Operation Barkhane
NIAS Africa Team
IN FOCUS | The ceasefire in Ethiopia
IPRI Team
Drone attacks in Russia
Vignesh Ram | Assistant Professor | Manipal Academy of Higher Education, Manipal
Malaysia’s recent Elections: More questions than answers
Vignesh Ram
Anwar Ibrahim: Malaysia's new Prime Minister
Harini Madhusudan, Rishma Banerjee, Padmashree Anandhan, Ashwin Immanuel Dhanabalan, and Avishka Ashok
What next for Russia, Ukraine, Europe, South Asia & India, and China
Padmashree Anandhan and Rishma Banerjee
UNGA 77: Who said what from Europe?
Rashmi BR and Akriti Sharma
COP27: Ten key takeaways
Rashmi Ramesh
Ice Melt in Alps in Europe: Three impacts
Rishma Banerjee
Tracing Europe's droughts
Padmashree Anandhan
Major causes behind Europe’s continuing heatwaves
Emmanuel Selva Royan
100 days of the Ukraine war: US Responses in the war
Padmashree Anandhan
100 days of the Ukraine war: What next for Europe?
Ashwin Immanuel Dhanabalan
100 days of the Ukraine war: More loss than gain for Russia
NIAS Africa Team
IN FOCUS | Challenges to peace in Eastern Congo
Avishka Ashok | Research Associate | National Institute of Advanced Studies
20th Party Congress of the Communist Party of China: Major takaways
Angelin Archana | Assistant Professor, Women’s Christian College, Chennai
China's response to the Ukraine crisis: Shaped by its relationship with Russia and EU under the US Shadow
Shreya Upadhyay | Assistant Professor, Christ (Deemed to be University), Bangalore
Transatlantic Ties in the Wake of Ukraine-Russia War
Uma Purushothaman | Assistant Professor, Central University of Kerala, Kerala
Ukraine and beyond: The US Strategies towards Russia
Debangana Chatterjee | Assistant Professor, JAIN (Deemed-to-be University), Bangalore
Lessons from Ukraine War: Effectiveness of Sanctions
Himani Pant | Research Fellow, ICWA, Delhi
Ukraine and beyond: What next for Russia and Europe?
Sethuraman Nadarajan
Israel-Lebanon Maritime Border Deal
Avishka Ashok
G20 Summit: Four takeaways from Bali
NIAS Africa Team
China-Africa relations: Looking back and looking ahead
NIAS Africa Team
IN FOCUS | Chad's political crisis
Sourina Bej
Elections in Sweden
Padmashree Anandhan
Italy's far-right wins 2022 elections
Padmashree Anandhan
Putin’s address in the Valdai Discussion: Six takeaways
Devjyoti Saha
Solomon Islands’ China card: Three reasons why
NIAS Africa Team
Floods in West Africa: Nigeria and beyond
NIAS A